Aurelio Tobías
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 6060228 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Aurelio Tobías |
| PRENOMES | Aurelio |
| SOBRENOME | Tobías |
| ASSINATURA | TOBIAS A |
| AFILIAÇÕES | Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research |
| VERIFICADO | Não |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 23 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 9 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 23 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2000 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2025 |
| ÍNDICE H | 2 |
Mortalidad atribuible al calor en España durante el verano de 2025
Según la Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET), el verano de 2025 ha sido el más cálido registrado, superando al de 2022 y al histórico de 2003. El mes de junio fue el más cálido jamás registrado y la ola de calor en agosto alcanzó una anomalía térmica de hasta + 4,6 °C, convirtiéndose en la más intensa desde que hay registros en España. Asimismo, las temperaturas medias superaron de manera generalizada los valores promedio en la mayor parte de…
Improved global air quality health index reveals ozone and nitrogen dioxide as main drivers of air-pollution-related acute mortality
Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality
Are there more cold deaths than heat deaths
Peer reviewed
Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold
BACKGROUND: Heat and cold are established environmental risk factors for human health. However, mapping the related health burden is a difficult task due to the complexity of the associations and the differences in vulnerability and demographic distributions. In this study, we did a comprehensive mortality impact assessment due to heat and cold in European urban areas, considering geographical differences and age-specific risks. METHODS: We inclu…
Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019
BACKGROUND: Exposure to cold or hot temperatures is associated with premature deaths. We aimed to evaluate the global, regional, and national mortality burden associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures. METHODS: In this modelling study, we collected time-series data on mortality and ambient temperatures from 750 locations in 43 countries and five meta-predictors at a grid size of 0·5° × 0·5° across the globe. A three-stage analysis strategy…
Incidencia de infección por Sars-CoV-2 en la comunidad y su impacto en la primera semana de reapertura de colegios en Cataluña
El Real Decreto 463/2020 de 14 de marzo de 2020, que declaraba el estado de alarma para la gestión de la situación de crisis sanitaria ocasionada por la COVID-19, incluyó el cierre de colegios como parte de las medidas para reducir la transmisión del virus en España. En el mes de septiembre se han reabierto los colegios, generando un debate sobre la idoneidad del momento para esta reapertura. Por un lado, es plausible que el cierre de los colegio…
Covid19-Tracker
La visualización de datos es una herramienta relevante para explorar y comunicar resultados en la investigación médica, en especial cuando se trata de vigilancia epidemiológica. La aplicación web COVID19-Tracker analiza y produce de forma sistemática visualizaciones diarias de los datos de la epidemia de COVID-19 de casos diagnosticados y fallecimientos desde el 24 de febrero de 2020 en adelante. Se han desarrollado tres aplicaciones para: 1) aná…
Informal employment and poor self-perceived health in Latin America and the Caribbean
Cost Lecture 2019 AE GM Barcelona
Amongst the most significant extreme meteorological phenomena are the Sand and Dust Storms (SDS). Owing to significant amounts of airborne mineral dust particles generated during these events, SDS have impacts on climate, the environment, human health, and many socio-economic sectors (e.g. aviation, solar energy management). Many studies and reports have underlined that the society has to understand, manage and mitigate the risks and effects of S…
Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities
BACKGROUND: The systematic evaluation of the results of time-series studies of air pollution is challenged by differences in model specification and publication bias. METHODS: ) with daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries or regions. Daily data on mortality and air pollution were collected from 652 cities in 24 countries or regions. We used overdispersed generalized additive models with random-effects…
Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios
BACKGROUND: Heatwaves are a critical public health problem. There will be an increase in the frequency and severity of heatwaves under changing climate. However, evidence about the impacts of climate change on heatwave-related mortality at a global scale is limited. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We collected historical daily time series of mean temperature and mortality for all causes or nonexternal causes, in periods ranging from January 1, 1984, to Dec…
Heat Wave and Mortality
BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined variation in the associations between heat waves and mortality in an international context. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to systematically examine the impacts of heat waves on mortality with lag effects internationally. METHODS: We collected daily data of temperature and mortality from 400 communities in 18 countries/regions and defined 12 types of heat waves by combining community-specific daily mean temperature ≥90…
Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
BACKGROUND: Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates. METHODS: We collected observed daily time series of mean temperature and mortality counts for all causes or n…
Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature
BACKGROUND: Although studies have provided estimates of premature deaths attributable to either heat or cold in selected countries, none has so far offered a systematic assessment across the whole temperature range in populations exposed to different climates. We aimed to quantify the total mortality burden attributable to non-optimum ambient temperature, and the relative contributions from heat and cold and from moderate and extreme temperatures…
Temporal Variation in Heat–Mortality Associations
BACKGROUND: Recent investigations have reported a decline in the heat-related mortality risk during the last decades. However, these studies are frequently based on modeling approaches that do not fully characterize the complex temperature-mortality relationship, and are limited to single cities or countries. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the temporal variation in heat-mortality associations in a multi-country data set using flexible modelling techniqu…
Global Variation in the Effects of Ambient Temperature on Mortality
BACKGROUND: Studies have examined the effects of temperature on mortality in a single city, country, or region. However, less evidence is available on the variation in the associations between temperature and mortality in multiple countries, analyzed simultaneously. METHODS: We obtained daily data on temperature and mortality in 306 communities from 12 countries/regions (Australia, Brazil, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Italy, Spain, Unit…
Mortality on extreme heat days using official thresholds in Spain
This study confirmed that extreme heat days have a considerable impact on total daily mortality in Spain. Official thresholds gave consistent relative risk in the large capital cities. However, in some other cities thresholds
Road safety in the political agenda
BACKGROUND: This paper aims at assessing the effectiveness of the package of road safety measures implemented after road safety was included in the political agenda in the year 2004 on the number of road traffic-injured people in Spain. METHODS: An evaluation study was performed using an interrupted time-series design. The study population was people injured in road traffic crashes in Spain between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2006. The road tr…
Heat–Health Warning Systems
Objectives. We compared the ability of several heat–health warning systems to predict days of heat-associated mortality using common data sets. Methods. Heat–health warning systems initiate emergency public health interventions once forecasts have identified weather conditions to breach predetermined trigger levels. We examined 4 commonly used trigger-setting approaches: (1) synoptic classification, (2) epidemiologic assessment of the temperature…
Impact of the Penalty Points System on Road Traffic Injuries in Spain
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of the penalty points system (PPS) introduced in Spain in July 2006 in reducing traffic injuries. Methods. We performed an evaluation study with an interrupted time–series design. We stratified dependent variables—numbers of drivers involved in injury collisions and people injured in traffic collisions in Spain from 2000 to 2007 (police data)—by age, injury severity, type of road user, road type, and time…
Reducing Road Traffic Injuries
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of speed cameras on Barcelona’s beltway in reducing the numbers of road collisions and injuries and the number of vehicles involved in collisions. Methods. We designed a time-series study with a comparison group to assess the effects of the speed cameras. The “intervention group” was the beltway, and the comparison group consisted of arterial roads on which no fixed speed cameras had been installed. The o…
Air pollution and mortality in a cohort of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Many studies have shown an association between current daily levels of air pollution and daily mortality by respiratory and cardiovascular causes in the general population.1 However, the weak associations observed and the ecological nature of the exposure to air pollutants have created some doubts about plausibility of a causal relation. Specificity, which increases the plausibility of causal inference although its lack does not negate it, could …
Heat–Health Warning Systems
Objectives. We compared the ability of several heat–health warning systems to predict days of heat-associated mortality using common data sets. Methods. Heat–health warning systems initiate emergency public health interventions once forecasts have identified weather conditions to breach predetermined trigger levels. We examined 4 commonly used trigger-setting approaches: (1) synoptic classification, (2) epidemiologic assessment of the temperature…
Air pollution and mortality in a cohort of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Many studies have shown an association between current daily levels of air pollution and daily mortality by respiratory and cardiovascular causes in the general population.1 However, the weak associations observed and the ecological nature of the exposure to air pollutants have created some doubts about plausibility of a causal relation. Specificity, which increases the plausibility of causal inference although its lack does not negate it, could …
Are there more cold deaths than heat deaths
Peer reviewed
Impact of the Penalty Points System on Road Traffic Injuries in Spain
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of the penalty points system (PPS) introduced in Spain in July 2006 in reducing traffic injuries. Methods. We performed an evaluation study with an interrupted time–series design. We stratified dependent variables—numbers of drivers involved in injury collisions and people injured in traffic collisions in Spain from 2000 to 2007 (police data)—by age, injury severity, type of road user, road type, and time…
Reducing Road Traffic Injuries
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of speed cameras on Barcelona’s beltway in reducing the numbers of road collisions and injuries and the number of vehicles involved in collisions. Methods. We designed a time-series study with a comparison group to assess the effects of the speed cameras. The “intervention group” was the beltway, and the comparison group consisted of arterial roads on which no fixed speed cameras had been installed. The o…
Air pollution and mortality in a cohort of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Many studies have shown an association between current daily levels of air pollution and daily mortality by respiratory and cardiovascular causes in the general population.1 However, the weak associations observed and the ecological nature of the exposure to air pollutants have created some doubts about plausibility of a causal relation. Specificity, which increases the plausibility of causal inference although its lack does not negate it, could …
Reducing Road Traffic Injuries
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of speed cameras on Barcelona’s beltway in reducing the numbers of road collisions and injuries and the number of vehicles involved in collisions. Methods. We designed a time-series study with a comparison group to assess the effects of the speed cameras. The “intervention group” was the beltway, and the comparison group consisted of arterial roads on which no fixed speed cameras had been installed. The o…
Heat–Health Warning Systems
Objectives. We compared the ability of several heat–health warning systems to predict days of heat-associated mortality using common data sets. Methods. Heat–health warning systems initiate emergency public health interventions once forecasts have identified weather conditions to breach predetermined trigger levels. We examined 4 commonly used trigger-setting approaches: (1) synoptic classification, (2) epidemiologic assessment of the temperature…
Impact of the Penalty Points System on Road Traffic Injuries in Spain
Objectives. We assessed the effectiveness of the penalty points system (PPS) introduced in Spain in July 2006 in reducing traffic injuries. Methods. We performed an evaluation study with an interrupted time–series design. We stratified dependent variables—numbers of drivers involved in injury collisions and people injured in traffic collisions in Spain from 2000 to 2007 (police data)—by age, injury severity, type of road user, road type, and time…
Road safety in the political agenda
BACKGROUND: This paper aims at assessing the effectiveness of the package of road safety measures implemented after road safety was included in the political agenda in the year 2004 on the number of road traffic-injured people in Spain. METHODS: An evaluation study was performed using an interrupted time-series design. The study population was people injured in road traffic crashes in Spain between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2006. The road tr…
Mortality on extreme heat days using official thresholds in Spain
This study confirmed that extreme heat days have a considerable impact on total daily mortality in Spain. Official thresholds gave consistent relative risk in the large capital cities. However, in some other cities thresholds
Global Variation in the Effects of Ambient Temperature on Mortality
BACKGROUND: Studies have examined the effects of temperature on mortality in a single city, country, or region. However, less evidence is available on the variation in the associations between temperature and mortality in multiple countries, analyzed simultaneously. METHODS: We obtained daily data on temperature and mortality in 306 communities from 12 countries/regions (Australia, Brazil, Thailand, China, Taiwan, Korea, Japan, Italy, Spain, Unit…
Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature
BACKGROUND: Although studies have provided estimates of premature deaths attributable to either heat or cold in selected countries, none has so far offered a systematic assessment across the whole temperature range in populations exposed to different climates. We aimed to quantify the total mortality burden attributable to non-optimum ambient temperature, and the relative contributions from heat and cold and from moderate and extreme temperatures…
Temporal Variation in Heat–Mortality Associations
BACKGROUND: Recent investigations have reported a decline in the heat-related mortality risk during the last decades. However, these studies are frequently based on modeling approaches that do not fully characterize the complex temperature-mortality relationship, and are limited to single cities or countries. OBJECTIVES: We assessed the temporal variation in heat-mortality associations in a multi-country data set using flexible modelling techniqu…
Heat Wave and Mortality
BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined variation in the associations between heat waves and mortality in an international context. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to systematically examine the impacts of heat waves on mortality with lag effects internationally. METHODS: We collected daily data of temperature and mortality from 400 communities in 18 countries/regions and defined 12 types of heat waves by combining community-specific daily mean temperature ≥90…
Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
BACKGROUND: Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates. METHODS: We collected observed daily time series of mean temperature and mortality counts for all causes or n…
Quantifying excess deaths related to heatwaves under climate change scenarios
BACKGROUND: Heatwaves are a critical public health problem. There will be an increase in the frequency and severity of heatwaves under changing climate. However, evidence about the impacts of climate change on heatwave-related mortality at a global scale is limited. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We collected historical daily time series of mean temperature and mortality for all causes or nonexternal causes, in periods ranging from January 1, 1984, to Dec…
Ambient Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality in 652 Cities
BACKGROUND: The systematic evaluation of the results of time-series studies of air pollution is challenged by differences in model specification and publication bias. METHODS: ) with daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality across multiple countries or regions. Daily data on mortality and air pollution were collected from 652 cities in 24 countries or regions. We used overdispersed generalized additive models with random-effects…
Cost Lecture 2019 AE GM Barcelona
Amongst the most significant extreme meteorological phenomena are the Sand and Dust Storms (SDS). Owing to significant amounts of airborne mineral dust particles generated during these events, SDS have impacts on climate, the environment, human health, and many socio-economic sectors (e.g. aviation, solar energy management). Many studies and reports have underlined that the society has to understand, manage and mitigate the risks and effects of S…
Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures from 2000 to 2019
BACKGROUND: Exposure to cold or hot temperatures is associated with premature deaths. We aimed to evaluate the global, regional, and national mortality burden associated with non-optimal ambient temperatures. METHODS: In this modelling study, we collected time-series data on mortality and ambient temperatures from 750 locations in 43 countries and five meta-predictors at a grid size of 0·5° × 0·5° across the globe. A three-stage analysis strategy…
Incidencia de infección por Sars-CoV-2 en la comunidad y su impacto en la primera semana de reapertura de colegios en Cataluña
El Real Decreto 463/2020 de 14 de marzo de 2020, que declaraba el estado de alarma para la gestión de la situación de crisis sanitaria ocasionada por la COVID-19, incluyó el cierre de colegios como parte de las medidas para reducir la transmisión del virus en España. En el mes de septiembre se han reabierto los colegios, generando un debate sobre la idoneidad del momento para esta reapertura. Por un lado, es plausible que el cierre de los colegio…
Covid19-Tracker
La visualización de datos es una herramienta relevante para explorar y comunicar resultados en la investigación médica, en especial cuando se trata de vigilancia epidemiológica. La aplicación web COVID19-Tracker analiza y produce de forma sistemática visualizaciones diarias de los datos de la epidemia de COVID-19 de casos diagnosticados y fallecimientos desde el 24 de febrero de 2020 en adelante. Se han desarrollado tres aplicaciones para: 1) aná…
Informal employment and poor self-perceived health in Latin America and the Caribbean
Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold
BACKGROUND: Heat and cold are established environmental risk factors for human health. However, mapping the related health burden is a difficult task due to the complexity of the associations and the differences in vulnerability and demographic distributions. In this study, we did a comprehensive mortality impact assessment due to heat and cold in European urban areas, considering geographical differences and age-specific risks. METHODS: We inclu…
Mortalidad atribuible al calor en España durante el verano de 2025
Según la Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET), el verano de 2025 ha sido el más cálido registrado, superando al de 2022 y al histórico de 2003. El mes de junio fue el más cálido jamás registrado y la ola de calor en agosto alcanzó una anomalía térmica de hasta + 4,6 °C, convirtiéndose en la más intensa desde que hay registros en España. Asimismo, las temperaturas medias superaron de manera generalizada los valores promedio en la mayor parte de…
Improved global air quality health index reveals ozone and nitrogen dioxide as main drivers of air-pollution-related acute mortality
Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality
Are there more cold deaths than heat deaths
Peer reviewed
Climate Change and Health Impacts (15 obras) · Medicine (15 obras) · Demography (14 obras) · Geography (12 obras) · Population (12 obras) · Environmental health (9 obras) · Thermal Regulation in Medicine (9 obras) · Air Quality and Health Impacts (7 obras) · Environmental Science (7 obras) · Poisson regression (6 obras)