Thomas Holbrook
Biographic Data
| ID | 4122591 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Thomas Holbrook |
| GIVEN NAMES | Thomas |
| FAMILY NAME | Holbrook |
| SIGNATURE | HOLBROOK T |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 10 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 190 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 10 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1994 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Perceptions of Political Corruption in State Government
This study examines public perceptions of state level political corruption in the United States using original data from two national public opinion surveys conducted in 2014 and 2022. Our analyses reveal several important insights about the underpinnings of state corruption perceptions. First, we find that perceptions of state corruption are modestly related to the actual state corruption context—people are able to connect their perceptions to r…
Presidential Campaign Spending and Correct Voting from 2000 to 2008
Objective This study examines whether presidential campaigns help voters make informed choices on Election Day, or whether unique campaign contexts can actually hinder quality votes. We explore this question by relating the allocation of resources by presidential campaigns to a measure of correct voting (Lau and Redlawsk, 1997). Methods We expect that when campaign messages become overwhelmingly one sided, the number of incorrect votes increases …
Does Measurement Matter? The Case of VAP and VEP in Models of Voter Turnout in the United States
The introduction of McDonald and Popkin's (2001) measure of the voting eligible turnout rate represents an important advancement in the literature on voter turnout in the United States, most of which was based on studies of turnout among the voting age population. Among other things, their measure called into question many of the findings of research on the decline in turnout during the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. In this article, we investigate how…
Incumbency, National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential Election
The October 2008 issue of PS published a symposium of presidential and congressional forecasts made in the summer leading up to the election. This article is an assessment of the accuracy of their models. The Incumbency and National Conditions Model predicted that John McCain would receive 44.3% of the two-party presidential vote; he ended up with 46.6% (at this writing, November 13, 2008), yielding a prediction error of 2.4 points. This error is…
Campaigns, Polls, and the States: Assessing the Accuracy of Statewide Presidential Trial-Heat Polls
Given the heavy reliance upon polls during election campaigns and the importance of state results in presidential election outcomes, this study examines the determinants of accuracy in statewide presidential trial-heat polls. Using Lau’s (1994) examination of national-level polls as a guide, we find that sample-related characteristics like sample size and the use of a likely voter sampling filter tend to improve the predictive accuracy of these p…
Electoral Competition, Legislative Balance, and American State Welfare Policy
Do Campaigns Matter?
Campaigns and Elections Evidence Against Campaign Effects A Model of Campaign Effects Nominating Conventions The Effect of Debates Campaigns, National Conditions, and US Presidential Elections The Role of Campaigns in US Presidential Elections
Homo Economus? Economic Information and Economic Voting
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic accountability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reasonably accu rate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper we test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic condi tions. Utiliz…
Program Committee
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Activities and Appointments
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Electoral Competition, Legislative Balance, and American State Welfare Policy
Homo Economus? Economic Information and Economic Voting
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic accountability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reasonably accu rate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper we test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic condi tions. Utiliz…
Does Measurement Matter? The Case of VAP and VEP in Models of Voter Turnout in the United States
The introduction of McDonald and Popkin's (2001) measure of the voting eligible turnout rate represents an important advancement in the literature on voter turnout in the United States, most of which was based on studies of turnout among the voting age population. Among other things, their measure called into question many of the findings of research on the decline in turnout during the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. In this article, we investigate how…
Campaigns, Polls, and the States: Assessing the Accuracy of Statewide Presidential Trial-Heat Polls
Given the heavy reliance upon polls during election campaigns and the importance of state results in presidential election outcomes, this study examines the determinants of accuracy in statewide presidential trial-heat polls. Using Lau’s (1994) examination of national-level polls as a guide, we find that sample-related characteristics like sample size and the use of a likely voter sampling filter tend to improve the predictive accuracy of these p…
Presidential Campaign Spending and Correct Voting from 2000 to 2008
Objective This study examines whether presidential campaigns help voters make informed choices on Election Day, or whether unique campaign contexts can actually hinder quality votes. We explore this question by relating the allocation of resources by presidential campaigns to a measure of correct voting (Lau and Redlawsk, 1997). Methods We expect that when campaign messages become overwhelmingly one sided, the number of incorrect votes increases …
Activities and Appointments
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Program Committee
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. As you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button
Do Campaigns Matter?
Campaigns and Elections Evidence Against Campaign Effects A Model of Campaign Effects Nominating Conventions The Effect of Debates Campaigns, National Conditions, and US Presidential Elections The Role of Campaigns in US Presidential Elections
Homo Economus? Economic Information and Economic Voting
Although retrospective economic voting does not require voters to have precise information about recent economic conditions, it is arguably the case that the quality of retrospective voting as a democratic accountability mechanism hinges on the degree to which citizens have reasonably accu rate perceptions of the state of the economy In this paper we test a model of the accuracy of individuals' perceptions of national economic condi tions. Utiliz…
Electoral Competition, Legislative Balance, and American State Welfare Policy
Campaigns, Polls, and the States: Assessing the Accuracy of Statewide Presidential Trial-Heat Polls
Given the heavy reliance upon polls during election campaigns and the importance of state results in presidential election outcomes, this study examines the determinants of accuracy in statewide presidential trial-heat polls. Using Lau’s (1994) examination of national-level polls as a guide, we find that sample-related characteristics like sample size and the use of a likely voter sampling filter tend to improve the predictive accuracy of these p…
Incumbency, National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential Election
The October 2008 issue of PS published a symposium of presidential and congressional forecasts made in the summer leading up to the election. This article is an assessment of the accuracy of their models. The Incumbency and National Conditions Model predicted that John McCain would receive 44.3% of the two-party presidential vote; he ended up with 46.6% (at this writing, November 13, 2008), yielding a prediction error of 2.4 points. This error is…
Does Measurement Matter? The Case of VAP and VEP in Models of Voter Turnout in the United States
The introduction of McDonald and Popkin's (2001) measure of the voting eligible turnout rate represents an important advancement in the literature on voter turnout in the United States, most of which was based on studies of turnout among the voting age population. Among other things, their measure called into question many of the findings of research on the decline in turnout during the 1960s, 1970s, and 1980s. In this article, we investigate how…
Presidential Campaign Spending and Correct Voting from 2000 to 2008
Objective This study examines whether presidential campaigns help voters make informed choices on Election Day, or whether unique campaign contexts can actually hinder quality votes. We explore this question by relating the allocation of resources by presidential campaigns to a measure of correct voting (Lau and Redlawsk, 1997). Methods We expect that when campaign messages become overwhelmingly one sided, the number of incorrect votes increases …
Perceptions of Political Corruption in State Government
This study examines public perceptions of state level political corruption in the United States using original data from two national public opinion surveys conducted in 2014 and 2022. Our analyses reveal several important insights about the underpinnings of state corruption perceptions. First, we find that perceptions of state corruption are modestly related to the actual state corruption context—people are able to connect their perceptions to r…
Politics (8 works) · Law (7 works) · Political science (7 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (6 works) · Presidential system (6 works) · Law (5 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Economics (3 works) · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy (3 works) · Mathematics (3 works)