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Mehmet Gurses

Dados Biográficos

ID328516
NOMEMehmet Gurses
PRENOMESMehmet
SOBRENOMEGurses
ASSINATURAGURSES M
AFILIAÇÕESFlorida Atlantic University
ORCID0000-0002-2884-0533
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS31
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES364
TOTAL COMO AUTOR31
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2007
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2026
ÍNDICE H10
  • Palestinians, Kurds, and Muslims between them

    Open Access•Ayşe Betül Çelik, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2026

    This article examines how minority groups engaged in armed conflict express solidarity with similarly situated groups elsewhere. While existing research has focused on relations between minorities and majorities, far less is known about cross-minority solidarity in conflict settings. Drawing on an original nationwide survey in Turkey and in-depth interviews with members of parliament, this study analyzes how Kurds perceive the Israel-Palestine co…

  • Turkey’s Kurdish Conflict Transformed

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Current History•2025

    In February 2025, Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) founder Abdullah Öcalan, imprisoned since 1999, called on the organization to disarm. The group swiftly complied, first declaring a cease-fire in March and then, in May, formally announcing its readiness to dissolve if the Turkish government recognized Kurdish identity and enabled meaningful democratic participation. What does this mean for a half-century struggle spanning Turkey, Iraq, Syria, and …

  • State and faith

    Mehmet Gurses, Jonathan Fox et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Southeast European and…•2024

    We draw on Turkey – a Muslim-majority country governed by the pro-Islamist Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi – AKP) for the past two decades – to examine some underexplored implications of the supply-side theory of religion. The longevity and shifting nature of AKP rule provide a unique opportunity to observe the subtleties involved in the noticeable strengthening of Sunni Islam’s religious monopoly in a Muslim society. Re…

  • Settling Softly

    Mehmet Gurses, Ayşe Betül Çelik•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2024•Referências: 27

    This paper investigates possible sociopolitical reconciliatory mechanisms to garner support for peacemaking in conflict-torn societies. Building on the Kurdish question in Turkey, associated with a four-decade-long armed conflict that has spilled over into neighboring Syria and Iraq, we identify policies and framing that can attract support for a political solution to the conflict. We highlight the need for a sociopolitical reconciliatory approac…

  • Kurds in Dark Times

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Journal of the Ottoman and…•2022

    Reviewed by: Kurds in Dark Times: New Perspectives on Violence and Resistance in Turkey ed. by Ayça Alemdaroğlu and Fatma Müge Göçek Mehmet Gurses Kurds in Dark Times: New Perspectives on Violence and Resistance in Turkey. Edited by Ayça Alemdaroğlu and Fatma Müge Göçek. Syracuse, NY: Syracuse University Press, 2023. 432 pp. Hardback, $85.00. ISBN: 0815637705. Few edited volumes have accomplished what this one has in bringing together a collectio…

  • The Kurds in Erdogan's Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Bustan The Middle East Book Review•2021

  • War and peace in the age of corona

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Evren Balta et al.•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2021•Citada por: 2•Referências: 17

    Unlike various natural disasters that some studies have highlighted as potential contributors to peace, the threat posed by the COVID-19 pandemic is neither short-term nor regionally confined. Thus, rather than invoking a compassionate response, the pandemic is likely to aggravate pre-existing divisions and create an environment that accentuates survival over compassion. Building on a large probability survey data gathered in May 2020 in Turkey, …

  • The Evolving Kurdish Question in Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Critique•2020•Citada por: 6•Referências: 9

    In a region undergoing dramatic changes, the Kurds in particular have begun to enjoy a political resurgence. Of those countries where Kurds reside, Turkey is the single most important actor for several reasons: It is a powerful state that is home to more than half of the total Kurdish population; it has been locked in a stalemate with (arguably) the most powerful Kurdish insurgent group, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party [Partiya Karkeren Kurdistan, P…

  • Women and War

    Mehmet Gurses, Aimee Arias et al.•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2020•Citada por: 3•Referências: 22

    To what extent do women’s rights change in a post-civil war society, and what explains these changes? To address these questions, a number of studies emphasise the disruptions to daily home, work, and community environments brought about by the dynamics of conflict. While war is disruptive and has the potential to generate new opportunities for women, we argue that conflict alone fails to explain variations in women’s rights. Using a cross-sectio…

  • Civil War and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ayşe Betül Çelik et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2020•Citada por: 1•Referências: 52

    Objective In this study we draw on the conflict between the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and Turkey to explore how exposure to violence can engender support for democracy at the individual level. Methods We rely on two nationwide representative surveys carried out in Turkey and estimate a series of ordered logistic and logistic regression models. Results We find that exposure to violence during civil war is a significant predictor of embracing …

  • Religion and Armed Conflict

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ahmet Erdi Öztürk•ARTICLE•Journal for the Scientific Study…•2020•Citada por: 11•Referências: 45

    This article examines the effectiveness of religion as a solution to ethno-nationalist conflicts, drawing on the case of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (Partiya Karkerên Kurdistan[PKK]) in Turkey. We utilize an original data set that contains data on Turkey's state-sponsored mosques between 1980 and 2016 to test for the purported peacemaking potential of religion. Results from this data set, coupled with an alternative measure of the state's involv…

  • Who Wins, Who Loses, Who Negotiates Peace in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Anup Phayal, T David Mason et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Security Studies•2019•Citada por: 4•Referências: 18

    Previous research has shown that the outcome of a civil war is related to conflict duration: military victory by either the government or the rebels occurs early if it occurs at all, and the longer a civil war lasts, the more likely it is to end in a negotiated settlement. The models of civil war duration and outcome that have produced these findings are built on characteristics of the civil war and less on attributes of the state itself, other t…

  • Books by Our Readers

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Chloe Thurston et al.•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2018

    An abstract is not available for this content. As you have access to this content, full HTML content is provided on this page. A PDF of this content is also available in through the ‘Save PDF’ action button

  • Kurdish Issues

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Policy•2017•Citada por: 2

  • Ethnic Exclusion and Mobilization

    Güneş Murat Tezcür, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Comparative Politics•2017•Citada por: 19

  • Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2017•Citada por: 5•Referências: 77

    What role does religion play in preventing civil war from recurring? Politicians have proposed that when warring groups share the same religion, achieving a durable peace will be easier. We test this hypothesis empirically using a large-nsample of all ethnic civil wars that began and ended between 1950 and 2006, and a measure of co-religiosity between the ethnic group in power and the main opposition group. The analysis shows that there is no pos…

  • Islamists and Women’s Rights

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•The Journal of the Middle East…•2015

    The emergence and evolution of Islamism in Turkey, a country with a history of (secular) democratic practices that goes back to 1950, has been the subject of numerous scholarly works. Several studies ascribe the transformation experienced by Islamists in Turkey to their interaction with democratic institutions. These studies argue that Islamists in Turkey have become more supportive of democracy over time. Despite a significant level of support f…

  • Transnational Ethnic Kin and Civil War Outcomes

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2015•Citada por: 21•Referências: 46

    The literature on the transnational dimension of civil wars points to transnational ethnic kin as an important catalyst that initiates and sustains civil wars. Ethnic ties that transcend national boundaries, these studies argue, intensify the conflict by providing sanctuaries as well as human and material resources to the rebels. In this study, I argue that the same transborder ethnic ties make it more difficult for the government to achieve a de…

  • Is Islam a Cure for Ethnic Conflict? Evidence from Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 36

    Turkish Islamists have long attributed the root causes of the Kurdish conflict in Turkey to the anti-religious Turkish nationalism promulgated by the secular Kemalist republican elite in the 1920s. As a result, they lay emphasis on “Islamic brotherhood” as the glue that holds numerous ethnic nationalities together. This article examines this claim and argues that Islam's role as a peacemaker has been overstated. The data from in-depth interviews …

  • Islamists, democracy and Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2014•Citada por: 19•Referências: 30

    The rise of Islamist movements in the Muslim world has been the subject of heated debate among scholars and policymakers. One group of scholars argues that Islamists use elections as a façade and warn against their political ascendency via electoral democracy. Another group of scholars, however, points to the moderating effects democracy has on views held by Islamists. This article does not present a novel theory but rather attempts to improve on…

  • Sustaining the peace after ethnic civil wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2013•Citada por: 10•Referências: 48

    We explore factors that influence the duration of peace after an ethnic civil war. Results from a series of survival models indicate that political and economic discrimination against the ethnic group that was involved in the war on the opposition side diminishes chances for peace. This finding is robust across different model specifications. Group size, group concentration, war duration and war outcome also influence the risk of war recurrence, …

  • Environmental Consequences of Civil War

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2012•Citada por: 10•Referências: 5

    Theories of environmental degradation as a predictor of armed conflict have gained momentum as scientists warn of the catastrophic consequences of global warming. Despite an increasing number of studies that emphasize this causal relationship, the literature is scant on the reverse linkage – environmental consequences of civil war. This study seeks to examine the impact of civil war on the environment and argues that state forces deliberately tra…

  • When Civil Wars Recur

    Open Access•T David Mason, Mehmet Gurses et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Perspectives•2011•Citada por: 44•Referências: 32

    We argue that the duration of the peace after civil wars is mainly a function of the extent to which the outcome of the previous civil war preserved a condition of multiple sovereignty and the extent to which the post-civil war environment creates incentives for dissident groups to resort to violence rather than sustain the peace. Hazard models suggest that the outcome of the previous conflict does affect the duration of the peace, and this effec…

  • The complexities of minority rights in the European Union

    Aimee Kanner Arias, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•The International Journal of…•2011•Citada por: 2•Referências: 4

    In this study we argue that the ‘opportunity structure’ EU membership and conditionality provide helps to reconfigure the relationships between minority groups and states. EU membership and/or the membership process can mitigate the conflict between minorities and their respective states by putting direct pressure on the states to address ethnic demands. We argue that a minority group's characteristics will also determine that group's success in …

  • Elites, Oil, and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2011•Citada por: 9•Referências: 41

    Objective. This study explores the relationship between natural resource wealth, most notably oil, and democratic survival. I contend that natural resources help sustain democratic regimes by easing social conflict between the rich and the poor. As such, the availability of abundant natural resource revenues alleviates the elites' fear of redistribution of wealth, thereby stabilizing the regime. Methods. I estimate a series of survival analyses f…

Próximo
  • Sustaining the Peace

    Jason Quinn, J Michael Quinn et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2007•Citada por: 108•Referências: 27

    Over half of all civil wars that began and ended between 1944 and 1997 were followed by at least one if not more episodes of civil war. We present a model to explain which characteristics of a civil war and the post-war environment make civil war more or less likely to recur. We test this model with data on civil wars that began and ended between 1944 and 1997. Findings suggest that civil wars are less likely to recur following rebel victories an…

  • When Civil Wars Recur

    Open Access•T David Mason, Mehmet Gurses et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Perspectives•2011•Citada por: 44•Referências: 32

    We argue that the duration of the peace after civil wars is mainly a function of the extent to which the outcome of the previous civil war preserved a condition of multiple sovereignty and the extent to which the post-civil war environment creates incentives for dissident groups to resort to violence rather than sustain the peace. Hazard models suggest that the outcome of the previous conflict does affect the duration of the peace, and this effec…

  • Mediating Civil War Settlements and the Duration of Peace

    Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2008•Citada por: 22•Referências: 38

    In this article, we examine the impact of international mediation attempts during civil war on the duration of peace once the war has ended. We include several aspects of the mediation attempt in our theoretical framework and our empirical tests, but we also control for other characteristics of the conflict and the country. While studies often find that decisive victories lead to a more durable peace, we expect that different types of mediation a…

  • Transnational Ethnic Kin and Civil War Outcomes

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2015•Citada por: 21•Referências: 46

    The literature on the transnational dimension of civil wars points to transnational ethnic kin as an important catalyst that initiates and sustains civil wars. Ethnic ties that transcend national boundaries, these studies argue, intensify the conflict by providing sanctuaries as well as human and material resources to the rebels. In this study, I argue that the same transborder ethnic ties make it more difficult for the government to achieve a de…

  • Democracy Out of Anarchy

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, T David Mason•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2008•Citada por: 20•Referências: 27

    Objective. This study explores the effects of civil war outcome on post‐civil‐war democratization. We employ an expected utility model to argue that the attributes of the civil war that lead to balanced power relations between the warring parties lead to higher levels of postconflict democracy. Methods. We estimate a series of OLS regression models with change in the level of democracy (from the prewar level to five and ten years after the confli…

  • Ethnic Exclusion and Mobilization

    Güneş Murat Tezcür, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Comparative Politics•2017•Citada por: 19

  • Islamists, democracy and Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2014•Citada por: 19•Referências: 30

    The rise of Islamist movements in the Muslim world has been the subject of heated debate among scholars and policymakers. One group of scholars argues that Islamists use elections as a façade and warn against their political ascendency via electoral democracy. Another group of scholars, however, points to the moderating effects democracy has on views held by Islamists. This article does not present a novel theory but rather attempts to improve on…

  • State-sponsored development, oil and democratization

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Democratization•2009•Citada por: 19•Referências: 28

    This study seeks to examine the relationship between natural resource revenues, most notably oil-generated wealth, and democratization. I show that the prevalent theoretical framework fails to explain the variation in rentier states' level of democracy. The empirical evidence from the fixed-effects regression models for the 1972–1999 period poses a challenge to the currently prevalent 'resource curse' hypothesis and suggests the possibility of a …

  • Is Islam a Cure for Ethnic Conflict? Evidence from Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 36

    Turkish Islamists have long attributed the root causes of the Kurdish conflict in Turkey to the anti-religious Turkish nationalism promulgated by the secular Kemalist republican elite in the 1920s. As a result, they lay emphasis on “Islamic brotherhood” as the glue that holds numerous ethnic nationalities together. This article examines this claim and argues that Islam's role as a peacemaker has been overstated. The data from in-depth interviews …

  • Religion and Armed Conflict

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ahmet Erdi Öztürk•ARTICLE•Journal for the Scientific Study…•2020•Citada por: 11•Referências: 45

    This article examines the effectiveness of religion as a solution to ethno-nationalist conflicts, drawing on the case of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (Partiya Karkerên Kurdistan[PKK]) in Turkey. We utilize an original data set that contains data on Turkey's state-sponsored mosques between 1980 and 2016 to test for the purported peacemaking potential of religion. Results from this data set, coupled with an alternative measure of the state's involv…

  • Sustaining the peace after ethnic civil wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2013•Citada por: 10•Referências: 48

    We explore factors that influence the duration of peace after an ethnic civil war. Results from a series of survival models indicate that political and economic discrimination against the ethnic group that was involved in the war on the opposition side diminishes chances for peace. This finding is robust across different model specifications. Group size, group concentration, war duration and war outcome also influence the risk of war recurrence, …

  • Environmental Consequences of Civil War

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2012•Citada por: 10•Referências: 5

    Theories of environmental degradation as a predictor of armed conflict have gained momentum as scientists warn of the catastrophic consequences of global warming. Despite an increasing number of studies that emphasize this causal relationship, the literature is scant on the reverse linkage – environmental consequences of civil war. This study seeks to examine the impact of civil war on the environment and argues that state forces deliberately tra…

  • Elites, Oil, and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2011•Citada por: 9•Referências: 41

    Objective. This study explores the relationship between natural resource wealth, most notably oil, and democratic survival. I contend that natural resources help sustain democratic regimes by easing social conflict between the rich and the poor. As such, the availability of abundant natural resource revenues alleviates the elites' fear of redistribution of wealth, thereby stabilizing the regime. Methods. I estimate a series of survival analyses f…

  • Weak States, Regime Types, and Civil War

    Mehmet Gurses, T David Mason•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2010•Citada por: 9

    A central theme in research on civil war and revolution is that ‘weak states’ are especially prone to civil war. Empirically, however, tests of this proposition have relied on proxy measures of state weakness such as GDP, mountainous terrain, and population, none of which directly measure features of the state itself. Earlier theoretical works point to particular regime types as being especially susceptible to civil war. We present a theoretical …

  • The Evolving Kurdish Question in Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Critique•2020•Citada por: 6•Referências: 9

    In a region undergoing dramatic changes, the Kurds in particular have begun to enjoy a political resurgence. Of those countries where Kurds reside, Turkey is the single most important actor for several reasons: It is a powerful state that is home to more than half of the total Kurdish population; it has been locked in a stalemate with (arguably) the most powerful Kurdish insurgent group, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party [Partiya Karkeren Kurdistan, P…

  • Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2017•Citada por: 5•Referências: 77

    What role does religion play in preventing civil war from recurring? Politicians have proposed that when warring groups share the same religion, achieving a durable peace will be easier. We test this hypothesis empirically using a large-nsample of all ethnic civil wars that began and ended between 1950 and 2006, and a measure of co-religiosity between the ethnic group in power and the main opposition group. The analysis shows that there is no pos…

  • Who Wins, Who Loses, Who Negotiates Peace in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Anup Phayal, T David Mason et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Security Studies•2019•Citada por: 4•Referências: 18

    Previous research has shown that the outcome of a civil war is related to conflict duration: military victory by either the government or the rebels occurs early if it occurs at all, and the longer a civil war lasts, the more likely it is to end in a negotiated settlement. The models of civil war duration and outcome that have produced these findings are built on characteristics of the civil war and less on attributes of the state itself, other t…

  • Partition, Democracy, and Turkey's Kurdish Minority

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Nationalism and Ethnic Politics•2010•Citada por: 4•Referências: 18

    Scholars have argued that the outbreak of civil wars destroys the possibilities for ethnic cooperation and conclude that the most effective remedy for ethnic civil conflict is to redraw national borders. Building upon the Kurdish conflict in Turkey, this article shows that peaceful coexistence after ethnic civil wars is possible as long as the state sufficiently democratizes by respecting the political and cultural rights of the ethnic group. The…

  • Women and War

    Mehmet Gurses, Aimee Arias et al.•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2020•Citada por: 3•Referências: 22

    To what extent do women’s rights change in a post-civil war society, and what explains these changes? To address these questions, a number of studies emphasise the disruptions to daily home, work, and community environments brought about by the dynamics of conflict. While war is disruptive and has the potential to generate new opportunities for women, we argue that conflict alone fails to explain variations in women’s rights. Using a cross-sectio…

  • War and peace in the age of corona

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Evren Balta et al.•ARTICLE•Turkish Studies•2021•Citada por: 2•Referências: 17

    Unlike various natural disasters that some studies have highlighted as potential contributors to peace, the threat posed by the COVID-19 pandemic is neither short-term nor regionally confined. Thus, rather than invoking a compassionate response, the pandemic is likely to aggravate pre-existing divisions and create an environment that accentuates survival over compassion. Building on a large probability survey data gathered in May 2020 in Turkey, …

  • Kurdish Issues

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Policy•2017•Citada por: 2

  • The complexities of minority rights in the European Union

    Aimee Kanner Arias, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•The International Journal of…•2011•Citada por: 2•Referências: 4

    In this study we argue that the ‘opportunity structure’ EU membership and conditionality provide helps to reconfigure the relationships between minority groups and states. EU membership and/or the membership process can mitigate the conflict between minorities and their respective states by putting direct pressure on the states to address ethnic demands. We argue that a minority group's characteristics will also determine that group's success in …

  • Civil War and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ayşe Betül Çelik et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2020•Citada por: 1•Referências: 52

    Objective In this study we draw on the conflict between the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and Turkey to explore how exposure to violence can engender support for democracy at the individual level. Methods We rely on two nationwide representative surveys carried out in Turkey and estimate a series of ordered logistic and logistic regression models. Results We find that exposure to violence during civil war is a significant predictor of embracing …

  • Sustaining the Peace

    Jason Quinn, J Michael Quinn et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2007•Citada por: 108•Referências: 27

    Over half of all civil wars that began and ended between 1944 and 1997 were followed by at least one if not more episodes of civil war. We present a model to explain which characteristics of a civil war and the post-war environment make civil war more or less likely to recur. We test this model with data on civil wars that began and ended between 1944 and 1997. Findings suggest that civil wars are less likely to recur following rebel victories an…

  • Mediating Civil War Settlements and the Duration of Peace

    Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost et al.•ARTICLE•International Interactions•2008•Citada por: 22•Referências: 38

    In this article, we examine the impact of international mediation attempts during civil war on the duration of peace once the war has ended. We include several aspects of the mediation attempt in our theoretical framework and our empirical tests, but we also control for other characteristics of the conflict and the country. While studies often find that decisive victories lead to a more durable peace, we expect that different types of mediation a…

  • Democracy Out of Anarchy

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, T David Mason•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2008•Citada por: 20•Referências: 27

    Objective. This study explores the effects of civil war outcome on post‐civil‐war democratization. We employ an expected utility model to argue that the attributes of the civil war that lead to balanced power relations between the warring parties lead to higher levels of postconflict democracy. Methods. We estimate a series of OLS regression models with change in the level of democracy (from the prewar level to five and ten years after the confli…

  • State-sponsored development, oil and democratization

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Democratization•2009•Citada por: 19•Referências: 28

    This study seeks to examine the relationship between natural resource revenues, most notably oil-generated wealth, and democratization. I show that the prevalent theoretical framework fails to explain the variation in rentier states' level of democracy. The empirical evidence from the fixed-effects regression models for the 1972–1999 period poses a challenge to the currently prevalent 'resource curse' hypothesis and suggests the possibility of a …

  • Weak States, Regime Types, and Civil War

    Mehmet Gurses, T David Mason•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2010•Citada por: 9

    A central theme in research on civil war and revolution is that ‘weak states’ are especially prone to civil war. Empirically, however, tests of this proposition have relied on proxy measures of state weakness such as GDP, mountainous terrain, and population, none of which directly measure features of the state itself. Earlier theoretical works point to particular regime types as being especially susceptible to civil war. We present a theoretical …

  • Partition, Democracy, and Turkey's Kurdish Minority

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Nationalism and Ethnic Politics•2010•Citada por: 4•Referências: 18

    Scholars have argued that the outbreak of civil wars destroys the possibilities for ethnic cooperation and conclude that the most effective remedy for ethnic civil conflict is to redraw national borders. Building upon the Kurdish conflict in Turkey, this article shows that peaceful coexistence after ethnic civil wars is possible as long as the state sufficiently democratizes by respecting the political and cultural rights of the ethnic group. The…

  • When Civil Wars Recur

    Open Access•T David Mason, Mehmet Gurses et al.•ARTICLE•International Studies Perspectives•2011•Citada por: 44•Referências: 32

    We argue that the duration of the peace after civil wars is mainly a function of the extent to which the outcome of the previous civil war preserved a condition of multiple sovereignty and the extent to which the post-civil war environment creates incentives for dissident groups to resort to violence rather than sustain the peace. Hazard models suggest that the outcome of the previous conflict does affect the duration of the peace, and this effec…

  • The complexities of minority rights in the European Union

    Aimee Kanner Arias, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•The International Journal of…•2011•Citada por: 2•Referências: 4

    In this study we argue that the ‘opportunity structure’ EU membership and conditionality provide helps to reconfigure the relationships between minority groups and states. EU membership and/or the membership process can mitigate the conflict between minorities and their respective states by putting direct pressure on the states to address ethnic demands. We argue that a minority group's characteristics will also determine that group's success in …

  • Elites, Oil, and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2011•Citada por: 9•Referências: 41

    Objective. This study explores the relationship between natural resource wealth, most notably oil, and democratic survival. I contend that natural resources help sustain democratic regimes by easing social conflict between the rich and the poor. As such, the availability of abundant natural resource revenues alleviates the elites' fear of redistribution of wealth, thereby stabilizing the regime. Methods. I estimate a series of survival analyses f…

  • Environmental Consequences of Civil War

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2012•Citada por: 10•Referências: 5

    Theories of environmental degradation as a predictor of armed conflict have gained momentum as scientists warn of the catastrophic consequences of global warming. Despite an increasing number of studies that emphasize this causal relationship, the literature is scant on the reverse linkage – environmental consequences of civil war. This study seeks to examine the impact of civil war on the environment and argues that state forces deliberately tra…

  • Sustaining the peace after ethnic civil wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Conflict Management and Peace…•2013•Citada por: 10•Referências: 48

    We explore factors that influence the duration of peace after an ethnic civil war. Results from a series of survival models indicate that political and economic discrimination against the ethnic group that was involved in the war on the opposition side diminishes chances for peace. This finding is robust across different model specifications. Group size, group concentration, war duration and war outcome also influence the risk of war recurrence, …

  • Islamists, democracy and Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2014•Citada por: 19•Referências: 30

    The rise of Islamist movements in the Muslim world has been the subject of heated debate among scholars and policymakers. One group of scholars argues that Islamists use elections as a façade and warn against their political ascendency via electoral democracy. Another group of scholars, however, points to the moderating effects democracy has on views held by Islamists. This article does not present a novel theory but rather attempts to improve on…

  • Islamists and Women’s Rights

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•The Journal of the Middle East…•2015

    The emergence and evolution of Islamism in Turkey, a country with a history of (secular) democratic practices that goes back to 1950, has been the subject of numerous scholarly works. Several studies ascribe the transformation experienced by Islamists in Turkey to their interaction with democratic institutions. These studies argue that Islamists in Turkey have become more supportive of democracy over time. Despite a significant level of support f…

  • Transnational Ethnic Kin and Civil War Outcomes

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2015•Citada por: 21•Referências: 46

    The literature on the transnational dimension of civil wars points to transnational ethnic kin as an important catalyst that initiates and sustains civil wars. Ethnic ties that transcend national boundaries, these studies argue, intensify the conflict by providing sanctuaries as well as human and material resources to the rebels. In this study, I argue that the same transborder ethnic ties make it more difficult for the government to achieve a de…

  • Is Islam a Cure for Ethnic Conflict? Evidence from Turkey

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 36

    Turkish Islamists have long attributed the root causes of the Kurdish conflict in Turkey to the anti-religious Turkish nationalism promulgated by the secular Kemalist republican elite in the 1920s. As a result, they lay emphasis on “Islamic brotherhood” as the glue that holds numerous ethnic nationalities together. This article examines this claim and argues that Islam's role as a peacemaker has been overstated. The data from in-depth interviews …

  • Kurdish Issues

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Policy•2017•Citada por: 2

  • Ethnic Exclusion and Mobilization

    Güneş Murat Tezcür, Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Comparative Politics•2017•Citada por: 19

  • Religion as a Peacemaker? Peace Duration after Ethnic Civil Wars

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Nicolas Rost•ARTICLE•Politics and Religion•2017•Citada por: 5•Referências: 77

    What role does religion play in preventing civil war from recurring? Politicians have proposed that when warring groups share the same religion, achieving a durable peace will be easier. We test this hypothesis empirically using a large-nsample of all ethnic civil wars that began and ended between 1950 and 2006, and a measure of co-religiosity between the ethnic group in power and the main opposition group. The analysis shows that there is no pos…

  • Books by Our Readers

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Chloe Thurston et al.•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2018

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  • Who Wins, Who Loses, Who Negotiates Peace in Civil Wars

    Open Access•Anup Phayal, T David Mason et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Global Security Studies•2019•Citada por: 4•Referências: 18

    Previous research has shown that the outcome of a civil war is related to conflict duration: military victory by either the government or the rebels occurs early if it occurs at all, and the longer a civil war lasts, the more likely it is to end in a negotiated settlement. The models of civil war duration and outcome that have produced these findings are built on characteristics of the civil war and less on attributes of the state itself, other t…

  • The Evolving Kurdish Question in Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Middle East Critique•2020•Citada por: 6•Referências: 9

    In a region undergoing dramatic changes, the Kurds in particular have begun to enjoy a political resurgence. Of those countries where Kurds reside, Turkey is the single most important actor for several reasons: It is a powerful state that is home to more than half of the total Kurdish population; it has been locked in a stalemate with (arguably) the most powerful Kurdish insurgent group, the Kurdistan Workers’ Party [Partiya Karkeren Kurdistan, P…

  • Women and War

    Mehmet Gurses, Aimee Arias et al.•ARTICLE•Civil Wars•2020•Citada por: 3•Referências: 22

    To what extent do women’s rights change in a post-civil war society, and what explains these changes? To address these questions, a number of studies emphasise the disruptions to daily home, work, and community environments brought about by the dynamics of conflict. While war is disruptive and has the potential to generate new opportunities for women, we argue that conflict alone fails to explain variations in women’s rights. Using a cross-sectio…

  • Civil War and Democratization

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ayşe Betül Çelik et al.•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2020•Citada por: 1•Referências: 52

    Objective In this study we draw on the conflict between the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) and Turkey to explore how exposure to violence can engender support for democracy at the individual level. Methods We rely on two nationwide representative surveys carried out in Turkey and estimate a series of ordered logistic and logistic regression models. Results We find that exposure to violence during civil war is a significant predictor of embracing …

  • Religion and Armed Conflict

    Open Access•Mehmet Gurses, Ahmet Erdi Öztürk•ARTICLE•Journal for the Scientific Study…•2020•Citada por: 11•Referências: 45

    This article examines the effectiveness of religion as a solution to ethno-nationalist conflicts, drawing on the case of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (Partiya Karkerên Kurdistan[PKK]) in Turkey. We utilize an original data set that contains data on Turkey's state-sponsored mosques between 1980 and 2016 to test for the purported peacemaking potential of religion. Results from this data set, coupled with an alternative measure of the state's involv…

  • The Kurds in Erdogan's Turkey

    Mehmet Gurses•ARTICLE•Bustan The Middle East Book Review•2021

Political science (28 obras) · Law (26 obras) · Sociology (26 obras) · Politics (24 obras) · Political economy (22 obras) · Law (21 obras) · Economics (16 obras) · Turkey's Politics and Society (16 obras) · Political Conflict and Governance (15 obras) · Democracy (12 obras)

Ethnos_APP • Projeto Open Source • Licença MIT • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacidade e Cookies • Documentação da API: api.ethnos.app/docs • Código da API: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Código do Frontend: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae