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Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos

Biographic Data

ID969377
NAMEKonstantinos V Katsikopoulos
GIVEN NAMESKonstantinos V
FAMILY NAMEKatsikopoulos
SIGNATUREKATSIKOPOULOS K V
AFFILIATIONSUniversity of Southampton
ORCID0000-0002-9572-1980
VERIFIEDYes
TOTAL WORKS13
TOTAL CITATIONS5
AUTHOR COUNT13
EDITOR COUNT0
FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR2005
LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR2025
H-INDEX2
  • Anticipating futures

    Open Access•Ian Townend, Denise Baden et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 13

    Businesses, planners and policy makers must make decisions that influence a future about which they have incomplete knowledge. Whilst knowing the future may be illusive, the capacity to adapt as required, is desirable for both organisations and society. We examine what different perspectives can offer, considering how empirical-analytical (e.g., modelling, data), narrative-experiential (e.g., fiction, history, gaming), and socio-technological (e.…

  • Bring digital twins back to Earth

    Open Access•Andrea Saltelli, Gerd Gigerenzer et al.•ARTICLE•Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 7

    We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpretative social sciences. We contest the utility of digital twins for addressing climate change issues and discuss societal risks associated with the co…

  • Strategic Interaction

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•CHAPTER•Cognitive Operations•2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•BOOK•Cognitive Operations•2023

    Book examines how people make decisions under risk and uncertainty in operational settings and opens the black box by specifying the cognitive processes

  • How flood preparedness among Jordanian citizens is influenced by self-efficacy, sense of community, experience, communication, trust and training

    Open Access•Leen Gammoh, Ian Dawson et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•BOOK•Cognitive Operations•2023

  • All policies are wrong, but some are useful—and which ones do no harm

    Open Access•Mario Brito, Maxwell Chipulu et al.•ARTICLE•Mind & Society•2020

    The five of us research and teach risk analysis with an eye towards decision support. Our work has been dedicated to taming risks and helping to make challenging decisions. But nothing had prepared us for the Covid-19 pandemic. We first had to grapple with the news coming from abroad, including, for some of us, our home countries. Then, some information and research, but mostly opinions, started coming in from our academic community, and we felt …

  • A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions

    Open Access•Jolene H Tan, Shenghua Luan et al.•ARTICLE•Evolution and Human Behavior•2017

  • Evaluative polarity words in risky choice framing

    Open Access•Annika Wallin, Cheryl Paradis et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Pragmatics•2016•Cited by: 1•References: 8

  • Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making

    D Tuckett, Antoine Mandel et al.•ARTICLE•Critical Review•2015•References: 42

    The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen partly because the academic theories that underpin policy making do not sufficiently account for uncertainty and complexity or learned and evolved human capabilities for managing them. Mainstream theories of decision making tend to be strongly normative and based on wishfully unrealistic “idealized” modeling. In order to develop theories of actual decision making under uncertainty, we need new methodolo…

  • The Conceptual Connection between Lens Models and Fast and Frugal Heuristics

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•ARTICLE•Theory & Psychology•2009

    I explore the conceptual connection between two judgment- and decision-making research programs: social judgment theory and fast and frugal heuristics. I point out that a main difference is in the modeling of the cues-to-criterion function that describes the organism (lens in Brunswikian jargon). Social judgment theorists typically use linear models while the fast and frugal program employs heuristics. I ask two questions: Can fast and frugal heu…

  • From Meehl to Fast and Frugal Heuristics (and Back)

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos, Thorsten Pachur et al.•ARTICLE•Theory & Psychology•2008

    It is difficult to overestimate Paul Meehl's influence on judgment and decision-making research. His `disturbing little book' (Meehl, 1986, p. 370) Clinical versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence (1954) is known as an attack on human judgment and a call for replacing clinicians with actuarial methods. More than 40 years later, fast and frugal heuristics—proposed as models of human judgment—were formaliz…

  • “A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”

    Open Access•Gerd Gigerenzer, Ralph Hertwig et al.•ARTICLE•Risk Analysis•2005

    The weather forecast says that there is a "30% chance of rain," and we think we understand what it means. This quantitative statement is assumed to be unambiguous and to convey more information than does a qualitative statement like "It might rain tomorrow." Because the forecast is expressed as a single-event probability, however, it does not specify the class of events it refers to. Therefore, even numerical probabilities can be interpreted by m…

  • Anticipating futures

    Open Access•Ian Townend, Denise Baden et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 13

    Businesses, planners and policy makers must make decisions that influence a future about which they have incomplete knowledge. Whilst knowing the future may be illusive, the capacity to adapt as required, is desirable for both organisations and society. We examine what different perspectives can offer, considering how empirical-analytical (e.g., modelling, data), narrative-experiential (e.g., fiction, history, gaming), and socio-technological (e.…

  • Bring digital twins back to Earth

    Open Access•Andrea Saltelli, Gerd Gigerenzer et al.•ARTICLE•Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 7

    We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpretative social sciences. We contest the utility of digital twins for addressing climate change issues and discuss societal risks associated with the co…

  • Evaluative polarity words in risky choice framing

    Open Access•Annika Wallin, Cheryl Paradis et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Pragmatics•2016•Cited by: 1•References: 8

  • “A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”

    Open Access•Gerd Gigerenzer, Ralph Hertwig et al.•ARTICLE•Risk Analysis•2005

    The weather forecast says that there is a "30% chance of rain," and we think we understand what it means. This quantitative statement is assumed to be unambiguous and to convey more information than does a qualitative statement like "It might rain tomorrow." Because the forecast is expressed as a single-event probability, however, it does not specify the class of events it refers to. Therefore, even numerical probabilities can be interpreted by m…

  • From Meehl to Fast and Frugal Heuristics (and Back)

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos, Thorsten Pachur et al.•ARTICLE•Theory & Psychology•2008

    It is difficult to overestimate Paul Meehl's influence on judgment and decision-making research. His `disturbing little book' (Meehl, 1986, p. 370) Clinical versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence (1954) is known as an attack on human judgment and a call for replacing clinicians with actuarial methods. More than 40 years later, fast and frugal heuristics—proposed as models of human judgment—were formaliz…

  • The Conceptual Connection between Lens Models and Fast and Frugal Heuristics

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•ARTICLE•Theory & Psychology•2009

    I explore the conceptual connection between two judgment- and decision-making research programs: social judgment theory and fast and frugal heuristics. I point out that a main difference is in the modeling of the cues-to-criterion function that describes the organism (lens in Brunswikian jargon). Social judgment theorists typically use linear models while the fast and frugal program employs heuristics. I ask two questions: Can fast and frugal heu…

  • Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making

    D Tuckett, Antoine Mandel et al.•ARTICLE•Critical Review•2015•References: 42

    The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen partly because the academic theories that underpin policy making do not sufficiently account for uncertainty and complexity or learned and evolved human capabilities for managing them. Mainstream theories of decision making tend to be strongly normative and based on wishfully unrealistic “idealized” modeling. In order to develop theories of actual decision making under uncertainty, we need new methodolo…

  • Evaluative polarity words in risky choice framing

    Open Access•Annika Wallin, Cheryl Paradis et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Pragmatics•2016•Cited by: 1•References: 8

  • A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions

    Open Access•Jolene H Tan, Shenghua Luan et al.•ARTICLE•Evolution and Human Behavior•2017

  • All policies are wrong, but some are useful—and which ones do no harm

    Open Access•Mario Brito, Maxwell Chipulu et al.•ARTICLE•Mind & Society•2020

    The five of us research and teach risk analysis with an eye towards decision support. Our work has been dedicated to taming risks and helping to make challenging decisions. But nothing had prepared us for the Covid-19 pandemic. We first had to grapple with the news coming from abroad, including, for some of us, our home countries. Then, some information and research, but mostly opinions, started coming in from our academic community, and we felt …

  • Strategic Interaction

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•CHAPTER•Cognitive Operations•2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Open Access•Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•BOOK•Cognitive Operations•2023

    Book examines how people make decisions under risk and uncertainty in operational settings and opens the black box by specifying the cognitive processes

  • How flood preparedness among Jordanian citizens is influenced by self-efficacy, sense of community, experience, communication, trust and training

    Open Access•Leen Gammoh, Ian Dawson et al.•ARTICLE•International Journal of Disaster…•2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos•BOOK•Cognitive Operations•2023

  • Bring digital twins back to Earth

    Open Access•Andrea Saltelli, Gerd Gigerenzer et al.•ARTICLE•Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…•2024•Cited by: 2•References: 7

    We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpretative social sciences. We contest the utility of digital twins for addressing climate change issues and discuss societal risks associated with the co…

  • Anticipating futures

    Open Access•Ian Townend, Denise Baden et al.•ARTICLE•Futures•2025•Cited by: 2•References: 13

    Businesses, planners and policy makers must make decisions that influence a future about which they have incomplete knowledge. Whilst knowing the future may be illusive, the capacity to adapt as required, is desirable for both organisations and society. We examine what different perspectives can offer, considering how empirical-analytical (e.g., modelling, data), narrative-experiential (e.g., fiction, history, gaming), and socio-technological (e.…

Psychology (7 works) · Computer Science (6 works) · Law (6 works) · Political science (6 works) · Risk Perception and Management (5 works) · Sociology (5 works) · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics (4 works) · Economics (4 works) · Artificial Intelligence (3 works) · Cognition (3 works)

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