Elke Stehfest

Biographic Data

ID6320357
NAMEElke Stehfest
GIVEN NAMESElke
FAMILY NAMEStehfest
SIGNATURESTEHFEST E
AFFILIATIONSNetherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
ORCID0000-0003-3016-2679
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS51
TOTAL CITATIONS593
AUTHOR COUNT51
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2009
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX8

  • A more complete Image

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2026

    Currently, climate impacts are mostly absent in the analysis of process-based integrated assessment models (IAMs). This is becoming increasingly problematic given the fact that climate impacts are expected to influence both baseline developments as well as the capacity to mitigate and adapt in the future. This paper presents a set of scenarios made using the IAM IMAGE with climate change impacts on labor productivity and GDP, renewable energy sup…

  • Bundling measures for food systems transformation

    Open AccessMarina Sundiang, Thais Diniz Oliveira et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Planetary Health2025References: 9

  • Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal

    Open AccessOreane Y Edelenbosch, Andries F Hof et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    To reach net-zero greenhouse gas targets, carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are required to compensate for residual emissions in the hard-to-abate sectors. However, dependencies on CDR technologies involve environmental, technical and social risks, particularly related to increased land requirements for afforestation and bioenergy crops. Here, using scenarios consistent with the 1.5 °C target, we show that demand and technological interve…

  • Quantifying food security and mitigation risks consequential to climate change impacts on crop yields

    Open AccessHermen Luchtenbelt, Jonathan Doelman et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Climate change is expected to impact crop yields globally, with some regions benefiting from favorable conditions and CO 2 fertilization, while others face adverse effects from altered precipitation and higher temperatures. Changes in crop yields can destabilize the global food system and pose challenges to food security. Moreover, crop production is crucial, as biofuels are becoming increasingly important contributors to climate change mitigatio…

  • Global sustainability scenarios lead to regionally different outcomes for terrestrial biodiversity

    Open AccessGeanderson Ambrósio, Jonathan Doelman et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Mitigating climate change (CC) and reversing biodiversity decline are urgent and interconnected global priorities. Strategies to address both crises must consider the relationships, synergies and trade-offs between key response measures, including sustainable production and consumption patterns, protected areas (PAs) and climate mitigation policy (CP). In this paper, we review a large set of scenarios ( n = 96) from the Integrated Model to Assess…

  • Food and land system transformations under different societal perspectives on sustainable development

    Open AccessIsabelle Weindl, Bjoern Soergel et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    The future of food and land systems is crucial for achieving multiple UN Sustainable Development Goals, given their essential role in providing adequate nutrition and their significant impact on Earth system processes. Despite widespread consensus on the need for transformation, discussed strategies vary widely, from technology-driven to sufficiency-focused approaches, emphasizing different agents of change and policy mixes. This study assesses t…

  • Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being

    Open AccessRebecca Chaplin‐Kramer, Stephen Polasky et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2024Cited by: 3References: 10

    Integrated models can assess effects of ecosystem services on the global economy. • Insights from integrated models can improve management for sustainable development. • To be most useful, models need to link ecological impacts and human well-being. • Key advances include better incorporation of equity and social-ecological feedbacks. Integrated assessment models that incorporate biodiversity and ecosystem services could be an important tool for …

  • Impact of lifestyle, human diet and nutrient use efficiency in food production on eutrophication of global aquifers and surface waters

    Open AccessLex Bouwman, A F Bouwman et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2024Cited by: 1References: 1

    Good water quality requires end-of-pipe control plus lifestyle and food system change. • Local dominance of natural sources can hinder mitigation strategies for N and P. • Unbalanced reductions of N versus P loads can lead to unexpected negative impacts. A spatially explicit (0.5 degree resolution) analysis is presented of the impact of human lifestyle, diet and nutrient use efficiency in food production and wastewater treatment on exceedance of …

  • Towards a better future for biodiversity and people

    Open AccessHyejin Kim, Glen D Peterson et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2023Cited by: 18References: 2

    The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) is a heuristic tool for co-creating positive futures for nature and people. It seeks to open up a diversity of futures through mainly three value perspectives on nature – Nature for Nature, Nature for Society, and Nature as Culture. This paper describes how the NFF can be applied in modelling to support decision-making. First, we describe key considerations for the NFF in developing qualitative and quantitative …

  • Integration of future water scarcity and electricity supply into prospective LCA

    Open AccessPaul Baustert, Elorri Igos et al.ARTICLEJournal of Industrial Ecology2022

    The urgency of tackling global environmental issues calls for radical technological and behavioral changes. New prospective (or ex ante) methods are needed to assess the impacts of these changes. Prospective life cycle assessment (LCA) can contribute by detailed analysis of environmental consequences. A new stream of research has taken up the challenge to create prospective life cycle inventory (LCI) databases, building on projections of integrat…

  • Quantifying synergies and trade-offs in the global water-land-food-climate nexus using a multi-model scenario approach

    Open AccessJonathan Doelman, Felicitas Beier et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    The human-earth system is confronted with the challenge of providing a range of resources for a growing and more prosperous world population while simultaneously reducing environmental degradation. The sustainable development goals and the planetary boundaries define targets to manage this challenge. Many of these are linked to the land system, such as biodiversity, water, food, nutrients and climate, and are strongly interconnected. A key questi…

  • Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress

    Open AccessGiacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Trade-offs between water needs for food, utilities, and the environment—a nexus quantification at different scales

    Open AccessLotte de Vos, Hester Biemans et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    With a growing population and a changing climate, competition for water resources in the water-energy-food (WEF) nexus is expected to increase. In this study, competing water demands between food production, freshwater ecosystems and utilities (energy, industries and households) are quantified. The potential trade-offs and related impacts are elaborated for different SSP scenarios with the integrated assessment model IMAGE, which includes the glo…

  • Exploring river nitrogen and phosphorus loading and export to global coastal waters in the Shared Socio-economic pathways

    Open AccessArthur Beusen, A H W Beusen et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2021Cited by: 3References: 5

    This global spatially explicit (0.5 by 0.5 degree) analysis presents the nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) inputs, processing and biogeochemical retention and delivery to surface waters and river export to coastal seas according to the five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). Four systems are considered: (i) human system; (ii) agriculture; (iii) aquaculture; (iv) nature. Exploring the changes during 1980–2015 and 2015–2050 according to the SSPs sh…

  • Commentary

    Open AccessHenk Westhoek, Jonathan Doelman et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2021Cited by: 1References: 1

  • Identifying regional drivers of future land-based biodiversity footprints

    Open AccessSandra Marquardt, Sandra G Marquardt et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2021Cited by: 4References: 11

    Biodiversity footprints quantify the impacts on ecosystems caused by final consumption in a region, accounting for imports and exports. Up to now, footprint analyses have typically been applied to analyze past or present consumption patterns. Here, we quantify future land-based biodiversity footprints associated with three diverging Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), using loss in Biodiversity Intactness Index (BII) as an indicator of biodive…

  • Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

    Open AccessG C Hurtt, Louise Chini et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2020

    Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has d…

  • Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

    Open AccessMario Herrero, Philip K Thornton et al.ARTICLENature Food2020

  • Bending the curve of terrestrial biodiversity needs an integrated strategy

    Open AccessDavid Leclère, Michael Obersteiner et al.ARTICLENature2020

    Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the ecosystem services that it provides1,2. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as reversing the declining trends in biodiversity3; however, just feeding the growing human population will make this a challenge4. Here we use an ensemble of land-use and biodiversity models to assess whether—and how—humanity can reverse the declines in terrestrial biodive…

  • Reply to

    Open AccessTomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2020

  • Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress

    Open AccessWillem‐Jan van Zeist, Willem-Jan van Zeist et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2020Cited by: 4References: 1

  • Key determinants of global land-use projections

    Open AccessElke Stehfest, Willem‐Jan van Zeist et al.ARTICLENature Communications2019

    Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of these scenarios shows substantial heterogeneity in land-use projections. Here we build on a recently developed sensitivity approach to identify how future …

  • Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6

    Open AccessMatthew Gidden, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2019

    We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emi…

  • Supplementary material to "Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale"

    Wei Li, Philippe Ciais et al.PREPRINT2019

  • Mapping the yields of lignocellulosic bioenergy crops from observations at the global scale

    Wei Li, Philippe Ciais et al.PREPRINT2019

    Most scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) that project greenhouse gas emissions include the use of bioenergy as a means to reduce CO2 emissions or even to achieving negative emissions (together with CCS). The potential amount of CO2 that can be removed from the atmosphere depends, among others, on the yields of bioenergy crops, the land available to grow these crops and the efficiency with which CO2 produced by combustion is capture…