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RYAN OPREA

Biographic Data

ID5739287
NAMERYAN OPREA
GIVEN NAMESRYAN
FAMILY NAMEOPREA
SIGNATUREOPREA R
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of California, Santa Cruz
ORCID0000-0003-3339-3210
VERIFIEDNo
TOTAL WORKS1
TOTAL CITATIONS1
AUTHOR COUNT1
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2009
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2009
H-INDEX1
  • A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy

    Open Access•Robin Hanson, RYAN OPREA•ARTICLE•Economica•2009•Cited by: 1•References: 18

    Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…

  • A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy

    Open Access•Robin Hanson, RYAN OPREA•ARTICLE•Economica•2009•Cited by: 1•References: 18

    Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…

  • A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy

    Open Access•Robin Hanson, RYAN OPREA•ARTICLE•Economica•2009•Cited by: 1•References: 18

    Prediction markets are low volume speculative markets whose prices offer informative forecasts on particular policy topics. Observers worry that traders may attempt to mislead decision makers by manipulating prices. We adapt a Kyle‐style market microstructure model to this case, adding a manipulator with an additional quadratic preference regarding the price. In this model, when other traders are uncertain about the manipulator's target price, th…

Artificial Intelligence (1 works) · Artificial Intelligence (1 works) · Boosting (machine learning) (1 works) · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis (1 works) · Computer Science (1 works) · Econometrics (1 works) · Economics (1 works) · Financial Markets and Investment Strategies (1 works) · Incentive (1 works) · Microeconomics (1 works)

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