Juan Moreno‐cruz
Biographic Data
| ID | 4462445 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Juan Moreno‐cruz |
| GIVEN NAMES | Juan |
| FAMILY NAME | Moreno‐cruz |
| SIGNATURE | CRUZ J M |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Waterloo |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-3707-142X |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 25 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 18 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2013 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Watts and bots
Rapid expansion of Artificial Intelligence is expected to drive proportional expansion of economic activity through productivity gains–potentially leading to higher energy consumption and associated environmental impacts, including increased carbon dioxide emissions. We combine data on economic activity with early estimates of likely adoption of AI across occupations and industries to quantify the potential change in energy use and carbon dioxide…
Climate benefits of afforestation and reforestation with varying species mixtures and densities in the north-western boreal lands
The boreal forest is a vital carbon sink. Using 250 year simulations for Canada’s Taiga Plains, a priority of the 2 billion trees program, we tested afforestation and reforestation (A/R) strategies that combine species mix, planting density and surface albedo. Medium-density (600–1400 trees ha −1 ) mixed stands with ∼25%–40% deciduous trees stored 15%–30% more net ecosystem carbon than conifer monocultures by coupling rapid early growth with long…
The role of care in creating narratives for sustainability
Toward an evidence‐informed, responsible, and inclusive debate on solar geoengineering
A prominent recent perspective article in this journal and accompanying open letter propose a broad international “non‐use agreement” (NUA) on activities related to solar geoengineering (SG). The NUA calls on governments to renounce large‐scale use of SG, and also to refuse to fund SG research, ban outdoor experiments, decline to grant IP rights, and reject discussions of SG in international organizations. We argue that such pre‐emptive rejection…
The value of reducing the Green Premium
Carbon-emitting technologies often cost less than carbon-emission-free alternatives; this difference in cost is known as the Green Premium. Innovations that decrease the Green Premium contribute to achieving climate goals, but a conceptual framework to quantify that contribution has been lacking. Here, we devise a framework to translate reductions in the Green Premium into equivalent reductions in carbon emissions. We introduce a new integrated a…
Food without agriculture
Efforts to make food systems more sustainable have emphasized reducing adverse environmental impacts of agriculture. In contrast, chemical and biological processes that could produce food without agriculture have received comparatively little attention or resources. Although there is a possibility that someday a wide array of attractive foods could be produced chemosynthetically, here we show that dietary fats could be synthesized with 1.5 g CO 2…
Climate cooperation in the shadow of solar geoengineering
As international efforts to mitigate greenhouse gases continue to fall short of global targets, the scientific community increasingly debates the role of solar geoengineering in climate policy. Given the infancy of these technologies, the debate is not yet whether to deploy solar geoengineering but whether solar geoengineering deserves consideration and research funding. Looming large over this discussion is the moral hazard conjecture – normaliz…
Governance of working landscapes
From fAIrplay to climate wars
Pereira, L. M., D. R. Morrow, V. Aquila, B. Beckage, S. Beckbesinger, L. Beukes, H. J. Buck, C. J. Carlson, O. Geden, A. P. Jones, D. P. Keller, K. J. Mach, M. Mashigo, J. B. Moreno-Cruz, D. Visioni, S. Nicholson, and C. H. Trisos. 2021. From fAIrplay to climate wars: making climate change scenarios more dynamic, creative, and integrative. Ecology and Society 26(4):30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12856-260430
Balancing climate and development goals
Decarbonizing the energy system is a major challenge facing the richest countries, whereas provision of energy services is a major challenge facing the poorest countries. What would be the climate consequences if only richer countries focus on decarbonization, and only poorer countries focus on provision of energy services? To address this question, we create future scenarios in which carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions increase according to a histo…
Do Pilot and Demonstration Projects Work? Evidence from a Green Building Program
Pilot and demonstration (P&D) projects are commonly deployed to catalyze early adoption of technology but are poorly understood in terms of mechanism and impact. We conceptually distinguish unique functions of pilots and demonstrations, then examine whether they accelerate adoption in the case of green building technology. To identify effects on adoption, we develop a difference‐in‐difference‐in‐differences strategy, exploiting variation in timin…
The impact of climate change on fertility
We examine the potential for climate change to impact fertility via adaptations in human behavior. We start by discussing a wide range of economic channels through which climate change might impact fertility, including sectoral reallocation, the gender wage gap, longevity, and child mortality. Then, we build a quantitative model that combines standard economic-demographic theory with existing estimates of the economic consequences of climate chan…
Maize and precolonial Africa
Columbus's arrival in the New World triggered an unprecedented movement of people and crops across the Atlantic Ocean. We study a largely overlooked part of this Columbian Exchange: the effects of New World crops in Africa. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that the introduction of maize increased population density and slave exports in precolonial Africa. We find robust empirical support for these predictions. We also find little evidence to …
Maize and Precolonial Africa
Challenges and Opportunities for Integrated Modeling of Climate Engineering
Will the use of a carbon tax for revenue generation produce an incentive to continue carbon emissions
Integrated assessment models are commonly used to generate optimal carbon prices based on an objective function that maximizes social welfare. Such models typically project an initially low carbon price that increases with time. This framework does not reflect the incentives of decision makers who are responsible for generating tax revenue. If a rising carbon price is to result in near-zero emissions, it must ultimately result in near-zero carbon…
Adapting to rates versus amounts of climate change
Adaptation is the process of adjusting to climate change in order to moderate harm or exploit beneficial opportunities associated with it. Most adaptation strategies are designed to adjust to a new climate state. However, despite our best efforts to curtail greenhouse gas emissions, climate is likely to continue changing far into the future. Here, we show how considering rates of change affects the projected optimal adaptation strategy. We ground…
Strategic incentives for climate geoengineering coalitions to exclude broad participation
Solar geoengineering is the deliberate reduction in the absorption of incoming solar radiation by the Earth’s climate system with the aim of reducing impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Climate model simulations project a diversity of regional outcomes that vary with the amount of solar geoengineering deployed. It is unlikely that a single small actor could implement and sustain global-scale geoengineering that harms much of the world withou…
Maize and precolonial Africa
Columbus's arrival in the New World triggered an unprecedented movement of people and crops across the Atlantic Ocean. We study a largely overlooked part of this Columbian Exchange: the effects of New World crops in Africa. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that the introduction of maize increased population density and slave exports in precolonial Africa. We find robust empirical support for these predictions. We also find little evidence to …
Do Pilot and Demonstration Projects Work? Evidence from a Green Building Program
Pilot and demonstration (P&D) projects are commonly deployed to catalyze early adoption of technology but are poorly understood in terms of mechanism and impact. We conceptually distinguish unique functions of pilots and demonstrations, then examine whether they accelerate adoption in the case of green building technology. To identify effects on adoption, we develop a difference‐in‐difference‐in‐differences strategy, exploiting variation in timin…
Toward an evidence‐informed, responsible, and inclusive debate on solar geoengineering
A prominent recent perspective article in this journal and accompanying open letter propose a broad international “non‐use agreement” (NUA) on activities related to solar geoengineering (SG). The NUA calls on governments to renounce large‐scale use of SG, and also to refuse to fund SG research, ban outdoor experiments, decline to grant IP rights, and reject discussions of SG in international organizations. We argue that such pre‐emptive rejection…
From fAIrplay to climate wars
Pereira, L. M., D. R. Morrow, V. Aquila, B. Beckage, S. Beckbesinger, L. Beukes, H. J. Buck, C. J. Carlson, O. Geden, A. P. Jones, D. P. Keller, K. J. Mach, M. Mashigo, J. B. Moreno-Cruz, D. Visioni, S. Nicholson, and C. H. Trisos. 2021. From fAIrplay to climate wars: making climate change scenarios more dynamic, creative, and integrative. Ecology and Society 26(4):30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12856-260430
Climate cooperation in the shadow of solar geoengineering
As international efforts to mitigate greenhouse gases continue to fall short of global targets, the scientific community increasingly debates the role of solar geoengineering in climate policy. Given the infancy of these technologies, the debate is not yet whether to deploy solar geoengineering but whether solar geoengineering deserves consideration and research funding. Looming large over this discussion is the moral hazard conjecture – normaliz…
Governance of working landscapes
Food without agriculture
Efforts to make food systems more sustainable have emphasized reducing adverse environmental impacts of agriculture. In contrast, chemical and biological processes that could produce food without agriculture have received comparatively little attention or resources. Although there is a possibility that someday a wide array of attractive foods could be produced chemosynthetically, here we show that dietary fats could be synthesized with 1.5 g CO 2…
Strategic incentives for climate geoengineering coalitions to exclude broad participation
Solar geoengineering is the deliberate reduction in the absorption of incoming solar radiation by the Earth’s climate system with the aim of reducing impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Climate model simulations project a diversity of regional outcomes that vary with the amount of solar geoengineering deployed. It is unlikely that a single small actor could implement and sustain global-scale geoengineering that harms much of the world withou…
Adapting to rates versus amounts of climate change
Adaptation is the process of adjusting to climate change in order to moderate harm or exploit beneficial opportunities associated with it. Most adaptation strategies are designed to adjust to a new climate state. However, despite our best efforts to curtail greenhouse gas emissions, climate is likely to continue changing far into the future. Here, we show how considering rates of change affects the projected optimal adaptation strategy. We ground…
Challenges and Opportunities for Integrated Modeling of Climate Engineering
Will the use of a carbon tax for revenue generation produce an incentive to continue carbon emissions
Integrated assessment models are commonly used to generate optimal carbon prices based on an objective function that maximizes social welfare. Such models typically project an initially low carbon price that increases with time. This framework does not reflect the incentives of decision makers who are responsible for generating tax revenue. If a rising carbon price is to result in near-zero emissions, it must ultimately result in near-zero carbon…
Maize and precolonial Africa
Columbus's arrival in the New World triggered an unprecedented movement of people and crops across the Atlantic Ocean. We study a largely overlooked part of this Columbian Exchange: the effects of New World crops in Africa. Specifically, we test the hypothesis that the introduction of maize increased population density and slave exports in precolonial Africa. We find robust empirical support for these predictions. We also find little evidence to …
Maize and Precolonial Africa
The impact of climate change on fertility
We examine the potential for climate change to impact fertility via adaptations in human behavior. We start by discussing a wide range of economic channels through which climate change might impact fertility, including sectoral reallocation, the gender wage gap, longevity, and child mortality. Then, we build a quantitative model that combines standard economic-demographic theory with existing estimates of the economic consequences of climate chan…
Balancing climate and development goals
Decarbonizing the energy system is a major challenge facing the richest countries, whereas provision of energy services is a major challenge facing the poorest countries. What would be the climate consequences if only richer countries focus on decarbonization, and only poorer countries focus on provision of energy services? To address this question, we create future scenarios in which carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions increase according to a histo…
Do Pilot and Demonstration Projects Work? Evidence from a Green Building Program
Pilot and demonstration (P&D) projects are commonly deployed to catalyze early adoption of technology but are poorly understood in terms of mechanism and impact. We conceptually distinguish unique functions of pilots and demonstrations, then examine whether they accelerate adoption in the case of green building technology. To identify effects on adoption, we develop a difference‐in‐difference‐in‐differences strategy, exploiting variation in timin…
From fAIrplay to climate wars
Pereira, L. M., D. R. Morrow, V. Aquila, B. Beckage, S. Beckbesinger, L. Beukes, H. J. Buck, C. J. Carlson, O. Geden, A. P. Jones, D. P. Keller, K. J. Mach, M. Mashigo, J. B. Moreno-Cruz, D. Visioni, S. Nicholson, and C. H. Trisos. 2021. From fAIrplay to climate wars: making climate change scenarios more dynamic, creative, and integrative. Ecology and Society 26(4):30. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-12856-260430
Governance of working landscapes
The value of reducing the Green Premium
Carbon-emitting technologies often cost less than carbon-emission-free alternatives; this difference in cost is known as the Green Premium. Innovations that decrease the Green Premium contribute to achieving climate goals, but a conceptual framework to quantify that contribution has been lacking. Here, we devise a framework to translate reductions in the Green Premium into equivalent reductions in carbon emissions. We introduce a new integrated a…
Food without agriculture
Efforts to make food systems more sustainable have emphasized reducing adverse environmental impacts of agriculture. In contrast, chemical and biological processes that could produce food without agriculture have received comparatively little attention or resources. Although there is a possibility that someday a wide array of attractive foods could be produced chemosynthetically, here we show that dietary fats could be synthesized with 1.5 g CO 2…
Climate cooperation in the shadow of solar geoengineering
As international efforts to mitigate greenhouse gases continue to fall short of global targets, the scientific community increasingly debates the role of solar geoengineering in climate policy. Given the infancy of these technologies, the debate is not yet whether to deploy solar geoengineering but whether solar geoengineering deserves consideration and research funding. Looming large over this discussion is the moral hazard conjecture – normaliz…
Toward an evidence‐informed, responsible, and inclusive debate on solar geoengineering
A prominent recent perspective article in this journal and accompanying open letter propose a broad international “non‐use agreement” (NUA) on activities related to solar geoengineering (SG). The NUA calls on governments to renounce large‐scale use of SG, and also to refuse to fund SG research, ban outdoor experiments, decline to grant IP rights, and reject discussions of SG in international organizations. We argue that such pre‐emptive rejection…
Watts and bots
Rapid expansion of Artificial Intelligence is expected to drive proportional expansion of economic activity through productivity gains–potentially leading to higher energy consumption and associated environmental impacts, including increased carbon dioxide emissions. We combine data on economic activity with early estimates of likely adoption of AI across occupations and industries to quantify the potential change in energy use and carbon dioxide…
Climate benefits of afforestation and reforestation with varying species mixtures and densities in the north-western boreal lands
The boreal forest is a vital carbon sink. Using 250 year simulations for Canada’s Taiga Plains, a priority of the 2 billion trees program, we tested afforestation and reforestation (A/R) strategies that combine species mix, planting density and surface albedo. Medium-density (600–1400 trees ha −1 ) mixed stands with ∼25%–40% deciduous trees stored 15%–30% more net ecosystem carbon than conifer monocultures by coupling rapid early growth with long…
The role of care in creating narratives for sustainability
Economics (13 works) · Business (9 works) · Climate change (9 works) · Geography (8 works) · Natural resource economics (8 works) · Ecology (7 works) · Environmental Science (7 works) · Greenhouse gas (7 works) · Climate Change Policy and Economics (6 works) · Environmental resource management (6 works)