Didier Sornette
Biographic Data
| ID | 699079 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Didier Sornette |
| GIVEN NAMES | Didier |
| FAMILY NAME | Sornette |
| SIGNATURE | SORNETTE D |
| AFFILIATIONS | ETH Zurich |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-7874-7962 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 18 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 34 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 17 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 1 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2003 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Global coastal human settlement retreat driven by vulnerability to coastal climate hazards
Generalized visible curvature: An indicator for bubble identification and price trend prediction in cryptocurrencies
Don't Tell the Boss!: How Poor Communication on Risks within Organizations Causes Major Catastrophes
This book contributes to the understanding of man-made disasters by providing an in-depth analysis of selected case studies of the last decades.
Are ‘flow of ideas’ and ‘research productivity’ in secular decline
It is widely held true that fundamental scientific knowledge has been accelerating exponentially over the past centuries and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Moreover, endogenous growth theory postulates that this exponential accumulation of knowledge is the main source of the ubiquitous exponential economic growth. We test these claims by constructing two new series of knowledge indices, one representing the historical evolutio…
Quantum decision theory augments rank-dependent expected utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory
Using experimental data on choices between pairs of lotteries, we compare a new parameterized Quantum Decision Theory (QDT) with Rank Dependent Utility Theory (RDU) and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). At the aggregate level, CPT-based QDT outperforms. At the individual level, the considerable heterogeneity across subjects is best described by the RDU-based QDT, at odds with the conclusion using the representative agent approach. The quantum att…
New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets
What science can do for democracy: A Complexity Science Approach
Political scientists have conventionally assumed that achieving democracy is a one-way ratchet. Only very recently has the question of “democratic backsliding” attracted any research attention. We argue that democratic instability is best understood with tools from complexity science. The explanatory power of complexity science arises from several features of complex systems. Their relevance in the context of democracy is discussed. Several polic…
Stability of democracies: A complex systems perspective
The idea that democracy is under threat, after being largely dormant for at least 40 years, is looming increasingly large in public discourse. Complex systems theory offers a range of powerful new tools to analyse the stability of social institutions in general, and democracy in particular. What makes a democracy stable? And which processes potentially lead to instability of a democratic system? This paper offers a complex systems perspective on …
Man-made Catastrophes and Risk Information Concealment: Case Studies of Major Disasters and Human Fallibility
Reassessing the safety of nuclear power
We summarize the results of a recent statistical analysis of 216 nuclear energy accidents and incidents (events). The dataset is twice as large as the previous best available. We employ cost in US dollars as a severity measure to facilitate the comparison of different types and sizes of events, a method more complete and consistent that the industry-standard approach. Despite significant reforms following past disasters, we estimate that, with 38…
A civil super-Apollo project in nuclear research for a safer and prosperous world
Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War
Drawing on Clausewitz's classical theory, we argue that the emergence of mass nationalism following the French Revolution profoundly altered the nature of the units constituting the interstate system, thereby transforming the conduct of interstate warfare. To validate these assertions—and thus to test Clausewitz—we rely on quantitative evidence at the macro level, with a particular focus on the global distribution of interstate war sizes, measure…
Theory of Zipf's Law and Beyond
International audience
Theory of Zipf's Law and Beyond
Exuberant Innovations: The Apollo Program
On Rogers Hollingsworth and Karl H. Muller 'Transforming socio-economics with a new epistemology', Socio-Economic Review, 6 (2008), 395-426
Robert Boyer: The Quest for Theoretical Foundations of Socio-Economics: Epistemology, Methodology or Ontology? Ralph J. Greenspan: A Biological Perspective on Complex Networks for a New Epistemology Renate Mayntz: Networks and Self-Organization: Dissecting the Model of Complex Networks Helga Nowotny: Bargaining, Not Borrowing: On Problem Choice and Problem Space Didier Sornette: Interdisciplinarity in Socio-Economics, Mathematical Analysis and th…
Endogenous versus Exogenous Origins of Crises
Endogenous Versus Exogenous Shocks in Complex Networks: An Empirical Test
Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War
Drawing on Clausewitz's classical theory, we argue that the emergence of mass nationalism following the French Revolution profoundly altered the nature of the units constituting the interstate system, thereby transforming the conduct of interstate warfare. To validate these assertions—and thus to test Clausewitz—we rely on quantitative evidence at the macro level, with a particular focus on the global distribution of interstate war sizes, measure…
Reassessing the safety of nuclear power
We summarize the results of a recent statistical analysis of 216 nuclear energy accidents and incidents (events). The dataset is twice as large as the previous best available. We employ cost in US dollars as a severity measure to facilitate the comparison of different types and sizes of events, a method more complete and consistent that the industry-standard approach. Despite significant reforms following past disasters, we estimate that, with 38…
What science can do for democracy: A Complexity Science Approach
Political scientists have conventionally assumed that achieving democracy is a one-way ratchet. Only very recently has the question of “democratic backsliding” attracted any research attention. We argue that democratic instability is best understood with tools from complexity science. The explanatory power of complexity science arises from several features of complex systems. Their relevance in the context of democracy is discussed. Several polic…
Quantum decision theory augments rank-dependent expected utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory
Using experimental data on choices between pairs of lotteries, we compare a new parameterized Quantum Decision Theory (QDT) with Rank Dependent Utility Theory (RDU) and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). At the aggregate level, CPT-based QDT outperforms. At the individual level, the considerable heterogeneity across subjects is best described by the RDU-based QDT, at odds with the conclusion using the representative agent approach. The quantum att…
Exuberant Innovations: The Apollo Program
Endogenous Versus Exogenous Shocks in Complex Networks: An Empirical Test
Endogenous versus Exogenous Origins of Crises
On Rogers Hollingsworth and Karl H. Muller 'Transforming socio-economics with a new epistemology', Socio-Economic Review, 6 (2008), 395-426
Robert Boyer: The Quest for Theoretical Foundations of Socio-Economics: Epistemology, Methodology or Ontology? Ralph J. Greenspan: A Biological Perspective on Complex Networks for a New Epistemology Renate Mayntz: Networks and Self-Organization: Dissecting the Model of Complex Networks Helga Nowotny: Bargaining, Not Borrowing: On Problem Choice and Problem Space Didier Sornette: Interdisciplinarity in Socio-Economics, Mathematical Analysis and th…
Theory of Zipf's Law and Beyond
Exuberant Innovations: The Apollo Program
Theory of Zipf's Law and Beyond
International audience
Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War
Drawing on Clausewitz's classical theory, we argue that the emergence of mass nationalism following the French Revolution profoundly altered the nature of the units constituting the interstate system, thereby transforming the conduct of interstate warfare. To validate these assertions—and thus to test Clausewitz—we rely on quantitative evidence at the macro level, with a particular focus on the global distribution of interstate war sizes, measure…
A civil super-Apollo project in nuclear research for a safer and prosperous world
Man-made Catastrophes and Risk Information Concealment: Case Studies of Major Disasters and Human Fallibility
Reassessing the safety of nuclear power
We summarize the results of a recent statistical analysis of 216 nuclear energy accidents and incidents (events). The dataset is twice as large as the previous best available. We employ cost in US dollars as a severity measure to facilitate the comparison of different types and sizes of events, a method more complete and consistent that the industry-standard approach. Despite significant reforms following past disasters, we estimate that, with 38…
Stability of democracies: A complex systems perspective
The idea that democracy is under threat, after being largely dormant for at least 40 years, is looming increasingly large in public discourse. Complex systems theory offers a range of powerful new tools to analyse the stability of social institutions in general, and democracy in particular. What makes a democracy stable? And which processes potentially lead to instability of a democratic system? This paper offers a complex systems perspective on …
New Facets of Economic Complexity in Modern Financial Markets
What science can do for democracy: A Complexity Science Approach
Political scientists have conventionally assumed that achieving democracy is a one-way ratchet. Only very recently has the question of “democratic backsliding” attracted any research attention. We argue that democratic instability is best understood with tools from complexity science. The explanatory power of complexity science arises from several features of complex systems. Their relevance in the context of democracy is discussed. Several polic…
Quantum decision theory augments rank-dependent expected utility and Cumulative Prospect Theory
Using experimental data on choices between pairs of lotteries, we compare a new parameterized Quantum Decision Theory (QDT) with Rank Dependent Utility Theory (RDU) and Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT). At the aggregate level, CPT-based QDT outperforms. At the individual level, the considerable heterogeneity across subjects is best described by the RDU-based QDT, at odds with the conclusion using the representative agent approach. The quantum att…
Don't Tell the Boss!: How Poor Communication on Risks within Organizations Causes Major Catastrophes
This book contributes to the understanding of man-made disasters by providing an in-depth analysis of selected case studies of the last decades.
Are ‘flow of ideas’ and ‘research productivity’ in secular decline
It is widely held true that fundamental scientific knowledge has been accelerating exponentially over the past centuries and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Moreover, endogenous growth theory postulates that this exponential accumulation of knowledge is the main source of the ubiquitous exponential economic growth. We test these claims by constructing two new series of knowledge indices, one representing the historical evolutio…
Generalized visible curvature: An indicator for bubble identification and price trend prediction in cryptocurrencies
Global coastal human settlement retreat driven by vulnerability to coastal climate hazards
Economics (12 works) · Law (8 works) · Political science (8 works) · Sociology (8 works) · Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis (5 works) · Computer Science (5 works) · Mathematics (5 works) · Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence (5 works) · Physics (5 works) · Econometrics (4 works)