Fan Rao
Biographic Data
| ID | 9532347 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Fan Rao |
| GIVEN NAMES | Fan |
| FAMILY NAME | Rao |
| SIGNATURE | RAO F |
| AFFILIATIONS | Dongbei University of Finance and Economics |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-8949-0362 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 1 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 1 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
Small group forecasting using proportional-prize contests
We consider a proportional-prize contest to forecast future events, and show that, in equilibrium, this mechanism possesses perfect forecasting ability for any group size when the contestants share common knowledge about the probabilities by which future events realize. Data gathered in a laboratory experiment confirm the performance invariance to group size. By contrast, when realization probabilities are not common knowledge, there are some dif…
No prominent works on this page.
Small group forecasting using proportional-prize contests
We consider a proportional-prize contest to forecast future events, and show that, in equilibrium, this mechanism possesses perfect forecasting ability for any group size when the contestants share common knowledge about the probabilities by which future events realize. Data gathered in a laboratory experiment confirm the performance invariance to group size. By contrast, when realization probabilities are not common knowledge, there are some dif…
Artificial Intelligence (1 work) · Artificial Intelligence (1 work) · Common knowledge (logic) (1 work) · Computer Science (1 work) · CONTEST (1 work) · Contrast (vision) (1 work) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (1 work) · Econometrics (1 work) · Economics (1 work) · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies (1 work)