Patrizio Vanella
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 4193412 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Patrizio Vanella |
| NOMBRES | Patrizio |
| APELLIDO | Vanella |
| FIRMA | VANELLA P |
| AFILIACIONES | Leibniz University Hannover |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6736-6774 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 5 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 1 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 5 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2020 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2023 |
| ÍNDICE H | 1 |
Fertility Response to the Covid-19 Pandemic in Developed Countries – On Pre-pandemic Fertility Forecasts
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all areas of our lives. Among other outcomes, the academic literature and popular media both discuss the potential effects of the pandemic on fertility. As fertility is an important determinant of population development and population forecasts are important for policy decisions and planning, we need to address to which extent fertility forecasts performed before the pandemic still apply. Using Monte Carlo forec…
Past and Future Trends in Refugee Migration on the Regional Level in Germany - An Analysis and Projection of Labor Market Effects
Since 2013, more than two million refugees have arrived in Germany and have been allocated across federal states and districts according to legal policies. A steadily increasing number of refugees is now entering the German labor market, albeit under varying economic and demographic contexts. However, regional differences in refugees' labor market integration have received little attention both retrospectively and particularly prospectively, give…
Population Ageing and Future Demand for Old-Age and Disability Pensions in Germany - A Probabilistic Approach
Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. Population ageing is associated not only with longer periods of pension claims but also smaller cohorts eventually entering the labour market. This threatens the sustainability of pay-as-you-go social security systems for implementing or further improving appropriate reform measures;…
A probabilistic projection of beneficiaries of long-term care insurance in Germany by severity of disability
Demographic aging puts social insurance systems under immense pressure as frailty risks increase with age. The statutory long-term care insurance in Germany (GPV), whose society has been aging for decades due to low fertility and decreasing mortality, faces massive future pressure. The present study presents a stochastic outlook on long-term care insurance in Germany until 2045 by forecasting the future number of frail persons who could claim ins…
A Probabilistic Cohort-Component Model for Population Forecasting – The Case of Germany
Past and Future Trends in Refugee Migration on the Regional Level in Germany - An Analysis and Projection of Labor Market Effects
Since 2013, more than two million refugees have arrived in Germany and have been allocated across federal states and districts according to legal policies. A steadily increasing number of refugees is now entering the German labor market, albeit under varying economic and demographic contexts. However, regional differences in refugees' labor market integration have received little attention both retrospectively and particularly prospectively, give…
A probabilistic projection of beneficiaries of long-term care insurance in Germany by severity of disability
Demographic aging puts social insurance systems under immense pressure as frailty risks increase with age. The statutory long-term care insurance in Germany (GPV), whose society has been aging for decades due to low fertility and decreasing mortality, faces massive future pressure. The present study presents a stochastic outlook on long-term care insurance in Germany until 2045 by forecasting the future number of frail persons who could claim ins…
A Probabilistic Cohort-Component Model for Population Forecasting – The Case of Germany
Past and Future Trends in Refugee Migration on the Regional Level in Germany - An Analysis and Projection of Labor Market Effects
Since 2013, more than two million refugees have arrived in Germany and have been allocated across federal states and districts according to legal policies. A steadily increasing number of refugees is now entering the German labor market, albeit under varying economic and demographic contexts. However, regional differences in refugees' labor market integration have received little attention both retrospectively and particularly prospectively, give…
Population Ageing and Future Demand for Old-Age and Disability Pensions in Germany - A Probabilistic Approach
Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. Population ageing is associated not only with longer periods of pension claims but also smaller cohorts eventually entering the labour market. This threatens the sustainability of pay-as-you-go social security systems for implementing or further improving appropriate reform measures;…
Fertility Response to the Covid-19 Pandemic in Developed Countries – On Pre-pandemic Fertility Forecasts
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all areas of our lives. Among other outcomes, the academic literature and popular media both discuss the potential effects of the pandemic on fertility. As fertility is an important determinant of population development and population forecasts are important for policy decisions and planning, we need to address to which extent fertility forecasts performed before the pandemic still apply. Using Monte Carlo forec…
Demography (5 obras) · Economics (5 obras) · Population (5 obras) · Sociology (5 obras) · Demography (4 obras) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (4 obras) · Actuarial science (3 obras) · Fertility (3 obras) · Global Health Care Issues (3 obras) · Total fertility rate (3 obras)