Juan Pablo Milanese
Biographic Data
| ID | 763859 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Juan Pablo Milanese |
| GIVEN NAMES | Juan Pablo |
| FAMILY NAME | Milanese |
| SIGNATURE | MILANESE J P |
| AFFILIATIONS | Icesi University |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-0980-3435 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 17 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 42 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 17 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2011 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2026 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Beyond compliance and resistance: Neutralization and norm capture in international election observation
Over the past decades, international election observation has become an institutionalized and widely accepted norm of the global democratic order. Even regimes with pronounced authoritarian characteristics rarely outright refuse to allow international missions. This empirical persistence poses an analytical challenge: how do electoral authoritarian regimes manage the potential political costs of international monitoring without rejecting the norm…
It takes two to tango: Electoral monitoring by and in authoritarian states, the case of Venezuela
The last few decades have seen a significant increase in the study of electoral monitoring processes. This body of work underscores the crucial role of these processes in recognizing democracies and emphasizes the role of electoral monitoring in ensuring the integrity of elections, lending credibility and legitimacy to the outcomes. At the same time, it is important to note that while elections are essential to democratic norms, the mere fact tha…
Recasting of the Latin American Right: Polarization and Conservative Reactions
This book analyzes the transformation of the political right in Latin America in response to the strengthening of left-wing parties and movements throughout the region. While Latin America's post-2000 left has been widely studied, little is known about right-wing political formations during and after that time. There is a paucity of research on recent phenomena associated with the reorganization of the Right: the polarization of Latin American el…
Pathways of post-conflict violence in Colombia
Violence in post-conflict settings is often attributed to a post-war boom in organized crime, facilitated by the demobilization of armed groups and the persisting weakness of the state. The article argues that this is only one pathway of post-conflict violence. A second causal pathway emerges from the challenges that peace processes can constitute for entrenched local political orders. By fostering political inclusion, the implementation of peace…
Efectos de la accesibilidad sobre la abstención electoral: Colombia, 2014-2018
Este trabajo analiza el efecto que la accesibilidad a los puestos de votación produce sobre la abstención electoral en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que, independientemente del tipo de elección, distancia y abstención están directamente relacionadas. Dentro de este marco, si bien se considera que la primera no es un factor crucial para la producción de participación, es relevante al impactar sobre votantes caracterizados por un compromiso lim…
Electoral decentralisation with weak parties. Analysis of Colombia’s subnational elections
In this report, we analyse subnational electoral dynamics, reviewing some temporal patterns of both municipal and departmental elections in Colombia; however, we focus particularly on the most recent elections in 2019. Local and regional electoral dynamics are significantly decoupled from national politics and, despite the existence of the same party labels across all levels of government, we show that political parties are secondary actors in su…
Local competitive authoritarianism and post-conflict violence. An analysis of the assassination of social leaders in Colombia
The threat of continued violence is a primary concern in post-conflict societies. This article contributes to the literature on post-conflict violence by analyzing a specific phenomenon that has characterized Colombia since the signing of the 2016 peace agreement: the assassination of social leaders. Building on explanations that emphasize state weakness, illicit economies, and the role of illegal armed actors, we argue that the assassination of …
Realineamiento electoral. Análisis de la transferencia de votos en escenarios transicionales en Colombia
Introducción: Los debates en torno a los sistemas de partido en América Latina clasifican al caso colombiano como desinstitucionalizado. Aun cuando esta afirmación es indiscutiblemente acertada, suele pasar desapercibido el hecho de que existen issues que producen un efecto decantador del voto. Esto motiva, a su vez, un ordenamiento del electorado y comportamientos temporalmente consistentes, especialmente en las elecciones presidenciales. En lo …
Cuando lo local no es función de lo nacional: Efectos diferenciales del cambio institucional en Colombia (1997-2015)
Utilizando una estrategia multi método, el artículo muestra que los cambios en las reglas electorales implementados en Colombia en 2003 tuvieron un efecto contrario al esperado en las elecciones para los concejos municipales: aumentó la fragmentación del sistema de partidos y la intensidad de la competencia personalista. Adicionalmente, pese a que en el caso de la competencia personalista se produjo un efecto homogeneizador de municipios de difer…
Nationalization of the Legislative Vote, Visibility and Reputation in the Written Press: An Analysis of Candidates’ Strategies for the 2014 Colombian Senate Election
This article aims to explain how during the 2014 Colombian legislative election those candidates who had national visibility—in terms of the number of appearances in written press—effectively had a nationalized election. Furthermore, it aims to explain and further the understanding of the relationship between a candidate’s reputation in terms of favorability, esteem, and prestige, and the degree of nationalization of his or her votes. Therefore, …
Playing by the rules of the game: Partisan use of recall referendums in Colombia
As a bottom-up mechanism of direct democracy, recall can be triggered by citizens to remove elected officials through a vote, which is expected to increase accountability. Contradicting this hope, previous research has suggested that intensive use of recall referendums became an instrument of party competition. However, empirical evidence is scant. Thus, focusing on the 107 attempts of activating recall in Colombia during the first half of 2017 t…
Configuración de los apoyos electorales a nivel municipal. Un análisis de los resultados electorales para la Alcaldía de Cali, Colombia (2003-2015)
This article analyzes the election results for the mayoralty of Santiago de Cali in 2003, 2007, 2011 and 2015. Based on premises of the sociological model of voting behavior and through the use of fuzzy sets and geo-referencing, it makes estimates regarding electoral behavior in relation to socio-economic status and levels of fragmentation exhibited by the different types of candidacy (elite–non-elite). Causal configurations are thus identified w…
De las transiciones al estancamiento Revisitando la democratización en la obra de Guillermo O’Donnell
El presente texto realiza una reconstrucción de las influyentes contribuciones del politólogo Guillermo O’Donnell a los estudios sobre los procesos de democratización. Para ello, discute sus principales elaboraciones analíticas y conceptuales situándolas en el contexto político e histórico en el que se desarrollaron, así como frente a otros adelantos teóricos y discusiones ideológicas que les han seguido. En particular, esta revisión se concentra…
Selección De Candidatos en Escenarios De Atomización Dirigencial. Análisis De Los Casos De Cali Y El Valle Del Cauca, Elecciones Locales Y Regionales 2015
El presente artículo analiza el proceso de selección de candidatos para las elecciones locales y regionales de 2015 en el departamento del Valle del Cauca y en el municipio de Santiago de Cali (Colombia). Más precisamente, hace referencia al impacto que tuvieron sobre dicho proceso variables institucionales, en especial aquellas pertenecientes al sistema electoral en un escenario de atomización dirigencial y de identidades partidarias débiles. De…
Impacto de los factores institucionales del sistema electoral en la fragmentación partidaria. Un análisis de las elecciones para concejos municipales en el Valle del Cauca (1997-2011)
This paper analyzes, in aggregate form, the levels of fragmentation which existed in local council elections in the 42 districts of Valle del Cauca between 1997 and 2011; specifically, how a range of institutional variables contributed to this fragmentation, such as the size of the district and the reform of the electoral system in 2003. In the case of the latter, there is a particular focus on the limited impact that it had, generating significa…
Participación, éxito y prioridad. Un análisis macro de los equilibrios en las relaciones entre los poderes ejecutivo y legislativo en Colombia, 2002–2006
This paper examines the key characteristics of the link between the executive and the legislative branches of power during the first government of Alvaro Uribe Velez, which caused countless appraisals, highly inaccurate and questionable, with regards to the configuration of the so-called limited presidential centralism. The author discusses two variables that are considered classic for this type of studies: constitutional and party powers of the …
Participación éxito y prioridad: Un análisis macro de los equilibrios en las relaciones entre los poderes ejecutivo y legislativo en Colombia, 2002-2006
This paper examines the key characteristics of the link between the executive and the legislative branches of power during the first government of Alvaro Uribe Velez, which caused countless appraisals, highly inaccurate and questionable, with regards to the configuration of the so-called limited presidential centralism. The author discusses two variables that are considered classic for this type of studies: constitutional and party powers of the …
Local competitive authoritarianism and post-conflict violence. An analysis of the assassination of social leaders in Colombia
The threat of continued violence is a primary concern in post-conflict societies. This article contributes to the literature on post-conflict violence by analyzing a specific phenomenon that has characterized Colombia since the signing of the 2016 peace agreement: the assassination of social leaders. Building on explanations that emphasize state weakness, illicit economies, and the role of illegal armed actors, we argue that the assassination of …
Playing by the rules of the game: Partisan use of recall referendums in Colombia
As a bottom-up mechanism of direct democracy, recall can be triggered by citizens to remove elected officials through a vote, which is expected to increase accountability. Contradicting this hope, previous research has suggested that intensive use of recall referendums became an instrument of party competition. However, empirical evidence is scant. Thus, focusing on the 107 attempts of activating recall in Colombia during the first half of 2017 t…
Pathways of post-conflict violence in Colombia
Violence in post-conflict settings is often attributed to a post-war boom in organized crime, facilitated by the demobilization of armed groups and the persisting weakness of the state. The article argues that this is only one pathway of post-conflict violence. A second causal pathway emerges from the challenges that peace processes can constitute for entrenched local political orders. By fostering political inclusion, the implementation of peace…
Cuando lo local no es función de lo nacional: Efectos diferenciales del cambio institucional en Colombia (1997-2015)
Utilizando una estrategia multi método, el artículo muestra que los cambios en las reglas electorales implementados en Colombia en 2003 tuvieron un efecto contrario al esperado en las elecciones para los concejos municipales: aumentó la fragmentación del sistema de partidos y la intensidad de la competencia personalista. Adicionalmente, pese a que en el caso de la competencia personalista se produjo un efecto homogeneizador de municipios de difer…
Efectos de la accesibilidad sobre la abstención electoral: Colombia, 2014-2018
Este trabajo analiza el efecto que la accesibilidad a los puestos de votación produce sobre la abstención electoral en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que, independientemente del tipo de elección, distancia y abstención están directamente relacionadas. Dentro de este marco, si bien se considera que la primera no es un factor crucial para la producción de participación, es relevante al impactar sobre votantes caracterizados por un compromiso lim…
Nationalization of the Legislative Vote, Visibility and Reputation in the Written Press: An Analysis of Candidates’ Strategies for the 2014 Colombian Senate Election
This article aims to explain how during the 2014 Colombian legislative election those candidates who had national visibility—in terms of the number of appearances in written press—effectively had a nationalized election. Furthermore, it aims to explain and further the understanding of the relationship between a candidate’s reputation in terms of favorability, esteem, and prestige, and the degree of nationalization of his or her votes. Therefore, …
De las transiciones al estancamiento Revisitando la democratización en la obra de Guillermo O’Donnell
El presente texto realiza una reconstrucción de las influyentes contribuciones del politólogo Guillermo O’Donnell a los estudios sobre los procesos de democratización. Para ello, discute sus principales elaboraciones analíticas y conceptuales situándolas en el contexto político e histórico en el que se desarrollaron, así como frente a otros adelantos teóricos y discusiones ideológicas que les han seguido. En particular, esta revisión se concentra…
Participación, éxito y prioridad. Un análisis macro de los equilibrios en las relaciones entre los poderes ejecutivo y legislativo en Colombia, 2002–2006
This paper examines the key characteristics of the link between the executive and the legislative branches of power during the first government of Alvaro Uribe Velez, which caused countless appraisals, highly inaccurate and questionable, with regards to the configuration of the so-called limited presidential centralism. The author discusses two variables that are considered classic for this type of studies: constitutional and party powers of the …
Participación éxito y prioridad: Un análisis macro de los equilibrios en las relaciones entre los poderes ejecutivo y legislativo en Colombia, 2002-2006
This paper examines the key characteristics of the link between the executive and the legislative branches of power during the first government of Alvaro Uribe Velez, which caused countless appraisals, highly inaccurate and questionable, with regards to the configuration of the so-called limited presidential centralism. The author discusses two variables that are considered classic for this type of studies: constitutional and party powers of the …
Impacto de los factores institucionales del sistema electoral en la fragmentación partidaria. Un análisis de las elecciones para concejos municipales en el Valle del Cauca (1997-2011)
This paper analyzes, in aggregate form, the levels of fragmentation which existed in local council elections in the 42 districts of Valle del Cauca between 1997 and 2011; specifically, how a range of institutional variables contributed to this fragmentation, such as the size of the district and the reform of the electoral system in 2003. In the case of the latter, there is a particular focus on the limited impact that it had, generating significa…
De las transiciones al estancamiento Revisitando la democratización en la obra de Guillermo O’Donnell
El presente texto realiza una reconstrucción de las influyentes contribuciones del politólogo Guillermo O’Donnell a los estudios sobre los procesos de democratización. Para ello, discute sus principales elaboraciones analíticas y conceptuales situándolas en el contexto político e histórico en el que se desarrollaron, así como frente a otros adelantos teóricos y discusiones ideológicas que les han seguido. En particular, esta revisión se concentra…
Selección De Candidatos en Escenarios De Atomización Dirigencial. Análisis De Los Casos De Cali Y El Valle Del Cauca, Elecciones Locales Y Regionales 2015
El presente artículo analiza el proceso de selección de candidatos para las elecciones locales y regionales de 2015 en el departamento del Valle del Cauca y en el municipio de Santiago de Cali (Colombia). Más precisamente, hace referencia al impacto que tuvieron sobre dicho proceso variables institucionales, en especial aquellas pertenecientes al sistema electoral en un escenario de atomización dirigencial y de identidades partidarias débiles. De…
Configuración de los apoyos electorales a nivel municipal. Un análisis de los resultados electorales para la Alcaldía de Cali, Colombia (2003-2015)
This article analyzes the election results for the mayoralty of Santiago de Cali in 2003, 2007, 2011 and 2015. Based on premises of the sociological model of voting behavior and through the use of fuzzy sets and geo-referencing, it makes estimates regarding electoral behavior in relation to socio-economic status and levels of fragmentation exhibited by the different types of candidacy (elite–non-elite). Causal configurations are thus identified w…
Nationalization of the Legislative Vote, Visibility and Reputation in the Written Press: An Analysis of Candidates’ Strategies for the 2014 Colombian Senate Election
This article aims to explain how during the 2014 Colombian legislative election those candidates who had national visibility—in terms of the number of appearances in written press—effectively had a nationalized election. Furthermore, it aims to explain and further the understanding of the relationship between a candidate’s reputation in terms of favorability, esteem, and prestige, and the degree of nationalization of his or her votes. Therefore, …
Playing by the rules of the game: Partisan use of recall referendums in Colombia
As a bottom-up mechanism of direct democracy, recall can be triggered by citizens to remove elected officials through a vote, which is expected to increase accountability. Contradicting this hope, previous research has suggested that intensive use of recall referendums became an instrument of party competition. However, empirical evidence is scant. Thus, focusing on the 107 attempts of activating recall in Colombia during the first half of 2017 t…
Realineamiento electoral. Análisis de la transferencia de votos en escenarios transicionales en Colombia
Introducción: Los debates en torno a los sistemas de partido en América Latina clasifican al caso colombiano como desinstitucionalizado. Aun cuando esta afirmación es indiscutiblemente acertada, suele pasar desapercibido el hecho de que existen issues que producen un efecto decantador del voto. Esto motiva, a su vez, un ordenamiento del electorado y comportamientos temporalmente consistentes, especialmente en las elecciones presidenciales. En lo …
Cuando lo local no es función de lo nacional: Efectos diferenciales del cambio institucional en Colombia (1997-2015)
Utilizando una estrategia multi método, el artículo muestra que los cambios en las reglas electorales implementados en Colombia en 2003 tuvieron un efecto contrario al esperado en las elecciones para los concejos municipales: aumentó la fragmentación del sistema de partidos y la intensidad de la competencia personalista. Adicionalmente, pese a que en el caso de la competencia personalista se produjo un efecto homogeneizador de municipios de difer…
Electoral decentralisation with weak parties. Analysis of Colombia’s subnational elections
In this report, we analyse subnational electoral dynamics, reviewing some temporal patterns of both municipal and departmental elections in Colombia; however, we focus particularly on the most recent elections in 2019. Local and regional electoral dynamics are significantly decoupled from national politics and, despite the existence of the same party labels across all levels of government, we show that political parties are secondary actors in su…
Local competitive authoritarianism and post-conflict violence. An analysis of the assassination of social leaders in Colombia
The threat of continued violence is a primary concern in post-conflict societies. This article contributes to the literature on post-conflict violence by analyzing a specific phenomenon that has characterized Colombia since the signing of the 2016 peace agreement: the assassination of social leaders. Building on explanations that emphasize state weakness, illicit economies, and the role of illegal armed actors, we argue that the assassination of …
Pathways of post-conflict violence in Colombia
Violence in post-conflict settings is often attributed to a post-war boom in organized crime, facilitated by the demobilization of armed groups and the persisting weakness of the state. The article argues that this is only one pathway of post-conflict violence. A second causal pathway emerges from the challenges that peace processes can constitute for entrenched local political orders. By fostering political inclusion, the implementation of peace…
Efectos de la accesibilidad sobre la abstención electoral: Colombia, 2014-2018
Este trabajo analiza el efecto que la accesibilidad a los puestos de votación produce sobre la abstención electoral en Colombia. Los resultados muestran que, independientemente del tipo de elección, distancia y abstención están directamente relacionadas. Dentro de este marco, si bien se considera que la primera no es un factor crucial para la producción de participación, es relevante al impactar sobre votantes caracterizados por un compromiso lim…
It takes two to tango: Electoral monitoring by and in authoritarian states, the case of Venezuela
The last few decades have seen a significant increase in the study of electoral monitoring processes. This body of work underscores the crucial role of these processes in recognizing democracies and emphasizes the role of electoral monitoring in ensuring the integrity of elections, lending credibility and legitimacy to the outcomes. At the same time, it is important to note that while elections are essential to democratic norms, the mere fact tha…
Recasting of the Latin American Right: Polarization and Conservative Reactions
This book analyzes the transformation of the political right in Latin America in response to the strengthening of left-wing parties and movements throughout the region. While Latin America's post-2000 left has been widely studied, little is known about right-wing political formations during and after that time. There is a paucity of research on recent phenomena associated with the reorganization of the Right: the polarization of Latin American el…
Beyond compliance and resistance: Neutralization and norm capture in international election observation
Over the past decades, international election observation has become an institutionalized and widely accepted norm of the global democratic order. Even regimes with pronounced authoritarian characteristics rarely outright refuse to allow international missions. This empirical persistence poses an analytical challenge: how do electoral authoritarian regimes manage the potential political costs of international monitoring without rejecting the norm…
Political science (15 works) · Law (10 works) · Politics (9 works) · Politics and Society in Latin America (9 works) · Humanities (8 works) · Economics (6 works) · History and Politics in Latin America (6 works) · Art (5 works) · Political economy (5 works) · Public Policy and Governance (5 works)