Hiroyuki Hoshiro
Biographic Data
| ID | 734875 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Hiroyuki Hoshiro |
| GIVEN NAMES | Hiroyuki |
| FAMILY NAME | Hoshiro |
| SIGNATURE | HOSHIRO H |
| AFFILIATIONS | The University of Tokyo |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-2291-8897 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 13 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 11 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 13 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2009 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 2 |
Thirty Years of the Audience Cost Theory: Correlations, Mechanisms, and Scientific Realism
This article offers a comprehensive review of Audience Cost Theory (ACT) over the past 30 years, analyzing it through the lens of scientific realism. Originally proposed by James Fearon (1994), ACT posits that leaders face domestic political costs if they make threats in international crises and subsequently back down. The theory has sparked significant debate, with empirical support being divided. While survey experiments generally confirm publi…
Bringing the National Interest to the Forefront of Foreign Aid Policy
Since the late 2010s, Japan has said publicly that it will provide foreign assistance to protect its national interest. A systematic text analysis reveals, however, that Japan had announced this objective as far back as 1969. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the connection of aid to the national interest was indirect and long-term, with the belief that global stability would lead to prosperity. In the 2000s, the suspension of aid to China and th…
Aid coordination through competition? Unintended consequences of China–Japan rivalry in foreign aid policy in Asia
The power struggle between China and Japan in Asia continues, with their political confrontations extending to foreign aid rivalry. While Japan used to dominate in foreign aid in the region, China has overtaken it with its infrastructure assistance. No formal regional aid and development framework has yet been developed here. However, this article argues that unintentional donor coordination between China and Japan has been realized. The aid prov…
Reconsidering Japan’s War Reparations and Economic Re-Entry into Southeast Asia
Japan's war reparations began to be paid to Burma and the Philippines in 1956 and ended in 1976. Approximately 65 years have passed since the reparation payment began. The nature of Japan's Official Development Assistance, which has been based on economic infrastructure and prioritises Asia, began with war reparations. Although post-war reparations are relevant to Japan's economic statecraft, previous studies have analysed only the negotiation pr…
Japan’s Foreign Aid Policy: Has It Changed? Thirty Years of ODA Charters
Nearly 30 years have passed since the government of Japan unveiled its first Official Development Assistance Charter. Although it sets forth fundamental guidelines for the government’s foreign aid policy, previous studies have downplayed the influence of the ODA Charter. By contrast, this study argues that the ODA Charter changed Japan’s aid allocation behavior in relation to a number of issues. First, regarding military matters: since the introd…
Time pressures under international crises reconsidered: Integrating real and experimental time
This study discusses the relationship between the time pressure faced by policymakers when an international military-security crisis breaks out and the consequences of the crisis. If a policy is decided too quickly, decision-makers do not have the ability to consider enough alternatives and information, which lowers the chances of averting a crisis. Moreover, if too much time is taken in deliberating, an international crisis may heat up and the c…
Deconstructing the ‘Yoshida Doctrine
There is a consensus that the post-war Japanese foreign policy is based on theYoshida DoctrineorYoshida Line, which refers to the strategies of former Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida, who relied upon US military security, and maintained limited defense forces while focusing on economic recovery and growth. This paper reconsidered the Yoshida Doctrine, referencing multiple related arguments and evidence, reaching a conclusion that post-war Japanese…
Reisen no shūen to Nippon gaikō: Suzuki, Nakasone, Takeshita seiken no gaisei 1980 - 1989 nen (Japanese diplomacy at the end of the Cold War: Foreign policies under Suzuki, Nakasone, and Takeshita, 19…
Before publishing this book, Wakatsuki Hidekazu was already recognized as an authority on Japanese foreign policy of the 1970s. The first thing one notices when picking up this book is its unusual heft—over 700 pages including references and chronologies. These pages present a detailed account of how three prime ministers (Suzuki Zenkō, Nakasone Yasuhiro, and Takeshita Noboru) and their foreign ministers (Ito Masayoshi, Sakarauchi Yoshio, Kuranar…
Do diplomatic visits promote official development aid? Evidence from Japan
Do diplomatic visits by political leaders of recipient countries to donors influence the amount of bilateral Official Development Assistance (ODA) granted by donors? Some might argue that as aid al
Does regionalization promote regionalism? Evidence from East Asia
Scholars generally agree that regionalization and regionalism are different phenomena; however, unresolved arguments remain as to whether there is a causal relationship between the two. In particular, whether or not regionalization promotes regionalism is a subject of debate. This paper aims to comprehensively clarify and explain the relationship between regionalization as embodied in trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) and regionalism as c…
Japan, China and Networked Regionalism in East Asia
Although there is no question that regionalism in East Asia has been emerging, a number of stumbling blocks exist for creating full-fledged regional institutions similar to those displayed in Western regions. According to the author, the most remarkable feature of the East Asian region is that although regional institutions are still in the initial stages, bilaterally networked types of regionalism exist in trade, finance, security, and developme…
Asia's Flying Geese: How Regionalization Shapes Japan
Japan's political economy has been floundering since the early 1990s. In order to extricate itself from this predicament, the causes of this unpleasant situation need to be understood. In particular, the reasons why the Japanese political economy has remained unchanged throughout the 1990s and the first decade of the new millennium, despite massive pressure for reform, need to be investigated. Some say this is because neither Japanese business ex…
Co-Prosperity Sphere Again? United States Foreign Policy and Japan's "First" Regionalism in the 1950s
in the Asia-Pacific attracts considerable attention. Since the end of the 1980s, we have witnessed many proposals for creating regional institutions such as APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation), EAEC (the East Asia Economic Caucus) and ASEAN+3 (a so-called East Asian Community). This movement is often called New Regionalism or Second Regionalism together with the expanding and deepening links within the EU (the European Union) and the creatio…
Do diplomatic visits promote official development aid? Evidence from Japan
Do diplomatic visits by political leaders of recipient countries to donors influence the amount of bilateral Official Development Assistance (ODA) granted by donors? Some might argue that as aid al
Deconstructing the ‘Yoshida Doctrine
There is a consensus that the post-war Japanese foreign policy is based on theYoshida DoctrineorYoshida Line, which refers to the strategies of former Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida, who relied upon US military security, and maintained limited defense forces while focusing on economic recovery and growth. This paper reconsidered the Yoshida Doctrine, referencing multiple related arguments and evidence, reaching a conclusion that post-war Japanese…
Reconsidering Japan’s War Reparations and Economic Re-Entry into Southeast Asia
Japan's war reparations began to be paid to Burma and the Philippines in 1956 and ended in 1976. Approximately 65 years have passed since the reparation payment began. The nature of Japan's Official Development Assistance, which has been based on economic infrastructure and prioritises Asia, began with war reparations. Although post-war reparations are relevant to Japan's economic statecraft, previous studies have analysed only the negotiation pr…
Co-Prosperity Sphere Again? United States Foreign Policy and Japan's "First" Regionalism in the 1950s
in the Asia-Pacific attracts considerable attention. Since the end of the 1980s, we have witnessed many proposals for creating regional institutions such as APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation), EAEC (the East Asia Economic Caucus) and ASEAN+3 (a so-called East Asian Community). This movement is often called New Regionalism or Second Regionalism together with the expanding and deepening links within the EU (the European Union) and the creatio…
Asia's Flying Geese: How Regionalization Shapes Japan
Japan's political economy has been floundering since the early 1990s. In order to extricate itself from this predicament, the causes of this unpleasant situation need to be understood. In particular, the reasons why the Japanese political economy has remained unchanged throughout the 1990s and the first decade of the new millennium, despite massive pressure for reform, need to be investigated. Some say this is because neither Japanese business ex…
Japan, China and Networked Regionalism in East Asia
Although there is no question that regionalism in East Asia has been emerging, a number of stumbling blocks exist for creating full-fledged regional institutions similar to those displayed in Western regions. According to the author, the most remarkable feature of the East Asian region is that although regional institutions are still in the initial stages, bilaterally networked types of regionalism exist in trade, finance, security, and developme…
Does regionalization promote regionalism? Evidence from East Asia
Scholars generally agree that regionalization and regionalism are different phenomena; however, unresolved arguments remain as to whether there is a causal relationship between the two. In particular, whether or not regionalization promotes regionalism is a subject of debate. This paper aims to comprehensively clarify and explain the relationship between regionalization as embodied in trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) and regionalism as c…
Reisen no shūen to Nippon gaikō: Suzuki, Nakasone, Takeshita seiken no gaisei 1980 - 1989 nen (Japanese diplomacy at the end of the Cold War: Foreign policies under Suzuki, Nakasone, and Takeshita, 19…
Before publishing this book, Wakatsuki Hidekazu was already recognized as an authority on Japanese foreign policy of the 1970s. The first thing one notices when picking up this book is its unusual heft—over 700 pages including references and chronologies. These pages present a detailed account of how three prime ministers (Suzuki Zenkō, Nakasone Yasuhiro, and Takeshita Noboru) and their foreign ministers (Ito Masayoshi, Sakarauchi Yoshio, Kuranar…
Do diplomatic visits promote official development aid? Evidence from Japan
Do diplomatic visits by political leaders of recipient countries to donors influence the amount of bilateral Official Development Assistance (ODA) granted by donors? Some might argue that as aid al
Japan’s Foreign Aid Policy: Has It Changed? Thirty Years of ODA Charters
Nearly 30 years have passed since the government of Japan unveiled its first Official Development Assistance Charter. Although it sets forth fundamental guidelines for the government’s foreign aid policy, previous studies have downplayed the influence of the ODA Charter. By contrast, this study argues that the ODA Charter changed Japan’s aid allocation behavior in relation to a number of issues. First, regarding military matters: since the introd…
Time pressures under international crises reconsidered: Integrating real and experimental time
This study discusses the relationship between the time pressure faced by policymakers when an international military-security crisis breaks out and the consequences of the crisis. If a policy is decided too quickly, decision-makers do not have the ability to consider enough alternatives and information, which lowers the chances of averting a crisis. Moreover, if too much time is taken in deliberating, an international crisis may heat up and the c…
Deconstructing the ‘Yoshida Doctrine
There is a consensus that the post-war Japanese foreign policy is based on theYoshida DoctrineorYoshida Line, which refers to the strategies of former Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida, who relied upon US military security, and maintained limited defense forces while focusing on economic recovery and growth. This paper reconsidered the Yoshida Doctrine, referencing multiple related arguments and evidence, reaching a conclusion that post-war Japanese…
Aid coordination through competition? Unintended consequences of China–Japan rivalry in foreign aid policy in Asia
The power struggle between China and Japan in Asia continues, with their political confrontations extending to foreign aid rivalry. While Japan used to dominate in foreign aid in the region, China has overtaken it with its infrastructure assistance. No formal regional aid and development framework has yet been developed here. However, this article argues that unintentional donor coordination between China and Japan has been realized. The aid prov…
Reconsidering Japan’s War Reparations and Economic Re-Entry into Southeast Asia
Japan's war reparations began to be paid to Burma and the Philippines in 1956 and ended in 1976. Approximately 65 years have passed since the reparation payment began. The nature of Japan's Official Development Assistance, which has been based on economic infrastructure and prioritises Asia, began with war reparations. Although post-war reparations are relevant to Japan's economic statecraft, previous studies have analysed only the negotiation pr…
Bringing the National Interest to the Forefront of Foreign Aid Policy
Since the late 2010s, Japan has said publicly that it will provide foreign assistance to protect its national interest. A systematic text analysis reveals, however, that Japan had announced this objective as far back as 1969. From the 1970s through the 1990s, the connection of aid to the national interest was indirect and long-term, with the belief that global stability would lead to prosperity. In the 2000s, the suspension of aid to China and th…
Thirty Years of the Audience Cost Theory: Correlations, Mechanisms, and Scientific Realism
This article offers a comprehensive review of Audience Cost Theory (ACT) over the past 30 years, analyzing it through the lens of scientific realism. Originally proposed by James Fearon (1994), ACT posits that leaders face domestic political costs if they make threats in international crises and subsequently back down. The theory has sparked significant debate, with empirical support being divided. While survey experiments generally confirm publi…
Political science (12 works) · Politics (12 works) · Economics (11 works) · Law (8 works) · China (7 works) · Development economics (6 works) · Foreign policy (6 works) · International Development and Aid (6 works) · Law (6 works) · East Asia (5 works)