Hansjörg Neth
Biographic Data
| ID | 4410117 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Hansjörg Neth |
| GIVEN NAMES | Hansjörg |
| FAMILY NAME | Neth |
| SIGNATURE | NETH H |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Konstanz |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-5427-3141 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 2 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 1 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 2 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2015 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2017 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Warum erfolgreiche Prognosen einfach und unsicher sind
Heuristics
We distinguish between situations of risk , where all options, consequences, and probabilities are known, and situations of uncertainty , where they are not. Probability theory and statistics are the best tools for deciding under risk but not under uncertainty, which characterizes most relevant problems that humans have to solve. Uncertainty requires simple heuristics that are robust rather than optimal. We propose to think of the mind as an adap…
Heuristics
We distinguish between situations of risk , where all options, consequences, and probabilities are known, and situations of uncertainty , where they are not. Probability theory and statistics are the best tools for deciding under risk but not under uncertainty, which characterizes most relevant problems that humans have to solve. Uncertainty requires simple heuristics that are robust rather than optimal. We propose to think of the mind as an adap…
Warum erfolgreiche Prognosen einfach und unsicher sind
Art (1 works) · Artificial Intelligence (1 works) · Biomedical Text Mining and Ontologies (1 works) · Child and Animal Learning Development (1 works) · Class (philosophy) (1 works) · Computer Science (1 works) · Data science (1 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (1 works) · Epistemology (1 works) · Exploit (1 works)