Nico Wunderling

Biographic Data

ID6546571
NAMENico Wunderling
GIVEN NAMESNico
FAMILY NAMEWunderling
SIGNATUREWUNDERLING N
AFFILIATIONSStockholm Resilience Centre
ORCID0000-0002-3566-323X
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS10
TOTAL CITATIONS24
WORKS AS AUTHOR10
WORKS AS EDITOR0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2021
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX1

  • The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory

    Open AccessWilliam J Ripple, Hillary S Young et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2026

  • The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

    Open AccessPaul Ritchie, Norman Julius Steinert et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2026

    Due to insufficient emission reductions in recent years, it is increasingly likely that global warming will exceed the 1.5 °C temperature limit in the late 2020s or 2030s. As a result, several Earth system tipping elements could, at least temporarily, have their tipping points surpassed, posing risks of large-scale and profound structural change. Tipping does not always occur immediately upon crossing such a critical threshold. If the length of t…

  • Critical intervention points for European adaptation to cascading climate change impacts

    Open AccessCornelia Auer, Christopher Reyer et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2025

    In an interconnected world, climate change impacts can cascade across sectors and regions, creating systemic risks. Here we analyse cascading climate change impacts on the EU, originating from outside the region, and identify critical intervention points for adaptation. Using network analysis, we integrate stakeholder-co-produced impact chains with quantitative data for 102 countries across foreign policy, human security, trade and finance. Our a…

  • Causal pathway from Amoc to Southern Amazon rainforest indicates stabilising interaction between two climate tipping elements

    Open AccessAnnika Högner, Giorgia Di Capua et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2025

    Declines in resilience have been observed in several climate tipping elements over the past decades, including the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and the Amazon rainforest (AR). Large-scale nonlinear and possibly irreversible changes in system state, such as AMOC weakening or rainforest-savanna transitions in the Amazon basin, would have severe impacts on ecosystems and human societies worldwide. In order to improve future tip…

  • Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances

    Open AccessVitus Benson, Jonathan F Donges et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    The Amazon rainforest is considered one of the Earth’s tipping elements and may lose stability under ongoing climate change. Recently a decrease in tropical rainforest resilience has been identified globally from remotely sensed vegetation data. However, the underlying theory assumes a Gaussian distribution of forest disturbances, which is different from most observed forest stressors such as fires, deforestation, or windthrow. Those stressors of…

  • Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

    Open AccessNico Wunderling, Rainer Winkelmann et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2023

  • Socio-political feedback on the path to net zero

    Open AccessSaverio Perri, Simon A Levin et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2023

  • Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters

    Open AccessHannah Mevenkamp, Nico Wunderling et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023

    Climate change is having significant impacts on Earth’s ecosystems and carbon budgets, and in the Arctic may drive a shift from an historic carbon sink to a source. Large uncertainties in terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) used to forecast Arctic changes demonstrate the challenges of determining the timing and extent of this possible switch. This spread in model predictions can limit the ability of TBMs to guide management and policy decisions. …

  • What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’

    Open AccessAnn Kristin Klose, Nico Wunderling et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Based on suggested interactions of potential tipping elements in the Earth’s climate and in ecological systems, tipping cascades as possible dynamics are increasingly discussed and studied. The activation of such tipping cascades would impose a considerable risk for human societies and biosphere integrity. However, there are ambiguities in the description of tipping cascades within the literature so far. Here we illustrate how different patterns …

  • Social tipping processes towards climate action

    Open AccessRainer Winkelmann, Jonathan F Donges et al.ARTICLEEcological Economics2021Cited by: 24References: 31