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Dan Bernie

Biographic Data

ID6823735
NAMEDan Bernie
GIVEN NAMESDan
FAMILY NAMEBernie
SIGNATUREBERNIE D
AFFILIATIONSMet Office
ORCID0000-0003-3522-8921
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS4
TOTAL CITATIONS0
AUTHOR COUNT4
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2019
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX0
  • Spatiotemporal changes in UK heavy rainfall events not captured by intensity-based methods

    Open Access•Laura Devitt, Leanne Archer et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2025

    The increasing frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events driven by climate change poses challenges for flood risk management. In this study, we use a high-resolution, convection-permitting ensemble from the UK climate projections local dataset to explore how the spatiotemporal characteristics of heavy rainfall events may evolve across the UK. Adopting an event-based framework, we analyse 5 km hourly rainfall data from 12 ensemble members a…

  • Near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways

    Open Access•Ajay Gambhir, Mel George et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2022

  • Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise

    Open Access•Amy H Peace, K S Carslaw et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2020

    Anthropogenic aerosol emissions are predicted to decline sharply throughout the 21st century, in line with climate change and air quality mitigation policies, causing a near-term warming of climate that will impact our trajectory towards 1.5 C above pre-industrial temperatures. However, the persistent uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing limits our understanding of how much the global mean temperature will respond to near-term reductions in a…

  • The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios

    Open Access•Nigel W Arnell, Jason Lowe et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2019

    This paper presents an evaluation of the global and regional consequences of climate change for heat extremes, water resources, river and coastal flooding, droughts, agriculture and energy use. It presents change in hazard and resource base under different rates of climate change (representative concentration pathways (RCP)), and socio-economic impacts are estimated for each combination of RCP and shared socioeconomic pathway. Uncertainty in the …

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  • The global and regional impacts of climate change under representative concentration pathway forcings and shared socioeconomic pathway socioeconomic scenarios

    Open Access•Nigel W Arnell, Jason Lowe et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2019

    This paper presents an evaluation of the global and regional consequences of climate change for heat extremes, water resources, river and coastal flooding, droughts, agriculture and energy use. It presents change in hazard and resource base under different rates of climate change (representative concentration pathways (RCP)), and socio-economic impacts are estimated for each combination of RCP and shared socioeconomic pathway. Uncertainty in the …

  • Effect of aerosol radiative forcing uncertainty on projected exceedance year of a 1.5 °C global temperature rise

    Open Access•Amy H Peace, K S Carslaw et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2020

    Anthropogenic aerosol emissions are predicted to decline sharply throughout the 21st century, in line with climate change and air quality mitigation policies, causing a near-term warming of climate that will impact our trajectory towards 1.5 C above pre-industrial temperatures. However, the persistent uncertainty in aerosol radiative forcing limits our understanding of how much the global mean temperature will respond to near-term reductions in a…

  • Near-term transition and longer-term physical climate risks of greenhouse gas emissions pathways

    Open Access•Ajay Gambhir, Mel George et al.•ARTICLE•Nature Climate Change•2022

  • Spatiotemporal changes in UK heavy rainfall events not captured by intensity-based methods

    Open Access•Laura Devitt, Leanne Archer et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2025

    The increasing frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events driven by climate change poses challenges for flood risk management. In this study, we use a high-resolution, convection-permitting ensemble from the UK climate projections local dataset to explore how the spatiotemporal characteristics of heavy rainfall events may evolve across the UK. Adopting an event-based framework, we analyse 5 km hourly rainfall data from 12 ensemble members a…

Climate change (4 works) · Climate variability and models (3 works) · Environmental Science (3 works) · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics (2 works) · Climate model (2 works) · Climatology (2 works) · Ecology (2 works) · Flood myth (2 works) · Flood Risk Assessment and Management (2 works) · Forcing (mathematics (2 works)

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