José Francisco Perles Ribes
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 3537548 |
|---|---|
| NOME | José Francisco Perles Ribes |
| PRENOMES | José Francisco Perles |
| SOBRENOME | Ribes |
| ASSINATURA | RIBES J F P |
| AFILIAÇÕES | University of Alicante |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-7587-8035 |
| VERIFICADO | Sim |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 27 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 13 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 27 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2014 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 2 |
Short-term rentals and housing prices
This article examines the relationship between short-term rentals (STRs) and housing purchase and rental prices in tourist destinations. The article focuses on how this relationship varies by the typology of tourism development – specifically, vacation homes (hotel-based) versus second-home-based models (residential models). Using time series analysis and data from three destinations in the Region of Valencia (Spain), the study tests for Granger …
Tourism specialization, competitiveness and sustainability
This study is the first to examine the interplay between tourism specialization, tourism competitiveness, and the sustainability of destinations measured through the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the context of Spain, a global tourism leader. By integrating these dimensions, the note provides new evidence on how tourism-edriven economies can balance growth with sustainability, offering insights that have not previously been explored for…
Optimal Level of Tourism Specialization and the Mediating Role of Productivity
Traditionally, tourism literature has systematically explored the relationship between tourism development and economic growth. The standard tool used for this purpose has been the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH). However, more recent literature has shifted its focus from the effects of tourism on economic growth toward the true economic development of territories. Within this context, a recent article by Perles & Moreno (2024) develops the …
Causal impacts of tourism on housing markets in Mediterranean destinations
This paper analyses the relationship between the evolution of residential rental and housing prices and tourism activity. We focus on four Spanish Mediterranean destinations over a time frame that covers the two major global shocks of recent decades: the Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Methodologically, the study employs a non-interventionist quasiexperimental design based on an Interrupted Time Series framework, allowing us to assess…
Short-term rentals and housing prices on the Costa Blanca (Spain)
The relationship between Short-Term Rentals and home purchase and rental prices is a hot and controversial research topic. This note analyzes the relationship between Short-Term Rentals, Purchase Prices, and Rental Prices of residential properties on the Costa Blanca (Spain). Using panel data techniques, the relationship between these variables is examined across 20 tourist municipalities for the period 2014–2024. The results suggest that the onl…
Allocating waste management charges in tourism destinations
The implementation of Spain's Waste and Contaminated Soil Act (Ley 7/2022) has compelled municipalities to design cost-recovery waste charges, raising a distributional question that is particularly acute in coastal tourism destinations: how should the charge be allocated between permanent residents and visitors? Using a balanced panel of six Mediterranean municipalities over 22 quarters, we estimate a log–log fixed-effects model and compute margi…
Methodological proposal to determine explosive tourism growth
Sustainability is a crucial aspect of tourism growth and development. This paper suggests the adaptation of a methodology originally designed for analysing explosive behaviour in financial market time series to assess the explosive behaviour of demand pressure in tourist destinations. The proposed methodology could function as an early warning system for potential issues such as over-tourism by identifying further unsustainable growth in destinat…
Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the Covid-19 pandemic? The case of Spain
This paper analyses the validity of the tourism-led economic growth hypothesis (TLEGH) for the case of Spain after the COVID pandemic. Advanced tests (dynamic and nonlinear) of non-causality Granger are carried out on time series of tourist arrivals and income as well as the evolution of GDP between the period 1955-2022. After performing an analysis with data up to 2019, we then examine whether the introduction of COVID modifies the conclusions o…
Testing the tourism led growth hypothesis
The Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH) posits a fundamental area of research, explored in hundreds of papers elucidating the relationship between tourism activity and economic growth. However, proposing the TLGH is not logical as the bidirectional relationship between tourism and economic growth is theoretically undeniable. In this paper, we advocate for a shift in the study perspective towards more ambitious hypotheses that extends the TLGH, w…
The real estate growth hypothesis in tourism destinations
This article proposes and theoretically develops the Real Estate Growth Hypothesis concept. It empirically investigates the connection between the expansion of tourism and the progress of real estate in Calp, an established tourist hotspot situated on the Mediterranean coast of Spain. Using annual data for the period 1967-2019 and a time series methodology that considers the possible nonlinearity of the relationship, the article draws conclusions…
Evaluating machine learning techniques for predicting tourist occupancy
This paper analyses the prediction capacity of machine learning techniques under severe demand shocks. Specifically, three methods – Naive Bayes, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine – are tested in predicting rental occupancy for tourist accommodation in the city of Madrid. We compare two different scenarios: firstly, the predictive capacity in the years prior to COVID-19 and, secondly, the ability to anticipate demand behaviour once the pan…
The life cycle and competitive position of tourism destinations
The competitiveness of tourism destinations depends on their degree of development or maturity. This article uses cluster analysis methods to establish the position in the life cycle of destinations in a pool of 154 countries. The article also explores their evolution between 2007 and 2017 doing a static comparative exercise. The position in the life cycle is determined by using confidence intervals for the means of the main variables. Following …
Aquaculture in tourist destinations
The search for sustainable alternative food sources has led to the expansion of aquaculture, with the proliferation of marine farms in more and more places, some of them very touristic. The installation of these farms in the waters of consolidated Sun and Beach tourist destinations represents a planning challenge, which requires consideration of the potential environmental and economic impacts of those activities on tourism attractions. This arti…
Confidence intervals as a tool to determine the thresholds of the life cycle of destinations
Butler’s TALC (Tourism Area Life Cycle Model) is a descriptive model that has become one of the most influential and widely referenced approaches in the analysis of tourism area development. However, from an empirical point of view, and despite many attempts, the model encounters difficulties when making it operational. This article advocates the use of statistical confidence intervals as a useful tool for determining the various stages through w…
Sustainable tourism indicators
Indicators are a fundamental tool for destinations in their progress towards a more sustainable tourism development. However, the lack of real progress and the accelerated technological change are obliging policy makers to rethink the existing indicator systems. This paper examines the relationship between smart cities and destinations and sustainable tourism indicators by analyzing proposals at different scales. It provides a critical review of …
Smart city and smart destination planning
The impact of technology on tourist cities and destinations has led to the emergence of renewed management approaches that seek to adapt the planning processes to new challenges and opportunities derived from the smart scenario. The smart city and smart tourist destination approaches are aimed at improving efficiency in management, the quality of life of the residents and the tourist experiences. However, little is known about how these ideas are…
Problems involved in measuring Covid-19 in consolidated tourist destinations
The most widely used indicator for measuring the COVID-19 pandemic is the 14-day rate, calculated as the ratio per 100.000 inhabitants between the number of confirmed cases in the last 14-day period and the registered population of a destination. However, this indicator is not appropriate for the reality of tourist destinations where, in the absence of mobility restrictions, seasonal fluctuations of the population are experienced. This article ca…
Smart or partly smart? Accessibility and innovation policies to assess smartness and competitiveness of destinations
In recent decades, policymakers worked to counteract the adverse effects of tourism on destinations, such as the problems of sustainability, wealth distribution or overtourism, among many other external issues. The answer seems to come from the so-called ‘intelligence’ in the destinations, that is, a necessary renewal to avoid losing competitiveness. In this research, we work on the hypothesis that smart or intelligent solutions applied in Spanis…
The economic determinants of tourism in Central Asia
This article explores the determinants of tourist arrivals to Central Asia using traditional gravity models and panel data analyses of 108 countries for the period 2008–2018. The research focuses on relevant variables such as income, relative price, travel costs, or the so-called economic determinants. The results reveal that tourism in Central Asia is considered to be more distance elastic and price inelastic. Tourists from North and South Ameri…
Competitiveness and overtourism
The tourism industry is undergoing accelerated changes that pose significant challenges for both destination and business managers as well as for researchers of the tourism phenomenon. Two of these challenges that are particularly relevant are the emergence of the sharing economy and its influence on the degree of overtourism perceived in the tourist destinations. This paper addresses the subject through the use of machine learning techniques. Th…
The relationship between satisfaction and tourism expenditure in ‘sun and beach’ destinations
Researchers generally accept that satisfaction is a determinant of tourist expenditure in destinations. This article explores the relationship between satisfaction and tourist expenditure in Calp, a consolidated ‘sun and beach’ tourist destination located on the Spanish Mediterranean coastline. Using survey data and structural equation modelling, the main result indicates that, in general, after controlling for relevant (socio-economic, socio-dem…
Tourism competitiveness and the well-being of residents
The literature on the competitiveness of tourist destinations establishes as its ultimate objective the well-being of the resident population. In Spain, the principal tourism product (sun and beach) has given rise to two basic types of destinations - those where there is a clear predominance of registered accommodation (mainly hotels) and those that are characterised by a supply largely made up of rental apartments and housing (non-registered, or…
Effects of political instability in consolidated destinations
Reestimación del impacto económico de las fiestas populares de proyección turística a través de metadatos provenientes de la telefonía móvil
o r g / 1 0 . 2 5 1 4 5 / j . p a s o s . 2 0 1 9 . 1 7 . 0 6 7 www .pasosonline.org Resumen: Los estudios de impacto econmico se han venido basando tradicionalmente en metodologas clsicas como el anlisis input -output o diferentes tipologas de multiplicadores. La irrupcin de las nuevas tecnologas y la posibilidad de captacin y explotacin de grandes volmenes de datos (big data) brinda nuevas posibilidades para el anlisis de estos eventos. Este ar…
Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the global economic and financial crisis? The case of Spain 1957–2014
Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the global economic and financial crisis? The case of Spain 1957–2014
Unemployment effects of economic crises on hotel and residential tourism destinations
Smart city and smart destination planning
The impact of technology on tourist cities and destinations has led to the emergence of renewed management approaches that seek to adapt the planning processes to new challenges and opportunities derived from the smart scenario. The smart city and smart tourist destination approaches are aimed at improving efficiency in management, the quality of life of the residents and the tourist experiences. However, little is known about how these ideas are…
Effects of political instability in consolidated destinations
Regeneración urbana, planificación estratégica y gestión del conflicto en destinos turísticos. El caso de Calpe
Regeneracin urbana, planificacin estratgica
Unemployment effects of economic crises on hotel and residential tourism destinations
Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the global economic and financial crisis? The case of Spain 1957–2014
Effects of political instability in consolidated destinations
Reestimación del impacto económico de las fiestas populares de proyección turística a través de metadatos provenientes de la telefonía móvil
o r g / 1 0 . 2 5 1 4 5 / j . p a s o s . 2 0 1 9 . 1 7 . 0 6 7 www .pasosonline.org Resumen: Los estudios de impacto econmico se han venido basando tradicionalmente en metodologas clsicas como el anlisis input -output o diferentes tipologas de multiplicadores. La irrupcin de las nuevas tecnologas y la posibilidad de captacin y explotacin de grandes volmenes de datos (big data) brinda nuevas posibilidades para el anlisis de estos eventos. Este ar…
Tourism competitiveness and the well-being of residents
The literature on the competitiveness of tourist destinations establishes as its ultimate objective the well-being of the resident population. In Spain, the principal tourism product (sun and beach) has given rise to two basic types of destinations - those where there is a clear predominance of registered accommodation (mainly hotels) and those that are characterised by a supply largely made up of rental apartments and housing (non-registered, or…
Competitiveness and overtourism
The tourism industry is undergoing accelerated changes that pose significant challenges for both destination and business managers as well as for researchers of the tourism phenomenon. Two of these challenges that are particularly relevant are the emergence of the sharing economy and its influence on the degree of overtourism perceived in the tourist destinations. This paper addresses the subject through the use of machine learning techniques. Th…
The relationship between satisfaction and tourism expenditure in ‘sun and beach’ destinations
Researchers generally accept that satisfaction is a determinant of tourist expenditure in destinations. This article explores the relationship between satisfaction and tourist expenditure in Calp, a consolidated ‘sun and beach’ tourist destination located on the Spanish Mediterranean coastline. Using survey data and structural equation modelling, the main result indicates that, in general, after controlling for relevant (socio-economic, socio-dem…
Problems involved in measuring Covid-19 in consolidated tourist destinations
The most widely used indicator for measuring the COVID-19 pandemic is the 14-day rate, calculated as the ratio per 100.000 inhabitants between the number of confirmed cases in the last 14-day period and the registered population of a destination. However, this indicator is not appropriate for the reality of tourist destinations where, in the absence of mobility restrictions, seasonal fluctuations of the population are experienced. This article ca…
Smart or partly smart? Accessibility and innovation policies to assess smartness and competitiveness of destinations
In recent decades, policymakers worked to counteract the adverse effects of tourism on destinations, such as the problems of sustainability, wealth distribution or overtourism, among many other external issues. The answer seems to come from the so-called ‘intelligence’ in the destinations, that is, a necessary renewal to avoid losing competitiveness. In this research, we work on the hypothesis that smart or intelligent solutions applied in Spanis…
The economic determinants of tourism in Central Asia
This article explores the determinants of tourist arrivals to Central Asia using traditional gravity models and panel data analyses of 108 countries for the period 2008–2018. The research focuses on relevant variables such as income, relative price, travel costs, or the so-called economic determinants. The results reveal that tourism in Central Asia is considered to be more distance elastic and price inelastic. Tourists from North and South Ameri…
Aquaculture in tourist destinations
The search for sustainable alternative food sources has led to the expansion of aquaculture, with the proliferation of marine farms in more and more places, some of them very touristic. The installation of these farms in the waters of consolidated Sun and Beach tourist destinations represents a planning challenge, which requires consideration of the potential environmental and economic impacts of those activities on tourism attractions. This arti…
Confidence intervals as a tool to determine the thresholds of the life cycle of destinations
Butler’s TALC (Tourism Area Life Cycle Model) is a descriptive model that has become one of the most influential and widely referenced approaches in the analysis of tourism area development. However, from an empirical point of view, and despite many attempts, the model encounters difficulties when making it operational. This article advocates the use of statistical confidence intervals as a useful tool for determining the various stages through w…
Sustainable tourism indicators
Indicators are a fundamental tool for destinations in their progress towards a more sustainable tourism development. However, the lack of real progress and the accelerated technological change are obliging policy makers to rethink the existing indicator systems. This paper examines the relationship between smart cities and destinations and sustainable tourism indicators by analyzing proposals at different scales. It provides a critical review of …
Smart city and smart destination planning
The impact of technology on tourist cities and destinations has led to the emergence of renewed management approaches that seek to adapt the planning processes to new challenges and opportunities derived from the smart scenario. The smart city and smart tourist destination approaches are aimed at improving efficiency in management, the quality of life of the residents and the tourist experiences. However, little is known about how these ideas are…
Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid after the Covid-19 pandemic? The case of Spain
This paper analyses the validity of the tourism-led economic growth hypothesis (TLEGH) for the case of Spain after the COVID pandemic. Advanced tests (dynamic and nonlinear) of non-causality Granger are carried out on time series of tourist arrivals and income as well as the evolution of GDP between the period 1955-2022. After performing an analysis with data up to 2019, we then examine whether the introduction of COVID modifies the conclusions o…
Testing the tourism led growth hypothesis
The Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH) posits a fundamental area of research, explored in hundreds of papers elucidating the relationship between tourism activity and economic growth. However, proposing the TLGH is not logical as the bidirectional relationship between tourism and economic growth is theoretically undeniable. In this paper, we advocate for a shift in the study perspective towards more ambitious hypotheses that extends the TLGH, w…
The real estate growth hypothesis in tourism destinations
This article proposes and theoretically develops the Real Estate Growth Hypothesis concept. It empirically investigates the connection between the expansion of tourism and the progress of real estate in Calp, an established tourist hotspot situated on the Mediterranean coast of Spain. Using annual data for the period 1967-2019 and a time series methodology that considers the possible nonlinearity of the relationship, the article draws conclusions…
Evaluating machine learning techniques for predicting tourist occupancy
This paper analyses the prediction capacity of machine learning techniques under severe demand shocks. Specifically, three methods – Naive Bayes, Random Forest and Support Vector Machine – are tested in predicting rental occupancy for tourist accommodation in the city of Madrid. We compare two different scenarios: firstly, the predictive capacity in the years prior to COVID-19 and, secondly, the ability to anticipate demand behaviour once the pan…
The life cycle and competitive position of tourism destinations
The competitiveness of tourism destinations depends on their degree of development or maturity. This article uses cluster analysis methods to establish the position in the life cycle of destinations in a pool of 154 countries. The article also explores their evolution between 2007 and 2017 doing a static comparative exercise. The position in the life cycle is determined by using confidence intervals for the means of the main variables. Following …
Methodological proposal to determine explosive tourism growth
Sustainability is a crucial aspect of tourism growth and development. This paper suggests the adaptation of a methodology originally designed for analysing explosive behaviour in financial market time series to assess the explosive behaviour of demand pressure in tourist destinations. The proposed methodology could function as an early warning system for potential issues such as over-tourism by identifying further unsustainable growth in destinat…
Short-term rentals and housing prices
This article examines the relationship between short-term rentals (STRs) and housing purchase and rental prices in tourist destinations. The article focuses on how this relationship varies by the typology of tourism development – specifically, vacation homes (hotel-based) versus second-home-based models (residential models). Using time series analysis and data from three destinations in the Region of Valencia (Spain), the study tests for Granger …
Tourism specialization, competitiveness and sustainability
This study is the first to examine the interplay between tourism specialization, tourism competitiveness, and the sustainability of destinations measured through the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the context of Spain, a global tourism leader. By integrating these dimensions, the note provides new evidence on how tourism-edriven economies can balance growth with sustainability, offering insights that have not previously been explored for…
Optimal Level of Tourism Specialization and the Mediating Role of Productivity
Traditionally, tourism literature has systematically explored the relationship between tourism development and economic growth. The standard tool used for this purpose has been the Tourism-Led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH). However, more recent literature has shifted its focus from the effects of tourism on economic growth toward the true economic development of territories. Within this context, a recent article by Perles & Moreno (2024) develops the …
Causal impacts of tourism on housing markets in Mediterranean destinations
This paper analyses the relationship between the evolution of residential rental and housing prices and tourism activity. We focus on four Spanish Mediterranean destinations over a time frame that covers the two major global shocks of recent decades: the Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. Methodologically, the study employs a non-interventionist quasiexperimental design based on an Interrupted Time Series framework, allowing us to assess…
Tourism (24 obras) · Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research (20 obras) · Destinations (15 obras) · Geography (15 obras) · Political science (13 obras) · Economics (12 obras) · Business (11 obras) · Cruise Tourism Development and Management (10 obras) · Economic geography (9 obras) · Migration, Aging, and Tourism Studies (8 obras)