Stein Emil Vollset

Dados Biográficos

ID5466239
NOMEStein Emil Vollset
PRENOMESStein Emil
SOBRENOMEVollset
ASSINATURAVOLLSET S E
AFILIAÇÕESUniversity of Washington
VERIFICADONão
TOTAL DE OBRAS62
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES3
TOTAL COMO AUTOR62
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2009
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2024
ÍNDICE H1

  • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

    Open AccessStein Emil Vollset, Hazim S Ababneh et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternativ…

  • Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance 1990–2021

    Open AccessMohsen Naghavi, Stein Emil Vollset et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses an important global health challenge in the 21st century. A previous study has quantified the global and regional burden of AMR for 2019, followed with additional publications that provided more detailed estimates for several WHO regions by country. To date, there have been no studies that produce comprehensive estimates of AMR burden across locations that encompass historical trends and future for…

  • Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

    Open AccessMichael Brauer, Gregory A Roth et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attributable burden of disease for 88 ri…

  • Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100

    Open AccessNatalia V Bhattacharjee, Austin E Schumacher et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility-including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions-are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality,…

  • Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

    Open AccessMohsen Naghavi, Kanyin Liane Ong et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mort…

  • Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open AccessAustin E Schumacher, Hmwe Hmwe Kyu et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 cou…

  • Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (Dalys), and healthy life expectancy (Hale) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territor…

    Open AccessAlize J Ferrari, Damian Francesco Santomauro et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to im…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with projections of prevalence to 2050

    Open AccessKanyin Liane Ong, Lauryn K Stafford et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2023

    BACKGROUND: Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, and affects people regardless of country, age group, or sex. Using the most recent evidentiary and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), we produced location-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, the proportion of type 1 and type 2 diabetes…

  • Estimation of the global prevalence of dementia in 2019 and forecasted prevalence in 2050

    Open AccessEmma Nichols, Jaimie D Steinmetz et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Public Health2022

    BACKGROUND: Given the projected trends in population ageing and population growth, the number of people with dementia is expected to increase. In addition, strong evidence has emerged supporting the importance of potentially modifiable risk factors for dementia. Characterising the distribution and magnitude of anticipated growth is crucial for public health planning and resource prioritisation. This study aimed to improve on previous forecasts of…

  • Garbage codes in the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry 1996–2019

    Open AccessChristian Lycke Ellingsen, G Cecilie Alfsen et al.ARTICLEBMC Public Health2022

    Over a 24-year period, garbage codes were used in 29.0% of all deaths. The most important determinants of a death to be assigned a garbage code were advanced age and place of death outside hospital. Knowledge of the national epidemiological situation, as well as the rules and guidelines for mortality coding, is essential for understanding the prevalence and distribution of garbage codes, in order to rely on vital statistics

  • Alcohol‐attributed disease burden in four Nordic countries between 2000 and 2017

    Open AccessEmilie Agardh, Peter Allebeck et al.ARTICLEDrug and Alcohol Review2021

  • Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (Hale), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019

    Open AccessHaidong Wang, Kaja Abbas et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Accurate and up-to-date assessment of demographic metrics is crucial for understanding a wide range of social, economic, and public health issues that affect populations worldwide. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 produced updated and comprehensive demographic assessments of the key indicators of fertility, mortality, migration, and population for 204 countries and territories and selected sub…

  • Five insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

    Open AccessChristopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

  • Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessR Lozano, Nancy Fullman et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) involves all people receiving the health services they need, of high quality, without experiencing financial hardship. Making progress towards UHC is a policy priority for both countries and global institutions, as highlighted by the agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13). Measuring effective coverage at the health-system le…

  • Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100

    Open AccessStein Emil Vollset, Emily Goren et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Understanding potential patterns in future population levels is crucial for anticipating and planning for changing age structures, resource and health-care needs, and environmental and economic landscapes. Future fertility patterns are a key input to estimation of future population size, but they are surrounded by substantial uncertainty and diverging methodologies of estimation and forecasting, leading to important differences in glo…

  • Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessChristopher J L Murray, Aleksandr Y Aravkin et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attribu…

  • Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessTheo Vos, Stephen S Lim et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: In an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016

    Open AccessValery L Feigin, Emma Nichols et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Neurology2019

    BACKGROUND: Neurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders. METHODS: We estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs;…

  • Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017

    Open AccessChristina Fitzmaurice, Global Burden of Disease Cancer Collaboration et al.ARTICLEJAMA Oncology2019

    Importance Cancer and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are now widely recognized as a threat to global development. The latest United Nations high-level meeting on NCDs reaffirmed this observation and also highlighted the slow progress in meeting the 2011 Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases and the third Sustainable Development Goal. Lack of situational analyses, priority setting, and budgeting hav…

  • Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and mortality of HIV, 1980–2017, and forecasts to 2030, for 195 countries and territories

    Open AccessTahvi D Frank, Tahvi Frank et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet HIV2019

    BACKGROUND: Understanding the patterns of HIV/AIDS epidemics is crucial to tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts in countries. We provide a comprehensive assessment of the levels and trends of HIV/AIDS incidence, prevalence, mortality, and coverage of antiretroviral therapy (ART) for 1980-2017 and forecast these estimates to 2030 for 195 countries and territories. METHODS: We determined a modelling strategy for ea…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, 1990–2016

    Open AccessEmma Nichols, Cassandra Szoeke et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Neurology2019

    BACKGROUND: The number of individuals living with dementia is increasing, negatively affecting families, communities, and health-care systems around the world. A successful response to these challenges requires an accurate understanding of the dementia disease burden. We aimed to present the first detailed analysis of the global prevalence, mortality, and overall burden of dementia as captured by the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk …

  • Health effects of dietary risks in 195 countries, 1990–2017

    Open AccessAshkan Afshin, Patrick John Sur et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2019

    BACKGROUND: Suboptimal diet is an important preventable risk factor for non-communicable diseases (NCDs); however, its impact on the burden of NCDs has not been systematically evaluated. This study aimed to evaluate the consumption of major foods and nutrients across 195 countries and to quantify the impact of their suboptimal intake on NCD mortality and morbidity. METHODS: By use of a comparative risk assessment approach, we estimated the propor…

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017

    Open AccessDaniel Dicker, Grant Nguyen et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2018

    BACKGROUND: Assessments of age-specific mortality and life expectancy have been done by the UN Population Division, Department of Economics and Social Affairs (UNPOP), the United States Census Bureau, WHO, and as part of previous iterations of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD). Previous iterations of the GBD used population estimates from UNPOP, which were not derived in a way that was internally consistent wit…

  • Forecasting life expectancy, years of life lost, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 250 causes of death

    Open AccessKyle J Foreman, Neal Marquez et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2018

    BACKGROUND: Understanding potential trajectories in health and drivers of health is crucial to guiding long-term investments and policy implementation. Past work on forecasting has provided an incomplete landscape of future health scenarios, highlighting a need for a more robust modelling platform from which policy options and potential health trajectories can be assessed. This study provides a novel approach to modelling life expectancy, all-cau…

  • The State of US Health, 1990-2016

    The US Burden of Disease Collaborators, Ali H Mokdad et al.ARTICLEJAMA2018

    Introduction: Several studies have measured health outcomes in the United States, but none have provided a comprehensive assessment of patterns of health by state. Objective: To use the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) to report trends in the burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors at the state level from 1990 to 2016. Design and Setting: A systematic analysis of published studies and available data sources estimates the…