Kevin Cowtan
Biographic Data
| ID | 6545247 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Kevin Cowtan |
| GIVEN NAMES | Kevin |
| FAMILY NAME | Cowtan |
| SIGNATURE | COWTAN K |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of York |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-0189-1437 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 5 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 5 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2018 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
A fluctuation in surface temperature in historical context: Reassessment and retrospective on the evidence
This work reviews the literature on an alleged global warming 'pause' in global mean surface temperature (GMST) to determine how it has been defined, what time intervals are used to characterise it, what data are used to measure it, and what methods used to assess it. We test for 'pauses', both in the normally understood meaning of the term to mean no warming trend, as well as for a 'pause' defined as a substantially slower trend in GMST. The tes…
Global temperature definition affects achievement of long-term climate goals
The Paris Agreement on climate change aims to limit 'global average temperature' rise to 'well below 2 °C' but reported temperature depends on choices about how to blend air and water temperature data, handle changes in sea ice and account for regions with missing data. Here we use CMIP5 climate model simulations to estimate how these choices affect reported warming and carbon budgets consistent with the Paris Agreement. By the 2090s, under a low…
The ‘pause’ in global warming in historical context: (II). Comparing models to observations
We review the evidence for a putative early 21st-century divergence between global mean surface temperature (GMST) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) projections. We provide a systematic comparison between temperatures and projections using historical versions of GMST products and historical versions of model projections that existed at the times when claims about a divergence were made. The comparisons are conducted with a…
Reply to Comment on ‘Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature’
Comment on “Quantitatively evaluating the effects of CO2 emission on temperature rise”
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Comment on “Quantitatively evaluating the effects of CO2 emission on temperature rise”
Reply to Comment on ‘Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature’
A fluctuation in surface temperature in historical context: Reassessment and retrospective on the evidence
This work reviews the literature on an alleged global warming 'pause' in global mean surface temperature (GMST) to determine how it has been defined, what time intervals are used to characterise it, what data are used to measure it, and what methods used to assess it. We test for 'pauses', both in the normally understood meaning of the term to mean no warming trend, as well as for a 'pause' defined as a substantially slower trend in GMST. The tes…
Global temperature definition affects achievement of long-term climate goals
The Paris Agreement on climate change aims to limit 'global average temperature' rise to 'well below 2 °C' but reported temperature depends on choices about how to blend air and water temperature data, handle changes in sea ice and account for regions with missing data. Here we use CMIP5 climate model simulations to estimate how these choices affect reported warming and carbon budgets consistent with the Paris Agreement. By the 2090s, under a low…
The ‘pause’ in global warming in historical context: (II). Comparing models to observations
We review the evidence for a putative early 21st-century divergence between global mean surface temperature (GMST) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) projections. We provide a systematic comparison between temperatures and projections using historical versions of GMST products and historical versions of model projections that existed at the times when claims about a divergence were made. The comparisons are conducted with a…
Climate variability and models (5 works) · Climate change (4 works) · Climatology (4 works) · Geology (4 works) · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics (3 works) · Econometrics (3 works) · Environmental Science (3 works) · Global warming (3 works) · Mathematics (3 works) · Physics (3 works)