Chad P Kiewiet De Jonge
Biographic Data
| ID | 824440 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Chad P Kiewiet De Jonge |
| GIVEN NAMES | Chad P Kiewiet |
| FAMILY NAME | De Jonge |
| SIGNATURE | DE JONGE C P K |
| AFFILIATIONS | Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 4 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 83 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 4 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2014 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2018 |
| H-INDEX | 3 |
Predicting State Presidential Election Results Using National Tracking Polls and Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP)
This paper presents state-level estimates of the 2016 presidential election using data from the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll and multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP). While previous implementations of MRP for election forecasting have relied on data from prior elections to establish poststratification targets for the composition of the electorate, in this paper we estimate both turnout and vote preference from the same pr…
Should Researchers Abandon Questions about “Democracy
Surveys conducted in new democracies generally demonstrate supermajoritarian support for democracy as a system of government. This consistent finding has led many to argue that standard questions overstate actual support for liberal democratic institutions and should be abandoned. However, such contentions have not been subject to systematic analysis, leaving it unclear whether “democracy” questions provide useful information for researchers. Thi…
Who Lies About Electoral Gifts
While political campaigns commonly employ clientelistic mobilization tactics during elections in developing countries, studying vote buying with mass surveys has proven difficult since respondents often will not admit to receiving a gift or favor in exchange for their votes. This study explores the degree to which respondents vary in their reporting of the receipt of goods or favors. Analysis of list experiments included in 10 surveys conducted i…
Artificial Inflation or Deflation? Assessing the Item Count Technique in Comparative Surveys
Should Researchers Abandon Questions about “Democracy
Surveys conducted in new democracies generally demonstrate supermajoritarian support for democracy as a system of government. This consistent finding has led many to argue that standard questions overstate actual support for liberal democratic institutions and should be abandoned. However, such contentions have not been subject to systematic analysis, leaving it unclear whether “democracy” questions provide useful information for researchers. Thi…
Artificial Inflation or Deflation? Assessing the Item Count Technique in Comparative Surveys
Who Lies About Electoral Gifts
While political campaigns commonly employ clientelistic mobilization tactics during elections in developing countries, studying vote buying with mass surveys has proven difficult since respondents often will not admit to receiving a gift or favor in exchange for their votes. This study explores the degree to which respondents vary in their reporting of the receipt of goods or favors. Analysis of list experiments included in 10 surveys conducted i…
Predicting State Presidential Election Results Using National Tracking Polls and Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP)
This paper presents state-level estimates of the 2016 presidential election using data from the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll and multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP). While previous implementations of MRP for election forecasting have relied on data from prior elections to establish poststratification targets for the composition of the electorate, in this paper we estimate both turnout and vote preference from the same pr…
Artificial Inflation or Deflation? Assessing the Item Count Technique in Comparative Surveys
Who Lies About Electoral Gifts
While political campaigns commonly employ clientelistic mobilization tactics during elections in developing countries, studying vote buying with mass surveys has proven difficult since respondents often will not admit to receiving a gift or favor in exchange for their votes. This study explores the degree to which respondents vary in their reporting of the receipt of goods or favors. Analysis of list experiments included in 10 surveys conducted i…
Should Researchers Abandon Questions about “Democracy
Surveys conducted in new democracies generally demonstrate supermajoritarian support for democracy as a system of government. This consistent finding has led many to argue that standard questions overstate actual support for liberal democratic institutions and should be abandoned. However, such contentions have not been subject to systematic analysis, leaving it unclear whether “democracy” questions provide useful information for researchers. Thi…
Predicting State Presidential Election Results Using National Tracking Polls and Multilevel Regression with Poststratification (MRP)
This paper presents state-level estimates of the 2016 presidential election using data from the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll and multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP). While previous implementations of MRP for election forecasting have relied on data from prior elections to establish poststratification targets for the composition of the electorate, in this paper we estimate both turnout and vote preference from the same pr…
Economics (4 works) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (4 works) · Political science (4 works) · Politics (4 works) · Psychology (3 works) · Statistics (3 works) · Survey data collection (3 works) · Computer Science (2 works) · Democracy (2 works) · Demographic economics (2 works)