D J G Farlie
Biographic Data
| ID | 4371749 |
|---|---|
| NAME | D J G Farlie |
| GIVEN NAMES | D J G |
| FAMILY NAME | Farlie |
| SIGNATURE | FARLIE D J G |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Essex |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 11 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 27 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 11 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1975 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1985 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Predicting Presidential Elections: A Review Essay
Shifts of meaning within explanations of voting and party competition
Predicting Parliamentary Careers: A Quantitative Index Generated and Tested with Dutch Data
Voting and Party Competition, a Theoretical Critique & Synthesis Applied to Surveys from Ten Democracies
Social Background vs. Motivational Determinants of Legislative Careers in the Netherlands
Eleven social background and eleven motivational variables are compared for their ability to explain the careers of 141 members of the Dutch Parliament elected in 1968. MPs are classified into groups of stayers, dropouts, and successfuls who advanced to higher positions. The method of analysis uses Bayes' Theorem to compare the probability of correctly classifying MPs on the basis of each variable, and the information value of each variable is th…
Party Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition
The Potentiality of Dimensional Analyses for Explaining Voting and Party Competition [1]
Our review and evaluation focus on the theoretical adequacy of spatial representations of voting and party competition based on survey data. Key assumptions underlying discussion are: (1) voting cannot be properly explained without regard to party competition and vice versa; (2) the type of input crucially determines the nature of the space produced; (3) there is a basic and far‐reaching distinction between pure policy‐spaces with untrammelled pa…
Newtonian Mechanics and Predictive Election Theory
Analyses of elections, whether academic or journalistic, are permeated by terms drawn from physics. We discuss the inertia or volatility of an electorate, the momentum of a campaign, pressures and cross-pressures, party actions and reactions, the impact of short-term forces. Although imprecise, these borrowings convey genuine information about the characteristics of an election, and they would be difficult to replace
Political Recruitment and Drop-Out: The Netherlands and the United States
The analysis described below forms an extension to the Netherlands and the United States of research on British political recruitment that has already been reported in this Journal. The object of the research is to make quantitative estimates of the influence of personal characteristics in pushing the socially better endowed into active politics, and particularly to measure the extent to which advantages on some characteristics make up for disadv…
A Rejoinder
Whiteley's comment presents a ‘full’ Bayesian argument for the identification of councillors. A Bayesian analysis is a procedure by which an individual can make coherent judgements between hypotheses in terms of conceptual gambles. It is important to recognize that the coherence is between the individual's prior and posterior beliefs when presented with evidence and is not to be interpreted as the agreement between the decision and the correct de…
Political Recruitment and Dropout: Predictive Success of Background Characteristics Over Five British Localities
In this analysis we have used a procedure based on estimating likelihoods, from background characteristics, of someone's - or something's - belonging in some category of a dependent variable. We have tried to demonstrate the applicability of this procedure to the specific task of distinguishing activists from ordinary electors in five divergent British localities, with a view to its general use in the prediction and description of initial partici…
The Potentiality of Dimensional Analyses for Explaining Voting and Party Competition [1]
Our review and evaluation focus on the theoretical adequacy of spatial representations of voting and party competition based on survey data. Key assumptions underlying discussion are: (1) voting cannot be properly explained without regard to party competition and vice versa; (2) the type of input crucially determines the nature of the space produced; (3) there is a basic and far‐reaching distinction between pure policy‐spaces with untrammelled pa…
Political Recruitment and Dropout: Predictive Success of Background Characteristics Over Five British Localities
In this analysis we have used a procedure based on estimating likelihoods, from background characteristics, of someone's - or something's - belonging in some category of a dependent variable. We have tried to demonstrate the applicability of this procedure to the specific task of distinguishing activists from ordinary electors in five divergent British localities, with a view to its general use in the prediction and description of initial partici…
Newtonian Mechanics and Predictive Election Theory
Analyses of elections, whether academic or journalistic, are permeated by terms drawn from physics. We discuss the inertia or volatility of an electorate, the momentum of a campaign, pressures and cross-pressures, party actions and reactions, the impact of short-term forces. Although imprecise, these borrowings convey genuine information about the characteristics of an election, and they would be difficult to replace
Social Background vs. Motivational Determinants of Legislative Careers in the Netherlands
Eleven social background and eleven motivational variables are compared for their ability to explain the careers of 141 members of the Dutch Parliament elected in 1968. MPs are classified into groups of stayers, dropouts, and successfuls who advanced to higher positions. The method of analysis uses Bayes' Theorem to compare the probability of correctly classifying MPs on the basis of each variable, and the information value of each variable is th…
Shifts of meaning within explanations of voting and party competition
Predicting Parliamentary Careers: A Quantitative Index Generated and Tested with Dutch Data
Political Recruitment and Drop-Out: The Netherlands and the United States
The analysis described below forms an extension to the Netherlands and the United States of research on British political recruitment that has already been reported in this Journal. The object of the research is to make quantitative estimates of the influence of personal characteristics in pushing the socially better endowed into active politics, and particularly to measure the extent to which advantages on some characteristics make up for disadv…
Political Recruitment and Dropout: Predictive Success of Background Characteristics Over Five British Localities
In this analysis we have used a procedure based on estimating likelihoods, from background characteristics, of someone's - or something's - belonging in some category of a dependent variable. We have tried to demonstrate the applicability of this procedure to the specific task of distinguishing activists from ordinary electors in five divergent British localities, with a view to its general use in the prediction and description of initial partici…
A Rejoinder
Whiteley's comment presents a ‘full’ Bayesian argument for the identification of councillors. A Bayesian analysis is a procedure by which an individual can make coherent judgements between hypotheses in terms of conceptual gambles. It is important to recognize that the coherence is between the individual's prior and posterior beliefs when presented with evidence and is not to be interpreted as the agreement between the decision and the correct de…
Newtonian Mechanics and Predictive Election Theory
Analyses of elections, whether academic or journalistic, are permeated by terms drawn from physics. We discuss the inertia or volatility of an electorate, the momentum of a campaign, pressures and cross-pressures, party actions and reactions, the impact of short-term forces. Although imprecise, these borrowings convey genuine information about the characteristics of an election, and they would be difficult to replace
Political Recruitment and Drop-Out: The Netherlands and the United States
The analysis described below forms an extension to the Netherlands and the United States of research on British political recruitment that has already been reported in this Journal. The object of the research is to make quantitative estimates of the influence of personal characteristics in pushing the socially better endowed into active politics, and particularly to measure the extent to which advantages on some characteristics make up for disadv…
Party Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition
The Potentiality of Dimensional Analyses for Explaining Voting and Party Competition [1]
Our review and evaluation focus on the theoretical adequacy of spatial representations of voting and party competition based on survey data. Key assumptions underlying discussion are: (1) voting cannot be properly explained without regard to party competition and vice versa; (2) the type of input crucially determines the nature of the space produced; (3) there is a basic and far‐reaching distinction between pure policy‐spaces with untrammelled pa…
Voting and Party Competition, a Theoretical Critique & Synthesis Applied to Surveys from Ten Democracies
Social Background vs. Motivational Determinants of Legislative Careers in the Netherlands
Eleven social background and eleven motivational variables are compared for their ability to explain the careers of 141 members of the Dutch Parliament elected in 1968. MPs are classified into groups of stayers, dropouts, and successfuls who advanced to higher positions. The method of analysis uses Bayes' Theorem to compare the probability of correctly classifying MPs on the basis of each variable, and the information value of each variable is th…
Predicting Parliamentary Careers: A Quantitative Index Generated and Tested with Dutch Data
Shifts of meaning within explanations of voting and party competition
Predicting Presidential Elections: A Review Essay
Political science (11 works) · Law (10 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (8 works) · Law (8 works) · Politics (8 works) · Economics (7 works) · Computer Science (5 works) · Econometrics (4 works) · Voting (4 works) · Competition (biology (3 works)