Michela Baccini
Biographic Data
| ID | 6045555 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Michela Baccini |
| GIVEN NAMES | Michela |
| FAMILY NAME | Baccini |
| SIGNATURE | BACCINI M |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Florence |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-2619-2130 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 15 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 58 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 15 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2006 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
The importance of investigating temporal variability in short-term effects of air pollution on mortality at the local level
Current evidence on short-term effects of air pollution on mortality often overlooks potential temporal variation and non-linear exposure-response relationships, bringing to biased effect estimates and limited accuracy of health risk assessments. Leveraging high-quality daily environmental data from local air quality monitoring stations, we examined temporal changes and non-linear associations between daily concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and…
What is the best tobacco control policy in Tuscany? An assessment using uncertainty analysis
The approach shows promise for identifying key sources of uncertainty and guiding public health strategies. Although uncertainty limits the precise quantification of future dynamics and impacts, the TCP1 is likely to exert the strongest long-term effect on reducing smoking prevalence, while cessation interventions remain essential for achieving short-term reductions in smoking-attributable mortality
Lung cancer and smoking
The updated estimates of the burden of LC attributable to smoking for the Tuscany region as a whole and for each LHU provide indications to inform strategic prevention plans and set public health priorities. The impact of smoking on YLDs from LC is not negligible and heterogeneous by LHU, thus requiring local interventions
Case-Control Study on the Routes of Transmission of Sars-CoV-2 after the Third Pandemic Wave in Tuscany, Central Italy
The emergence of hyper-transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants that rapidly became prevalent throughout the world in 2022 made it clear that extensive vaccination campaigns cannot represent the sole measure to stop COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of control and mitigation strategies, such as the closure of non-essential businesses and services, is debated. To assess the individual behaviours mostly associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection, a questionn…
Combining and comparing regional Sars-CoV-2 epidemic dynamics in Italy
During autumn 2020, Italy faced a second important SARS-CoV-2 epidemic wave. We explored the time pattern of the instantaneous reproductive number, R 0 ( t ), and estimated the prevalence of infections by region from August to December calibrating SIRD models on COVID-19-related deaths, fixing at values from literature Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) and average infection duration. A Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) was performed on the regional S…
Mortality for Lung Cancer among PVC Baggers Employed in the Vinyl Chloride Industry
Vinyl-chloride monomer (VCM) is classified as a known carcinogen of the liver; for lung cancer, some results suggest a potential association with polyvinyl chloride (PVC) dust. We evaluated the relationship between lung cancer mortality and exposure as PVC baggers in a cohort of workers involved in VCM production and polymerization in Porto Marghera (Venice, Italy) considering both employment status and smoking habits. The workers were studied be…
Employment Instability and Fertility in Europe
The relationship between employment instability and fertility is a major topic in demographic research, with a proliferation of published papers on this matter, especially since the Great Recession. Employment instability, which most often manifests in unemployment or time-limited employment, is usually deemed to have a negative effect on fertility, although different fertility reactions are hypothesized by sociological theories, and micro-level …
Causal Effects of Prenatal Exposure to PM2.5 on Child Development and the Role of Unobserved Confounding
Prenatal exposure to airborne particles is a potential risk factor for infant neuropsychological development. This issue is usually explored by regression analysis under the implicit assumption that all relevant confounders are accounted for. Our aim is to estimate the causal effect of prenatal exposure to high concentrations of airborne particles with a diameter 3 (median). These estimates were robust to the presence of unmeasured confounders ha…
Comparison of two statistical indicators in communicating epidemiological results to the population
Communicating epidemiological results to the population is not a neutral task. The degree of concern and judgments when comparing results on different diseases may depend on the risk indicators used. Translating scientific results into lay language should not exempt from careful evaluation of the impact of this translation on lay people
Quantifying Projected Heat Mortality Impacts under 21st-Century Warming Conditions for Selected European Countries
Under future warming conditions, high ambient temperatures will have a significant impact on population health in Europe. The aim of this paper is to quantify the possible future impact of heat on population mortality in European countries, under different climate change scenarios. We combined the heat-mortality function estimated from historical data with meteorological projections for the future time laps 2035-2064 and 2071-2099, developed unde…
Projected heat-related mortality under climate change in the metropolitan area of Skopje
These results highlight the importance of a long-term perspective in the public health prevention of heat exposure, particularly in the context of a changing climate
Impact of heat on mortality in 15 European cities
BACKGROUND: High ambient summer temperatures have been shown to influence daily mortality in cities across Europe. Quantification of the population mortality burden attributable to heat is crucial to the development of adaptive approaches. The impact of summer heat on mortality for 15 European cities during the 1990s was evaluated, under hypothetical temperature scenarios warmer and cooler than the mean and under future scenarios derived from the…
Effects of Cold Weather on Mortality
Weather-related health effects have attracted renewed interest because of the observed and predicted climate change. The authors studied the short-term effects of cold weather on mortality in 15 European cities. The effects of minimum apparent temperature on cause- and age-specific daily mortality were assessed for the cold season (October-March) by using data from 1990-2000. For city-specific analysis, the authors used Poisson regression and dis…
Heat Effects on Mortality in 15 European Cities
BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies show that high temperatures are related to mortality, but little is known about the exposure-response function and the lagged effect of heat. We report the associations between daily maximum apparent temperature and daily deaths during the warm season in 15 European cities. METHODS: The city-specific analyses were based on generalized estimating equations and the city-specific results were combined in a Bayesian …
Impact of High Temperatures on Mortality
BACKGROUND: Mortality during sustained periods of hot weather is generally regarded as being in excess of what would be predicted from smooth temperature-mortality gradients estimated using standard time-series regression models. However, the evidence for an effect of continuous days of exceptional heat ("heat wave effect") is indirect. In addition, because some interventions may be triggered only during forecasted heat waves, it would be helpful…
Employment Instability and Fertility in Europe
The relationship between employment instability and fertility is a major topic in demographic research, with a proliferation of published papers on this matter, especially since the Great Recession. Employment instability, which most often manifests in unemployment or time-limited employment, is usually deemed to have a negative effect on fertility, although different fertility reactions are hypothesized by sociological theories, and micro-level …
Impact of High Temperatures on Mortality
BACKGROUND: Mortality during sustained periods of hot weather is generally regarded as being in excess of what would be predicted from smooth temperature-mortality gradients estimated using standard time-series regression models. However, the evidence for an effect of continuous days of exceptional heat ("heat wave effect") is indirect. In addition, because some interventions may be triggered only during forecasted heat waves, it would be helpful…
Effects of Cold Weather on Mortality
Weather-related health effects have attracted renewed interest because of the observed and predicted climate change. The authors studied the short-term effects of cold weather on mortality in 15 European cities. The effects of minimum apparent temperature on cause- and age-specific daily mortality were assessed for the cold season (October-March) by using data from 1990-2000. For city-specific analysis, the authors used Poisson regression and dis…
Heat Effects on Mortality in 15 European Cities
BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies show that high temperatures are related to mortality, but little is known about the exposure-response function and the lagged effect of heat. We report the associations between daily maximum apparent temperature and daily deaths during the warm season in 15 European cities. METHODS: The city-specific analyses were based on generalized estimating equations and the city-specific results were combined in a Bayesian …
Impact of heat on mortality in 15 European cities
BACKGROUND: High ambient summer temperatures have been shown to influence daily mortality in cities across Europe. Quantification of the population mortality burden attributable to heat is crucial to the development of adaptive approaches. The impact of summer heat on mortality for 15 European cities during the 1990s was evaluated, under hypothetical temperature scenarios warmer and cooler than the mean and under future scenarios derived from the…
Projected heat-related mortality under climate change in the metropolitan area of Skopje
These results highlight the importance of a long-term perspective in the public health prevention of heat exposure, particularly in the context of a changing climate
Quantifying Projected Heat Mortality Impacts under 21st-Century Warming Conditions for Selected European Countries
Under future warming conditions, high ambient temperatures will have a significant impact on population health in Europe. The aim of this paper is to quantify the possible future impact of heat on population mortality in European countries, under different climate change scenarios. We combined the heat-mortality function estimated from historical data with meteorological projections for the future time laps 2035-2064 and 2071-2099, developed unde…
Causal Effects of Prenatal Exposure to PM2.5 on Child Development and the Role of Unobserved Confounding
Prenatal exposure to airborne particles is a potential risk factor for infant neuropsychological development. This issue is usually explored by regression analysis under the implicit assumption that all relevant confounders are accounted for. Our aim is to estimate the causal effect of prenatal exposure to high concentrations of airborne particles with a diameter 3 (median). These estimates were robust to the presence of unmeasured confounders ha…
Comparison of two statistical indicators in communicating epidemiological results to the population
Communicating epidemiological results to the population is not a neutral task. The degree of concern and judgments when comparing results on different diseases may depend on the risk indicators used. Translating scientific results into lay language should not exempt from careful evaluation of the impact of this translation on lay people
Employment Instability and Fertility in Europe
The relationship between employment instability and fertility is a major topic in demographic research, with a proliferation of published papers on this matter, especially since the Great Recession. Employment instability, which most often manifests in unemployment or time-limited employment, is usually deemed to have a negative effect on fertility, although different fertility reactions are hypothesized by sociological theories, and micro-level …
Combining and comparing regional Sars-CoV-2 epidemic dynamics in Italy
During autumn 2020, Italy faced a second important SARS-CoV-2 epidemic wave. We explored the time pattern of the instantaneous reproductive number, R 0 ( t ), and estimated the prevalence of infections by region from August to December calibrating SIRD models on COVID-19-related deaths, fixing at values from literature Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) and average infection duration. A Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) was performed on the regional S…
Mortality for Lung Cancer among PVC Baggers Employed in the Vinyl Chloride Industry
Vinyl-chloride monomer (VCM) is classified as a known carcinogen of the liver; for lung cancer, some results suggest a potential association with polyvinyl chloride (PVC) dust. We evaluated the relationship between lung cancer mortality and exposure as PVC baggers in a cohort of workers involved in VCM production and polymerization in Porto Marghera (Venice, Italy) considering both employment status and smoking habits. The workers were studied be…
Case-Control Study on the Routes of Transmission of Sars-CoV-2 after the Third Pandemic Wave in Tuscany, Central Italy
The emergence of hyper-transmissible SARS-CoV-2 variants that rapidly became prevalent throughout the world in 2022 made it clear that extensive vaccination campaigns cannot represent the sole measure to stop COVID-19. However, the effectiveness of control and mitigation strategies, such as the closure of non-essential businesses and services, is debated. To assess the individual behaviours mostly associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection, a questionn…
Lung cancer and smoking
The updated estimates of the burden of LC attributable to smoking for the Tuscany region as a whole and for each LHU provide indications to inform strategic prevention plans and set public health priorities. The impact of smoking on YLDs from LC is not negligible and heterogeneous by LHU, thus requiring local interventions
The importance of investigating temporal variability in short-term effects of air pollution on mortality at the local level
Current evidence on short-term effects of air pollution on mortality often overlooks potential temporal variation and non-linear exposure-response relationships, bringing to biased effect estimates and limited accuracy of health risk assessments. Leveraging high-quality daily environmental data from local air quality monitoring stations, we examined temporal changes and non-linear associations between daily concentrations of PM10, PM2.5, NO2, and…
What is the best tobacco control policy in Tuscany? An assessment using uncertainty analysis
The approach shows promise for identifying key sources of uncertainty and guiding public health strategies. Although uncertainty limits the precise quantification of future dynamics and impacts, the TCP1 is likely to exert the strongest long-term effect on reducing smoking prevalence, while cessation interventions remain essential for achieving short-term reductions in smoking-attributable mortality
Medicine (10 works) · Environmental health (9 works) · Demography (8 works) · Climate Change and Health Impacts (7 works) · Air Quality and Health Impacts (6 works) · Geography (6 works) · Population (6 works) · Climate change (5 works) · Confidence interval (5 works) · Biostatistics (4 works)