Bruce Tonn
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 3685884 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Bruce Tonn |
| PRENOMES | Bruce |
| SOBRENOME | Tonn |
| ASSINATURA | TONN B |
| AFILIAÇÕES | University of Tennessee at Knoxville |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-7357-4214 |
| VERIFICADO | Sim |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 74 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 304 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 74 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1984 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2025 |
| ÍNDICE H | 9 |
Medicine, Futures, and the Prevention of Human Extinction
This article draws a parallel between ethical reasons why people alive today have obligations to members of future generations and ethical reasons why physicians have obligations, besides helping improve patients' quality of life, to help some patients confront their own deaths and human extinction. This article argues for the view that many clinicians tend to express-daily, and one patient at a time-ethical values that support human extinction p…
A dollar well spent
Income, housing and health
A futures perspective of health, climate change and poverty in the United States
Philosophical, institutional, and decision making frameworks for meeting obligations to future generations
Assessment of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act Upon the Department of Energy Weatherization Assistance Program
The Department of Energy (DOE) administers the national low‐income Weatherization Assistance Program (WAP). Under this program, DOE provides grants to states (grantees), which then provide grants to local weatherization agencies (subgrantees), to weatherize income‐eligible homes for free. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) of 2009 allocated $5 billion in funding to WAP, a very significant increase from an annual appropriation that …
Confronting future catastrophic threats to humanity
Special Issue on Low Carbon Futures
Willow pond
Human extinction risk and uncertainty
Memories of the Future
Future of governance workshop summary
The future of governance and the use of advanced information technologies
Future of the courts
Futures of governance
Intervention in countries with unsustainable energy policies
What's in a name
Valuing diversity and spatial pattern of open space plots in urban neighborhoods
Are we doomed
A literary human extinction scenario
A singular chain of events
Individual approaches to futures thinking and decision making
Obligations to future generations and acceptable risks of human extinction
Beliefs about human extinction
Futures
Cognitive representations of the future
The court of generations
Obligations to future generations and acceptable risks of human extinction
A design for future-oriented government
Non-spatial government
A singular chain of events
Futures sustainability
The House of Lords
Income, housing and health
Human extinction risk and uncertainty
Are we doomed
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Everyday life's constraints on citizenship in the United States
Philosophical, institutional, and decision making frameworks for meeting obligations to future generations
Integrated 1000-year planning
The future of futures decision making
Distant futures and the environment
Valuing diversity and spatial pattern of open space plots in urban neighborhoods
Beliefs about human extinction
Impacts of the Use of E-Mail and the Internet on Personal Trip-Making Behavior
This article presents the results of a web survey of 118 residents in the Knoxville, Tennessee, metropolitan region to explore the impacts of the use of e-mail and the Internet on personal trip-making behavior. Respondents were required to be active drivers and users of e-mail and/or the Internet. Approximately 40% reported that their use of these information technologies has led to less driving overall, and 18% reported less rush hour driving. A…
Research society
Community Networks or Networked Communities
The article provides an overview of the state of the art in community networks. Forty community networks were reviewed. A protocol was developed to guide the evaluation of each site. The protocol covered the types of information currently provided and whether the network contributes to the social capital of the community. It was found that communities are now served by several types of Web sites: nonprofit community networks, those administered b…
Philosophical Aspects of 500-Year Planning
A class of environmental problems, termed 500-year problems, poses significant threats to the world's societies. In 500-year planning there is a need for a sound philosophical foundation to guide the development of appropriate methods which analyze problems that cover very long time periods and that involve large uncertainties. In this paper philosophical aspects of 500-year planning, related to determining whether present generations are meeting…
What's in a name
Individual approaches to futures thinking and decision making
The Cyclic Process Decision-Heuristic
Models of human behavior can be evaluated against a number of criteria. For example, does the model incorporate important exogenous variables, and are the predictions of the model specific enough for policy analysis? In this paper, the author addresses the decision-heuristic component of human behavior modeling. The term 'heuristic' refers to the process individuals follow when making a decision, and a heuristic, in the modeling sense, provides t…
A Sociopsychological Contribution to the Theory of Individual Time-Allocation
Analysis of individual time-allocation will continue to increase as researchers link time-allocation behavior with transportation and energy demand, urban design, family organization, and other topics. Past research has not evolved a comprehensive theory of individual time-allocation. In this paper the author offers a series of social-psychological contributions to the development of a theory of individual time-allocation designed to provide a fr…
Information technology and society
Advances in computer hardware and software have allowed information technology to penetrate into and firmly establish itself within our society. The technology affects the performance of our organizations, how we perform our jobs, and how we conduct our everyday lives. Beyond our borders, the. technology has debatable value to developing countries and has most certainly aroused conflicts between nations with respect to trade and broadcasting. Thi…
An Illustration of Household Energy-Conservation Modeling Using the Search-List Decision-Heuristic
Much debate has focused on the appropriateness of the rational paradigm and its mathematical manifestation—utility theory—as a foundation for descriptive models of human behavior. Comparative discussion has been hampered by a lack of mathematically based noneconomic decision models. Such a model is presented in this paper, derived from the search-list decision-heuristic, that describes household decisions concerning energy-conservation investment…
Using possibility functions for long-term environmental planning
A Framework for the Nonstatistical Assessment of Behaviorally Based Policy Models
In this paper a nonstatistical framework for assessing behaviorally based policy models is presented. Such a framework is needed because statistical criteria do not explicitly indicate how well various aspects of a disaggregated model fit together. The framework assumes models have five elements: behavior specificity, motivation or goal specificity, decision-heuristic specificity, belief specificity, and exogenous variable specificity. After the …
Philosophical Aspects of 500-Year Planning
A class of environmental problems, termed 500-year problems, poses significant threats to the world's societies. In 500-year planning there is a need for a sound philosophical foundation to guide the development of appropriate methods which analyze problems that cover very long time periods and that involve large uncertainties. In this paper philosophical aspects of 500-year planning, related to determining whether present generations are meeting…
Recommendations for decentralized information technology innovation and management
Numerous factors, such as the emergence of microcomputers and changing attitudes toward job design and responsibility, are leading to the increased decentralization of information technology and management in large organizations. This article presents five recommendations that could foster technology innovation within the context of decentralization. The recommendations have potential value for any large organization, public or private, that has …
Diagnostic conditionalization
Research Policy and Review 34
The historical range and current applications of important ideas about uncertainty are reviewed. It is undertaken for the benefit of decisionmakers and policy analysts who need to confront in a rigorous fashion complex problems that entail large uncertainties. Numerous ideas are addressed, gleaned from many disciplines, including philosophy, mathematics, and artificial intelligence, which can supplement the basic approaches to uncertainty associa…
The court of generations
Towards a More General Theoretical and Mathematical Model of Probability for Policy Analysis
Uncertainty pervades policy analysis in ways that transcend classical concepts of probability. To benefit policy analysis, the concept of probability must be considerably broadened. It is argued that probability can be conceptualized with respect to the characteristics of policy problems that produce inherent uncertainty. Problems that encompass uncertainty can be characterized according to their: (1) fundamental requirements, for example forecas…
An Object-based Interviewing System
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) has developed an object-based interviewing system (OBIS). The key design feature is that each survey question is a function, which is treated as an independent object. The Survey Manager (SM) module maintains a stack of questions and calls each question function when directed. Each question, when called, calls the Interaction Facility (IF) to set up the appropriate screen. This modular approach to automated su…
Using the National Information Infrastructure for Social Science, Education, and Informed Decision Making
The United States has aggressively embarked on the challenging task of building a National Information Infrastructure (NII). This infrastructure will have many levels, extending from the building-block capital stock that composes the telecommunications system to the multitude of higher tier applications hardware and software tied to this system. This "white paper" presents a vision for a second- and third-tier national information infrastructure …
A Study of the Potential for Cooperation Between Models and Modelers
Modeling is discussed with reference to applications undertaken by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Topics treated include strategies for linking models, software tools and techniques, and problems and opportunities arising from collaborative modeling. Keywords: modeling, simulation, computing, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, collaborative work
Non-spatial government
Global Society and Information Technology
Information technology will greatly influence the quality of life in the 21st century. The challenge is to use the technology to help overcome numerous global, regional, and local problems that threaten the quality of life. These problems include global overpopulation, intense and potentially socioeconomically destructive global economic competition, continued pressures on the global environment, increasing levels of regionalized armed conflicts,…
Summary of CSS'95
A design for future-oriented government
Sustainable societies in the information age
Revisiting the ‘Court of Generations’ Amendment
Everyday life's constraints on citizenship in the United States
Technology for a Sustainable Environmentm
Although there is debate about its precise definition, the concept of sustainability will certainly be a priority for both human and technological development in the future. Broad social trends indicate that people want more control over their lives and will apply pressure through democratic institutions to achieve a more sustainable, reenvironmentalized society. Public works officials will be deeply involved in meeting the demands of this evolut…
An Introduction to the Focus Issue on National Laboratories and Public Works
Ensuring the future
Economics (41 obras) · Political science (40 obras) · Computer Science (32 obras) · Business (31 obras) · Sociology (28 obras) · Law (21 obras) · Futures contract (20 obras) · Law (20 obras) · Engineering (19 obras) · Geography (13 obras)