Steffen Elstner
Biographic Data
| ID | 9595667 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Steffen Elstner |
| GIVEN NAMES | Steffen |
| FAMILY NAME | Elstner |
| SIGNATURE | ELSTNER S |
| AFFILIATIONS | Bundesrechnungshof Berlin 10117 Germany |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 2 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 0 |
| WORKS AS AUTHOR | 2 |
| WORKS AS EDITOR | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2013 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2022 |
| H-INDEX | 0 |
Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies
Does an improvement in growth prospects (technological news shock) lead to a fall in the trade balance? We introduce a novel news shock identification scheme and obtain in a panel vector autoregression (VAR) for the G7 countries the following results. Positive news shocks have negative effects on the trade balance in the United States and Japan. However, in other G7 countries, the effects are positive to a great extent. The differences in trade b…
Uncertainty and Economic Activity
This paper uses survey expectations data to construct empirical proxies for time-varying business-level uncertainty. Access to the micro data from the German IFO Business Climate Survey permits construction of uncertainty measures based on both ex ante disagreement and ex post forecast errors. Ex ante disagreement is strongly correlated with dispersion in ex post forecast errors. Surprise movements in either measure lead to significant reductions…
No prominent works on this page.
Uncertainty and Economic Activity
This paper uses survey expectations data to construct empirical proxies for time-varying business-level uncertainty. Access to the micro data from the German IFO Business Climate Survey permits construction of uncertainty measures based on both ex ante disagreement and ex post forecast errors. Ex ante disagreement is strongly correlated with dispersion in ex post forecast errors. Surprise movements in either measure lead to significant reductions…
Growth Prospects and the Trade Balance in Advanced Economies
Does an improvement in growth prospects (technological news shock) lead to a fall in the trade balance? We introduce a novel news shock identification scheme and obtain in a panel vector autoregression (VAR) for the G7 countries the following results. Positive news shocks have negative effects on the trade balance in the United States and Japan. However, in other G7 countries, the effects are positive to a great extent. The differences in trade b…
Economics (2 works) · Macroeconomics (2 works) · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact (2 works) · Balance of trade (1 work) · Business cycle (1 work) · Climate Change Policy and Economics (1 work) · Computer Science (1 work) · Construct (python library) (1 work) · Dispersion (optics) (1 work) · Econometrics (1 work)