Andrew Schurer
Biographic Data
| ID | 6374658 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Andrew Schurer |
| GIVEN NAMES | Andrew |
| FAMILY NAME | Schurer |
| SIGNATURE | SCHÜRER A |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Edinburgh |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-9176-3622 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 11 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 11 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2016 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
Climate simulations of the industrial era typically start in 1850, using the first fifty years as a baseline for ‘pre-industrial’ climate. However, the period immediately prior to 1850 is of particular interest due to early human influence and heightened volcanic activity, the latter of which led to cooler global temperatures than those observed in the subsequent historical period. In this study, we present a suite of Earth system model simulatio…
Role of multi-decadal variability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation on Northern Hemisphere climate
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) plays a leading role in modulating wintertime climate over the North Atlantic and the surrounding continents of Europe and North America. Here we show that the observed evolution of the NAO displays larger multi-decadal variability than that simulated by nearly all CMIP6 models. To investigate the role of the NAO as a pacemaker of multi-decadal climate variability, we analyse simulations that are constrained t…
Marine heatwaves in global sea surface temperature records since 1850
The adverse impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) on marine ecosystems and human activities are well-documented, yet observational studies tend to largely rely on recent records. Long-term records of MHWs can put the recent increase in frequency and intensity of MHWs in the context of past variability. We used long-term monthly sea surface temperature (SST) data and night marine air temperatures to characterise past MHW activity. A persistent increa…
Assessing opportunities to support coral reef climate change refugia in MPAs: A case study at the Revillagigedo Archipelago
Coral reef refugia are habitats which possess physical, biological and ecological characteristics that make them likely to be relatively resilient to future climate change. Identification of refugia locations will be important to ensure suitable marine conservation planning is undertaken to protect sites where coral ecosystems will be better preserved now and in the future. This paper presents (1) a review of current knowledge of the oceanographi…
Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions
Climate models predict a strengthening contrast between wet and dry regions in the tropics and subtropics (30 °S–30 °N), and data from the latest model intercomparison project (CMIP6) support this expectation. Rainfall in ascending regions increases, and in descending regions decreases in climate models, reanalyses, and observational data. This strengthening contrast can be captured by tracking the rainfall change each month in the wettest and dr…
Observational constraints on the effective climate sensitivity from the historical period
The observed warming in the atmosphere and ocean can be used to estimate the climate sensitivity linked to present-day feedbacks, which is referred to as the effective climate sensitivity ( S hist ). However, such an estimate is affected by uncertainty in the radiative forcing, particularly aerosols, over the historical period. Here, we make use of detection and attribution techniques to derive the surface air temperature and ocean warming that c…
Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer
The European summer of 1816 has often been referred to as a ‘year without a summer’ due to anomalously cold conditions and unusual wetness, which led to widespread famines and agricultural failures. The cause has often been assumed to be the eruption of Mount Tambora in April 1815, however this link has not, until now, been proven. Here we apply state-of-the-art event attribution methods to quantify the contribution by the eruption and random wea…
Quantifying human contributions to past and future ocean warming and thermosteric sea level rise
More than 90% of the Earth’s energy imbalance is stored by the ocean. While previous studies have shown that changes in the ocean warming are detectable and distinct from internal variability of the climate system, an estimate of separate contributions by natural and individual anthropogenic forcings (such as greenhouse gases and aerosols) remains outstanding. Here we investigate anthropogenic and greenhouse-gas contributions to past ocean warmin…
Detection of human influences on temperature seasonality from the nineteenth century
The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences
The most pronounced warming in the historical global climate record prior to the recent warming occurred over the first half of the 20th century and is known as the Early Twentieth Century Warming (ETCW). Understanding this period and the subsequent slowdown of warming is key to disentangling the relationship between decadal variability and the response to human influences in the present and future climate. This review discusses the observed chan…
European summer temperatures since Roman times
The spatial context is criticalwhen assessing present-day climate anomalies, attributing them to potential forcings and making statements regarding their frequency and severity in a long-term perspective. Recent international initiatives have expanded the number of high-quality proxy-records and developed new statistical reconstruction methods. These advances allow more rigorous regional past temperature reconstructions and, in turn, the possibil…
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European summer temperatures since Roman times
The spatial context is criticalwhen assessing present-day climate anomalies, attributing them to potential forcings and making statements regarding their frequency and severity in a long-term perspective. Recent international initiatives have expanded the number of high-quality proxy-records and developed new statistical reconstruction methods. These advances allow more rigorous regional past temperature reconstructions and, in turn, the possibil…
The early 20th century warming: Anomalies, causes, and consequences
The most pronounced warming in the historical global climate record prior to the recent warming occurred over the first half of the 20th century and is known as the Early Twentieth Century Warming (ETCW). Understanding this period and the subsequent slowdown of warming is key to disentangling the relationship between decadal variability and the response to human influences in the present and future climate. This review discusses the observed chan…
Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer
The European summer of 1816 has often been referred to as a ‘year without a summer’ due to anomalously cold conditions and unusual wetness, which led to widespread famines and agricultural failures. The cause has often been assumed to be the eruption of Mount Tambora in April 1815, however this link has not, until now, been proven. Here we apply state-of-the-art event attribution methods to quantify the contribution by the eruption and random wea…
Quantifying human contributions to past and future ocean warming and thermosteric sea level rise
More than 90% of the Earth’s energy imbalance is stored by the ocean. While previous studies have shown that changes in the ocean warming are detectable and distinct from internal variability of the climate system, an estimate of separate contributions by natural and individual anthropogenic forcings (such as greenhouse gases and aerosols) remains outstanding. Here we investigate anthropogenic and greenhouse-gas contributions to past ocean warmin…
Detection of human influences on temperature seasonality from the nineteenth century
Assessing opportunities to support coral reef climate change refugia in MPAs: A case study at the Revillagigedo Archipelago
Coral reef refugia are habitats which possess physical, biological and ecological characteristics that make them likely to be relatively resilient to future climate change. Identification of refugia locations will be important to ensure suitable marine conservation planning is undertaken to protect sites where coral ecosystems will be better preserved now and in the future. This paper presents (1) a review of current knowledge of the oceanographi…
Human influence strengthens the contrast between tropical wet and dry regions
Climate models predict a strengthening contrast between wet and dry regions in the tropics and subtropics (30 °S–30 °N), and data from the latest model intercomparison project (CMIP6) support this expectation. Rainfall in ascending regions increases, and in descending regions decreases in climate models, reanalyses, and observational data. This strengthening contrast can be captured by tracking the rainfall change each month in the wettest and dr…
Observational constraints on the effective climate sensitivity from the historical period
The observed warming in the atmosphere and ocean can be used to estimate the climate sensitivity linked to present-day feedbacks, which is referred to as the effective climate sensitivity ( S hist ). However, such an estimate is affected by uncertainty in the radiative forcing, particularly aerosols, over the historical period. Here, we make use of detection and attribution techniques to derive the surface air temperature and ocean warming that c…
Marine heatwaves in global sea surface temperature records since 1850
The adverse impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) on marine ecosystems and human activities are well-documented, yet observational studies tend to largely rely on recent records. Long-term records of MHWs can put the recent increase in frequency and intensity of MHWs in the context of past variability. We used long-term monthly sea surface temperature (SST) data and night marine air temperatures to characterise past MHW activity. A persistent increa…
Role of multi-decadal variability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation on Northern Hemisphere climate
The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) plays a leading role in modulating wintertime climate over the North Atlantic and the surrounding continents of Europe and North America. Here we show that the observed evolution of the NAO displays larger multi-decadal variability than that simulated by nearly all CMIP6 models. To investigate the role of the NAO as a pacemaker of multi-decadal climate variability, we analyse simulations that are constrained t…
Importance of beginning industrial-era climate simulations in the eighteenth century
Climate simulations of the industrial era typically start in 1850, using the first fifty years as a baseline for ‘pre-industrial’ climate. However, the period immediately prior to 1850 is of particular interest due to early human influence and heightened volcanic activity, the latter of which led to cooler global temperatures than those observed in the subsequent historical period. In this study, we present a suite of Earth system model simulatio…
Climate change (10 works) · Climate variability and models (10 works) · Environmental Science (10 works) · Climatology (9 works) · Geography (9 works) · Geology (9 works) · Oceanography (8 works) · Climate model (6 works) · Forcing (mathematics (5 works) · Global warming (5 works)