Trent Ollerenshaw
Biographic Data
| ID | 4393903 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Trent Ollerenshaw |
| GIVEN NAMES | Trent |
| FAMILY NAME | Ollerenshaw |
| SIGNATURE | OLLERENSHAW T |
| AFFILIATIONS | Duke University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-3486-0864 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 10 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 31 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 10 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research
We re-examine recent influential claims that repeated measure experimental designs offer large precision gains without biasing treatment effect estimates in survey research. We test these claims by experimentally varying the design of six classic political science experiments across three distinct large samples of U.S. adults (total $ N=\mathrm{13,163} $ ). In contrast to prior evidence, we observe consistent attenuation of treatment effects in r…
Americans’ Responses to Covid-19 and the Conditional Role of Dispositional Needs for Security: A Replication and Extension
A predominant theory in political psychology proposes that the political right is more threat sensitive than the political left due to differences in needs for security. Yet, in a prototypical case study of the threat-politics link, Americans’ responses to COVID-19 deviated from this expectation. In this research note, we demonstrate that this phenomenon can be understood by accounting for the role of partisan sorting and political engagement in …
The Heterogeneous Associations of Rural Consciousness and Political Preferences
Observable Bounds of Rationality and Credibility in International Relations
In crisis bargaining scenarios, resolved states send costly signals to demonstrate a willingness to fight. Yet, public signals of resolve are issued by specific leaders, who operate with cognitive limitations in challenging decision environments. Drawing upon theories of behavioral economics, we develop a series of observable indicators plausibly connected to leader ability and difficulty of decision environment that we expect shape perceived sig…
Affective polarization and the destabilization of core political values
Analyses of US panel surveys from 1992 to 1996 have found extremity in political values was associated with increased affective polarization, but that affective polarization was not associated with changes in value extremity during this period (Enders and Lupton, 2021). This note reevaluates the relationships between political value extremity and affective polarization using a 2016–2020 panel survey. Replicating Enders and Lupton's analytical pro…
The Conditional Effects of Authoritarianism on Covid-19 Pandemic Health Behaviors and Policy Preferences
Authoritarianism and support for Trump and Clinton in the 2016 primaries
Research in the wake of the contentious 2016 presidential primaries contends both Democrats and Republicans were internally divided along psychological lines. Specifically, MacWilliams (2016) finds authoritarian personality was strongly related to Trump support among Republican primary voters, and Wronski et al. (2018) finds authoritarianism was strongly related to Clinton support among Democratic primary voters. In this paper, I reassess the rel…
The Asymmetric Polarization of Immigration Opinion in the United States
In this paper, we analyze trends in Americans’ immigration attitudes and policy preferences nationally and across partisan and racial/ethnic groups. In the 1990s and early 2000s, Democrats and Republicans shared similarly negative attitudes toward immigrants and high levels of support for restrictionist immigration policies. Beginning in the 2010s and continuing through the early 2020s, however, Democrats’ aggregate immigration opinions liberaliz…
The Polls—Trends
Public opinion research has long demonstrated that white Americans are generally resistant to racially egalitarian policies. Using decades of national public opinion data, we re-examine opinion on race policy in the wake of considerable polarization and shifts in racial attitudes across white partisans. We find that white Democrats have in recent years shown both increasingly liberal racial attitudes and a marked increase in support for policies …
The Conditional Relationship of Psychological Needs to Ideology
We offer novel tests of hypotheses regarding the conditional relationship of psychological needs to political ideology. Using five personality measures and a large national sample, our findings affirm that political engagement plays an important moderating role in the relationship between needs for certainty and security and political identification, values, and policy preferences. We find that needs for certainty and security are strongly associ…
The Asymmetric Polarization of Immigration Opinion in the United States
In this paper, we analyze trends in Americans’ immigration attitudes and policy preferences nationally and across partisan and racial/ethnic groups. In the 1990s and early 2000s, Democrats and Republicans shared similarly negative attitudes toward immigrants and high levels of support for restrictionist immigration policies. Beginning in the 2010s and continuing through the early 2020s, however, Democrats’ aggregate immigration opinions liberaliz…
The Conditional Relationship of Psychological Needs to Ideology
We offer novel tests of hypotheses regarding the conditional relationship of psychological needs to political ideology. Using five personality measures and a large national sample, our findings affirm that political engagement plays an important moderating role in the relationship between needs for certainty and security and political identification, values, and policy preferences. We find that needs for certainty and security are strongly associ…
The Conditional Effects of Authoritarianism on Covid-19 Pandemic Health Behaviors and Policy Preferences
Observable Bounds of Rationality and Credibility in International Relations
In crisis bargaining scenarios, resolved states send costly signals to demonstrate a willingness to fight. Yet, public signals of resolve are issued by specific leaders, who operate with cognitive limitations in challenging decision environments. Drawing upon theories of behavioral economics, we develop a series of observable indicators plausibly connected to leader ability and difficulty of decision environment that we expect shape perceived sig…
Affective polarization and the destabilization of core political values
Analyses of US panel surveys from 1992 to 1996 have found extremity in political values was associated with increased affective polarization, but that affective polarization was not associated with changes in value extremity during this period (Enders and Lupton, 2021). This note reevaluates the relationships between political value extremity and affective polarization using a 2016–2020 panel survey. Replicating Enders and Lupton's analytical pro…
Authoritarianism and support for Trump and Clinton in the 2016 primaries
Research in the wake of the contentious 2016 presidential primaries contends both Democrats and Republicans were internally divided along psychological lines. Specifically, MacWilliams (2016) finds authoritarian personality was strongly related to Trump support among Republican primary voters, and Wronski et al. (2018) finds authoritarianism was strongly related to Clinton support among Democratic primary voters. In this paper, I reassess the rel…
The Polls—Trends
Public opinion research has long demonstrated that white Americans are generally resistant to racially egalitarian policies. Using decades of national public opinion data, we re-examine opinion on race policy in the wake of considerable polarization and shifts in racial attitudes across white partisans. We find that white Democrats have in recent years shown both increasingly liberal racial attitudes and a marked increase in support for policies …
The Conditional Relationship of Psychological Needs to Ideology
We offer novel tests of hypotheses regarding the conditional relationship of psychological needs to political ideology. Using five personality measures and a large national sample, our findings affirm that political engagement plays an important moderating role in the relationship between needs for certainty and security and political identification, values, and policy preferences. We find that needs for certainty and security are strongly associ…
Authoritarianism and support for Trump and Clinton in the 2016 primaries
Research in the wake of the contentious 2016 presidential primaries contends both Democrats and Republicans were internally divided along psychological lines. Specifically, MacWilliams (2016) finds authoritarian personality was strongly related to Trump support among Republican primary voters, and Wronski et al. (2018) finds authoritarianism was strongly related to Clinton support among Democratic primary voters. In this paper, I reassess the rel…
The Asymmetric Polarization of Immigration Opinion in the United States
In this paper, we analyze trends in Americans’ immigration attitudes and policy preferences nationally and across partisan and racial/ethnic groups. In the 1990s and early 2000s, Democrats and Republicans shared similarly negative attitudes toward immigrants and high levels of support for restrictionist immigration policies. Beginning in the 2010s and continuing through the early 2020s, however, Democrats’ aggregate immigration opinions liberaliz…
The Conditional Effects of Authoritarianism on Covid-19 Pandemic Health Behaviors and Policy Preferences
Observable Bounds of Rationality and Credibility in International Relations
In crisis bargaining scenarios, resolved states send costly signals to demonstrate a willingness to fight. Yet, public signals of resolve are issued by specific leaders, who operate with cognitive limitations in challenging decision environments. Drawing upon theories of behavioral economics, we develop a series of observable indicators plausibly connected to leader ability and difficulty of decision environment that we expect shape perceived sig…
Affective polarization and the destabilization of core political values
Analyses of US panel surveys from 1992 to 1996 have found extremity in political values was associated with increased affective polarization, but that affective polarization was not associated with changes in value extremity during this period (Enders and Lupton, 2021). This note reevaluates the relationships between political value extremity and affective polarization using a 2016–2020 panel survey. Replicating Enders and Lupton's analytical pro…
New Evidence and Design Considerations for Repeated Measure Experiments in Survey Research
We re-examine recent influential claims that repeated measure experimental designs offer large precision gains without biasing treatment effect estimates in survey research. We test these claims by experimentally varying the design of six classic political science experiments across three distinct large samples of U.S. adults (total $ N=\mathrm{13,163} $ ). In contrast to prior evidence, we observe consistent attenuation of treatment effects in r…
Americans’ Responses to Covid-19 and the Conditional Role of Dispositional Needs for Security: A Replication and Extension
A predominant theory in political psychology proposes that the political right is more threat sensitive than the political left due to differences in needs for security. Yet, in a prototypical case study of the threat-politics link, Americans’ responses to COVID-19 deviated from this expectation. In this research note, we demonstrate that this phenomenon can be understood by accounting for the role of partisan sorting and political engagement in …
The Heterogeneous Associations of Rural Consciousness and Political Preferences
Politics (8 works) · Political science (7 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (6 works) · Law (6 works) · Law (5 works) · Social and Intergroup Psychology (5 works) · Psychology (4 works) · Sociology (4 works) · Economics (3 works) · Political economy (3 works)