Theodore R Holford
Biographic Data
| ID | 5123707 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Theodore R Holford |
| GIVEN NAMES | Theodore R |
| FAMILY NAME | Holford |
| SIGNATURE | HOLFORD T R |
| AFFILIATIONS | Yale University |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-1463-9417 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 16 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 49 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 16 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1983 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
US Tobacco 21 Policies and Potential Mortality Reductions by State
This study found that early adoption and implementation of T21 policies maximizes potential premature mortality reductions. However, the strength of T21 policies and enforcement varies widely across states. Enforcement of the federal T21 law is critical in the 8 states without state-level T21 cigarette policies of their own
Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA
The persistence of ENDS use among adults remained high in 2019-2021, but a larger fraction of dual users transitioned to ENDS-only use compared with 2017-2019. Because the fraction of cigarette-only users switching to dual use remained low, especially among older adults, the public health implications of this change are minimal
Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA
ENDS-only and dual use became more persistent. Middle-aged and older adults who used both products became less likely to transition to cigarette-only use but not more likely to discontinue cigarettes. Youth and young adults became more likely to transition to ENDS-only use
Estimated Prevalence of Smoking and Smoking-Attributable Mortality Associated With Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in the US From 2022 to 2100
This decision analytical model estimated that FDA cigarette graphic health warnings, if implemented in 2022, would be associated with public health benefits. The model also estimated that more smoking-attributable deaths would have been averted if the policy had been implemented in 2012. Industry litigation and delays to implementing tobacco regulations may have been harmful for public health
Transitions between cigarette, ENDS and dual use in adults in the Path study (waves 1–4)
Multistate transition models are an effective tool for uncovering and characterising longitudinal patterns and determinants of tobacco use from complex survey data. ENDS use among US adults was less persistent than cigarette use prior to 2018
Potential deaths averted in USA by replacing cigarettes with e-cigarettes
The tobacco control community has been divided regarding the role of e-cigarettes in tobacco control. Our projections show that a strategy of replacing cigarette smoking with vaping would yield substantial life year gains, even under pessimistic assumptions regarding cessation, initiation and relative harm
Neighborhood- and individual-level socioeconomic variation in perceptions of racial discrimination
Individual- and neighborhood-level SEP may be important in understanding how racial discrimination is perceived, reported, processed, and how it may influence health. In order to fully assess the role of racism in future studies, inclusion of additional dimensions of discrimination may be warranted
Effect of Climate Change on Lyme Disease Risk in North America
A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis
We performed a Monte Carlo study to evaluate the effect of the number of events per variable (EPV) analyzed in logistic regression analysis. The simulations were based on data from a cardiac trial of 673 patients in which 252 deaths occurred and seven variables were cogent predictors of mortality; the number of events per predictive variable was (252/7 =) 36 for the full sample. For the simulations, at values of EPV = 2, 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25, we…
Importance of events per independent variable in proportional hazards regression analysis II. Accuracy and precision of regression estimates
The analytical effect of the number of events per variable (EPV) in a proportional hazards regression analysis was evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation techniques for data from a randomized trial containing 673 patients and 252 deaths, in which seven predictor variables had an original significance level of p < 0.10. The 252 deaths and 7 variables correspond to 36 events per variable analyzed in the full data set. Five hundred simulated analyse…
A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading
Bennett A. Shaywitz, Theodore R. Holford, John M. Holahan, Jack M. Fletcher, Karla K. Stuebing, David J. Francis, Sally E. Shaywitz, A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading: Results from a Longitudinal Study, Reading Research Quarterly, Vol. 30, No. 4 (Oct. - Nov. - Dec., 1995), pp. 894-906
Understanding the Effects of Age, Period, and Cohort on Incidence and Mortality Rates
Time trends for population-based disease rates often are summarized by using direct adjustment by period of diagnosis or death. Similarly, the effect of age often is presented graphically as age-specific rates for a given period of diagnosis. These approaches may be necessary if there is an absence of long-term data, as they provide a natural way for annually updating information when monitoring trends, or they may be a convenient way of summariz…
Menarcheal age and habitual miscarriage
Among women who habitually miscarried (two or more miscarriages) we observed a modest association for increased risk of miscarriage of first pregnancies in those with younger (especially less than or equal to 11 years) and older (greater than or equal to 16 years) menarcheal age (quadratic G2 = 3.49, P = 0.062). No associations of menarcheal age with first pregnancy miscarriage were observed when analysed by age at first pregnancy, or with pregna…
Risk for cutaneous melanoma in recent Connecticut birth cohorts
Mortality trends suggest that increases in Connecticut incidence for cutaneous melanoma (CM) equal or under estimate increases for the entire country. One-sixth of CM in Connecticut occurs under age 35. In the 1955 birth cohort, modeled incidence rates per 100,000 age-adjusted to the 1960 US population are 38.2 in males and 28.9 in females. These estimated rates for CM rival those for colon cancer (now the third most common malignancy in the Unit…
Cardiovascular Disease and Vasectomy
We performed two epidemiologic studies using routine abstracts of medical records to test the hypothesis that vasectomy may predispose men to cardiovascular disease. In a case-control study 1512 men who were under 55 years of age and had a history of myocardial infarction, stroke, or hypertension were matched with 3024 controls with other conditions; 2.4 per cent of the cases and 2.7 per cent of the controls were identified as having undergone va…
The Estimation of Age, Period and Cohort Effects for Vital Rates
In models for vital rates which include effects due to age, period and cohort, there is aliasing due to a linear dependence among these three factors. This dependence arises both when age and period intervals are equal and when they are not. One solution to the dependence is to set an arbitrary constraint on the parameters. Estimable functions of the parameters are invariant to the particular constraint applied. For evenly spaced intervals, devia…
Neighborhood- and individual-level socioeconomic variation in perceptions of racial discrimination
Individual- and neighborhood-level SEP may be important in understanding how racial discrimination is perceived, reported, processed, and how it may influence health. In order to fully assess the role of racism in future studies, inclusion of additional dimensions of discrimination may be warranted
A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading
Bennett A. Shaywitz, Theodore R. Holford, John M. Holahan, Jack M. Fletcher, Karla K. Stuebing, David J. Francis, Sally E. Shaywitz, A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading: Results from a Longitudinal Study, Reading Research Quarterly, Vol. 30, No. 4 (Oct. - Nov. - Dec., 1995), pp. 894-906
The Estimation of Age, Period and Cohort Effects for Vital Rates
In models for vital rates which include effects due to age, period and cohort, there is aliasing due to a linear dependence among these three factors. This dependence arises both when age and period intervals are equal and when they are not. One solution to the dependence is to set an arbitrary constraint on the parameters. Estimable functions of the parameters are invariant to the particular constraint applied. For evenly spaced intervals, devia…
Cardiovascular Disease and Vasectomy
We performed two epidemiologic studies using routine abstracts of medical records to test the hypothesis that vasectomy may predispose men to cardiovascular disease. In a case-control study 1512 men who were under 55 years of age and had a history of myocardial infarction, stroke, or hypertension were matched with 3024 controls with other conditions; 2.4 per cent of the cases and 2.7 per cent of the controls were identified as having undergone va…
Menarcheal age and habitual miscarriage
Among women who habitually miscarried (two or more miscarriages) we observed a modest association for increased risk of miscarriage of first pregnancies in those with younger (especially less than or equal to 11 years) and older (greater than or equal to 16 years) menarcheal age (quadratic G2 = 3.49, P = 0.062). No associations of menarcheal age with first pregnancy miscarriage were observed when analysed by age at first pregnancy, or with pregna…
Risk for cutaneous melanoma in recent Connecticut birth cohorts
Mortality trends suggest that increases in Connecticut incidence for cutaneous melanoma (CM) equal or under estimate increases for the entire country. One-sixth of CM in Connecticut occurs under age 35. In the 1955 birth cohort, modeled incidence rates per 100,000 age-adjusted to the 1960 US population are 38.2 in males and 28.9 in females. These estimated rates for CM rival those for colon cancer (now the third most common malignancy in the Unit…
Understanding the Effects of Age, Period, and Cohort on Incidence and Mortality Rates
Time trends for population-based disease rates often are summarized by using direct adjustment by period of diagnosis or death. Similarly, the effect of age often is presented graphically as age-specific rates for a given period of diagnosis. These approaches may be necessary if there is an absence of long-term data, as they provide a natural way for annually updating information when monitoring trends, or they may be a convenient way of summariz…
Importance of events per independent variable in proportional hazards regression analysis II. Accuracy and precision of regression estimates
The analytical effect of the number of events per variable (EPV) in a proportional hazards regression analysis was evaluated using Monte Carlo simulation techniques for data from a randomized trial containing 673 patients and 252 deaths, in which seven predictor variables had an original significance level of p < 0.10. The 252 deaths and 7 variables correspond to 36 events per variable analyzed in the full data set. Five hundred simulated analyse…
A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading
Bennett A. Shaywitz, Theodore R. Holford, John M. Holahan, Jack M. Fletcher, Karla K. Stuebing, David J. Francis, Sally E. Shaywitz, A Matthew Effect for IQ but Not for Reading: Results from a Longitudinal Study, Reading Research Quarterly, Vol. 30, No. 4 (Oct. - Nov. - Dec., 1995), pp. 894-906
A simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis
We performed a Monte Carlo study to evaluate the effect of the number of events per variable (EPV) analyzed in logistic regression analysis. The simulations were based on data from a cardiac trial of 673 patients in which 252 deaths occurred and seven variables were cogent predictors of mortality; the number of events per predictive variable was (252/7 =) 36 for the full sample. For the simulations, at values of EPV = 2, 5, 10, 15, 20, and 25, we…
Effect of Climate Change on Lyme Disease Risk in North America
Neighborhood- and individual-level socioeconomic variation in perceptions of racial discrimination
Individual- and neighborhood-level SEP may be important in understanding how racial discrimination is perceived, reported, processed, and how it may influence health. In order to fully assess the role of racism in future studies, inclusion of additional dimensions of discrimination may be warranted
Potential deaths averted in USA by replacing cigarettes with e-cigarettes
The tobacco control community has been divided regarding the role of e-cigarettes in tobacco control. Our projections show that a strategy of replacing cigarette smoking with vaping would yield substantial life year gains, even under pessimistic assumptions regarding cessation, initiation and relative harm
Transitions between cigarette, ENDS and dual use in adults in the Path study (waves 1–4)
Multistate transition models are an effective tool for uncovering and characterising longitudinal patterns and determinants of tobacco use from complex survey data. ENDS use among US adults was less persistent than cigarette use prior to 2018
Estimated Prevalence of Smoking and Smoking-Attributable Mortality Associated With Graphic Health Warnings on Cigarette Packages in the US From 2022 to 2100
This decision analytical model estimated that FDA cigarette graphic health warnings, if implemented in 2022, would be associated with public health benefits. The model also estimated that more smoking-attributable deaths would have been averted if the policy had been implemented in 2012. Industry litigation and delays to implementing tobacco regulations may have been harmful for public health
Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA
ENDS-only and dual use became more persistent. Middle-aged and older adults who used both products became less likely to transition to cigarette-only use but not more likely to discontinue cigarettes. Youth and young adults became more likely to transition to ENDS-only use
US Tobacco 21 Policies and Potential Mortality Reductions by State
This study found that early adoption and implementation of T21 policies maximizes potential premature mortality reductions. However, the strength of T21 policies and enforcement varies widely across states. Enforcement of the federal T21 law is critical in the 8 states without state-level T21 cigarette policies of their own
Changing patterns of cigarette and ENDS transitions in the USA
The persistence of ENDS use among adults remained high in 2019-2021, but a larger fraction of dual users transitioned to ENDS-only use compared with 2017-2019. Because the fraction of cigarette-only users switching to dual use remained low, especially among older adults, the public health implications of this change are minimal
Medicine (10 works) · Population (8 works) · Demography (7 works) · Environmental health (7 works) · Cohort (6 works) · Smoking Behavior and Cessation (6 works) · Demography (5 works) · Gerontology (5 works) · Health disparities and outcomes (5 works) · Statistics (5 works)