Peter Tikuisis

Biographic Data

ID4211267
NAMEPeter Tikuisis
GIVEN NAMESPeter
FAMILY NAMETikuisis
SIGNATURETIKUISIS P
AFFILIATIONSDefence Research and Development Canada
ORCID0000-0002-2636-2929
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS6
TOTAL CITATIONS16
AUTHOR COUNT6
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2009
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2018
H-INDEX3

  • Backsliding and Reversal

    David Carment, Peter Tikuisis et al.ARTICLEDemocracy and Security2018

    In this article we argue that democratic transitions can reverse, oscillate, or simply stall. These transitions are exemplified in the different types of states we categorize. We construct a model of stability vs openness using three dimensions of stateness, namely authority, legitimacy, and capacity. With the additional application of a six-fold typology of states, we offer a robust analytical framework with which to identify and explain changes…

  • Backsliding and reversal

    Rachael Calleja, David Carment et al.BOOKBacksliding and reversal2017

    Ian Bremmer published a treatise on the stability of states built on the notion that states fall along a curve resembling a slanted “J” when plotting their stability against openness. States in the turnover process are considered unstable, and are at risk of either reversing to a closed and stable system or even collapsing. Our paper shifts the J curve’s associated conditions to a model to more accurately specify the causes of reversal in which c…

  • Is the World Deteriorating

    Peter Tikuisis, David R MandelARTICLEGlobal Governance A Review of…2015References: 1

    THE WORLD IS BECOMING A LESS CONFLICT-RIDDEN PLACE, AND IT HAS BEEN for decades. Wars and violent conflicts are on the decline, according to expert consensus. In particular, we note abundant evidence that suggests that the is not deteriorating from Steven Pinker's conclusion of a long-term general decline in global violence (1) to Azar Gat's analysis pointing to a decline in war since the mid-1990s (2) to the 2013 Human Security Report proclaimin…

  • Typology of State Types

    Peter Tikuisis, David Carment et al.ARTICLEInternational Interactions2015Cited by: 4References: 8

    Research on state fragility has seldom examined questions of persistence and transition of states. We develop a sixfold typology of states to examine how key structural features of states evolve and contribute to successful exits from fragility in some cases and persistence in others. Particularly worrisome is the lack of positive transition among the weakest states. Our findings are derived from a minimalist construct of a refined time series da…

  • Prediction of Intrastate Conflict Using State Structural Factors and Events Data

    Open AccessPeter Tikuisis, David Carment et al.ARTICLEJournal of Conflict Resolution2013Cited by: 8References: 21

    The primary objective of this article is to advance the development of early warning of intrastate conflict by combining country-level structural and events data in a logistic regression model calibrated and validated using split-sample cases. Intrastate conflict is defined by the occurrence of one or more highly destabilizing events collectively termed a crisis of interest (COI). Two separate two-year periods between 1990 and 2005 were examined …

  • On the relationship between weak states and terrorism

    Peter TikuisisARTICLEBehavioral Sciences of Terrorism…2009Cited by: 4References: 3

    This study explored recent claims of a non‐significant relationship between weak (failed and failing) states and terrorism. Openly available terrorism data and state classification from stable to weak using a failed state index (FSI) were analyzed using inferential statistics. It was hypothesized that weak states endure a higher incidence of fatal terrorism than all other states, irrespective of the presence of major terrorist groups. Almost 50% …