Jean‐françois Godbout
Biographic Data
| ID | 4371585 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Jean‐françois Godbout |
| GIVEN NAMES | Jean‐françois |
| FAMILY NAME | Godbout |
| SIGNATURE | GODBOUT J F |
| AFFILIATIONS | Université de Montréal |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 21 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 150 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 21 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2002 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 8 |
Le sentiment de menace identitaire au Québec
La question identitaire s’est imposée dans la vie politique québécoise depuis le début des années 2000 en réaction à l’augmentation du nombre d’immigrants dans la province ainsi qu’aux statistiques montrant un déclin du français au Québec. Ces débats semblent avoir mené à l’émergence d’un nouveau clivage politique s’articulant autour de la gestion de la diversité. Nous avançons que l’influence de ce clivage s’explique par la théorie de la menace …
Political Dynasties in Canada
Using a unique dataset of legislators' electoral and biographical data in the Canadian provinces of Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and the federal parliament, this article analyses the extent to which family dynasties affected the career development of legislators since the mid-18th century. We find that the prevalence of dynasties was higher in provincial legislatures than it was in the federal parliament, that the number of dynasti…
A Comprehensive Dataset of Four Provincial Legislative Assembly Members
This research note reports on a new dataset about legislators in four Canadian provinces since the establishment of their colonial assemblies in the eighteenth century. Over 7,000 legislators from Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia are included, with consolidated information drawn from multiple sources about parliamentarians’ years of birth and death, religion, electoral performance, kinship, and several other biographical indicators…
The Automatic Analysis of Emotion in Political Speech Based on Transcripts
Automatic sentiment analysis is used extensively in political science. The digitization of legislative transcripts has increased the potential application of established tools for the automated analyses of emotion in text. Unlike in writing, however, expressing emotion in speech involves intonation, facial expressions, and body language. Drawing on a new dataset of annotated texts and videos from the Canadian House of Commons, this paper does thr…
Parliamentary Debates in Canada (1901–2015)
This article analyzes the effect of procedural rule change on the dynamics of parliamentary speeches in the Canadian House of Commons between 1901 and 2015. During this period, several new rules were introduced to reduce the opportunities for private members to speak during the debates so that the government could get its business done within an acceptable amount of time. Our analysis looks at the impact of these rule changes on the content and o…
Birds of a Feather? Loyalty and Partisanship in the Reformed Canadian Senate
Since 2015, the Canadian Senate has undergone a series of reforms designed to make it more independent, ideologically diverse, and active in the legislative process. We use loyalty scores and vote scaling algorithms to situate the voting behaviour of senators, focusing primarily on the 41st and 42nd Parliaments (2011–2019), the period just before and after the changes, respectively. We find that the reforms have led to a loosening of party discip…
About time: Age, period, and cohort effects on support for Quebec sovereignty
Can age, period and cohort effects help explain support for Quebec sovereignty? Previous work on this question has focused mostly on the effects of age and cohort. We contribute to this debate by adding a period perspective. As such, our study is the first to investigate the impact of age, cohort and period effects in a single study of opinion towards sovereignty in Quebec. We take advantage of an original dataset that includes survey data collec…
Les cinquante ans de la Revue canadienne de science politique: Le bilinguisme en déclin
L'équipe éditoriale de la Revue canadienne de science politique/Canadian Journal of Political Science (ci-après, la Revue) vous propose pour son cinquantième anniversaire trois textes publiés en français qui jettent un regard critique sur son passé et son avenir et qui retracent aussi, plus généralement, les enjeux inhérents à la production et à la diffusion de travaux en science politique dans la langue française. Nous vous proposons également t…
Unity in Diversity? The Development of Political Parties in the Parliament of Canada, 1867–2011
What explains the development of legislative party voting unity? Evidence from the United States and Britain indicate that partisan sorting, cohort replacement effects, electoral incentives, and agenda control contributed to enhancing party cohesion during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Here, these mechanisms are evaluated by analysing a dataset containing all the recorded votes from the Canadian House of Commons, 1867–2011. Overall, we …
Le développement des partis politiques au Bas-Canada (1791-1840)
Cette étude s’intéresse à la formation des partis politiques et à l’origine de la cohésion partisane à la Chambre d’Assemblée du Bas-Canada entre 1791 et 1840. Pour ce faire, elle présente une analyse systématique de tous les votes tenus en Chambre en utilisant différents indices de loyauté. L’analyse cherche à évaluer les deux principales thèses qui ont été avancées pour expliquer le développement des partis politiques au Bas-Canada, soit les di…
Party development in the early decades of the Australian parliament: A New Perspective
This study offers a new perspective on the development of political parties in the Australian House of Representatives. We analyse a data set of 3060 legislative votes to estimate how parties influenced the behaviour of 287 legislators who served in the first 12 parliaments (1901-31). We show that the socialisation of members and cohort replacement effects, as well as a decline in private member business and committee votes, explain why partisans…
French legislative voting in the Fifth Republic
Turnout and presidential coattails in congressional elections
The Emergence of Parties in the Canadian House of Commons (1867–1908)
This study analyses legislative voting in the first ten Canadian Parliaments (1867–1908). The results demonstrate that party unity in the House of Commons dramatically increased over time. From the comparative literature on legislative organization, we identify three factors to explain this trend: partisan sorting, electoral incentives and negative agenda control. Our empirical analysis shows that intraparty conflict is primarily explained by the…
Coalition voting and minority governments in Canada
Inter-party voting coalitions in three minority cabinets were analysed: the 38th (2004–05), 39th (2006–08) and 40th (2008–11) Federal Canadian Parliaments. The paper begins by developing a simple theory to explain the formation of voting coalitions. The theory predicts that electoral incentives and policy issues drive minority government support. The main contention is that voting coalitions are more likely to form along ideological lines, as pro…
Legislative Voting in the Canadian Parliament
We analyze legislative voting in the 35th (1994–1997), 38th (2004–2005), and 39th (2006–2008) Canadian Parliaments. Using Poole's (2005) optimal classification algorithm, we locate MPs and their parties in a two-dimensional geometric model. The first dimension represents the division between governing and opposition parties that has been found in similar parliamentary systems. The second dimension captures the opposition between the Bloc Québécoi…
Forecasting Canadian Federal Elections
In recent decades, the scientific forecasting of election outcomes has made great strides in a number of advanced industrial democracies. One country that has not received much attention to date is Canada. In this article, we present a vote function model to forecast Canadian federal elections. We explain our model's theoretical underpinnings and assess its statistical properties and forecasting capabilities against all federal elections held bet…
How Sophisticated Can a Voter Be to Make Causal Attributions? A Response to Gomez and Wilson's Comment
The authors present a response to Gomez and Wilson's comments related to their article “Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment,” published in this issue of Political Research Quarterly
Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment
The authors propose a reexamination of the conditioning effect of political sophistication on economic voting in U.S. presidential elections. Replicating Gomez and Wilson's (2001) analysis with survey data from the past five American presidential elections (1988—2004), they show that low sophisticates strictly rely on sociotropic economic judgments in their intention to support the incumbent party's candidate. For their part, high sophisticates a…
Class, Party, and South/Non-South Differences: An Update
This article examines the past 50 years to update an analysis of the relationship between income and partisanship. Earlier, Nadeau and Stanley noted that therewas a change in partisanship in the South from inverse class polarization, in which higher income individuals more often identified with the Democratic Party, to normal class polarization, but the permanence of the shiftwas open to question. Now, with a longer time perspective and even grea…
La dimension régionale du vote économique canadien aux élections fédérales de 1988 à 2000
Recent works on economic voting have shown that the economy's impact on electoral behaviour could sometimes be mediated by differences in political conditions. This article specifies and tests the mediating role of one such factor, namely regionalism, on economic voting in Canada. The potential effect of two structural factors is tested: the regional configuration of the federal party system (clarity of available alternatives), and the regional s…
Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment
The authors propose a reexamination of the conditioning effect of political sophistication on economic voting in U.S. presidential elections. Replicating Gomez and Wilson's (2001) analysis with survey data from the past five American presidential elections (1988—2004), they show that low sophisticates strictly rely on sociotropic economic judgments in their intention to support the incumbent party's candidate. For their part, high sophisticates a…
Legislative Voting in the Canadian Parliament
We analyze legislative voting in the 35th (1994–1997), 38th (2004–2005), and 39th (2006–2008) Canadian Parliaments. Using Poole's (2005) optimal classification algorithm, we locate MPs and their parties in a two-dimensional geometric model. The first dimension represents the division between governing and opposition parties that has been found in similar parliamentary systems. The second dimension captures the opposition between the Bloc Québécoi…
About time: Age, period, and cohort effects on support for Quebec sovereignty
Can age, period and cohort effects help explain support for Quebec sovereignty? Previous work on this question has focused mostly on the effects of age and cohort. We contribute to this debate by adding a period perspective. As such, our study is the first to investigate the impact of age, cohort and period effects in a single study of opinion towards sovereignty in Quebec. We take advantage of an original dataset that includes survey data collec…
Unity in Diversity? The Development of Political Parties in the Parliament of Canada, 1867–2011
What explains the development of legislative party voting unity? Evidence from the United States and Britain indicate that partisan sorting, cohort replacement effects, electoral incentives, and agenda control contributed to enhancing party cohesion during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Here, these mechanisms are evaluated by analysing a dataset containing all the recorded votes from the Canadian House of Commons, 1867–2011. Overall, we …
La dimension régionale du vote économique canadien aux élections fédérales de 1988 à 2000
Recent works on economic voting have shown that the economy's impact on electoral behaviour could sometimes be mediated by differences in political conditions. This article specifies and tests the mediating role of one such factor, namely regionalism, on economic voting in Canada. The potential effect of two structural factors is tested: the regional configuration of the federal party system (clarity of available alternatives), and the regional s…
The Emergence of Parties in the Canadian House of Commons (1867–1908)
This study analyses legislative voting in the first ten Canadian Parliaments (1867–1908). The results demonstrate that party unity in the House of Commons dramatically increased over time. From the comparative literature on legislative organization, we identify three factors to explain this trend: partisan sorting, electoral incentives and negative agenda control. Our empirical analysis shows that intraparty conflict is primarily explained by the…
The Automatic Analysis of Emotion in Political Speech Based on Transcripts
Automatic sentiment analysis is used extensively in political science. The digitization of legislative transcripts has increased the potential application of established tools for the automated analyses of emotion in text. Unlike in writing, however, expressing emotion in speech involves intonation, facial expressions, and body language. Drawing on a new dataset of annotated texts and videos from the Canadian House of Commons, this paper does thr…
Class, Party, and South/Non-South Differences: An Update
This article examines the past 50 years to update an analysis of the relationship between income and partisanship. Earlier, Nadeau and Stanley noted that therewas a change in partisanship in the South from inverse class polarization, in which higher income individuals more often identified with the Democratic Party, to normal class polarization, but the permanence of the shiftwas open to question. Now, with a longer time perspective and even grea…
Birds of a Feather? Loyalty and Partisanship in the Reformed Canadian Senate
Since 2015, the Canadian Senate has undergone a series of reforms designed to make it more independent, ideologically diverse, and active in the legislative process. We use loyalty scores and vote scaling algorithms to situate the voting behaviour of senators, focusing primarily on the 41st and 42nd Parliaments (2011–2019), the period just before and after the changes, respectively. We find that the reforms have led to a loosening of party discip…
Coalition voting and minority governments in Canada
Inter-party voting coalitions in three minority cabinets were analysed: the 38th (2004–05), 39th (2006–08) and 40th (2008–11) Federal Canadian Parliaments. The paper begins by developing a simple theory to explain the formation of voting coalitions. The theory predicts that electoral incentives and policy issues drive minority government support. The main contention is that voting coalitions are more likely to form along ideological lines, as pro…
Party development in the early decades of the Australian parliament: A New Perspective
This study offers a new perspective on the development of political parties in the Australian House of Representatives. We analyse a data set of 3060 legislative votes to estimate how parties influenced the behaviour of 287 legislators who served in the first 12 parliaments (1901-31). We show that the socialisation of members and cohort replacement effects, as well as a decline in private member business and committee votes, explain why partisans…
Les cinquante ans de la Revue canadienne de science politique: Le bilinguisme en déclin
L'équipe éditoriale de la Revue canadienne de science politique/Canadian Journal of Political Science (ci-après, la Revue) vous propose pour son cinquantième anniversaire trois textes publiés en français qui jettent un regard critique sur son passé et son avenir et qui retracent aussi, plus généralement, les enjeux inhérents à la production et à la diffusion de travaux en science politique dans la langue française. Nous vous proposons également t…
Turnout and presidential coattails in congressional elections
A Comprehensive Dataset of Four Provincial Legislative Assembly Members
This research note reports on a new dataset about legislators in four Canadian provinces since the establishment of their colonial assemblies in the eighteenth century. Over 7,000 legislators from Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia are included, with consolidated information drawn from multiple sources about parliamentarians’ years of birth and death, religion, electoral performance, kinship, and several other biographical indicators…
Parliamentary Debates in Canada (1901–2015)
This article analyzes the effect of procedural rule change on the dynamics of parliamentary speeches in the Canadian House of Commons between 1901 and 2015. During this period, several new rules were introduced to reduce the opportunities for private members to speak during the debates so that the government could get its business done within an acceptable amount of time. Our analysis looks at the impact of these rule changes on the content and o…
Le sentiment de menace identitaire au Québec
La question identitaire s’est imposée dans la vie politique québécoise depuis le début des années 2000 en réaction à l’augmentation du nombre d’immigrants dans la province ainsi qu’aux statistiques montrant un déclin du français au Québec. Ces débats semblent avoir mené à l’émergence d’un nouveau clivage politique s’articulant autour de la gestion de la diversité. Nous avançons que l’influence de ce clivage s’explique par la théorie de la menace …
French legislative voting in the Fifth Republic
Forecasting Canadian Federal Elections
In recent decades, the scientific forecasting of election outcomes has made great strides in a number of advanced industrial democracies. One country that has not received much attention to date is Canada. In this article, we present a vote function model to forecast Canadian federal elections. We explain our model's theoretical underpinnings and assess its statistical properties and forecasting capabilities against all federal elections held bet…
How Sophisticated Can a Voter Be to Make Causal Attributions? A Response to Gomez and Wilson's Comment
The authors present a response to Gomez and Wilson's comments related to their article “Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment,” published in this issue of Political Research Quarterly
La dimension régionale du vote économique canadien aux élections fédérales de 1988 à 2000
Recent works on economic voting have shown that the economy's impact on electoral behaviour could sometimes be mediated by differences in political conditions. This article specifies and tests the mediating role of one such factor, namely regionalism, on economic voting in Canada. The potential effect of two structural factors is tested: the regional configuration of the federal party system (clarity of available alternatives), and the regional s…
Class, Party, and South/Non-South Differences: An Update
This article examines the past 50 years to update an analysis of the relationship between income and partisanship. Earlier, Nadeau and Stanley noted that therewas a change in partisanship in the South from inverse class polarization, in which higher income individuals more often identified with the Democratic Party, to normal class polarization, but the permanence of the shiftwas open to question. Now, with a longer time perspective and even grea…
How Sophisticated Can a Voter Be to Make Causal Attributions? A Response to Gomez and Wilson's Comment
The authors present a response to Gomez and Wilson's comments related to their article “Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment,” published in this issue of Political Research Quarterly
Economic Voting and Political Sophistication in the United States: A Reassessment
The authors propose a reexamination of the conditioning effect of political sophistication on economic voting in U.S. presidential elections. Replicating Gomez and Wilson's (2001) analysis with survey data from the past five American presidential elections (1988—2004), they show that low sophisticates strictly rely on sociotropic economic judgments in their intention to support the incumbent party's candidate. For their part, high sophisticates a…
Forecasting Canadian Federal Elections
In recent decades, the scientific forecasting of election outcomes has made great strides in a number of advanced industrial democracies. One country that has not received much attention to date is Canada. In this article, we present a vote function model to forecast Canadian federal elections. We explain our model's theoretical underpinnings and assess its statistical properties and forecasting capabilities against all federal elections held bet…
Coalition voting and minority governments in Canada
Inter-party voting coalitions in three minority cabinets were analysed: the 38th (2004–05), 39th (2006–08) and 40th (2008–11) Federal Canadian Parliaments. The paper begins by developing a simple theory to explain the formation of voting coalitions. The theory predicts that electoral incentives and policy issues drive minority government support. The main contention is that voting coalitions are more likely to form along ideological lines, as pro…
Legislative Voting in the Canadian Parliament
We analyze legislative voting in the 35th (1994–1997), 38th (2004–2005), and 39th (2006–2008) Canadian Parliaments. Using Poole's (2005) optimal classification algorithm, we locate MPs and their parties in a two-dimensional geometric model. The first dimension represents the division between governing and opposition parties that has been found in similar parliamentary systems. The second dimension captures the opposition between the Bloc Québécoi…
French legislative voting in the Fifth Republic
Turnout and presidential coattails in congressional elections
The Emergence of Parties in the Canadian House of Commons (1867–1908)
This study analyses legislative voting in the first ten Canadian Parliaments (1867–1908). The results demonstrate that party unity in the House of Commons dramatically increased over time. From the comparative literature on legislative organization, we identify three factors to explain this trend: partisan sorting, electoral incentives and negative agenda control. Our empirical analysis shows that intraparty conflict is primarily explained by the…
Le développement des partis politiques au Bas-Canada (1791-1840)
Cette étude s’intéresse à la formation des partis politiques et à l’origine de la cohésion partisane à la Chambre d’Assemblée du Bas-Canada entre 1791 et 1840. Pour ce faire, elle présente une analyse systématique de tous les votes tenus en Chambre en utilisant différents indices de loyauté. L’analyse cherche à évaluer les deux principales thèses qui ont été avancées pour expliquer le développement des partis politiques au Bas-Canada, soit les di…
Party development in the early decades of the Australian parliament: A New Perspective
This study offers a new perspective on the development of political parties in the Australian House of Representatives. We analyse a data set of 3060 legislative votes to estimate how parties influenced the behaviour of 287 legislators who served in the first 12 parliaments (1901-31). We show that the socialisation of members and cohort replacement effects, as well as a decline in private member business and committee votes, explain why partisans…
Les cinquante ans de la Revue canadienne de science politique: Le bilinguisme en déclin
L'équipe éditoriale de la Revue canadienne de science politique/Canadian Journal of Political Science (ci-après, la Revue) vous propose pour son cinquantième anniversaire trois textes publiés en français qui jettent un regard critique sur son passé et son avenir et qui retracent aussi, plus généralement, les enjeux inhérents à la production et à la diffusion de travaux en science politique dans la langue française. Nous vous proposons également t…
Unity in Diversity? The Development of Political Parties in the Parliament of Canada, 1867–2011
What explains the development of legislative party voting unity? Evidence from the United States and Britain indicate that partisan sorting, cohort replacement effects, electoral incentives, and agenda control contributed to enhancing party cohesion during the nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Here, these mechanisms are evaluated by analysing a dataset containing all the recorded votes from the Canadian House of Commons, 1867–2011. Overall, we …
About time: Age, period, and cohort effects on support for Quebec sovereignty
Can age, period and cohort effects help explain support for Quebec sovereignty? Previous work on this question has focused mostly on the effects of age and cohort. We contribute to this debate by adding a period perspective. As such, our study is the first to investigate the impact of age, cohort and period effects in a single study of opinion towards sovereignty in Quebec. We take advantage of an original dataset that includes survey data collec…
Parliamentary Debates in Canada (1901–2015)
This article analyzes the effect of procedural rule change on the dynamics of parliamentary speeches in the Canadian House of Commons between 1901 and 2015. During this period, several new rules were introduced to reduce the opportunities for private members to speak during the debates so that the government could get its business done within an acceptable amount of time. Our analysis looks at the impact of these rule changes on the content and o…
Birds of a Feather? Loyalty and Partisanship in the Reformed Canadian Senate
Since 2015, the Canadian Senate has undergone a series of reforms designed to make it more independent, ideologically diverse, and active in the legislative process. We use loyalty scores and vote scaling algorithms to situate the voting behaviour of senators, focusing primarily on the 41st and 42nd Parliaments (2011–2019), the period just before and after the changes, respectively. We find that the reforms have led to a loosening of party discip…
The Automatic Analysis of Emotion in Political Speech Based on Transcripts
Automatic sentiment analysis is used extensively in political science. The digitization of legislative transcripts has increased the potential application of established tools for the automated analyses of emotion in text. Unlike in writing, however, expressing emotion in speech involves intonation, facial expressions, and body language. Drawing on a new dataset of annotated texts and videos from the Canadian House of Commons, this paper does thr…
A Comprehensive Dataset of Four Provincial Legislative Assembly Members
This research note reports on a new dataset about legislators in four Canadian provinces since the establishment of their colonial assemblies in the eighteenth century. Over 7,000 legislators from Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia are included, with consolidated information drawn from multiple sources about parliamentarians’ years of birth and death, religion, electoral performance, kinship, and several other biographical indicators…
Le sentiment de menace identitaire au Québec
La question identitaire s’est imposée dans la vie politique québécoise depuis le début des années 2000 en réaction à l’augmentation du nombre d’immigrants dans la province ainsi qu’aux statistiques montrant un déclin du français au Québec. Ces débats semblent avoir mené à l’émergence d’un nouveau clivage politique s’articulant autour de la gestion de la diversité. Nous avançons que l’influence de ce clivage s’explique par la théorie de la menace …
Political Dynasties in Canada
Using a unique dataset of legislators' electoral and biographical data in the Canadian provinces of Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia and the federal parliament, this article analyses the extent to which family dynasties affected the career development of legislators since the mid-18th century. We find that the prevalence of dynasties was higher in provincial legislatures than it was in the federal parliament, that the number of dynasti…
Political science (20 works) · Politics (18 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (16 works) · Law (15 works) · Law (13 works) · Political economy (11 works) · Economics (10 works) · Voting (10 works) · Public Administration (9 works) · Sociology (9 works)