Johannes Bracher
Biographic Data
| ID | 4268567 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Johannes Bracher |
| GIVEN NAMES | Johannes |
| FAMILY NAME | Bracher |
| SIGNATURE | BRACHER J |
| AFFILIATIONS | Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-3777-1410 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 3 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 3 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 3 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2016 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2023 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions
In many forecasting settings, there is a specific interest in predicting the sign of an outcome variable correctly in addition to its magnitude. For instance, when forecasting armed conflicts, positive and negative log-changes in monthly fatalities represent escalation and de-escalation, respectively, and have very different implications. In the ViEWS forecasting challenge, a prediction competition on state-based violence, a novel evaluation scor…
Collaborative Hubs
Using crowdsourced online experiments to study context-dependency of behavior
Using crowdsourced online experiments to study context-dependency of behavior
Collaborative Hubs
Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions
In many forecasting settings, there is a specific interest in predicting the sign of an outcome variable correctly in addition to its magnitude. For instance, when forecasting armed conflicts, positive and negative log-changes in monthly fatalities represent escalation and de-escalation, respectively, and have very different implications. In the ViEWS forecasting challenge, a prediction competition on state-based violence, a novel evaluation scor…
COVID-19 epidemiological studies (2 works) · Economics (2 works) · Incentive (2 works) · Microeconomics (2 works) · Artificial Intelligence (1 works) · Artificial Intelligence (1 works) · Competition (biology (1 works) · Computer Science (1 works) · Context (archaeology) (1 works) · Data-Driven Disease Surveillance (1 works)