Ilan Noy

Dados Biográficos

ID3700054
NOMEIlan Noy
PRENOMESIlan
SOBRENOMENoy
ASSINATURANOY I
AFILIAÇÕESVictoria University of Wellington
ORCID0000-0003-3214-6568
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS40
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES138
TOTAL COMO AUTOR40
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2005
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2026
ÍNDICE H5

  • Shock responses

    Open AccessTimothy Wilson, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEInternational Journal of Disaster…2026

    We examine how households responded to shocks (such as floods) in Malawi from 2003 to 2020. We find that rural households and those with lower education levels are more likely to respond to shocks in ways that reinforce poverty cycles, such as by selling productive assets. Our findings are nuanced; while rural households are 2 percent more likely to adopt poverty-reinforcing responses in general, they are 5 percent less likely to reduce food expe…

  • Bonding social capital, disaster experience, and post‐disaster giving in Japan

    Open AccessToshihiro Okubo, Okubo Toshihiro et al.ARTICLEDisasters2026

    When are people willing to donate their time or money after a disaster? We investigate the psychological and socio‐economic determinants of post‐disaster giving in Japan, using a nationally representative panel survey of more than 7,000 respondents, conducted repeatedly from early 2020, including after the 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake. We examine how individual characteristics—including past disaster experience, social capital (trust, reciproci…

  • Climate change, hurricanes, and sovereign debt in the Caribbean basin

    Open AccessEduardo A Cavallo, Eduardo Cavallo et al.ARTICLEClimate and Development2025

    Caribbean Islands are exposed to hurricanes, the damage from which is projected to intensify due to anthropogenic climate change. The Caribbean region is also highly indebted; and so we focus on the interaction between climate change, hurricanes, and public debt. We investigate what has been the increase in public debt following Caribbean hurricanes, and how has anthropogenic climate change shaped this increase. We show that for the ten most seve…

  • Vaccination decisions and social capital in Japan

    Open AccessToshihiro Okubo, Ilan NoyARTICLESSM - Population Health2025

    The COVID-19 vaccines played a pivotal role in safeguarding many people. Yet, vaccine hesitancy remained a significant barrier to increasing coverage rates, as many high-income countries faced prolonged vaccine refusal campaigns. In Japan, vaccine doses were administered under a reservation system accessible via a website and by phone. Achieving a high vaccination coverage for a vaccine that was offered at no financial cost was surprisingly diffi…

  • Climate change and federal aid disbursements after Hurricane Harvey

    Open AccessKevin T Smiley, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2025

    The role climate change plays in increasing the burden placed on governments and insurers to pay for recovery has not been extensively explored and is the focus of this study. This study examines the impacts of climate change attributed flooding on federal disaster aid disbursement in Harris County, Texas following Hurricane Harvey in 2017. Our approach uses flood models to estimate the amount of flood damages attributable and not attributable to…

  • Individuals’ emigration from Christchurch city after the 2010–2011 earthquakes

    Open AccessYousef Abdel Jawad, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLERegional Studies Regional Science2025Referências: 3

    We investigate the likelihood of individuals emigrating (internally over short distances, internally over long distances and internationally) from Christchurch following the 2010–2011 earthquakes that hit the city. We consider their socio-economic and demographic characteristics to see how these are associated with their migration decisions. To achieve this, we employed a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach and estimated a multinomial logist…

  • Impact of Canterbury earthquakes on well-being in New Zealand

    Open AccessThi Mui Nguyen, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEDisasters2025Referências: 29

    This study examines the impacts of earthquakes on individual subjective well-being, using data from New Zealand's General Social Survey and a difference-in-difference-in-difference approach. By matching this with Earthquake Commission insurance claims, we could analyse the micro-level effects of the 2010-11 Canterbury (New Zealand) earthquakes. Our findings reveal that life satisfaction consistently declined in affected areas, emphasising its sen…

  • Extreme Events and Inter-state Migration in India

    Open AccessRicha Richa, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEMigration and Development2024

    Extreme events-induced migration is a growing concern for low- and middle-income countries due to the increased variability in the weather and the rise in the number of disasters associated with climate change. The objective of this article is to examine the interlinkages between weather, disasters, and migration, in India. To examine the bi-directional flow of migrants across Indian states, we estimate gravity models with Poisson Pseudo Maximum …

  • The impact of the Christchurch earthquakes (2010–2011) on labour productivity in the Canterbury region in New Zealand

    Open AccessYousef Abdeljawad, Ilan NoyARTICLEEnvironmental Hazards2024Citada por: 1Referências: 1

    We examine the impact of the earthquake sequence in 2010–2012 on labour productivity in New Zealand's Canterbury region, utilising a dynamic Difference-in-Differences approach and a comprehensive administrative dataset of all firms operating in New Zealand. We find a statistically significant and large positive effect on labour productivity in Christchurch City, particularly in the construction sector. This led to an observable increase in overal…

  • The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change

    Open AccessRebecca Newman, Ilan NoyARTICLENature Communications2023

    Extreme weather events lead to significant adverse societal costs. Extreme Event Attribution (EEA), a methodology that examines how anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions had changed the occurrence of specific extreme weather events, allows us to quantify the climate change-induced component of these costs. We collect data from all available EEA studies, combine these with data on the socio-economic costs of these events and extrapolate for missi…

  • Impact of Droughts on Farms’ Financing Choices

    Shabana Kamal, Ilan NoyARTICLEWeather, Climate, and Society2023

    The interaction between climate change, agriculture, and financial markets is a topic that has been researched relatively little thus far. This paper intends to extend the literature by empirically testing the relationships between droughts and farms’ financing choices (measured in terms of real debt and equity) in New Zealand. Using microeconomic farm-level financial records available from the tax authorities, we quantify how past droughts (meas…

  • Event attribution is ready to inform loss and damage negotiations

    Open AccessIlan Noy, Michael Wehner et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2023

  • Fifty years of peril

    Open AccessTimothy Wilson, Ilan NoyARTICLEGlobal Policy2023

    We compare the realised impact of terrorism and disasters linked to natural hazards. Using 50 years of data from two databases covering most of the global population, we find that natural hazard disasters were more than 20 times more impactful than terrorism. The former had a larger realised impact in all regions in both gross and per capita terms. The largest cross‐peril difference was in Asia, where natural hazard disasters took 324 million lif…

  • Past experience of drought, drought risk perception, and climate mitigation and adaptation decisions by farmers in New Zealand

    Thi Mui Nguyen, Philip Brown et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Hazards2023

    We analyze the perception of farmers in New Zealand with regards to future drought risk as shaped by climatic change and the implications of these perceptions for climate mitigation and adaptation actions that these farmers choose to pursue. The policy options examined include reducing greenhouse gas emissions, strengthening climate resilience, and using water resources more efficiently. Almost all farmers in New Zealand expect an increase in dro…

  • The income consequences of a managed retreat

    Open AccessThoa Hoang, Ilan NoyARTICLERegional Science and Urban…2023

    Managed retreat is the relocation of households out of harm's way. After the 2011 Christchurch (New Zealand) earthquake, around 16000 people were thus relocated in a managed retreat program. We use administrative panel data (2004–2018) to identify the effects of this managed retreat on the relocated population. We find that, compared to the non-relocated residents, the relocated population experienced a significant initial decrease in their wages…

  • The Japanese textile sector and the influenza pandemic of 1918–1920

    Open AccessIlan Noy, Toshihiro Okubo et al.ARTICLEJournal of Regional Science2023

    The ongoing global pandemic has brought into sharp relief the possible interactions between the epidemiology of a virus, the structure of the economy and society that becomes exposed to it, and the actions chosen by government, individuals, and communities to combat it or ameliorate its economic impact. Surprisingly, there has not been sufficient research on these economic and policy interactions of the 1918–1920 influenza pandemic—the deadliest …

  • Heat Waves and Innovation in Air Conditioning in the United States

    Open AccessIlan Noy, Eric StroblARTICLEWeather, Climate, and Society2022

    This study investigates whether extreme heat episodes (heat waves) have contributed to the development of air conditioning (AC) technology in the United States. To this end, we use weather data to identify days at which heat and relative humidity were above levels comfortable to the human body, and match these with patent data at the county level for nearly a hundred years. We find that in the 2 years after a county has experienced extreme heat A…

  • Business recovery from disasters

    Open AccessStephanie E Chang, Charlotte Brown et al.ARTICLEInternational Journal of Disaster…2022

    This paper compares economic recovery in the COVID-19 pandemic with other types of disasters, at the scale of businesses. As countries around the world struggle to emerge from the pandemic, studies of business impact and recovery have proliferated; however, pandemic research is often undertaken without the benefit of insights from long-standing research on past large-scale disruptive events, such as floods, storms, and earthquakes. This paper bui…

  • A Comprehensive Measure of Lifeyears Lost due to Covid‐19 in 2020

    Open AccessNguyen Doan, Ilan NoyARTICLEGlobal Policy2021

    Typically, disaster damages are measured separately in four dimensions: fatalities, injuries, dislocations, and the financial damage that they wreak. Noy (2016) developed a lifeyears index of disaster damage which aggregates these disparate measures. Here, we use this lifeyears index to assess the costs of the COVID‐19 pandemic across countries and compare these costs to the average annual costs of all other disasters that have occurred in all co…

  • Floods and Spillovers

    Ilan Noy, Cuong Nguyen et al.ARTICLEEconomic Development and Cultural…2021Referências: 27

    In 2011, Thailand experienced its worst flood ever. Using repeated waves of the Thai Household Socio-Economic Survey, we analyze the flood’s economic impacts. In 2012, households answered a set of questions on the extent of flooding they experienced. We use this self-identified flood exposure and external exposure indicators from satellite images to identify both households that were directly affected and those that were not directly flooded but …

  • Prioritising earthquake retrofitting in Wellington, New Zealand

    Open AccessThoa Hoang, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEDisasters2021Referências: 19

    This study describes the application of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to prioritise the seismic risk mitigation of existing buildings in earthquake-prone Wellington, New Zealand. Through retrofitting or demolition, this is an important requirement in many cities around the Pacific Rim and in other high-level seismic hazard locations. The prioritisation strategy proposed here, based on MCDA methods, can provide decision-makers with a fas…

  • Wellbeing after a managed retreat

    Open AccessThoa Hoang, Ilan NoyARTICLEInternational Journal of Disaster…2020

  • Measuring the Economic Risk of Covid‐19

    Open AccessIlan Noy, Nguyen Doan et al.ARTICLEGlobal Policy2020

    We measure the economic risk of COVID‐19 at a geo‐spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the current prevalence of confirmed cases, we use data from 2014–2018 and a conceptual disaster risk model to compute measures for exposure, vulnerability, and resilience of the local economy to the shock of the epidemic. Using a battery of proxies for these four concepts, we calculate the hazard, the principal components of exposure and vul…

  • Earthquake-induced transportation disruption and economic performance

    Open AccessRio Yonson, Ilan Noy et al.ARTICLEJournal of Transport Geography2020Citada por: 1Referências: 9

  • Risk, poverty or politics? The determinants of subnational public spending allocation for adaptive disaster risk reduction in Bangladesh

    Open AccessAzreen Karim, Ilan NoyARTICLEWorld Development2020Citada por: 6Referências: 13