Chris Kent
Biographic Data
| ID | 7993346 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Chris Kent |
| GIVEN NAMES | Chris |
| FAMILY NAME | Kent |
| SIGNATURE | KENT C |
| AFFILIATIONS | Met Office |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-5001-2569 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 4 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 4 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2017 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2025 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
Transition of El Niño to La Niña can be driven by regional perturbations a year ahead
Interannual forecasts provide skilful predictions of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) up to a year in advance, however our understanding of what drives the ensemble skill and diversity of outcomes across members is limited. Using a fully coupled ocean–atmosphere ensemble forecasting system, we investigate the causality of regional perturbations on the evolution of ENSO at interannual timescales. Using forecasts initialised on 1 November 2009, …
Estimating unprecedented extremes in UK summer daily rainfall
The UNSEEN (unprecedented simulated extremes using ensemble) method involves using a large ensemble of climate model simulations to increase the sample size of rare events. Here we extend UNSEEN to focus on intense summertime daily rainfall, estimating plausible rainfall extremes in the current climate. To address modelling limitations simulations from two climate models were used; an initialised 25 km global model that uses parameterised convect…
What chance of a sudden stratospheric warming in the southern hemisphere
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are amongst the most dramatic events in the Earth’s atmosphere and they drive extreme surface weather conditions. They have been recently linked to the hot and dry weather conditions that favour wildfires over Australia. However, the chance of a southern hemisphere event is unknown because it has only been observed once. Legitimate estimation of the frequency of SSW events requires a large sample of realistic …
Using climate model simulations to assess the current climate risk to maize production
The relationship between the climate and agricultural production is of considerable importance to global food security. However, there has been relatively little exploration of climate-variability related yield shocks. The short observational yield record does not adequately sample natural inter-annual variability thereby limiting the accuracy of probability assessments. Focusing on the United States and China, we present an innovative use of ini…
No prominent works on this page.
Using climate model simulations to assess the current climate risk to maize production
The relationship between the climate and agricultural production is of considerable importance to global food security. However, there has been relatively little exploration of climate-variability related yield shocks. The short observational yield record does not adequately sample natural inter-annual variability thereby limiting the accuracy of probability assessments. Focusing on the United States and China, we present an innovative use of ini…
What chance of a sudden stratospheric warming in the southern hemisphere
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are amongst the most dramatic events in the Earth’s atmosphere and they drive extreme surface weather conditions. They have been recently linked to the hot and dry weather conditions that favour wildfires over Australia. However, the chance of a southern hemisphere event is unknown because it has only been observed once. Legitimate estimation of the frequency of SSW events requires a large sample of realistic …
Estimating unprecedented extremes in UK summer daily rainfall
The UNSEEN (unprecedented simulated extremes using ensemble) method involves using a large ensemble of climate model simulations to increase the sample size of rare events. Here we extend UNSEEN to focus on intense summertime daily rainfall, estimating plausible rainfall extremes in the current climate. To address modelling limitations simulations from two climate models were used; an initialised 25 km global model that uses parameterised convect…
Transition of El Niño to La Niña can be driven by regional perturbations a year ahead
Interannual forecasts provide skilful predictions of El Niño-Southern oscillation (ENSO) up to a year in advance, however our understanding of what drives the ensemble skill and diversity of outcomes across members is limited. Using a fully coupled ocean–atmosphere ensemble forecasting system, we investigate the causality of regional perturbations on the evolution of ENSO at interannual timescales. Using forecasts initialised on 1 November 2009, …
Climatology (4 works) · Environmental Science (4 works) · Climate change (3 works) · Climate model (3 works) · Geography (3 works) · Geology (3 works) · Atmospheric sciences (2 works) · Climate variability and models (2 works) · Downscaling (2 works) · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations (2 works)