Katherine Calvin

Biographic Data

ID6568148
NAMEKatherine Calvin
GIVEN NAMESKatherine
FAMILY NAMECalvin
SIGNATURECALVIN K
AFFILIATIONSJoint Global Change Research Institute
ORCID0000-0003-2191-4189
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS43
TOTAL CITATIONS548
AUTHOR COUNT43
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2009
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2026
H-INDEX8

  • Portraits of Empires

    Katherine CalvinARTICLERenaissance Quarterly2026

  • Seeing the forest for the trees

    Open AccessKanishka B Narayan, Pralit Patel et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Studies have found that understanding forest management is critical in understanding the interaction between the carbon cycle and the integrated human-Earth system. This makes effectively representing forest management decisions such as planting and harvesting important. Here, we implement a novel dynamic forest harvest model in a global state of the art multi-sector dynamics model, namely the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM). We implement an …

  • Ipcc, 2023

    Katherine Calvin, Dipak Dasgupta et al.REPORTIPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023:…2023

    The Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Synthesis Report (SYR) of the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is a component of the SYR which provides a policy-relevant but policy-neutral summary of the SYR. It is consistent with the Sections of the SYR and is approved line by line by the Governments at a plenary session of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

  • Ipcc, 2023

    Katherine Calvin, Dipak Dasgupta et al.REPORT2023

    The Synthesis Report (SYR) is a stand-alone synthesis of the most policy-relevant evidence from the scientific, technical, and socio-economic literature assessed in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The SYR distils and integrates the main findings of the three reports of the Working Groups of the IPCC during the AR6, and the three AR6 Special Reports into a concise document. It consists of …

  • Agricultural market integration preserves future global water resources

    Open AccessNeal T Graham, Gokul Iyer et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2023

    Traded agricultural goods redistribute water, virtually, around the world to satisfy unmet demands while limiting excess water extraction in importing regions. However, gaps remain in our understanding of how alternative international trade regimes may alter agricultural water demands, locally and virtually. Here, we explore global agricultural water savings and virtual water trade impacts of such trade regimes under reference and low-carbon scen…

  • Overseeing Senegal

    Open AccessKatherine CalvinARTICLEJournal182022

    Katherine Calvin While describing Senegal in his 1797 illustrated book, Tableaux des principaux peuples de l’Europe, de l’Asie, de l’Afrique, de l’Amérique, et les découvertes des capitaines Cook, La Pérouse, etc

  • The impact of agricultural trade approaches on global economic modeling

    Open AccessXin Zhao, Marshall Wise et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2022Cited by: 1References: 11

    Researchers explore future economic and climate scenarios using global economic and integrated assessment models to understand long-term interactions between human development and global environmental changes. However, differences in trade modeling approaches are an important source of uncertainty in these types of assessments, particularly for regional projections. In this study, we modified the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM) to include a n…

  • Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress

    Open AccessGiacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Advancing a toolkit of diverse futures approaches for global environmental assessments

    Open AccessLaura Pereira, Jan J Kuiper et al.ARTICLEEcosystems and People2021

    Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making in the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods are needed to respond to the needs of decision-makers for a more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation of different policies, geared for action from global to local. While scenarios are an important tool for GEAs to link short-term dec…

  • The role of direct air capture and negative emissions technologies in the shared socioeconomic pathways towards +1.5 °C and +2 °C futures

    Open AccessJay Fuhrman, Andrés F Clarens et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    The development of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and associated integrated assessment modeling (IAM) exercises did not include direct air capture with carbon storage (DACCS) in their scenarios. However, recent more optimistic cost estimates and commercial or pilot-scale DACCS plants have led to increased attention to this technology in both IAM literature and in real-world policy discussions. DACCS is an energy-consuming negative emiss…

  • Global agricultural responses to interannual climate and biophysical variability

    Open AccessXin Zhao, Katherine Calvin et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Agricultural production is highly sensitive to changes in climate and weather patterns. The focus of the great majority of studies assessing climate impacts on agriculture has been on mean changes in agricultural responses. However, the manner in which global agricultural markets respond to the interannual variability of the climate and biophysical shocks is poorly understood. Here we show a strong transmission of interannual variations in climat…

  • Harmonization of global land use change and management for the period 850–2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6

    Open AccessG C Hurtt, Louise Chini et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2020

    Human land use activities have resulted in large changes to the biogeochemical and biophysical properties of the Earth's surface, with consequences for climate and other ecosystem services. In the future, land use activities are likely to expand and/or intensify further to meet growing demands for food, fiber, and energy. As part of the World Climate Research Program Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), the international community has d…

  • Early retirement of power plants in climate mitigation scenarios

    Open AccessRobert Fofrich Navarro, Dan Tong et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    International efforts to avoid dangerous climate change aim for large and rapid reductions of fossil fuel CO 2 emissions worldwide, including nearly complete decarbonization of the electric power sector. However, achieving such rapid reductions may depend on early retirement of coal- and natural gas-fired power plants. Here, we analyze future fossil fuel electricity demand in 171 energy-emissions scenarios from Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs)…

  • Are scenario projections overly optimistic about future yield progress

    Open AccessWillem‐Jan van Zeist, Willem-Jan van Zeist et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2020Cited by: 4References: 1

  • Global Environment Outlook – GEO-6

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, U N UN Environment et al.BOOKGlobal Environment Outlook - GEO-62019

  • Key determinants of global land-use projections

    Open AccessElke Stehfest, Willem‐Jan van Zeist et al.ARTICLENature Communications2019

    Land use is at the core of various sustainable development goals. Long-term climate foresight studies have structured their recent analyses around five socio-economic pathways (SSPs), with consistent storylines of future macroeconomic and societal developments; however, model quantification of these scenarios shows substantial heterogeneity in land-use projections. Here we build on a recently developed sensitivity approach to identify how future …

  • Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6

    Open AccessMatthew Gidden, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2019

    We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emi…

  • GCAM v5.1

    Open AccessKatherine Calvin, Pralit Patel et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2019

    This paper describes GCAM v5.1, an open source model that represents the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems. GCAM is a market equilibrium model, is global in scope, and operates from 1990 to 2100 in 5-year time steps. It can be used to examine, for example, how changes in population, income, or technology cost might alter crop production, energy demand, or water withdrawals, or how changes in one region's demand f…

  • Land-Management Options for Greenhouse Gas Removal and Their Impacts on Ecosystem Services and the Sustainable Development Goals

    Open AccessPete Smith, Justin Adams et al.ARTICLEAnnual Review of Environment and…2019

    Land-management options for greenhouse gas removal (GGR) include afforestation or reforestation (AR), wetland restoration, soil carbon sequestration (SCS), biochar, terrestrial enhanced weathering (TEW), and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). We assess the opportunities and risks associated with these options through the lens of their potential impacts on ecosystem services (Nature's Contributions to People; NCPs) and the United N…

  • Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

    Open AccessNeal T Graham, Mohamad Hejazi et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    Future changes in climate and socioeconomic systems will drive both the availability and use of water resources, leading to evolutions in scarcity. The contributions of both systems can be quantified individually to understand the impacts around the world, but also combined to explore how the coevolution of energy-water-land systems affects not only the driver behind water scarcity changes, but how human and climate systems interact in tandem to …

  • The vulnerabilities of agricultural land and food production to future water scarcity

    Open AccessNuala Fitton, Peter Alexander et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2019Cited by: 8References: 5

    We examine risks to current agricultural land to future changes in water availability. • We present a multiple model inter-comparison of future land demand and water availability. • Eleven percent of croplands and ten percent of grasslands are at risk from declining water availability. • Changes in diet and waste reduction offer a buffer against land loss and food insecurity. Rapidly increasing populations coupled with increased food demand requi…

  • Regional responses to future, demand-driven water scarcity

    Open AccessRyna Cui, Ryna Yiyun Cui et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2018

    This paper explores regional response strategies to potential water scarcity. Using a model of integrated human-earth system dynamics (GCAM), we test a wide range of alternate water demand scenarios to explore regional response strategies. We create a typology that categorizes countries and basins according to their responses in electricity and agriculture to potential water scarcity. Three different categories are found. First, little response i…

  • Integrated human-earth system modeling—state of the science and future directions

    Open AccessKatherine Calvin, Ben Bond‐LambertyARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2018

    Research on humans and the Earth system has historically occurred separately, with different teams and models devoted to each. Increasingly, however, these communities and models are becoming intricately linked. In this review, we survey the literature on integrated human-Earth system models, quantify the direction and strength of feedbacks in those models, and put them in context of other, more frequently considered, feedbacks in the Earth syste…

  • Quantifying the indirect impacts of climate on agriculture

    Open AccessKatherine Calvin, Kate Calvin et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    Climate change and increases in CO2 concentration affect the productivity of land, with implications for land use, land cover, and agricultural production. Much of the literature on the effect of climate on agriculture has focused on linking projections of changes in climate to process-based or statistical crop models. However, the changes in productivity have broader economic implications that cannot be quantified in crop models alone. How impor…

  • The Shared Socio-economic Pathways

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2017Cited by: 21References: 16