Antony Millner
Biographic Data
| ID | 6569242 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Antony Millner |
| GIVEN NAMES | Antony |
| FAMILY NAME | Millner |
| SIGNATURE | MILLNER A |
| AFFILIATIONS | University of Oxford |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 5 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 6 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 5 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2009 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2020 |
| H-INDEX | 1 |
Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections
Policy Experimentation, Political Competition, and Heterogeneous Beliefs
Policy experimentation, political competition, and heterogeneous beliefs
We consider a two period model in which an incumbent political party chooses the level of a current policy variable unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters' payoffs, but they have different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (po…
What determines perceived value of seasonal climate forecasts? A theoretical analysis
What Is the True Value of Forecasts
Understanding the economic value of weather and climate forecasts is of tremendous practical importance. Traditional models that have attempted to gauge forecast value have focused on a best-case scenario, in which forecast users are assumed to be statistically sophisticated, hyperrational decision makers with perfect knowledge and understanding of forecast performance. These models provide a normative benchmark for assessing forecast value, but …
What Is the True Value of Forecasts
Understanding the economic value of weather and climate forecasts is of tremendous practical importance. Traditional models that have attempted to gauge forecast value have focused on a best-case scenario, in which forecast users are assumed to be statistically sophisticated, hyperrational decision makers with perfect knowledge and understanding of forecast performance. These models provide a normative benchmark for assessing forecast value, but …
What determines perceived value of seasonal climate forecasts? A theoretical analysis
Policy Experimentation, Political Competition, and Heterogeneous Beliefs
Policy experimentation, political competition, and heterogeneous beliefs
We consider a two period model in which an incumbent political party chooses the level of a current policy variable unilaterally, but faces competition from a political opponent in the future. Both parties care about voters' payoffs, but they have different beliefs about how policy choices will map into future economic outcomes. We show that when the incumbent party can endogenously influence whether learning occurs through its policy choices (po…
Confirmation bias and signaling in Downsian elections
Economics (5 works) · Computer Science (3 works) · Political science (3 works) · Politics (3 works) · Biology (2 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (2 works) · Econometrics (2 works) · Economic and Environmental Valuation (2 works) · Economic Policies and Impacts (2 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (2 works)