J Morgan Kousser
Biographic Data
| ID | 989069 |
|---|---|
| NAME | J Morgan Kousser |
| GIVEN NAMES | J Morgan |
| FAMILY NAME | Kousser |
| SIGNATURE | KOUSSER J M |
| AFFILIATIONS | California Institute of Technology |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-5261-2859 |
| VERIFIED | Yes |
| TOTAL WORKS | 75 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 233 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 75 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1973 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2020 |
| H-INDEX | 9 |
A Discussion of Avidit Acharya, Matthew Blackwell, and Maya Sen’s Deep Roots: How Slavery Still Shapes Southern Politics
If the election of Donald Trump has proven anything indisputably, it is that the notion of America as a “postracial” society in the aftermath of the Obama presidency is a canard. Yet how should we understand the specific pattern of race’s persistent salience in US politics? In Deep Roots , Avidit Acharya, Matthew Blackwell, and Maya Sen argue that it is the long legacy of chattel slavery that continues to shape politics in the US South in distinc…
Why Were You Editor for 12 Years
[Introduction:] When I became Executive Editor of Historical Methods in 2001, I had no idea what I was getting \ninto—no mission statement, no set of issues I wanted to feature, no conferences planned, no cache of \npapers I wanted to publish. I inherited a very small backlog of articles, almost no files about previous practices or \nlists of referees, and no advice from previous editors. I had subscribed to the journal from at least its third vo…
Unlocking V. O. Key Jr.: Southern Politics for the Twenty-First Century
V. O. Key Jr.'s two central insights in Southern Politics (1949) were that beneath an outwardly solid South, defined by forced unity that was maintained to keep African Americans subordinate, white politics was largely fragmented and disorganized; and that in such a fragmented polity, unstructured by ongoing competition between organized political parties, the white and black have-nots usually lost. The ten essays in this volume, drawn from a 200…
Daniel Scott Smith, a Tribute
The Immutability of Categories and the Reshaping of Southern Politics
How did the no-party, extremely-low-turnout, fragmented political system that V.O. Key, Jr. described in his 1949 book Southern Politics get transformed into the Republican-dominant, average-turnout, highly-organized political structure that propelled Georgia Republican Newt Gingrich into the House Speakership in 1995? After a long series of analytical narratives that focused on racial explanations for the shifts in white voting behavior, several…
Democracy for All: Restoring Immigrant Voting Rights in the United States by Ron Hayduk
The Forms and Means of Creativity
The Forms and Means of Creativity." Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, 37(3), p. 108
The Onward March of Right Principles”: State Legislative Actions on Racial Discrimination in Schools in Nineteenth-Century America
C. Vann Woodward transformed the history of race relations by focusing on the development of southern state segregation laws and practices. Anchoring his arguments in social science research, Woodward considered such laws to be both indicators and shapers of interpersonal attitudes and behavior. Neither historians nor political scientists have pursued Woodward's larger project of explaining the course of race relations in America, confining thems…
Ecological Inference from Goodman to King
Since it was introduced to historians nearly three \ndecades ago, a statistical technique known as ecological \nregression has been widely used to analyze \naggregate election returns and similar data in history, \npolitical science, and law, and methodologists have discussed \nproblems with, extensions of, and alternatives to \nthe technique. The literature has become so vast and complicated, \nand recent contributions to it are of such importan…
Evaluating Ecological Inference: An Introduction
The articles in this theme issue-separated into Part 1 (Summer) and Part 2 (Fall) - consider a wide range of data, comparing results produced by Gary King’s recently developed ecological inference (EI) technique with those of Leo Goodman’s older ecological regression (ER) method, sometimes benefiting from more direct evidence of individual behavior against which to match findings from both procedures. The conclusions are interesting, suggestive, …
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction
The Right to Vote: The Contested History of Democracy in the United States
Alexander Keyssar's largely intellectual history of suffrage throughout the nation's history and Mark Lawrence Kornbluh's largely quantitative analysis of the transition from nearly universal male political participation in the late 1800s to the much less active polity of the twentieth century underscore a simple but often neglected lesson: Because words and behavior are sometimes at variance, scholars should study both. The division of labor bet…
Response to Commentaries
The often kind and always interesting comments of Larry Griffin, David James, and Bradley Palmquist touch different aspects of Colorblind Injustice . Let me respond to them, in effect, in chronological order, according to which periods of history illuminate the comments the most. Palmquist points out that institutions like the Supreme Court may suddenly reverse their decisions, as the Court did in the !“switch in time that saved nine” after FDR h…
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction. By J. Morgan Kousser. (Chapel Hill and London: University of North Carolina Press, c. 1999. Pp. xii, 590. Paper $29.95, ISBN 0-8078-4738-0; cloth, $65.00, ISBN 0-8078-2431-2.) Civil rights activists had a rough time trying to translate the principles of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 into actual practice. Southern politicians had a genius for diluting the bl…
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction
Journal Article Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction. By J. Morgan Kousser. (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1999. xii, 590 pp. Cloth, $65.00, ISBN 0-8078-2431-3. Paper, $29.95, ISBN 0-8078-4738-0.) Get access David R. Colburn David R. Colburn University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American…
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction
Forum: Revisiting A Festival of Violence
When, more than 30 years ago, I was writing my second graduate research paper, I was strongly advised by the professor in the course, John Morton Blum, to give up my effort to weigh the factors that I hypothesized might have caused the phenomenon that I was trying to explain.Just list all the causes for which there was any credible evidence, I was told; don't try even to rank them and certainly don't waste your time attempting to reject any.It's …
Multiparty Politics in Mississippi, 1877-1902
Journal Article Multiparty Politics in Mississippi, 1877–1902. By Stephen Cresswell. (Jackson: University Press of Mississippi, 1995. xii, 285 pp. $40.00, ISBN 0-87805-770-6.) Get access J. Morgan Kousser J. Morgan Kousser California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 83, Issue 2, September 1996, Pages 642–643, https://doi.org/1…
Estimating the Partisan Consequences of Redistricting Plans-Simply
Although some judges and political scientists have recently doubted that it is possible to predict the partisan consequences of redistricting plans, I demonstrate that it is simple to do so with a pair of OLS equations that regress voting percentages on major party registration percentages. I test this model on data for all California Assembly and Congressional elections from 1970 through 1992, and compare it to logit results and to more complica…
Behind the mask of chivalry: The making of the second Ku Klux Klan
A Historian's Guide to Computing
The New History of Race Relations
Political history, some say, is dead. Concerned only with the petty squabbles of rich white men, irrelevant to the real lives of the deprived or less favored, the territory of messy compromise, not lofty ideas, electoral and legislative politics, in this view, is unworthy of much attention. The methods of the political historians of the 1960s and 1970s-the formulation of clear hypotheses informed by explicit social scientific theories and their t…
Ignoble Intentions and Noble Dreams: On Relativism and History with a Purpose
IN 1g8o, immediately after the Southern Historical Association Convention at the Biltmore Hotel in Atlanta, historian Peyton McCrary and a bevy of voting-rights lawyers gathered together a group of historians to try to engage them as expert witnesses in voting-rights litigation. Earlier in 1980 in the case of Mobile v. Bolden, a plurality of the justices of the U.S. Supreme Court had decided that to sustain a claim of vote dilution under the Voti…
The Irrepressible Repressible Conflict Theory
American historians keep wanting the Civil War not to have happened, the slavery issue not to have been intractable, keep wanting to deny the centrality of racial problems to our history, to downplay the facts that many whites positively enjoyed racial discrimination and profited from it while many others genuinely hated it and sacrificed to end it. The initial Civil War Revisionists developed these views out of an aversion to war and an indiffer…
Common Sense or Commonwealth? The Fence Law and Institutional Change in the Postbellum South
Shawn Everett Kantor, J. Morgan Kousser, Common Sense or Commonwealth? The Fence Law and Institutional Change in the Postbellum South, The Journal of Southern History, Vol. 59, No. 2 (May, 1993), pp. 201-242
Turnout and Rural Corruption: New York as a Test Case
In 1974 Philip Converse and Jerrold Rusk offered an institutional, and Walter Dean Burnham, a behavioral explanation of the decline in voter turnout in the northern United States around the turn of the century. An examination of turnout figures for New York State from 1870 to 1916 demonstrates that election statistics lend some support to both explanations, and that the elections around 1890 provide the strongest evidence in favor of the Converse…
Ecological Regression and the Analysis of past Politics
Regression estimation of \ncell entries in contingency tables is among the most useful statistical \ntechniques for political historians. Developed in the 1950s by statisticians \nwho were attempting to circumvent the so-called "ecological \nfallacy," regression estimation has received a good deal of attention in \nother social scientific disciplines, but surprisingly little in history. In a \nrecent article in this journal, Jones provided a shor…
Estimating the Partisan Consequences of Redistricting Plans-Simply
Although some judges and political scientists have recently doubted that it is possible to predict the partisan consequences of redistricting plans, I demonstrate that it is simple to do so with a pair of OLS equations that regress voting percentages on major party registration percentages. I test this model on data for all California Assembly and Congressional elections from 1970 through 1992, and compare it to logit results and to more complica…
The Right to Vote: The Contested History of Democracy in the United States
Alexander Keyssar's largely intellectual history of suffrage throughout the nation's history and Mark Lawrence Kornbluh's largely quantitative analysis of the transition from nearly universal male political participation in the late 1800s to the much less active polity of the twentieth century underscore a simple but often neglected lesson: Because words and behavior are sometimes at variance, scholars should study both. The division of labor bet…
Are Expert Witnesses Whores? Reflections on Objectivity in Scholarship and Expert Witnessing
Some have derided the claim that historians or others who serve as expert witnesses or otherwise engage in advocacy live up to the usual standards of scholarly objectivity. A comparison of the modes of scholarly and advocacy production, based on my experience as an expert witness in six minority voting rights cases, however, suggests that the two modes are not very different, and that there are no compelling reasons to expect different outputs fr…
The Immutability of Categories and the Reshaping of Southern Politics
How did the no-party, extremely-low-turnout, fragmented political system that V.O. Key, Jr. described in his 1949 book Southern Politics get transformed into the Republican-dominant, average-turnout, highly-organized political structure that propelled Georgia Republican Newt Gingrich into the House Speakership in 1995? After a long series of analytical narratives that focused on racial explanations for the shifts in white voting behavior, several…
Log-linear analysis of contingency tables: An introduction for historians with an application to Thernstrom on the “Floating Proletariat”
For historians or other social scientists whose data is available in discreet (nominal- or ordinal-level) form, recently developed "log-linear" multivariate statistical techniques offer considerable advantages over commonsensical devices and are in many respects superior to such multivariate methods as multiple classification analysis, weighted least-squares, and logit. Reanalyzing Thernstrom's Boston data on geographic mobility, we explain the i…
Progressivism-For Middle-Class Whites Only: North Carolina Education, 1880-1910
The problem that the South now presents," asserted \nWalter Hines Page in an Atlantic Monthly article in 1902, "has at \nlast become so plain that thoughtful men no longer differ about it. \nIt is no longer obscured by race differences nor by political differences. \nIt is simply the training of the untrained masses." Education, \nPage was sure, would build a new "democratic order of society" \nin the South, would, as he had asserted in a famous …
"The "New Political History: A Methodological Critique
In a recent review article, one of the leading figures of the "new political history,” Samuel P. Hays, argued that “a preoccupation with technique" on the part of both critics and defenders of the genre has obscured the more important advances it had brought to the discipline the reformulation of historical concepts and the substitution of “systematic" for "intuitive" tests of hypotheses. "The social research movement," he concluded, "critically …
The State of Social Science History in the Late 1980s
Is social science history a dated fad, or has it been so fully accepted as to have become uncontroversial? Is it more or less popular with professors and graduate students today than in the recent past? Is its status higher at the most prestigious universities, or among their graduates, than at less highly ranked colleges? What do historians and other social scientists see as the strengths and weaknesses, the achievements and deficiencies of soci…
Making Separate Equal: Integration of Black and White School Funds in Kentucky
the Kentucky electorate , 84 percent of which was white , approved by a 54 to 46 percent margin a referendum proposal to increase school property taxes for whites by 10 percent in order to triple state-level educational expenditures for black children , thereby bringing them up to the same amount as white expenditures.Passage of the measure equalizing state spending , which accounted for about 64 percent of the total amount allocated to public pr…
The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910
Journal Article The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880–1910. By J. Morgan Kousser. (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1974. xvii + 319 pp. Charts, tables, appendixes, notes, critical bibliography, and index. $15.00.) Get access Dewey W. Grantham Dewey W. Grantham Vanderbilt University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American Hist…
Ecological Inference from Goodman to King
Since it was introduced to historians nearly three \ndecades ago, a statistical technique known as ecological \nregression has been widely used to analyze \naggregate election returns and similar data in history, \npolitical science, and law, and methodologists have discussed \nproblems with, extensions of, and alternatives to \nthe technique. The literature has become so vast and complicated, \nand recent contributions to it are of such importan…
Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction
Journal Article Colorblind Injustice: Minority Voting Rights and the Undoing of the Second Reconstruction. By J. Morgan Kousser. (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1999. xii, 590 pp. Cloth, $65.00, ISBN 0-8078-2431-3. Paper, $29.95, ISBN 0-8078-4738-0.) Get access David R. Colburn David R. Colburn University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American…
The Revivalism of Narrative: A Response to Recent Criticisms of Quantitative History
Despite the continued and perhaps even increased productivity of quantitative social scientific historians (QUASSU, for short) and certain evidences of their acceptance by the historical profession, a reaction against QUASSH, first bruited shortly after the initial quantitative work was published, also continues, Calls for a return to the narrative tradition or suggestions that historians are returning to it, recently made by such leaders of the …
The Onward March of Right Principles”: State Legislative Actions on Racial Discrimination in Schools in Nineteenth-Century America
C. Vann Woodward transformed the history of race relations by focusing on the development of southern state segregation laws and practices. Anchoring his arguments in social science research, Woodward considered such laws to be both indicators and shapers of interpersonal attitudes and behavior. Neither historians nor political scientists have pursued Woodward's larger project of explaining the course of race relations in America, confining thems…
Key Changes
History QUASSHed: Quantitative Social Scientific History in Perspective
History is different from the other social sciences. Nine contrasting \nqualities have produced a striking variation between the course of \ndevelopment of quantitative methods in history and that in the rest of \nthe social scientific disciplines. First, historians have framed less compelling \nresearch agendas, and feel less constrained by the ones which \nhave been proposed, than do professionals in other fields. Historians \nborrow, rather th…
"The Agenda for "Social Science History
The Agenda for “Social Science History
I want to take as my texts today statements made to me in correspondence and conversation by two senior quantitative historians. Each statement illustrates what I believe to be misjudgments about the proper methodological priorities for quantitative historians in America today. To spare these historians from publicity which their casual statements were not intended to invite, but mostly to protect myself against reprisal, I shall not name them he…
The Forms and Means of Creativity
The Forms and Means of Creativity." Historical Methods: A Journal of Quantitative and Interdisciplinary History, 37(3), p. 108
Forum: Revisiting A Festival of Violence
When, more than 30 years ago, I was writing my second graduate research paper, I was strongly advised by the professor in the course, John Morton Blum, to give up my effort to weigh the factors that I hypothesized might have caused the phenomenon that I was trying to explain.Just list all the causes for which there was any credible evidence, I was told; don't try even to rank them and certainly don't waste your time attempting to reject any.It's …
The New History of Race Relations
Political history, some say, is dead. Concerned only with the petty squabbles of rich white men, irrelevant to the real lives of the deprived or less favored, the territory of messy compromise, not lofty ideas, electoral and legislative politics, in this view, is unworthy of much attention. The methods of the political historians of the 1960s and 1970s-the formulation of clear hypotheses informed by explicit social scientific theories and their t…
Common Sense or Commonwealth? The Fence Law and Institutional Change in the Postbellum South
Shawn Everett Kantor, J. Morgan Kousser, Common Sense or Commonwealth? The Fence Law and Institutional Change in the Postbellum South, The Journal of Southern History, Vol. 59, No. 2 (May, 1993), pp. 201-242
"Toward "Total Political History: A Rational-Choice Research Program
Political history is at an impasse. \nAs the subjects of history expanded in the 1960s and 1970s, \nand as the prospects of societal change through political means \ndimmed in the 1980s, the study of war, diplomacy, and the writings \nand sayings of statemen--the principal raw materials of the \nold political history--lost favor with students and young professors \nalike. The organizing frameworks of politically centered history--Charles Beard's …
Post-Reconstruction Suffrage Restrictions in Tennessee: A New Look at the V.O. Key Thesis
Most contemporary observers accorded Mississippi \nprimacy in the enactment of legal suffrage restrictions in the South. \nDelegates to its nationally watched 1890 constitutional convention \nbroached most of the important arguments and proposals for disfranchisement, \ndrafted the first comprehensive and permanent limitations \non suffrage in the late nineteenth century South, and advanced \nthe initial rhetorical and legal defenses of franchise…
Ecological Regression and the Analysis of past Politics
Regression estimation of \ncell entries in contingency tables is among the most useful statistical \ntechniques for political historians. Developed in the 1950s by statisticians \nwho were attempting to circumvent the so-called "ecological \nfallacy," regression estimation has received a good deal of attention in \nother social scientific disciplines, but surprisingly little in history. In a \nrecent article in this journal, Jones provided a shor…
The shaping of Southern politics: Suffrage restriction and the establishment of the one-party South, 1880-1910
"A Black Protest in the "Era of Accommodation: Documents
In his seminal essay on the development of legal \nsegregation in the South, C. Vann Woodward listed several \n"restraining forces" which delayed the formalization of the \nstrict caste system-"Northern liberal opinion ... the prestige \nand influence of Southern conservatives . . . [and] \nthe idealism and zeal of the Southern radicals [i.e., Populists]." \nIt was the "weakening and discrediting" of these \ngroups which allowed Jim Crow to grow …
The Southern Search for Order
The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910
Journal Article The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880–1910. By J. Morgan Kousser. (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1974. xvii + 319 pp. Charts, tables, appendixes, notes, critical bibliography, and index. $15.00.) Get access Dewey W. Grantham Dewey W. Grantham Vanderbilt University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American Hist…
"The "New Political History: A Methodological Critique
In a recent review article, one of the leading figures of the "new political history,” Samuel P. Hays, argued that “a preoccupation with technique" on the part of both critics and defenders of the genre has obscured the more important advances it had brought to the discipline the reformulation of historical concepts and the substitution of “systematic" for "intuitive" tests of hypotheses. "The social research movement," he concluded, "critically …
The Public Image of Big Business in America, 1880-1940: A Quantitative Study in Social Change
Journal Article The Public Image of Big Business in America, 1880–1940: A Quantitative Study in Social Change. By Louis Galambos and Barbara Barrow Spence. (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1975. Charts, tables, appendix, notes, and index. $15.00.) Get access J. Morgan Kousser J. Morgan Kousser California Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume …
Redeemers, Bourbons & Populists: Tennessee, 1870-1896
Journal Article Redeemers, Bourbons & Populists: Tennessee, 1870–1896. By Roger L. Hart. (Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press, 1975. xvi + 290 pp. Maps, chart, tables, appendixes, notes, bibliographical essay, and index. $12.95.) Get access J. Morgan Kousser J. Morgan Kousser California Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 62, Issue 4, March …
The Shaping of Southern Politics: Suffrage Restriction and the Establishment of the One-Party South, 1880-1910
Radical Protest and Social Structure: The Southern Farmers' Alliance and Cotton Tenancy, 1880-1890
Journal Article Radical Protest and Social Structure: The Southern Farmers' Alliance and Cotton Tenancy, 1880–1890. By Michael Schwartz. (New York: Academic, 1976. xi + 302 pp. Charts, tables, notes, and index. $17.50.) Get access J. Morgan Kousser J. Morgan Kousser California Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 64, Issue 3, December 1977, Pages 811–8…
"The Agenda for "Social Science History
The Agenda for “Social Science History
I want to take as my texts today statements made to me in correspondence and conversation by two senior quantitative historians. Each statement illustrates what I believe to be misjudgments about the proper methodological priorities for quantitative historians in America today. To spare these historians from publicity which their casual statements were not intended to invite, but mostly to protect myself against reprisal, I shall not name them he…
The Transformation of Southern Politics: Social Change and Political Consequence since 1945
Stressing the relevance of The Transformation of Southern Politics as a background for understanding the South into the next century, Jack Bass and Walter De Vries write that the themes of change in southern politics still involve the rise of the Republican Party, black political development and the Democratic response to it - and the interaction of these forces with social and economic issues. The Transformation of Southern Politics examines the…
Toward a Patriarchal Republic: The Secession of Georgia
History - Theory
The Third Electoral System, 1853-1892: Parties, Voters, and Political Cultures
Journal Article The Third Electoral System, 1853–1892: Parties, Voters, and Political Cultures. By Paul Kleppner. (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1979. xxii + 424 pp. Maps, tables, notes, bibliography, and index. $21.00.) Get access J. Morgan Kousser J. Morgan Kousser California Institute of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Journal of American History, Volume 66, Issue 3, Decemb…
Separate but not Equal: The Supreme Court's First Decision on Racial Discrimination in Schools
In 1899, three years after the “separate but equal” decision of Plessy v. Ferguson, the U. S. Supreme Court for the first \ntime confronted the problem of racial discrimination in education. \nWriting for a unanimous court, Justice John Marshall Harlan, \nwhose recently refurbished reputation rests chiefly on his liberal \nopinions in Negro rights cases, decided in effect that the judiciary \nwould do no more to guarantee equality in public servi…
Progressivism-For Middle-Class Whites Only: North Carolina Education, 1880-1910
The problem that the South now presents," asserted \nWalter Hines Page in an Atlantic Monthly article in 1902, "has at \nlast become so plain that thoughtful men no longer differ about it. \nIt is no longer obscured by race differences nor by political differences. \nIt is simply the training of the untrained masses." Education, \nPage was sure, would build a new "democratic order of society" \nin the South, would, as he had asserted in a famous …
History QUASSHed: Quantitative Social Scientific History in Perspective
History is different from the other social sciences. Nine contrasting \nqualities have produced a striking variation between the course of \ndevelopment of quantitative methods in history and that in the rest of \nthe social scientific disciplines. First, historians have framed less compelling \nresearch agendas, and feel less constrained by the ones which \nhave been proposed, than do professionals in other fields. Historians \nborrow, rather th…
Making Separate Equal: Integration of Black and White School Funds in Kentucky
the Kentucky electorate , 84 percent of which was white , approved by a 54 to 46 percent margin a referendum proposal to increase school property taxes for whites by 10 percent in order to triple state-level educational expenditures for black children , thereby bringing them up to the same amount as white expenditures.Passage of the measure equalizing state spending , which accounted for about 64 percent of the total amount allocated to public pr…
Key Changes
New Political History”: Some Statistical Questions Raised
In the last two decades, the most interesting new perspectives on the history of American voting behavior have come from a small group of historians writing what Bogue (1968) termed the “New Political History.” While members of this group have been characterized by theoretical and methodological concerns that transcend their interest in quantitative analysis, they have emphasized the use of statistics in historical research. At first, this techni…
Turnout and Rural Corruption: New York as a Test Case
In 1974 Philip Converse and Jerrold Rusk offered an institutional, and Walter Dean Burnham, a behavioral explanation of the decline in voter turnout in the northern United States around the turn of the century. An examination of turnout figures for New York State from 1870 to 1916 demonstrates that election statistics lend some support to both explanations, and that the elections around 1890 provide the strongest evidence in favor of the Converse…
Log-linear analysis of contingency tables: An introduction for historians with an application to Thernstrom on the “Floating Proletariat”
For historians or other social scientists whose data is available in discreet (nominal- or ordinal-level) form, recently developed "log-linear" multivariate statistical techniques offer considerable advantages over commonsensical devices and are in many respects superior to such multivariate methods as multiple classification analysis, weighted least-squares, and logit. Reanalyzing Thernstrom's Boston data on geographic mobility, we explain the i…
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