Mark A Kayser
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 3718033 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Mark A Kayser |
| PRENOMES | Mark A |
| SOBRENOME | Kayser |
| ASSINATURA | KAYSER M A |
| VERIFICADO | Não |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 12 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 81 |
| OBRAS COMO AUTOR | 11 |
| OBRAS COMO EDITOR | 1 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2013 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2024 |
| ÍNDICE H | 4 |
Voters’ Expectations in Constituency Elections without Local Polls
How do voters form accurate expectations about the strength of political candidates in constituency elections if there are no reliable constituency polls available? We argue that voters can use national election polls and past election results to increase the accuracy of their expectations. A survey experiment during the German federal election of 2021 confirms that the provision of national election polls and past results increases the accuracy …
Coalition Inclusion Probabilities
A Länder-Based Forecast of the 2021 German Bundestag Election
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Coalition Prospects and Policy Change
In most developed democracies, parties adjust their positions to polls and public opinion. Yet, in a coalition government, the policy that emerges is often the outcome of negotiations between governing parties. We argue that the credibility of exit threats by current coalition members and the importance of outside parties for the formation of potential alternative coalitions both matter for policy adoption. Building on a new data set measuring th…
Benchmarking across Borders
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
The Two-step Model of Clustered Democratization
Does democratization diffuse? For over two decades, numerous studies have asserted that democratization diffuses across countries but recent research has challenged this claim. Most recently, work by Brancati and Lucardi has buttressed this null finding by demonstrating that an oft assumed mechanism for the diffusion of democratization—the diffusion of pro-democracy protests—lacks empirical support. We review this contribution in the context of r…
Governance Indicators
As difficult as it might seem to define governance, it appears to be that much more difficult to measure it. Since the World Bank Institute launched the Worldwide Governance Indicators in the late 1990s, the governance indicators field has flourished and experienced significant advances in terms of methodology, data coverage and quality, and policy relevance. Other major initiatives have added to a momentum that propelled research on governance i…
Innovations in Objectively Measuring Corruption in Public Procurement
While there is continued interest in measuring governance, disagreement on how best to do so has only grown over time. To provide pointers at innovative and rigorous indicator building, this chapter documents innovations in measuring a particularly challenging governance dimension: corruption in public procurement. In hopes of inspiring future research, the chapter critically reviews objective corruption proxies using administrative data on gover…
A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election
When elections are distant, polls are poor predictors. Too few voters are paying attention and too much can change before election day. Structural models can establish baseline expectations but suffer from high uncertainty and underspecification imposed by small samples. We present an early forecast of the 2017 Bundestag election results for individual parties that leverages economic and political data as well as state parliament (Landtag) \nelec…
It's not easy being green
Diffusion or Confusion? Clustered Shocks and the Conditional Diffusion of Democracy
Scholars, observing clustering in transitions to democracy, argue that democratization diffuses across borders as citizens in autocracies demand the same reforms they witness in neighboring states. We disagree. This article demonstrates that diffusion plays only a highly conditional role in democratization. We advance and test an alternative two-step theory of clustered democratization: (1) economic and international political shocks, which are c…
Governance Challenges and Innovations
Few would doubt that the conditions of governance have changed—and continue to change—as the early 21st century seems to enter a period of profound uncertainty. Yet, at the same time, the world seems alive with a cacophony of approaches—old and new—on how to improve governance and, ultimately, policy outcomes. This book—the first in a series of annual editions—seeks to address the implications of the current state of the world in terms of ‘good g…
It's not easy being green
Diffusion or Confusion? Clustered Shocks and the Conditional Diffusion of Democracy
Scholars, observing clustering in transitions to democracy, argue that democratization diffuses across borders as citizens in autocracies demand the same reforms they witness in neighboring states. We disagree. This article demonstrates that diffusion plays only a highly conditional role in democratization. We advance and test an alternative two-step theory of clustered democratization: (1) economic and international political shocks, which are c…
Coalition Prospects and Policy Change
In most developed democracies, parties adjust their positions to polls and public opinion. Yet, in a coalition government, the policy that emerges is often the outcome of negotiations between governing parties. We argue that the credibility of exit threats by current coalition members and the importance of outside parties for the formation of potential alternative coalitions both matter for policy adoption. Building on a new data set measuring th…
The Two-step Model of Clustered Democratization
Does democratization diffuse? For over two decades, numerous studies have asserted that democratization diffuses across countries but recent research has challenged this claim. Most recently, work by Brancati and Lucardi has buttressed this null finding by demonstrating that an oft assumed mechanism for the diffusion of democratization—the diffusion of pro-democracy protests—lacks empirical support. We review this contribution in the context of r…
Benchmarking across Borders
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
A Länder-Based Forecast of the 2021 German Bundestag Election
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Voters’ Expectations in Constituency Elections without Local Polls
How do voters form accurate expectations about the strength of political candidates in constituency elections if there are no reliable constituency polls available? We argue that voters can use national election polls and past election results to increase the accuracy of their expectations. A survey experiment during the German federal election of 2021 confirms that the provision of national election polls and past results increases the accuracy …
A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election
When elections are distant, polls are poor predictors. Too few voters are paying attention and too much can change before election day. Structural models can establish baseline expectations but suffer from high uncertainty and underspecification imposed by small samples. We present an early forecast of the 2017 Bundestag election results for individual parties that leverages economic and political data as well as state parliament (Landtag) \nelec…
Governance Challenges and Innovations
Few would doubt that the conditions of governance have changed—and continue to change—as the early 21st century seems to enter a period of profound uncertainty. Yet, at the same time, the world seems alive with a cacophony of approaches—old and new—on how to improve governance and, ultimately, policy outcomes. This book—the first in a series of annual editions—seeks to address the implications of the current state of the world in terms of ‘good g…
Diffusion or Confusion? Clustered Shocks and the Conditional Diffusion of Democracy
Scholars, observing clustering in transitions to democracy, argue that democratization diffuses across borders as citizens in autocracies demand the same reforms they witness in neighboring states. We disagree. This article demonstrates that diffusion plays only a highly conditional role in democratization. We advance and test an alternative two-step theory of clustered democratization: (1) economic and international political shocks, which are c…
A Länder-based Forecast of the 2017 German Bundestag Election
When elections are distant, polls are poor predictors. Too few voters are paying attention and too much can change before election day. Structural models can establish baseline expectations but suffer from high uncertainty and underspecification imposed by small samples. We present an early forecast of the 2017 Bundestag election results for individual parties that leverages economic and political data as well as state parliament (Landtag) \nelec…
It's not easy being green
Governance Indicators
As difficult as it might seem to define governance, it appears to be that much more difficult to measure it. Since the World Bank Institute launched the Worldwide Governance Indicators in the late 1990s, the governance indicators field has flourished and experienced significant advances in terms of methodology, data coverage and quality, and policy relevance. Other major initiatives have added to a momentum that propelled research on governance i…
Innovations in Objectively Measuring Corruption in Public Procurement
While there is continued interest in measuring governance, disagreement on how best to do so has only grown over time. To provide pointers at innovative and rigorous indicator building, this chapter documents innovations in measuring a particularly challenging governance dimension: corruption in public procurement. In hopes of inspiring future research, the chapter critically reviews objective corruption proxies using administrative data on gover…
Benchmarking across Borders
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
The Two-step Model of Clustered Democratization
Does democratization diffuse? For over two decades, numerous studies have asserted that democratization diffuses across countries but recent research has challenged this claim. Most recently, work by Brancati and Lucardi has buttressed this null finding by demonstrating that an oft assumed mechanism for the diffusion of democratization—the diffusion of pro-democracy protests—lacks empirical support. We review this contribution in the context of r…
Coalition Prospects and Policy Change
In most developed democracies, parties adjust their positions to polls and public opinion. Yet, in a coalition government, the policy that emerges is often the outcome of negotiations between governing parties. We argue that the credibility of exit threats by current coalition members and the importance of outside parties for the formation of potential alternative coalitions both matter for policy adoption. Building on a new data set measuring th…
A Länder-Based Forecast of the 2021 German Bundestag Election
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Coalition Inclusion Probabilities
Voters’ Expectations in Constituency Elections without Local Polls
How do voters form accurate expectations about the strength of political candidates in constituency elections if there are no reliable constituency polls available? We argue that voters can use national election polls and past election results to increase the accuracy of their expectations. A survey experiment during the German federal election of 2021 confirms that the provision of national election polls and past results increases the accuracy …
Political science (10 obras) · Electoral Systems and Political Participation (7 obras) · Politics (6 obras) · Economics (5 obras) · Law (5 obras) · Business (4 obras) · Computer Science (4 obras) · Law (4 obras) · Political economy (4 obras) · Corporate governance (3 obras)