Mathijs Harmsen

Dados Biográficos

ID4017432
NOMEMathijs Harmsen
PRENOMESMathijs
SOBRENOMEHarmsen
ASSINATURAHARMSEN M
AFILIAÇÕESNetherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
ORCID0000-0001-6755-1569
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS26
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES460
TOTAL COMO AUTOR26
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2016
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2026
ÍNDICE H5

  • A more complete Image

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, Mathijs Harmsen et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2026

    Currently, climate impacts are mostly absent in the analysis of process-based integrated assessment models (IAMs). This is becoming increasingly problematic given the fact that climate impacts are expected to influence both baseline developments as well as the capacity to mitigate and adapt in the future. This paper presents a set of scenarios made using the IAM IMAGE with climate change impacts on labor productivity and GDP, renewable energy sup…

  • Reducing sectoral hard-to-abate emissions to limit reliance on carbon dioxide removal

    Open AccessOreane Y Edelenbosch, Andries F Hof et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    To reach net-zero greenhouse gas targets, carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are required to compensate for residual emissions in the hard-to-abate sectors. However, dependencies on CDR technologies involve environmental, technical and social risks, particularly related to increased land requirements for afforestation and bioenergy crops. Here, using scenarios consistent with the 1.5 °C target, we show that demand and technological interve…

  • Climate policy and the SDGs agenda

    Open AccessIsabela Schmidt Tagomori, Mathijs Harmsen et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    The sustainable development goals (SDGs) represent the global ambition to accelerate sustainable development. Several SDGs are directly related to climate change and policies aiming to mitigate it. This includes, among others, the set of SDGs that directly influence the climate, land, energy, and water (CLEW) nexus (SDGs 2, 6, 7, 13, 15). This study aims at understanding the synergies and trade-offs between climate policy and the SDGs agenda: how…

  • How the Russian–Ukrainian war reshapes the climate policy context

    Open AccessMathijs Harmsen, Dimitris Fragkiadakis et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    The Russian military aggression against Ukraine has had significant global impacts on energy security, economy and geopolitics. The 2022 global energy crisis raises questions about how the war affects the energy transition and global climate policy. However, there are limited studies that incorporate its effects into self-consistent projections of alternative scenarios. This scenario study uses two leading macro-economic models and one integrated…

  • Representation of adaptation in quantitative climate assessments

    Open AccessNicole van Maanen, Tabea Lissner et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2023

  • Developing scenarios in the context of the Paris Agreement and application in the integrated assessment model Image

    Open AccessMark Roelfsema, Heleen Van Soest et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Science & Policy2022Citada por: 2Referências: 12

    The framework presented in this study aims to provide insights into how climate policy is represented in integrated assessment models, responding to the call to link model scenarios with concepts used in public policy literature and related fields. As such, it contributes to increased transparency leading to better understanding across disciplines and communication about the relevance of model outcomes with policymakers. The framework categorises…

  • Assessing China’s efforts to pursue the 1.5°C warming limit

    Open AccessHongbo Duan, Sheng Zhou et al.ARTICLEScience2021

    Change in the air The 2016 Paris Agreement set the ambitious goals of keeping global temperature rise this century below 2°C, or even better, 1.5°C above preindustrial levels. Substantial interventions are required to meet these goals, particularly for industrialized countries. Duan et al. projected that China will need to reduce its carbon emissions by more than 90% and its energy consumption by almost 40% to do its share in reaching the 1.5°C t…

  • Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

    Open AccessKeywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

    Open AccessLaurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population

    Open AccessPeter Rafaj, Gregor Kiesewetter et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Low-carbon pathways consistent with the 2 °C and 1.5 °C long-term climate goals defined in the Paris Agreement are likely to induce substantial co-benefits for air pollution and associated health impacts. In this analysis, using five global integrated assessment models, we quantify the emission reductions in key air pollutants resulting from the decarbonization of energy systems and the resulting changes in premature mortality attributed to the e…

  • Exploring the possibility space

    Open AccessIlkka Keppo, Isabela Butnar et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) have emerged as key tools for building and assessing long term climate mitigation scenarios. Due to their central role in the recent IPCC assessments, and international climate policy analyses more generally, and the high uncertainties related to future projections, IAMs have been critically assessed by scholars from different fields receiving various critiques ranging from adequacy of their methods to how thei…

  • Integrated assessment model diagnostics

    Open AccessMathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a se…

  • Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals

    Open AccessChristoph Bertram, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    The Paris Agreement does not only stipulate to limit the global average temperature increase to well below 2 °C, it also calls for ‘making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions’. Consequently, there is an urgent need to understand the implications of climate targets for energy systems and quantify the associated investment requirements in the coming decade. A meaningful analysis must however consider the nea…

  • Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions

    Open AccessTomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2021Citada por: 2Referências: 14

  • Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

    Open AccessMark Roelfsema, Heleen Van Soest et al.ARTICLENature Communications2020

    Many countries have implemented national climate policies to accomplish pledged Nationally Determined Contributions and to contribute to the temperature objectives of the Paris Agreement on climate change. In 2023, the global stocktake will assess the combined effort of countries. Here, based on a public policy database and a multi-model scenario analysis, we show that implementation of current policies leaves a median emission gap of 22.4 to 28.…

  • Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6

    Open AccessMatthew Gidden, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEGeoscientific Model Development2019

    We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated assessment model results for 14 different emissions species and 13 emissions sectors are provided for each scenario with consistent transitions from the historical data used in CMIP6 to future trajectories using automated harmonization before being downscaled to provide higher emi…

  • Analysing interactions among Sustainable Development Goals with Integrated Assessment Models

    Open AccessHeleen Van Soest, Heleen L van Soest et al.ARTICLEGlobal Transitions2019

    To achieve all Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, it is necessary to understand how they interact with each other. Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) represent many human–environment interactions and can inform policymakers about the synergies and trade-offs involved in meeting multiple goals simultaneously. We analyse how IAMs, originally developed to study interactions among energy, the economy, climate, and land, can contribute to …

  • Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, David L Bijl et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2019Citada por: 2Referências: 12

  • Energy investment needs for fulfilling the Paris Agreement and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals

    Open AccessDavid L McCollum, Wenji Zhou et al.ARTICLENature Energy2018

  • Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios to expert projections

    Open AccessMariësse A E van Sluisveld, Mathijs Harmsen et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2018Citada por: 4

  • Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the Image model

    Open AccessJonathan Doelman, Jonathan C Doelman et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2017Citada por: 21Referências: 9

  • Integrated assessment of international climate mitigation commitments outside the UNFCCC

    Open AccessMark Roelfsema, Mathijs Harmsen et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2017Citada por: 17Referências: 3

  • A multi-model assessment of the co-benefits of climate mitigation for global air quality

    Open AccessShilpa Rao, Zbigniew Klimont et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2016

    We present a model comparison study that combines multiple integrated assessment models with a reduced-form global air quality model to assess the potential co-benefits of global climate mitigation policies in relation to the World Health Organization (WHO) goals on air quality and health. We include in our assessment, a range of alternative assumptions on the implementation of current and planned pollution control policies. The resulting air pol…

  • The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications

    Open AccessKeywan Riahi, Detlef P Van Vuuren et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2016Citada por: 311Referências: 12

    This paper presents the overview of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, and emissions implications. The SSPs are part of a new scenario framework, established by the climate change research community in order to facilitate the integrated analysis of future climate impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, and mitigation. The pathways were developed over the last years as a joint community effort and describe plausible…

  • Energy, land-use and greenhouse gas emissions trajectories under a green growth paradigm

    Open AccessDetlef P Van Vuuren, Elke Stehfest et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2016Citada por: 78Referências: 4

    This paper describes the possible developments in global energy use and production, land use, emissions and climate changes following the SSP1 storyline, a development consistent with the green growth (or sustainable development) paradigm (a more inclusive development respecting environmental boundaries). The results are based on the implementation using the IMAGE 3.0 integrated assessment model and are compared with a) other IMAGE implementation…