Shinichiro Fujimori

Dados Biográficos

ID3707097
NOMEShinichiro Fujimori
PRENOMESShinichiro
SOBRENOMEFujimori
ASSINATURAFUJIMORI S
AFILIAÇÕESInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
ORCID0000-0001-7897-1796
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS77
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES579
TOTAL COMO AUTOR77
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2014
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2026
ÍNDICE H7

  • Implications of overshoot for climate mitigation strategies

    Open AccessMassimo Tavoni, Nico Bauer et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2026

  • Afforestation and reforestation have varying biodiversity impacts across and within biomes

    Open AccessPavithra Rangani Wijenayake, Kazuaki Tsuchiya et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2026

    Afforestation and reforestation (AR) are effective strategies for large-scale carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and climate change mitigation, as they offer the potential to sequester vegetation and soil carbon. However, the expansion of AR raises concerns about the adverse impacts on biodiversity. While local studies have assessed these impacts, global-scale evaluations remain limited. Our study addressed the need for a comprehensive approach to miti…

  • Global soil organic carbon sequestration potential under sustainable food systems and climate mitigation

    Open AccessDianti Farhana Kamasela, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2025

    Soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration is a key nature-based solution to mitigate climate change. Previous studies have highlighted its potential and the role of improve management practice, but many relied on static land-use assumptions or limited spatial data, overlooking socio-economic and climate-driven changes that affect land availability. This study assessed the global SOC sequestration potential of cropland and bioenergy land under three…

  • Bundling measures for food systems transformation

    Open AccessMarina Sundiang, Thais Diniz Oliveira et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Planetary Health2025Referências: 9

  • Fish as food

    Open AccessShujuan Xia, Jun’ya Takakura et al.ARTICLEFood Policy2025Referências: 1

  • Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints

    Open AccessChristoph Bertram, Elina Brutschin et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    Despite faster-than-expected progress in clean energy technology deployment, global annual CO 2 emissions have increased from 2020 to 2023. The feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 °C is therefore questioned. Here we present a model intercomparison study that accounts for emissions trends until 2023 and compares cost-effective scenarios to alternative scenarios with institutional, geophysical and technological feasibility constraints and enable…

  • A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change

    Open AccessJohannes Emmerling, Pietro Andreoni et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    Climate change and inequality are critical and interrelated issues. Despite growing empirical evidence on the distributional implications of climate policies and climate risks, mainstream model-based assessments are often silent on the interplay between climate change and economic inequality. Here we fill this gap through an ensemble of eight large-scale integrated assessment models that belong to different economic paradigms and feature income h…

  • Future fire-PM 2.5 mortality varies depending on climate and socioeconomic changes

    Open AccessChae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    Fire emits hazardous air pollutants, the most dominant of which is fine particulate matter of diameter ⩽2.5 μ m (PM 2.5 ). PM 2.5 is a great concern due to its adverse effects on public health. Previous studies have examined the health burden from fire-related PM 2.5 for the historical period; however, future global mortality associated with fire-PM 2.5 , particularly under the coexisting impacts of climate and socioeconomic changes, is yet to be…

  • Benefits of air quality for human health resulting from climate change mitigation through dietary change and food loss prevention policy

    Open AccessThanapat Jansakoo, Satoshi Sekizawa et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2024Referências: 6

    Food production, particularly cattle husbandry, contributes significantly to air pollution and its associated health hazards. However, making changes in dietary habits, such as reducing red meat consumption and minimizing food waste, can lead to substantial improvements in both air quality and human health. In this study, we explored the impact of dietary changes on future air quality and human wellbeing. We also assessed the influence of dietary…

  • Important distinctiveness of SSP3–7.0 for use in impact assessments

    Open AccessHideo Shiogama, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2023

  • Alternative, but expensive, energy transition scenario featuring carbon capture and utilization can preserve existing energy demand technologies

    Open AccessKen Oshiro, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2023

    To reach net-zero carbon emissions, most climate change mitigation scenarios model a rapid transition from hydrocarbon-based energy to renewables, wide-scale electrification, and offsets to mitigate residual emissions. This requires phasing out existing hydrocarbon infrastructure and adjustments to electrification. Carbon capture and utilization (CCU) to produce synthetic fuels could be an alternative way to reach net zero while maintaining some …

  • Total economic costs of climate change at different discount rates for market and non-market values

    Open AccessTakahiro Oda, Jun’ya Takakura et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2023

    What will be the aggregated cost of climate change in achieving the Paris Agreement, including mitigation, adaptation, and residual impacts? Several studies estimated the aggregated cost but did not always consider the critical issues. Some do not address non-market values such as biodiversity and human health, and most do not address differentiating discount rates. In this study, we estimate the aggregated cost of climate change using an integra…

  • Potential side effects of climate change mitigation on poverty and countermeasures

    Open AccessShinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2023Citada por: 1Referências: 14

    Many countries have set ambitious long-term emissions reduction targets for reaching the goal in alignment with the Paris Agreement. However, large-scale emission reduction efforts may influence poverty by various economic channels. Here, we show the extent to which climate change mitigation, excluding climate change impacts, has the potential to increase poverty, and have identified its factors such as income, price changes, and direct and indir…

  • Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future

    Open AccessChae Yeon Park, Kiyoshi Takahashi et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2023Citada por: 2Referências: 2

    Fires and their associated carbon and air pollutant emissions have a broad range of environmental and societal impacts, including negative effects on human health, damage to terrestrial ecosystems, and indirect effects that promote climate change. Previous studies investigated future carbon emissions from the perspective of response to climate change and population growth, but the compound effects of other factors like economic development and la…

  • Poverty and inequality implications of carbon pricing under the long-term climate target

    Open AccessShiya Zhao, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLESustainability Science2022Citada por: 2Referências: 9

    Many countries have taken stringent climate policies to minimize the risks by climate change. But these policies could burden households and the poor with the extra costs and threaten their wellbeing. However, the consequences of climate policies on poverty and welfare loss are seldom presented in stringent long-term climate change mitigation projections. Carbon pricing is a cost-effective approach; how it affects households varies among countrie…

  • Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit

    Open AccessHongbo Duan, Sheng Zhou et al.ARTICLEScience2021

    Change in the air The 2016 Paris Agreement set the ambitious goals of keeping global temperature rise this century below 2°C, or even better, 1.5°C above preindustrial levels. Substantial interventions are required to meet these goals, particularly for industrialized countries. Duan et al. projected that China will need to reduce its carbon emissions by more than 90% and its energy consumption by almost 40% to do its share in reaching the 1.5°C t…

  • Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

    Open AccessKeywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

    Open AccessLaurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions

    Open AccessShinichiro Fujimori, Volker Krey et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Critical adjustment of land mitigation pathways for assessing countries’ climate progress

    Open AccessGiacomo Grassi, Elke Stehfest et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population

    Open AccessPeter Rafaj, Gregor Kiesewetter et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Low-carbon pathways consistent with the 2 °C and 1.5 °C long-term climate goals defined in the Paris Agreement are likely to induce substantial co-benefits for air pollution and associated health impacts. In this analysis, using five global integrated assessment models, we quantify the emission reductions in key air pollutants resulting from the decarbonization of energy systems and the resulting changes in premature mortality attributed to the e…

  • Significant climate benefits from near-term climate forcer mitigation in spite of aerosol reductions

    Open AccessRobert J Allen, Larry W Horowitz et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Near-term climate forcers (NTCFs), including aerosols and chemically reactive gases such as tropospheric ozone and methane, offer a potential way to mitigate climate change and improve air quality-so called 'win-win' mitigation policies. Prior studies support improved air quality under NTCF mitigation, but with conflicting climate impacts that range from a significant reduction in the rate of global warming to only a modest impact. Here, we use s…

  • Integrated assessment model diagnostics

    Open AccessMathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a se…

  • Capturing Key Energy and Emission Trends in CGE Models

    Taran Fæhn, Gabriel Bachner et al.

    Limiting global warming in line with the goals in the Paris Agreement will require substantial technological and behavioural transformations. This challenge drives many of the current modelling trends. This paper undertakes a review of 17 state-of-the-art recursive-dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) models and assesses the key methodologies and applied modules they use for representing sectoral energy and emission characteristics and dy…

  • Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °c stabilization

    Zoi Vrontisi, Gunnar Luderer et al.

    The Paris Agreement is a milestone in international climate policy as it establishes a global mitigation framework towards 2030 and sets the ground for a potential 1.5 °C climate stabilization. To provide useful insights for the 2018 UNFCCC Talanoa facilitative dialogue, we use eight state-of-the-art climate-energy-economy models to assess the effectiveness of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) in meeting high probability 1.…