John H Marsham

Biographic Data

ID6821883
NAMEJohn H Marsham
GIVEN NAMESJohn H
FAMILY NAMEMarsham
SIGNATUREMARSHAM J H
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of Leeds
ORCID0000-0003-3219-8472
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS6
TOTAL CITATIONS0
AUTHOR COUNT6
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2020
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2022
H-INDEX0

  • Nowcasting tracks of severe convective storms in West Africa from observations of land surface state

    Open AccessChristopher M Taylor, Cornelia Klein et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    In tropical convective climates, where numerical weather prediction of rainfall has high uncertainty, nowcasting provides essential alerts of extreme events several hours ahead. In principle, short-term prediction of intense convective storms could benefit from knowledge of the slowly evolving land surface state in regions where soil moisture controls surface fluxes. Here we explore how near-real time (NRT) satellite observations of the land surf…

  • Past and projected climate change impacts on heat-related child mortality in Africa

    Open AccessSarah Chapman, Cyril Birch et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Children (<5 years) are highly vulnerable during hot weather due to their reduced ability to thermoregulate. There has been limited quantification of the burden of climate change on health in sub-Saharan Africa, in part due to a lack of evidence on the impacts of weather extremes on mortality and morbidity. Using a linear threshold model of the relationship between daily temperature and child mortality, we estimated the impact of climate change o…

  • Combining CMIP data with a regional convection-permitting model and observations to project extreme rainfall under climate change

    Open AccessCornelia Klein, Lawrence Jackson et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Due to associated hydrological risks, there is an urgent need to provide plausible quantified changes in future extreme rainfall rates. Convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations represent a major advance in capturing extreme rainfall and its sensitivities to atmospheric changes under global warming. However, they are computationally costly, limiting uncertainty evaluation in ensembles and covered time periods. This is in contrast to the Clim…

  • Robust Amazon precipitation projections in climate models that capture realistic land–atmosphere interactions

    Open AccessJessica C A Baker, Luis Garcia‐Carreras et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Land–atmosphere interactions have an important influence on Amazon precipitation (P), but evaluation of these processes in climate models has so far been limited. We analysed relationships between Amazon P and evapotranspiration (ET) in the 5th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models to evaluate controls on surface moisture fluxes and assess the credibility of regional P projections. We found that only 13 out of 38 models captured an energy …

  • Assessing the impact of climate change on soil erosion in East Africa using a convection-permitting climate model

    Open AccessSarah Chapman, Cyril Birch et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    East Africa is highly reliant on agriculture and has high rates of soil erosion which negatively impact agricultural yields. Climate projections suggest that rainfall intensity will increase in East Africa, which is likely to increase soil erosion. Soil erosion estimates require information on rainfall erosivity, which is calculated using sub-daily storm characteristics that are known to be biased in traditional parameterized convection climate m…

  • Impact of climate change on crop suitability in sub-Saharan Africa in parameterized and convection-permitting regional climate models

    Open AccessSarah Chapman, Cyril Birch et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Due to high present-day temperatures and reliance on rainfed agriculture, sub-Saharan Africa is highly vulnerable to climate change. We use a comprehensive set of global (CMIP5) and regional (CORDEX-Africa) climate projections and a new convection-permitting pan-Africa simulation (and its parameterized counterpart) to examine changes in rainfall and temperature and the impact on crop suitability of maize, cassava and soybean in sub-Saharan Africa…