A R Pickles
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 3718699 |
|---|---|
| NOME | A R Pickles |
| PRENOMES | A R |
| SOBRENOME | Pickles |
| ASSINATURA | PICKLES A R |
| AFILIAÇÕES | Northwestern University |
| VERIFICADO | Não |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 13 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 44 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 13 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1982 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1991 |
| ÍNDICE H | 4 |
The Empirical Analysis of Housing Careers
It is argued that the notion of housing careers has an important potential role in integrating the diverse theoretical perspectives which characterise research into residential mobility and tenure choice. By the synthesis of concepts from a range of theoretical and empirical traditions, a statistical modelling framework is developed that treats housing careers as trajectories from a dynamic optimisation process. This framework is operationalised …
Expression of negative affect with disciplinary encounters
This article examines the evidence for the reciprocity of negative affect between mothers and young children within disciplinary encounters. A conceptual schema that aids systematic exploration of observational data was used
An Analysis of Housing Careers in Cardiff
Data on housing careers in Cardiff are analysed within the statistical modelling framework developed in a companion paper. Several simplifying assumptions were necessary to overcome complex statistical and computational problems but the results obtained appear to be robust. However, these results include some features which were unexpected and difficult to interpret
Duration of Unemployment among Men in Northern Ireland
Male unemployment in Northern Ireland from 1926 to 1973 is examined by using aggregate time series and individual life-history data. County-specific and sector-specific unemployment rates are derived from various published statistics by using an entropy-maximising procedure. These aggregate data show a systematic relative improvement in male unemployment in the predominantly Protestant eastern counties and a corresponding deterioration in the mor…
Entrepreneurial Behaviour within Male Work Histories
In this paper, aspects of entrepreneurship in Ireland-North and South-based upon a sample of 4300 male work histories are analysed. Complementary log-log models are employed to investigate the factors underlying the first business startup by an individual. A between-sector analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour is presented; the preceding employment experience of entrepreneurs is analysed; and their subsequent employment spell is examined. Results…
An Analysis of Entrepreneurial Behaviour from Male Work Histories
PICKLES A. R. and O'FARRELL P. N. (1987) An analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour from male work histories, Reg. Studies 21, 425–444. This paper analyses entrepreneurship in Ireland—North and South—based upon a sample of 4,300 male work histories. There is an extremely low rate of entrepreneurship in Ireland and only 8% of new ventures were in manufacturing. Complementary log-log models are used to analyse the factors underlying an individual's f…
Longitudinal versus Cross-Sectional Methods for Behavioural Research
It is explained that statistical problems over omitted variables and endogenous factors cast doubt upon the wisdom of attempting inference about many forms of human behaviour from cross-sectional data. Simulations are used to confirm that cross-sectional analyses can produce seriously misleading results. The problems are avoided by using longitudinal methods
Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970
A two-state Markov model of individual voting transitions is developed which allows voters to differ with respect to their voting propensities and loyalties. Such a model allows the estimation of various process parameters without the specification errors common in other models. Additional parameters are introduced to allow for the effects of a third party, considerably extending the scope of application. The model is applied to the electoral vot…
Some Methods for the Testing and Estimation of Dynamic Models Which Use Panel Data
In this paper the authors address some of the inferential problems posed by longitudinal data on the discrete choice behaviour of a collection of individuals. In particular, an integrated framework is developed which enables heterogeneity and nonstationarity to be explicitly included in stochastic models of binary choice behaviour. The emphasis is upon minimum assumptions about the nature and determinants of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, as …
Modelling the evolution of heterogeneity in residential mobility
Migration probabilities are known to vary over the population (heterogeneity) and over time (nonstationarity). It is shown that if the heterogeneity is represented by an SB mixing distribution and the nonstationarity by a set of arbitrary logistic scaling functions, then not only may all sources of heterogeneity, including tastes, be modelled, but heterogeneity at different points in time may be readily compared. The model is calibrated using dat…
Identification of some recurrent choice processes
Many social processes may be studied as collections of binary series. The processes which generate such series may be heterogeneous over the population, non‐stationary over time and may exhibit a feedback effect, such as "cumulative inertia." Methods, using maximum likelihood estimation, are developed which model arbitrary heterogeneity and non‐stationarity to provide an effective test of the presence of "true contagion" or feedback effects. Wher…
Heterogeneity, Nonstationarity, and Duration-of-Stay Effects in Migration
This paper briefly outlines the theoretical problem of the identification of duration-of-stay effects in migration. The empirical studies are critically reviewed with particular emphasis upon their treatment of heterogeneity and nonstationarity. New statistical tests developed by the authors are applied to Wisconsin migration data. These tests suggest that although heterogeneity and nonstationarity are strongly present within the data, duration-o…
A Family of Hypothesis Tests for a Collection of Short Event Series with an Application to Female Employment Participation
Data comprising a collection of short event series are increasingly encountered in social science research. Such series may be expected to be heterogeneous and nonstationary precluding conventional inferential methods. Tests are presented for homogeneity, nonstationarity, and zero order, with appropriate controls. The test procedures are based upon the subdivision of each series into a 'conditioning sequence' and an 'experimental observation'. Th…
Longitudinal versus Cross-Sectional Methods for Behavioural Research
It is explained that statistical problems over omitted variables and endogenous factors cast doubt upon the wisdom of attempting inference about many forms of human behaviour from cross-sectional data. Simulations are used to confirm that cross-sectional analyses can produce seriously misleading results. The problems are avoided by using longitudinal methods
An Analysis of Housing Careers in Cardiff
Data on housing careers in Cardiff are analysed within the statistical modelling framework developed in a companion paper. Several simplifying assumptions were necessary to overcome complex statistical and computational problems but the results obtained appear to be robust. However, these results include some features which were unexpected and difficult to interpret
Heterogeneity, Nonstationarity, and Duration-of-Stay Effects in Migration
This paper briefly outlines the theoretical problem of the identification of duration-of-stay effects in migration. The empirical studies are critically reviewed with particular emphasis upon their treatment of heterogeneity and nonstationarity. New statistical tests developed by the authors are applied to Wisconsin migration data. These tests suggest that although heterogeneity and nonstationarity are strongly present within the data, duration-o…
An Analysis of Entrepreneurial Behaviour from Male Work Histories
PICKLES A. R. and O'FARRELL P. N. (1987) An analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour from male work histories, Reg. Studies 21, 425–444. This paper analyses entrepreneurship in Ireland—North and South—based upon a sample of 4,300 male work histories. There is an extremely low rate of entrepreneurship in Ireland and only 8% of new ventures were in manufacturing. Complementary log-log models are used to analyse the factors underlying an individual's f…
Some Methods for the Testing and Estimation of Dynamic Models Which Use Panel Data
In this paper the authors address some of the inferential problems posed by longitudinal data on the discrete choice behaviour of a collection of individuals. In particular, an integrated framework is developed which enables heterogeneity and nonstationarity to be explicitly included in stochastic models of binary choice behaviour. The emphasis is upon minimum assumptions about the nature and determinants of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, as …
A Family of Hypothesis Tests for a Collection of Short Event Series with an Application to Female Employment Participation
Data comprising a collection of short event series are increasingly encountered in social science research. Such series may be expected to be heterogeneous and nonstationary precluding conventional inferential methods. Tests are presented for homogeneity, nonstationarity, and zero order, with appropriate controls. The test procedures are based upon the subdivision of each series into a 'conditioning sequence' and an 'experimental observation'. Th…
Duration of Unemployment among Men in Northern Ireland
Male unemployment in Northern Ireland from 1926 to 1973 is examined by using aggregate time series and individual life-history data. County-specific and sector-specific unemployment rates are derived from various published statistics by using an entropy-maximising procedure. These aggregate data show a systematic relative improvement in male unemployment in the predominantly Protestant eastern counties and a corresponding deterioration in the mor…
Entrepreneurial Behaviour within Male Work Histories
In this paper, aspects of entrepreneurship in Ireland-North and South-based upon a sample of 4300 male work histories are analysed. Complementary log-log models are employed to investigate the factors underlying the first business startup by an individual. A between-sector analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour is presented; the preceding employment experience of entrepreneurs is analysed; and their subsequent employment spell is examined. Results…
Modelling the evolution of heterogeneity in residential mobility
Migration probabilities are known to vary over the population (heterogeneity) and over time (nonstationarity). It is shown that if the heterogeneity is represented by an SB mixing distribution and the nonstationarity by a set of arbitrary logistic scaling functions, then not only may all sources of heterogeneity, including tastes, be modelled, but heterogeneity at different points in time may be readily compared. The model is calibrated using dat…
Identification of some recurrent choice processes
Many social processes may be studied as collections of binary series. The processes which generate such series may be heterogeneous over the population, non‐stationary over time and may exhibit a feedback effect, such as "cumulative inertia." Methods, using maximum likelihood estimation, are developed which model arbitrary heterogeneity and non‐stationarity to provide an effective test of the presence of "true contagion" or feedback effects. Wher…
Modelling the evolution of heterogeneity in residential mobility
Migration probabilities are known to vary over the population (heterogeneity) and over time (nonstationarity). It is shown that if the heterogeneity is represented by an SB mixing distribution and the nonstationarity by a set of arbitrary logistic scaling functions, then not only may all sources of heterogeneity, including tastes, be modelled, but heterogeneity at different points in time may be readily compared. The model is calibrated using dat…
Identification of some recurrent choice processes
Many social processes may be studied as collections of binary series. The processes which generate such series may be heterogeneous over the population, non‐stationary over time and may exhibit a feedback effect, such as "cumulative inertia." Methods, using maximum likelihood estimation, are developed which model arbitrary heterogeneity and non‐stationarity to provide an effective test of the presence of "true contagion" or feedback effects. Wher…
Heterogeneity, Nonstationarity, and Duration-of-Stay Effects in Migration
This paper briefly outlines the theoretical problem of the identification of duration-of-stay effects in migration. The empirical studies are critically reviewed with particular emphasis upon their treatment of heterogeneity and nonstationarity. New statistical tests developed by the authors are applied to Wisconsin migration data. These tests suggest that although heterogeneity and nonstationarity are strongly present within the data, duration-o…
A Family of Hypothesis Tests for a Collection of Short Event Series with an Application to Female Employment Participation
Data comprising a collection of short event series are increasingly encountered in social science research. Such series may be expected to be heterogeneous and nonstationary precluding conventional inferential methods. Tests are presented for homogeneity, nonstationarity, and zero order, with appropriate controls. The test procedures are based upon the subdivision of each series into a 'conditioning sequence' and an 'experimental observation'. Th…
Some Methods for the Testing and Estimation of Dynamic Models Which Use Panel Data
In this paper the authors address some of the inferential problems posed by longitudinal data on the discrete choice behaviour of a collection of individuals. In particular, an integrated framework is developed which enables heterogeneity and nonstationarity to be explicitly included in stochastic models of binary choice behaviour. The emphasis is upon minimum assumptions about the nature and determinants of heterogeneity and nonstationarity, as …
Individual and Geographical Variation in Longitudinal Voting Data for England 1964–1970
A two-state Markov model of individual voting transitions is developed which allows voters to differ with respect to their voting propensities and loyalties. Such a model allows the estimation of various process parameters without the specification errors common in other models. Additional parameters are introduced to allow for the effects of a third party, considerably extending the scope of application. The model is applied to the electoral vot…
Longitudinal versus Cross-Sectional Methods for Behavioural Research
It is explained that statistical problems over omitted variables and endogenous factors cast doubt upon the wisdom of attempting inference about many forms of human behaviour from cross-sectional data. Simulations are used to confirm that cross-sectional analyses can produce seriously misleading results. The problems are avoided by using longitudinal methods
An Analysis of Entrepreneurial Behaviour from Male Work Histories
PICKLES A. R. and O'FARRELL P. N. (1987) An analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour from male work histories, Reg. Studies 21, 425–444. This paper analyses entrepreneurship in Ireland—North and South—based upon a sample of 4,300 male work histories. There is an extremely low rate of entrepreneurship in Ireland and only 8% of new ventures were in manufacturing. Complementary log-log models are used to analyse the factors underlying an individual's f…
Entrepreneurial Behaviour within Male Work Histories
In this paper, aspects of entrepreneurship in Ireland-North and South-based upon a sample of 4300 male work histories are analysed. Complementary log-log models are employed to investigate the factors underlying the first business startup by an individual. A between-sector analysis of entrepreneurial behaviour is presented; the preceding employment experience of entrepreneurs is analysed; and their subsequent employment spell is examined. Results…
The Empirical Analysis of Housing Careers
It is argued that the notion of housing careers has an important potential role in integrating the diverse theoretical perspectives which characterise research into residential mobility and tenure choice. By the synthesis of concepts from a range of theoretical and empirical traditions, a statistical modelling framework is developed that treats housing careers as trajectories from a dynamic optimisation process. This framework is operationalised …
Expression of negative affect with disciplinary encounters
This article examines the evidence for the reciprocity of negative affect between mothers and young children within disciplinary encounters. A conceptual schema that aids systematic exploration of observational data was used
An Analysis of Housing Careers in Cardiff
Data on housing careers in Cardiff are analysed within the statistical modelling framework developed in a companion paper. Several simplifying assumptions were necessary to overcome complex statistical and computational problems but the results obtained appear to be robust. However, these results include some features which were unexpected and difficult to interpret
Duration of Unemployment among Men in Northern Ireland
Male unemployment in Northern Ireland from 1926 to 1973 is examined by using aggregate time series and individual life-history data. County-specific and sector-specific unemployment rates are derived from various published statistics by using an entropy-maximising procedure. These aggregate data show a systematic relative improvement in male unemployment in the predominantly Protestant eastern counties and a corresponding deterioration in the mor…
Mathematics (9 obras) · Econometrics (8 obras) · Economics (7 obras) · Sociology (7 obras) · Statistics (7 obras) · Computer Science (5 obras) · Demography (5 obras) · Engineering (5 obras) · Political science (4 obras) · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies (4 obras)