Jan Emblemsvåg
Biographic Data
| ID | 5773916 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Jan Emblemsvåg |
| GIVEN NAMES | Jan |
| FAMILY NAME | Emblemsvåg |
| SIGNATURE | EMBLEMSVÅG J |
| AFFILIATIONS | Norwegian University of Science and Technology |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-2237-0283 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 7 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 1 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 7 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2000 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
A strategic- and tactical model for managing complex risks in social systems
Complex risks are unique as they emerge from potentially undetectable sources into problematic situations often with high- and lasting impact, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Their emergent nature, starting with weak signals, renders the traditional risk management approach of risk identification less effective. Assigning probability estimates can also be difficult because some complex risks, such as pandemics, are certain to emerge. To address th…
Rethinking the “Levelized Cost of Energy”: A critical review and evaluation of the concept
The Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is frequently used for policymaking worldwide, modeling and in assessing the cost competitiveness of technologies, but its formulation is deceptively simple. The result is that many caveats are obscured, but they are important to understand so that LCOE calculations can become more accurate and communicated more correctly to avoid misleading policymakers and decisionmakers. The paper discusses the approach, and…
A data-driven, scenario-based human evacuation model for passenger ships addressing hybrid uncertainty
In a disaster at sea, the safe and timely removal of passengers from the ship is paramount. Here, a human evacuation plan enables passengers to be swiftly displaced from a risk area to one less so. Despite existing research on evacuation planning, there is a need for a more comprehensive model that considers various uncertainties and factors. This paper proposes an optimization evacuation model that balances uncertain variables, including passeng…
Reengineering Capitalism: From Industrial Revolution towards Sustainable Development
On probability in risk analysis of natural disasters
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to show how the common practice of applying the frequency interpretation of probability in risk analysis of so‐called low‐probability and high‐consequence disasters can prove to be flawed, and to present a possible remedy. Design/methodology/approach The common practice is reviewed by using the Åknes case from Norway where an up to 100 million m 3 rock slide is threatening one of Norway's most visited tourist …
The Darwinian Left—from myth to intellectual hijacking
Process thinking — a new paradigm for science and engineering
Process thinking — a new paradigm for science and engineering
The Darwinian Left—from myth to intellectual hijacking
On probability in risk analysis of natural disasters
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to show how the common practice of applying the frequency interpretation of probability in risk analysis of so‐called low‐probability and high‐consequence disasters can prove to be flawed, and to present a possible remedy. Design/methodology/approach The common practice is reviewed by using the Åknes case from Norway where an up to 100 million m 3 rock slide is threatening one of Norway's most visited tourist …
Reengineering Capitalism: From Industrial Revolution towards Sustainable Development
A data-driven, scenario-based human evacuation model for passenger ships addressing hybrid uncertainty
In a disaster at sea, the safe and timely removal of passengers from the ship is paramount. Here, a human evacuation plan enables passengers to be swiftly displaced from a risk area to one less so. Despite existing research on evacuation planning, there is a need for a more comprehensive model that considers various uncertainties and factors. This paper proposes an optimization evacuation model that balances uncertain variables, including passeng…
A strategic- and tactical model for managing complex risks in social systems
Complex risks are unique as they emerge from potentially undetectable sources into problematic situations often with high- and lasting impact, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Their emergent nature, starting with weak signals, renders the traditional risk management approach of risk identification less effective. Assigning probability estimates can also be difficult because some complex risks, such as pandemics, are certain to emerge. To address th…
Rethinking the “Levelized Cost of Energy”: A critical review and evaluation of the concept
The Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) is frequently used for policymaking worldwide, modeling and in assessing the cost competitiveness of technologies, but its formulation is deceptively simple. The result is that many caveats are obscured, but they are important to understand so that LCOE calculations can become more accurate and communicated more correctly to avoid misleading policymakers and decisionmakers. The paper discusses the approach, and…
Computer Science (5 works) · Engineering (4 works) · Business (3 works) · Epistemology (3 works) · Complex Systems and Decision Making (2 works) · Economics (2 works) · Law (2 works) · Management science (2 works) · Philosophy (2 works) · Philosophy (2 works)