Jonathan R W Temple
Biographic Data
| ID | 4629717 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Jonathan R W Temple |
| GIVEN NAMES | Jonathan R W |
| FAMILY NAME | Temple |
| SIGNATURE | TEMPLE J R W |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Hertfordshire |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-8916-691X |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 8 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 12 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 8 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1999 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
State capacity and growth regimes
Can high levels of state capacity be associated with greater resilience to slow growth and deepening output collapses? Using data for 108 developing countries over 1971–2016, we classify five-year periods using a two-dimensional state space based on growth regimes and levels of state capacity. We model transitions between them using a finite state Markov chain and then extend this to take political institutions into account. We find that higher s…
Have Autocrats Governed for the Long Term
The short answer is: probably not. We infer the priorities of national governments from observed outcomes, constructing a statistical proxy for long‐term benevolence. Using data between 1960 and 2019 for more than 100 countries, we show that, on average, democracies score more highly on our measure. We then investigate whether variation in long‐term benevolence can explain the ‘autocratic gamble’—the well‐known tendency for growth rates to vary m…
Political institutions and output collapses
Jeff E. Biddle, Progress Through Regression
Many economists invoke the term “Cobb-Douglas” frequently, while knowing little of its history. In 1927, Paul H. Douglas presented his results on an estimated production function in a paper at the American Economic Association annual meeting. This was joint work with the mathematician Charles W. Cobb. What became known as the Cobb-Douglas production function was not new—Knut Wicksell had previously suggested it—but its estimation using time-serie…
Dynamic aid allocation
This paper introduces a framework for studying the optimal dynamic allocation of foreign aid among multiple recipients. We pose the problem as one of weighted global welfare maximization. A donor in the North chooses an optimal path for international transfers, anticipating that consumption and investment decisions will be made by optimizing households in the South, and accounting for limits in the extent to which recipients can effectively absor…
The geography of output volatility
Chapter 8 Growth Econometrics
The New Growth Evidence
Why do growth rates differ? This paper surveys the recent empirical literature on economic growth, starting with a discussion of stylized facts, data problems, and statistical methods. Six research questions are emphasized, drawing on growth and convergence research. In answering these questions, the paper argues that efficiency has grown at different rates across countries, casting doubt on neoclassical models in which technology is a public goo…
The geography of output volatility
Have Autocrats Governed for the Long Term
The short answer is: probably not. We infer the priorities of national governments from observed outcomes, constructing a statistical proxy for long‐term benevolence. Using data between 1960 and 2019 for more than 100 countries, we show that, on average, democracies score more highly on our measure. We then investigate whether variation in long‐term benevolence can explain the ‘autocratic gamble’—the well‐known tendency for growth rates to vary m…
The New Growth Evidence
Why do growth rates differ? This paper surveys the recent empirical literature on economic growth, starting with a discussion of stylized facts, data problems, and statistical methods. Six research questions are emphasized, drawing on growth and convergence research. In answering these questions, the paper argues that efficiency has grown at different rates across countries, casting doubt on neoclassical models in which technology is a public goo…
Chapter 8 Growth Econometrics
The geography of output volatility
Dynamic aid allocation
This paper introduces a framework for studying the optimal dynamic allocation of foreign aid among multiple recipients. We pose the problem as one of weighted global welfare maximization. A donor in the North chooses an optimal path for international transfers, anticipating that consumption and investment decisions will be made by optimizing households in the South, and accounting for limits in the extent to which recipients can effectively absor…
Jeff E. Biddle, Progress Through Regression
Many economists invoke the term “Cobb-Douglas” frequently, while knowing little of its history. In 1927, Paul H. Douglas presented his results on an estimated production function in a paper at the American Economic Association annual meeting. This was joint work with the mathematician Charles W. Cobb. What became known as the Cobb-Douglas production function was not new—Knut Wicksell had previously suggested it—but its estimation using time-serie…
Political institutions and output collapses
Have Autocrats Governed for the Long Term
The short answer is: probably not. We infer the priorities of national governments from observed outcomes, constructing a statistical proxy for long‐term benevolence. Using data between 1960 and 2019 for more than 100 countries, we show that, on average, democracies score more highly on our measure. We then investigate whether variation in long‐term benevolence can explain the ‘autocratic gamble’—the well‐known tendency for growth rates to vary m…
State capacity and growth regimes
Can high levels of state capacity be associated with greater resilience to slow growth and deepening output collapses? Using data for 108 developing countries over 1971–2016, we classify five-year periods using a two-dimensional state space based on growth regimes and levels of state capacity. We model transitions between them using a finite state Markov chain and then extend this to take political institutions into account. We find that higher s…
Economics (7 works) · Econometrics (5 works) · Computer Science (4 works) · Economic Growth and Productivity (3 works) · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth (3 works) · Mathematics (3 works) · Natural Resources and Economic Development (3 works) · International Development and Aid (2 works) · Macroeconomics (2 works) · Mathematical economics (2 works)