David Méndez
Biographic Data
| ID | 6054572 |
|---|---|
| NAME | David Méndez |
| GIVEN NAMES | David |
| FAMILY NAME | Méndez |
| SIGNATURE | MENDEZ D |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Michigan |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-0294-5484 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 23 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 45 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 23 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1996 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 4 |
Nicotine Reduction Standard in Cigarettes and Estimated Lives Saved and Deaths Averted
The study results suggest that an NRS may serve as a disparity-reducing policy in addition to offering broad, population-wide benefits
The evolution of age-specific smoking cessation rates in the United States from 2009 to 2017: A Kalman filter based approach
The Kalman filter approach offers a real-time estimation of cessation rates that can be helpful for monitoring smoking cessation behavior
Characterization of trajectories of physical activity and cigarette smoking from early adolescence to adulthood
There are three distinct subgroups of individuals sharing similar PA and cigarette smoking behavioral profile respectively from adolescence to adulthood in the Add Health study population. Behavioral interventions that focus on neighborhood environment (e.g. establish community-based activity center) and relationship to peers during adolescence (e.g. peer counseling) could be key to long-term PA promotion and cigarette smoking cessation
An estimation of the harm of menthol cigarettes in the United States from 1980 to 2018
With millions of excess smoking initiators and thousands of smoking-related deaths due to mentholated cigarettes from 1980 through 2018, our results indicate that these products have had a significant detrimental impact on the public's health and could continue to pose a substantial health risk. Our findings can assist the Food and Drug Administration in evaluating potential regulatory actions for mentholated tobacco products
Consequences of a match made in hell: The harm caused by menthol smoking to the African American population over 1980–2018
Our results show that menthol cigarettes disproportionally harmed African Americans significantly over the last 38 years and are responsible for exacerbating health disparities among that population. Removing menthol cigarettes from the market would benefit the overall US population but, particularly, the African American community
How much of the future mortality toll of smoking can be avoided
Public health can address only the future toll of future smoking. Smoking's MPRPM is the reduction in the mortality burden of smoking that tobacco control can strive to achieve
Lantz et al. Respond
AffiliationsPaula M. Lantz is with the Department of Health Policy, School of Public Health and Health Services, George Washington University, Washington, DC. David Mendez is with the Department of Health Management and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Martin A. Philbert is with the School of Public Health and the Department of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Michigan
Radon, Smoking, and Lung Cancer: The Need to Refocus Radon Control Policy
Exposure to radon is the second leading cause of lung cancer, and the risk is significantly higher for smokers than for nonsmokers. More than 85% of radon-induced lung cancer deaths are among smokers. The most powerful approach for reducing the public health burden of radon is shaped by 2 overarching principles: public communication efforts that promote residential radon testing and remediation will be the most cost effective if they are primaril…
La tecnología cerámica de los niveles IV y III en el yacimiento de Kobaederra (Cortézubi, Bizkaia). Aprovisionamiento y modificación de las materias primas
El estudio tecnológico del material cerámico requiere de la aplicación de técnicas de análisis arqueométrico que permitan un acercamiento a su mineralogía y composición química, con la finalidad de identificar las etapas de su secuencia de elaboración. Este artículo presenta el análisis tecnológico de la cerámica neolítica documentada en los niveles inferiores del yacimiento de Kobaederra (Cortézubi, Bizkaia), a partir de su análisis mineralógico…
The potential impact of smoking control policies on future global smoking trends
The estimates indicate the magnitude and trajectory of the global tobacco pandemic and of the impact the authors could expect if evidence-based tobacco control policies were applied immediately and universally throughout the world. As half of lifetime smokers die of tobacco-related diseases, if MPOWER were applied globally, within a few decades, many millions of premature tobacco-related deaths would be avoided
Accuracy and Importance of Projections From a Dynamic Simulation Model of Smoking Prevalence in the United States
We compared projections from a dynamic model of US adult smoking prevalence with official estimates of prevalence from the National Health Interview Survey. Ten years after they were made, the model projections closely fit the National Health Interview Survey estimates for 2005 and 2010. We conclude that a verified model of adult smoking prevalence can assist governmental authorities in establishing aspirational but feasible targets for tobacco c…
The Impact of Declining Smoking on Radon-Related Lung Cancer in the United States
Objectives. We examined the effect of current patterns of smoking rates on future radon-related lung cancer. Methods. We combined the model developed by the National Academy of Science's Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon (the BEIR VI committee) for radon risk assessment with a forecasting model of US adult smoking prevalence to estimate proportional decline in radon-related deaths during the present century with and without mitigatio…
A Systems Approach to a Complex Problem
The author discusses the application of systems modeling to tobacco control, the focal point of the issue. The author notes that systems modeling is being accepted increasingly as a public health tool. He believes that systems modeling can be applied successfully in public health efforts to eradicate smoking
Systems Science: A Revolution in Public Health Policy Research
Tobacco Control Success Versus Demographic Destiny: Examining the Causes of the Low Smoking Prevalence in California
We examined the effect of demographics on California’s low smoking prevalence. We estimated that if the United States had the same demographics as California, then the US adult smoking prevalence in 2005 would have been 19.3%, 1.6 percentage points lower than the reported 20.9% for the United States, but 4.1 percentage points higher than California’s prevalence of 15.2% in 2005. Tobacco control appears to be a much more important factor than demo…
Setting a Challenging Yet Realistic Smoking Prevalence Target for Healthy People 2020: Learning From the California Experience
Objectives. We sought to outline an optimistic yet achievable goal for future US smoking prevalence rates based on empirical evidence reflecting the success of smoking control efforts in California. Methods. Using a dynamic model and the smoking initiation and cessation rates achieved in California as a guide, we projected US adult smoking prevalence rates through the year 2020. Results. If smoking initiation and cessation rates for the nation do…
The Financial Implications of Coverage of Smoking Cessation Treatment by Managed Care Organizations
This paper presents results from a simulation of the financial impact and cost effectiveness of smoking cessation in a hypothetical managed care organization (MCO), using data from three large managed care organizations and from existing literature. With base-case assumptions and a market cost of capital, at five years, coverage of cessation services costs an MCO dollars .61 per member per month (PMPM). In a steady-state situation, net cost is do…
Adult Cigarette Smoking Prevalence: Declining as Expected (Not as Desired)
We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995–2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2 = .89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future,…
The Effect of Legal and Hospital Policies on Physician Response to Prenatal Substance Exposure
Conference participants
Nondaily Smokers: Who Are They
Objective. We sought to understand who constitutes the sizable population of nondaily, or some-day (SD), smokers. Methods. We analyzed descriptive statistics and regression results using the 1998–1999 Current Population Survey Tobacco Use Supplement to determine the prevalence of SD smokers, their sociodemographic characteristics, and the smoking patterns and histories of groups differentiated by the length and stability of their SD smoking. Resu…
Effects of radon mitigation vs smoking cessation in reducing radon-related risk of lung cancer
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this paper is to provide smokers with information on the relative benefits of mitigating radon and quitting smoking in reducing radon-related lung cancer risk. METHODS: The standard radon risk model, linked with models characterizing residential radon exposure and patterns of moving to new homes, was used to estimate the risk reduction produced by remediating high-radon homes, quitting smoking, or both. RESULTS: Quittin…
Toward a more realistic appraisal of the lung cancer risk from radon: The effects of residential mobility
OBJECTIVES: A consideration of the effects of residential mobility produces much more realistic estimates of typical individuals' radon exposures and mortality risks than those of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). METHODS: A model linking residential mobility, the distribution of radon in US homes, and lung cancer risk is used to simulate lifetime radon exposure, with and without mitigation of high-radon homes, for typical mobile individ…
Nondaily Smokers: Who Are They
Objective. We sought to understand who constitutes the sizable population of nondaily, or some-day (SD), smokers. Methods. We analyzed descriptive statistics and regression results using the 1998–1999 Current Population Survey Tobacco Use Supplement to determine the prevalence of SD smokers, their sociodemographic characteristics, and the smoking patterns and histories of groups differentiated by the length and stability of their SD smoking. Resu…
Adult Cigarette Smoking Prevalence: Declining as Expected (Not as Desired)
We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995–2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2 = .89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future,…
Systems Science: A Revolution in Public Health Policy Research
Setting a Challenging Yet Realistic Smoking Prevalence Target for Healthy People 2020: Learning From the California Experience
Objectives. We sought to outline an optimistic yet achievable goal for future US smoking prevalence rates based on empirical evidence reflecting the success of smoking control efforts in California. Methods. Using a dynamic model and the smoking initiation and cessation rates achieved in California as a guide, we projected US adult smoking prevalence rates through the year 2020. Results. If smoking initiation and cessation rates for the nation do…
Toward a more realistic appraisal of the lung cancer risk from radon: The effects of residential mobility
OBJECTIVES: A consideration of the effects of residential mobility produces much more realistic estimates of typical individuals' radon exposures and mortality risks than those of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). METHODS: A model linking residential mobility, the distribution of radon in US homes, and lung cancer risk is used to simulate lifetime radon exposure, with and without mitigation of high-radon homes, for typical mobile individ…
Radon, Smoking, and Lung Cancer: The Need to Refocus Radon Control Policy
Exposure to radon is the second leading cause of lung cancer, and the risk is significantly higher for smokers than for nonsmokers. More than 85% of radon-induced lung cancer deaths are among smokers. The most powerful approach for reducing the public health burden of radon is shaped by 2 overarching principles: public communication efforts that promote residential radon testing and remediation will be the most cost effective if they are primaril…
The Impact of Declining Smoking on Radon-Related Lung Cancer in the United States
Objectives. We examined the effect of current patterns of smoking rates on future radon-related lung cancer. Methods. We combined the model developed by the National Academy of Science's Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon (the BEIR VI committee) for radon risk assessment with a forecasting model of US adult smoking prevalence to estimate proportional decline in radon-related deaths during the present century with and without mitigatio…
A Systems Approach to a Complex Problem
The author discusses the application of systems modeling to tobacco control, the focal point of the issue. The author notes that systems modeling is being accepted increasingly as a public health tool. He believes that systems modeling can be applied successfully in public health efforts to eradicate smoking
Tobacco Control Success Versus Demographic Destiny: Examining the Causes of the Low Smoking Prevalence in California
We examined the effect of demographics on California’s low smoking prevalence. We estimated that if the United States had the same demographics as California, then the US adult smoking prevalence in 2005 would have been 19.3%, 1.6 percentage points lower than the reported 20.9% for the United States, but 4.1 percentage points higher than California’s prevalence of 15.2% in 2005. Tobacco control appears to be a much more important factor than demo…
Effects of radon mitigation vs smoking cessation in reducing radon-related risk of lung cancer
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this paper is to provide smokers with information on the relative benefits of mitigating radon and quitting smoking in reducing radon-related lung cancer risk. METHODS: The standard radon risk model, linked with models characterizing residential radon exposure and patterns of moving to new homes, was used to estimate the risk reduction produced by remediating high-radon homes, quitting smoking, or both. RESULTS: Quittin…
Toward a more realistic appraisal of the lung cancer risk from radon: The effects of residential mobility
OBJECTIVES: A consideration of the effects of residential mobility produces much more realistic estimates of typical individuals' radon exposures and mortality risks than those of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). METHODS: A model linking residential mobility, the distribution of radon in US homes, and lung cancer risk is used to simulate lifetime radon exposure, with and without mitigation of high-radon homes, for typical mobile individ…
Effects of radon mitigation vs smoking cessation in reducing radon-related risk of lung cancer
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this paper is to provide smokers with information on the relative benefits of mitigating radon and quitting smoking in reducing radon-related lung cancer risk. METHODS: The standard radon risk model, linked with models characterizing residential radon exposure and patterns of moving to new homes, was used to estimate the risk reduction produced by remediating high-radon homes, quitting smoking, or both. RESULTS: Quittin…
The Effect of Legal and Hospital Policies on Physician Response to Prenatal Substance Exposure
Conference participants
Nondaily Smokers: Who Are They
Objective. We sought to understand who constitutes the sizable population of nondaily, or some-day (SD), smokers. Methods. We analyzed descriptive statistics and regression results using the 1998–1999 Current Population Survey Tobacco Use Supplement to determine the prevalence of SD smokers, their sociodemographic characteristics, and the smoking patterns and histories of groups differentiated by the length and stability of their SD smoking. Resu…
The Financial Implications of Coverage of Smoking Cessation Treatment by Managed Care Organizations
This paper presents results from a simulation of the financial impact and cost effectiveness of smoking cessation in a hypothetical managed care organization (MCO), using data from three large managed care organizations and from existing literature. With base-case assumptions and a market cost of capital, at five years, coverage of cessation services costs an MCO dollars .61 per member per month (PMPM). In a steady-state situation, net cost is do…
Adult Cigarette Smoking Prevalence: Declining as Expected (Not as Desired)
We compared observed smoking prevalence data for 1995–2002 with predictions derived from a previously published population dynamics model to determine whether the recent trend in smoking prevalence is consistent with the downward pattern we predicted. The observed data fit our projections closely (R 2 = .89). Consistent with the logic underlying the model, we conclude that adult smoking prevalence will continue to fall for the foreseeable future,…
Tobacco Control Success Versus Demographic Destiny: Examining the Causes of the Low Smoking Prevalence in California
We examined the effect of demographics on California’s low smoking prevalence. We estimated that if the United States had the same demographics as California, then the US adult smoking prevalence in 2005 would have been 19.3%, 1.6 percentage points lower than the reported 20.9% for the United States, but 4.1 percentage points higher than California’s prevalence of 15.2% in 2005. Tobacco control appears to be a much more important factor than demo…
Setting a Challenging Yet Realistic Smoking Prevalence Target for Healthy People 2020: Learning From the California Experience
Objectives. We sought to outline an optimistic yet achievable goal for future US smoking prevalence rates based on empirical evidence reflecting the success of smoking control efforts in California. Methods. Using a dynamic model and the smoking initiation and cessation rates achieved in California as a guide, we projected US adult smoking prevalence rates through the year 2020. Results. If smoking initiation and cessation rates for the nation do…
A Systems Approach to a Complex Problem
The author discusses the application of systems modeling to tobacco control, the focal point of the issue. The author notes that systems modeling is being accepted increasingly as a public health tool. He believes that systems modeling can be applied successfully in public health efforts to eradicate smoking
Systems Science: A Revolution in Public Health Policy Research
The Impact of Declining Smoking on Radon-Related Lung Cancer in the United States
Objectives. We examined the effect of current patterns of smoking rates on future radon-related lung cancer. Methods. We combined the model developed by the National Academy of Science's Committee on Health Risks of Exposure to Radon (the BEIR VI committee) for radon risk assessment with a forecasting model of US adult smoking prevalence to estimate proportional decline in radon-related deaths during the present century with and without mitigatio…
La tecnología cerámica de los niveles IV y III en el yacimiento de Kobaederra (Cortézubi, Bizkaia). Aprovisionamiento y modificación de las materias primas
El estudio tecnológico del material cerámico requiere de la aplicación de técnicas de análisis arqueométrico que permitan un acercamiento a su mineralogía y composición química, con la finalidad de identificar las etapas de su secuencia de elaboración. Este artículo presenta el análisis tecnológico de la cerámica neolítica documentada en los niveles inferiores del yacimiento de Kobaederra (Cortézubi, Bizkaia), a partir de su análisis mineralógico…
The potential impact of smoking control policies on future global smoking trends
The estimates indicate the magnitude and trajectory of the global tobacco pandemic and of the impact the authors could expect if evidence-based tobacco control policies were applied immediately and universally throughout the world. As half of lifetime smokers die of tobacco-related diseases, if MPOWER were applied globally, within a few decades, many millions of premature tobacco-related deaths would be avoided
Accuracy and Importance of Projections From a Dynamic Simulation Model of Smoking Prevalence in the United States
We compared projections from a dynamic model of US adult smoking prevalence with official estimates of prevalence from the National Health Interview Survey. Ten years after they were made, the model projections closely fit the National Health Interview Survey estimates for 2005 and 2010. We conclude that a verified model of adult smoking prevalence can assist governmental authorities in establishing aspirational but feasible targets for tobacco c…
Lantz et al. Respond
AffiliationsPaula M. Lantz is with the Department of Health Policy, School of Public Health and Health Services, George Washington University, Washington, DC. David Mendez is with the Department of Health Management and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Martin A. Philbert is with the School of Public Health and the Department of Environmental Health Sciences, University of Michigan
Radon, Smoking, and Lung Cancer: The Need to Refocus Radon Control Policy
Exposure to radon is the second leading cause of lung cancer, and the risk is significantly higher for smokers than for nonsmokers. More than 85% of radon-induced lung cancer deaths are among smokers. The most powerful approach for reducing the public health burden of radon is shaped by 2 overarching principles: public communication efforts that promote residential radon testing and remediation will be the most cost effective if they are primaril…
How much of the future mortality toll of smoking can be avoided
Public health can address only the future toll of future smoking. Smoking's MPRPM is the reduction in the mortality burden of smoking that tobacco control can strive to achieve
An estimation of the harm of menthol cigarettes in the United States from 1980 to 2018
With millions of excess smoking initiators and thousands of smoking-related deaths due to mentholated cigarettes from 1980 through 2018, our results indicate that these products have had a significant detrimental impact on the public's health and could continue to pose a substantial health risk. Our findings can assist the Food and Drug Administration in evaluating potential regulatory actions for mentholated tobacco products
Consequences of a match made in hell: The harm caused by menthol smoking to the African American population over 1980–2018
Our results show that menthol cigarettes disproportionally harmed African Americans significantly over the last 38 years and are responsible for exacerbating health disparities among that population. Removing menthol cigarettes from the market would benefit the overall US population but, particularly, the African American community
The evolution of age-specific smoking cessation rates in the United States from 2009 to 2017: A Kalman filter based approach
The Kalman filter approach offers a real-time estimation of cessation rates that can be helpful for monitoring smoking cessation behavior
Characterization of trajectories of physical activity and cigarette smoking from early adolescence to adulthood
There are three distinct subgroups of individuals sharing similar PA and cigarette smoking behavioral profile respectively from adolescence to adulthood in the Add Health study population. Behavioral interventions that focus on neighborhood environment (e.g. establish community-based activity center) and relationship to peers during adolescence (e.g. peer counseling) could be key to long-term PA promotion and cigarette smoking cessation
Nicotine Reduction Standard in Cigarettes and Estimated Lives Saved and Deaths Averted
The study results suggest that an NRS may serve as a disparity-reducing policy in addition to offering broad, population-wide benefits
Medicine (19 works) · Environmental health (17 works) · Public health (14 works) · Smoking Behavior and Cessation (12 works) · Demography (11 works) · Population (10 works) · Tobacco control (9 works) · Smoking cessation (8 works) · Pathology (7 works) · Air Quality and Health Impacts (5 works)