Manuel Ruiz
Biographic Data
| ID | 5232354 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Manuel Ruiz |
| GIVEN NAMES | Manuel |
| FAMILY NAME | Ruiz |
| SIGNATURE | RUIZ M |
| AFFILIATIONS | Department of Quantitative Methods Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena, Law and Modern Languages Cartagena 30201 Spain |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-8153-276X |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 9 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 3 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 9 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1974 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2024 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
A New Approach to Forecasting the Probability of Recessions after the Covid‐19 Pandemic
Standard recession forecasting based on economic indicators has become unsettled due to COVID‐19 pandemic's limited but influential data. This paper proposes a new non‐parametric approach to computing predictive probabilities of future recessions that is robust to influential observations and other data irregularities. The method simulates forecasts using past data histories embedded into a symbolic space. Then, the forecasts are converted into p…
Inference on Filtered and Smoothed Probabilities in Markov-Switching Autoregressive Models
We derive a statistical theory that provides useful asymptotic approximations to the distributions of the single inferences of filtered and smoothed probabilities, derived from time series characterized by Markov-switching dynamics. We show that the uncertainty in these probabilities diminishes when the states are separated, the variance of the shocks is low, and the time series or the regimes are persistent. As empirical illustrations of our app…
Descentralización y democracia
The analysis of the evolution of teaching during the Democratic Transition in Spain has been made from a general perspective. However, these works do not address this issue from a regional or autonomic perspective, despite the fact that with the 1978 Constitution some of them –Catalonia, the Basque Country, Galicia, Andalusia, Valencia and the Canary Islands– have a broad and very significant repertoire of competences.From a comparative perspecti…
La ummah , la sunnah del profeta y el califa
El propósito del presente trabajo es encontrar la relación entre gobernantes, gobernados y la ley que los gobierna en los primeros años del islam
La ummah, la sunnah del profeta y el califa
El artículo estudia tres temas que corresponden a tres realidades en el inicio del islam con el fin de analizar si en la transición de una sociedad tribal árabe a un nuevo tipo de sociedad, ahora teocéntrica y bajo la sombra del islam, se dieron cambios significativos y, de ser así, identificar estos cambios.En primer lugar se analiza la comunidad misma, cómo se constituye la tribu y cómo la comunidad islámica, llamada finalmente “ummah”. En la e…
Detecting causal relationships between spatial processes
Measuring Ethnic Clustering and Exposure with the Q Statistic
The study of population patterns has animated a large body of urban social research over the years. An important part of this literature is concerned with the identification and measurement of segregation patterns. Recently, emphatic calls have been made to develop measures that are better able to capture the geography of population patterns. The objective of this article is to demonstrate the application of the Q statistic, developed for the ana…
Imāmah o autoridad en los primeros tiempos del Islam
Imāmah o autoridad en los primeros tiempos del Islam
Measuring Ethnic Clustering and Exposure with the Q Statistic
The study of population patterns has animated a large body of urban social research over the years. An important part of this literature is concerned with the identification and measurement of segregation patterns. Recently, emphatic calls have been made to develop measures that are better able to capture the geography of population patterns. The objective of this article is to demonstrate the application of the Q statistic, developed for the ana…
Detecting causal relationships between spatial processes
Imāmah o autoridad en los primeros tiempos del Islam
Imāmah o autoridad en los primeros tiempos del Islam
Measuring Ethnic Clustering and Exposure with the Q Statistic
The study of population patterns has animated a large body of urban social research over the years. An important part of this literature is concerned with the identification and measurement of segregation patterns. Recently, emphatic calls have been made to develop measures that are better able to capture the geography of population patterns. The objective of this article is to demonstrate the application of the Q statistic, developed for the ana…
Detecting causal relationships between spatial processes
La ummah , la sunnah del profeta y el califa
El propósito del presente trabajo es encontrar la relación entre gobernantes, gobernados y la ley que los gobierna en los primeros años del islam
La ummah, la sunnah del profeta y el califa
El artículo estudia tres temas que corresponden a tres realidades en el inicio del islam con el fin de analizar si en la transición de una sociedad tribal árabe a un nuevo tipo de sociedad, ahora teocéntrica y bajo la sombra del islam, se dieron cambios significativos y, de ser así, identificar estos cambios.En primer lugar se analiza la comunidad misma, cómo se constituye la tribu y cómo la comunidad islámica, llamada finalmente “ummah”. En la e…
Inference on Filtered and Smoothed Probabilities in Markov-Switching Autoregressive Models
We derive a statistical theory that provides useful asymptotic approximations to the distributions of the single inferences of filtered and smoothed probabilities, derived from time series characterized by Markov-switching dynamics. We show that the uncertainty in these probabilities diminishes when the states are separated, the variance of the shocks is low, and the time series or the regimes are persistent. As empirical illustrations of our app…
Descentralización y democracia
The analysis of the evolution of teaching during the Democratic Transition in Spain has been made from a general perspective. However, these works do not address this issue from a regional or autonomic perspective, despite the fact that with the 1978 Constitution some of them –Catalonia, the Basque Country, Galicia, Andalusia, Valencia and the Canary Islands– have a broad and very significant repertoire of competences.From a comparative perspecti…
A New Approach to Forecasting the Probability of Recessions after the Covid‐19 Pandemic
Standard recession forecasting based on economic indicators has become unsettled due to COVID‐19 pandemic's limited but influential data. This paper proposes a new non‐parametric approach to computing predictive probabilities of future recessions that is robust to influential observations and other data irregularities. The method simulates forecasts using past data histories embedded into a symbolic space. Then, the forecasts are converted into p…
Humanities (5 works) · Islamic Finance and Banking Studies (4 works) · Art (3 works) · Econometrics (3 works) · Historical Studies of Medieval Iberia (3 works) · Philosophy (3 works) · Philosophy (3 works) · Archaeological and Historical Studies (2 works) · Computer Science (2 works) · Economics (2 works)