D Lublin
Biographic Data
| ID | 41172 |
|---|---|
| NAME | D Lublin |
| GIVEN NAMES | D |
| FAMILY NAME | Lublin |
| SIGNATURE | LUBLIN D |
| AFFILIATIONS | American University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8778-8771 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 27 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 391 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 27 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1994 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 10 |
Extreme events, decentralisation and the effective number of parties
An examination of eleven Western democracies reveals that widespread crises like the Great Recession and COVID-19 spurred increases in the number of parties with the effect of the recession proportional to its depth. The impact of these crises, however, depended upon the level and the type of regional decentralisation. Regions with stronger autonomous control over their own affairs – known as self-rule – had fewer additional parties than regions …
Diversity Matters: The Election of Asian Americans to U.S. State and Federal Legislatures
Despite substantial research on descriptive representation for Blacks and Latinos, we know little about the electoral conditions under which Asian candidates win office. Leveraging a new dataset on Asian American legislators elected from 2011 to 2020, combined with pre-existing and newly conducted surveys, we develop and test hypotheses related to Asian American candidates’ ingroup support, and their crossover appeal to other racial and ethnic gr…
Minority Success in Non-Majority Minority Districts: Finding the “Sweet Spot”
Though African-American and Latino electoral success in state legislative and congressional elections continues to occur almost entirely in majority-minority districts, minorities now have new opportunities in districts that are only 40–50% minority. This success can primarily be explained in terms of a curvilinear model that generates a “sweet spot” of maximum likelihood of minority candidate electoral success as a function of minority populatio…
Electoral Systems and Ethnic Minority Representation
Every democratic process short of unanimity produces opinion minorities. Political divisions along anchored demographic characteristics like language, religion, race, or ethnicity challenge pluralist models of governance by threatening to entrench the exclusion of minority groups from political power. Especially when attuned to ethnic geography, electoral engineering through manipulation of the electoral system and other rules governing the elect…
Five Lessons from the Mayor’s Desk
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Minutes of April 2016, Apsa Council Meeting
Hochschild discussed her goals to improve the annual meeting, as well as improving
Electoral Systems, Ethnic Heterogeneity and Party System Fragmentation
Taking into proper account the geographic distribution of ethnic groups and the operation of electoral systems within individual countries reveals that the impact of ethnic diversity and electoral systems on the number of parties has been underestimated. Contrary to earlier findings, this study reveals that ethnic diversity spurs party proliferation in countries with both majoritarian and proportional electoral systems, though the effect is stron…
Electoral systems, ethnic diversity and party systems in developing democracies
The Case for English
English’s role as political science’s lingua franca should inspire reflection but not alarm. Greater multilingualism would undercut academic exchange and provide only a mirage of linguistic equality. The profession should nonetheless recognize and work to mitigate advantages held by native speakers
Minority Rules: Electoral Systems, Decentralization, and Ethnoregional Party Success
When we think of minorities—linguistic, ethnic, religious, regional, or racial—in world politics, conflict is often the first thing that comes to mind. Indeed, discord and tension are the depressing norms in many states across the globe: Iraq, the former Yugoslavia, Sudan, Israel, Sri Lanka, Burma, Rwanda, and many more. But as this book points out in this magisterial survey of minority-based political groups, such parties typically function fair…
Engineering inclusion: Assessing the effects of pro-minority representation policies
The 2012 Latvia language referendum
Dispersing Authority or Deepening Divisions? Decentralization and Ethnoregional Party Success
Political scientists have fiercely debated the impact of decentralization on ethnic conflict; some see it as a panacea, while others contend that it sows the seeds of its own failure by stimulating and then entrenching ethnic divisions via ethnoregional parties. Using multiple methods — historical analysis, quantitative case studies of Italy and Spain, and multivariate models of the share of votes and seats won by ethnoregional parties in 71 demo…
Has the Voting Rights Act Outlived Its Usefulness? In a Word, “No
Race‐conscious redistricting remains crucial to the election of an overwhelming number of African American and Latino officials. We present descriptive evidence, easily interpretable by nonspecialists, from recent elections at the state and federal levels to support our claims. The Voting Rights Act remains a valuable tool to protect the ability of minorities to elect their preferred candidates
Francophone Bilingualism, Inter-Group Contact, and Opposition to Sovereignty Among QuéBec Francophones
Using ecological inference methods and a dataset that combines results from the 1995 Québec referendum, the federal and provincial elections of 1997 and 1998, and data from the Canadian census, this article considers the relationship between the local linguistic environment and francophone support for Québec sovereignty. Outside of Montréal, we find that the linguistic composition of the population has little direct influence on support for sover…
The Strengthening of Party and Decline of Religion in Explaining Congressional Voting Behavior on Gay and Lesbian Issues
The battle over lesbian and gay rights has gained increased prominence in the political arena. Discrimination against homosexuals may have been widely accepted in the past, but today such discrimination is strongly debated. In 2004, the presidential candidates as well as members of Congress squared off on whether to enshrine a ban on gay marriage into the Constitution. Analyzing the 106th–108th Congresses reveals that member and district characte…
The Republican South: Democratization and Partisan Change
The Continuing Dominance of Traditional Gender Roles in Southern Elections
Objective. Studies of the election of women to public office have been increasingly encouraging about their prospects of female candidates. The purpose of this study is to examine the extent to which gender roles continue to influence the election of women to local office and the pool of candidates for higher office. Methods. Utilizing data on the gender of officials, the nature of the office, and constituency demographics from county elections i…
The Missing Middle: Why Median-Voter Theory Can't Save Democrats from Singing the Boll-Weevil Blues
Racial redistricting decimated the southern congressional districts once represented by centrist Democrats. Electoral maps drawn in the 1990s instead helped polarize the South's congressional delegation into a mixture of minority Democrats and right-wing Republicans, creating a more favorable environment for conservative legislation. The median-voter approach offered by Ken Shotts misses this phenomenon, primarily because neither his statistical …
Context and Francophone Support for the Sovereignty of Quebec: An Ecological Analysis
New techniques of ecological inference are utilized to estimate with confidence intervals francophone support in each federal electoral district in Quebec for the pro-sovereignty side in the 1993 and 1997 Canadian general elections and the 1992 and 1995 referenda. Analyzing the link between demographic and political contextual variables and support for the sovereignty of Quebec suggests that demographic factors, such as the proportion of farmers …
Black Incumbents, White Districts: An Appraisal of the 1996 Congressional Elections
This article explores the controversial 1996 success of three African American incumbents (Sanford Bishop and Cynthia McKinney of Georgia and Corrine Brown of Florida) who lost their majority-Black southern congressional districts to Supreme Court decisions. Using aggregate electoral data and Gary King's solution to the ecological inference problem, we gauge (a) the extent of bias against Black candidates, (b) the extent of backlash against Black…
Racial Redistricting and Realignment in Southern State Legislatures
Competing logit models of the link between the racial composition of districts and party are estimated and then analyzed for all state legislative elections held in the South from 1990 to 1998. Using these models and a decomposition model developed by Grofman and Handley (1998), we decompose changes in seats won by the Democrats since 1990 into redistricting, realignment, and interaction effects. Racial redistricting harmed the Democrats in all s…
Racial Redistricting and African-American Representation: "A Critique of "Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress
Contrary to Cameron, Epstein, and O'Halloran's article (1996), (1) racial redistricting remains vital to the election of African Americans to the U.S. House, and (2) the tradeoff between black descriptive and substantive representation is actually greater in the South than in the North. Substantive and methodological errors explain why they arrived at their findings. Specifically, their analysis ignores the effect of the presence of Latinos on th…
The Partisan Impact of Voting Rights Law: A Reply to Pamela S. Karlan
The Paradox of Representation: Racial Gerrymandering and Minority Interests in Congress
Racial Redistricting and African-American Representation: "A Critique of "Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress
Contrary to Cameron, Epstein, and O'Halloran's article (1996), (1) racial redistricting remains vital to the election of African Americans to the U.S. House, and (2) the tradeoff between black descriptive and substantive representation is actually greater in the South than in the North. Substantive and methodological errors explain why they arrived at their findings. Specifically, their analysis ignores the effect of the presence of Latinos on th…
Quality, Not Quantity: Strategic Politicians in U.S. Senate Elections, 1952-1990
Analyzing senatorial elections between 1952 and 1990, I estimate the impact of challenger experience in various elected offices on vote for the incumbent. Controlling for other factors, U.S. representatives gain a higher proportion of the vote than other elected officials. Consistent with Jacobson's (1990b) theory that the increase in the importance of challenger quality over time in House elections explains the decline in the proportion of margi…
Black Incumbents, White Districts: An Appraisal of the 1996 Congressional Elections
This article explores the controversial 1996 success of three African American incumbents (Sanford Bishop and Cynthia McKinney of Georgia and Corrine Brown of Florida) who lost their majority-Black southern congressional districts to Supreme Court decisions. Using aggregate electoral data and Gary King's solution to the ecological inference problem, we gauge (a) the extent of bias against Black candidates, (b) the extent of backlash against Black…
Electoral Systems, Ethnic Heterogeneity and Party System Fragmentation
Taking into proper account the geographic distribution of ethnic groups and the operation of electoral systems within individual countries reveals that the impact of ethnic diversity and electoral systems on the number of parties has been underestimated. Contrary to earlier findings, this study reveals that ethnic diversity spurs party proliferation in countries with both majoritarian and proportional electoral systems, though the effect is stron…
Racial Redistricting and Realignment in Southern State Legislatures
Competing logit models of the link between the racial composition of districts and party are estimated and then analyzed for all state legislative elections held in the South from 1990 to 1998. Using these models and a decomposition model developed by Grofman and Handley (1998), we decompose changes in seats won by the Democrats since 1990 into redistricting, realignment, and interaction effects. Racial redistricting harmed the Democrats in all s…
Has the Voting Rights Act Outlived Its Usefulness? In a Word, “No
Race‐conscious redistricting remains crucial to the election of an overwhelming number of African American and Latino officials. We present descriptive evidence, easily interpretable by nonspecialists, from recent elections at the state and federal levels to support our claims. The Voting Rights Act remains a valuable tool to protect the ability of minorities to elect their preferred candidates
Engineering inclusion: Assessing the effects of pro-minority representation policies
Dispersing Authority or Deepening Divisions? Decentralization and Ethnoregional Party Success
Political scientists have fiercely debated the impact of decentralization on ethnic conflict; some see it as a panacea, while others contend that it sows the seeds of its own failure by stimulating and then entrenching ethnic divisions via ethnoregional parties. Using multiple methods — historical analysis, quantitative case studies of Italy and Spain, and multivariate models of the share of votes and seats won by ethnoregional parties in 71 demo…
Context and Francophone Support for the Sovereignty of Quebec: An Ecological Analysis
New techniques of ecological inference are utilized to estimate with confidence intervals francophone support in each federal electoral district in Quebec for the pro-sovereignty side in the 1993 and 1997 Canadian general elections and the 1992 and 1995 referenda. Analyzing the link between demographic and political contextual variables and support for the sovereignty of Quebec suggests that demographic factors, such as the proportion of farmers …
The Missing Middle: Why Median-Voter Theory Can't Save Democrats from Singing the Boll-Weevil Blues
Racial redistricting decimated the southern congressional districts once represented by centrist Democrats. Electoral maps drawn in the 1990s instead helped polarize the South's congressional delegation into a mixture of minority Democrats and right-wing Republicans, creating a more favorable environment for conservative legislation. The median-voter approach offered by Ken Shotts misses this phenomenon, primarily because neither his statistical …
Electoral systems, ethnic diversity and party systems in developing democracies
The Continuing Dominance of Traditional Gender Roles in Southern Elections
Objective. Studies of the election of women to public office have been increasingly encouraging about their prospects of female candidates. The purpose of this study is to examine the extent to which gender roles continue to influence the election of women to local office and the pool of candidates for higher office. Methods. Utilizing data on the gender of officials, the nature of the office, and constituency demographics from county elections i…
Diversity Matters: The Election of Asian Americans to U.S. State and Federal Legislatures
Despite substantial research on descriptive representation for Blacks and Latinos, we know little about the electoral conditions under which Asian candidates win office. Leveraging a new dataset on Asian American legislators elected from 2011 to 2020, combined with pre-existing and newly conducted surveys, we develop and test hypotheses related to Asian American candidates’ ingroup support, and their crossover appeal to other racial and ethnic gr…
The Partisan Impact of Voting Rights Law: A Reply to Pamela S. Karlan
The Strengthening of Party and Decline of Religion in Explaining Congressional Voting Behavior on Gay and Lesbian Issues
The battle over lesbian and gay rights has gained increased prominence in the political arena. Discrimination against homosexuals may have been widely accepted in the past, but today such discrimination is strongly debated. In 2004, the presidential candidates as well as members of Congress squared off on whether to enshrine a ban on gay marriage into the Constitution. Analyzing the 106th–108th Congresses reveals that member and district characte…
Extreme events, decentralisation and the effective number of parties
An examination of eleven Western democracies reveals that widespread crises like the Great Recession and COVID-19 spurred increases in the number of parties with the effect of the recession proportional to its depth. The impact of these crises, however, depended upon the level and the type of regional decentralisation. Regions with stronger autonomous control over their own affairs – known as self-rule – had fewer additional parties than regions …
The 2012 Latvia language referendum
The Case for English
English’s role as political science’s lingua franca should inspire reflection but not alarm. Greater multilingualism would undercut academic exchange and provide only a mirage of linguistic equality. The profession should nonetheless recognize and work to mitigate advantages held by native speakers
Quality, Not Quantity: Strategic Politicians in U.S. Senate Elections, 1952-1990
Analyzing senatorial elections between 1952 and 1990, I estimate the impact of challenger experience in various elected offices on vote for the incumbent. Controlling for other factors, U.S. representatives gain a higher proportion of the vote than other elected officials. Consistent with Jacobson's (1990b) theory that the increase in the importance of challenger quality over time in House elections explains the decline in the proportion of margi…
Race, Representation, and Redistricting
The Paradox of Representation: Racial Gerrymandering and Minority Interests in Congress
The Partisan Impact of Voting Rights Law: A Reply to Pamela S. Karlan
Racial Redistricting and African-American Representation: "A Critique of "Do Majority-Minority Districts Maximize Substantive Black Representation in Congress
Contrary to Cameron, Epstein, and O'Halloran's article (1996), (1) racial redistricting remains vital to the election of African Americans to the U.S. House, and (2) the tradeoff between black descriptive and substantive representation is actually greater in the South than in the North. Substantive and methodological errors explain why they arrived at their findings. Specifically, their analysis ignores the effect of the presence of Latinos on th…
Racial Redistricting and Realignment in Southern State Legislatures
Competing logit models of the link between the racial composition of districts and party are estimated and then analyzed for all state legislative elections held in the South from 1990 to 1998. Using these models and a decomposition model developed by Grofman and Handley (1998), we decompose changes in seats won by the Democrats since 1990 into redistricting, realignment, and interaction effects. Racial redistricting harmed the Democrats in all s…
Black Incumbents, White Districts: An Appraisal of the 1996 Congressional Elections
This article explores the controversial 1996 success of three African American incumbents (Sanford Bishop and Cynthia McKinney of Georgia and Corrine Brown of Florida) who lost their majority-Black southern congressional districts to Supreme Court decisions. Using aggregate electoral data and Gary King's solution to the ecological inference problem, we gauge (a) the extent of bias against Black candidates, (b) the extent of backlash against Black…
Context and Francophone Support for the Sovereignty of Quebec: An Ecological Analysis
New techniques of ecological inference are utilized to estimate with confidence intervals francophone support in each federal electoral district in Quebec for the pro-sovereignty side in the 1993 and 1997 Canadian general elections and the 1992 and 1995 referenda. Analyzing the link between demographic and political contextual variables and support for the sovereignty of Quebec suggests that demographic factors, such as the proportion of farmers …
The Continuing Dominance of Traditional Gender Roles in Southern Elections
Objective. Studies of the election of women to public office have been increasingly encouraging about their prospects of female candidates. The purpose of this study is to examine the extent to which gender roles continue to influence the election of women to local office and the pool of candidates for higher office. Methods. Utilizing data on the gender of officials, the nature of the office, and constituency demographics from county elections i…
The Missing Middle: Why Median-Voter Theory Can't Save Democrats from Singing the Boll-Weevil Blues
Racial redistricting decimated the southern congressional districts once represented by centrist Democrats. Electoral maps drawn in the 1990s instead helped polarize the South's congressional delegation into a mixture of minority Democrats and right-wing Republicans, creating a more favorable environment for conservative legislation. The median-voter approach offered by Ken Shotts misses this phenomenon, primarily because neither his statistical …
The Republican South: Democratization and Partisan Change
The Strengthening of Party and Decline of Religion in Explaining Congressional Voting Behavior on Gay and Lesbian Issues
The battle over lesbian and gay rights has gained increased prominence in the political arena. Discrimination against homosexuals may have been widely accepted in the past, but today such discrimination is strongly debated. In 2004, the presidential candidates as well as members of Congress squared off on whether to enshrine a ban on gay marriage into the Constitution. Analyzing the 106th–108th Congresses reveals that member and district characte…
Francophone Bilingualism, Inter-Group Contact, and Opposition to Sovereignty Among QuéBec Francophones
Using ecological inference methods and a dataset that combines results from the 1995 Québec referendum, the federal and provincial elections of 1997 and 1998, and data from the Canadian census, this article considers the relationship between the local linguistic environment and francophone support for Québec sovereignty. Outside of Montréal, we find that the linguistic composition of the population has little direct influence on support for sover…
Has the Voting Rights Act Outlived Its Usefulness? In a Word, “No
Race‐conscious redistricting remains crucial to the election of an overwhelming number of African American and Latino officials. We present descriptive evidence, easily interpretable by nonspecialists, from recent elections at the state and federal levels to support our claims. The Voting Rights Act remains a valuable tool to protect the ability of minorities to elect their preferred candidates
Dispersing Authority or Deepening Divisions? Decentralization and Ethnoregional Party Success
Political scientists have fiercely debated the impact of decentralization on ethnic conflict; some see it as a panacea, while others contend that it sows the seeds of its own failure by stimulating and then entrenching ethnic divisions via ethnoregional parties. Using multiple methods — historical analysis, quantitative case studies of Italy and Spain, and multivariate models of the share of votes and seats won by ethnoregional parties in 71 demo…
Engineering inclusion: Assessing the effects of pro-minority representation policies
The 2012 Latvia language referendum
Minority Rules: Electoral Systems, Decentralization, and Ethnoregional Party Success
When we think of minorities—linguistic, ethnic, religious, regional, or racial—in world politics, conflict is often the first thing that comes to mind. Indeed, discord and tension are the depressing norms in many states across the globe: Iraq, the former Yugoslavia, Sudan, Israel, Sri Lanka, Burma, Rwanda, and many more. But as this book points out in this magisterial survey of minority-based political groups, such parties typically function fair…
The Case for English
English’s role as political science’s lingua franca should inspire reflection but not alarm. Greater multilingualism would undercut academic exchange and provide only a mirage of linguistic equality. The profession should nonetheless recognize and work to mitigate advantages held by native speakers
Minutes of April 2016, Apsa Council Meeting
Hochschild discussed her goals to improve the annual meeting, as well as improving
Electoral Systems, Ethnic Heterogeneity and Party System Fragmentation
Taking into proper account the geographic distribution of ethnic groups and the operation of electoral systems within individual countries reveals that the impact of ethnic diversity and electoral systems on the number of parties has been underestimated. Contrary to earlier findings, this study reveals that ethnic diversity spurs party proliferation in countries with both majoritarian and proportional electoral systems, though the effect is stron…
Electoral systems, ethnic diversity and party systems in developing democracies
Electoral Systems and Ethnic Minority Representation
Every democratic process short of unanimity produces opinion minorities. Political divisions along anchored demographic characteristics like language, religion, race, or ethnicity challenge pluralist models of governance by threatening to entrench the exclusion of minority groups from political power. Especially when attuned to ethnic geography, electoral engineering through manipulation of the electoral system and other rules governing the elect…
Five Lessons from the Mayor’s Desk
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Minority Success in Non-Majority Minority Districts: Finding the “Sweet Spot”
Though African-American and Latino electoral success in state legislative and congressional elections continues to occur almost entirely in majority-minority districts, minorities now have new opportunities in districts that are only 40–50% minority. This success can primarily be explained in terms of a curvilinear model that generates a “sweet spot” of maximum likelihood of minority candidate electoral success as a function of minority populatio…
Political science (26 works) · Law (24 works) · Politics (22 works) · Law (16 works) · Sociology (16 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (14 works) · Political economy (10 works) · Public Administration (9 works) · Computer Science (8 works) · Economics (8 works)