Céline Guivarch

Dados Biográficos

ID6568643
NOMECéline Guivarch
PRENOMESCéline
SOBRENOMEGuivarch
ASSINATURAGUIVARCH C
AFILIAÇÕESÉcole nationale des ponts et chaussées
ORCID0000-0002-9405-256X
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS36
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES11
TOTAL COMO AUTOR36
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2009
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2025
ÍNDICE H2

  • Persistent underexposure of high-income groups to extreme climate events in Europe over the 21st century

    Mehdi Mikou, Améline Vallet et al.PREPRINT2025

    Human-induced greenhouse gas emissions are responsible for the rise in global temperatures and changes in the frequency, intensity, and spatial extension of extreme climate events. These climate changes pose significant social challenges and are projected to exacerbate existing economic inequalities. Despite numerous studies assessing the distributive impacts of climate change, there are only a few focusing on exposure, an important dimension of …

  • High-resolution income projections over the 21st century in Europe consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

    Open AccessMehdi Mikou, Améline Vallet et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2025

    Climate risk in Europe is unevenly distributed among the population and is projected to increase substantially over the 21st century due to evolving climatic and socioeconomic conditions. Projections of vulnerability drivers, such as income distribution, are needed for assessing future climate risk. In Europe, existing studies typically rely on inadequate proxies, such as gross domestic product per capita, to account for future vulnerability asso…

  • A multi-model assessment of inequality and climate change

    Open AccessJohannes Emmerling, Pietro Andreoni et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    Climate change and inequality are critical and interrelated issues. Despite growing empirical evidence on the distributional implications of climate policies and climate risks, mainstream model-based assessments are often silent on the interplay between climate change and economic inequality. Here we fill this gap through an ensemble of eight large-scale integrated assessment models that belong to different economic paradigms and feature income h…

  • Climate change impacts increase economic inequality

    Open AccessAurélie Méjean, Peron A Collins-Sowah et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2024

    While it is widely assumed that poor countries will suffer more from climate change, and that climate change will exacerbate inequalities within countries, systematic and large-scale evidence on this issue has been limited. In this systematic literature review, we examine and synthesize the evidence from the literature. Drawing from 127 individual papers, we find robust evidence that climate change impacts indeed increase economic inequality and …

  • Ipcc, 2023

    Katherine Calvin, Dipak Dasgupta et al.REPORTIPCC, 2023: Climate Change 2023:…2023

    The Summary for Policymakers (SPM) of the Synthesis Report (SYR) of the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), is a component of the SYR which provides a policy-relevant but policy-neutral summary of the SYR. It is consistent with the Sections of the SYR and is approved line by line by the Governments at a plenary session of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

  • Ipcc, 2023

    Katherine Calvin, Dipak Dasgupta et al.REPORT2023

    The Synthesis Report (SYR) is a stand-alone synthesis of the most policy-relevant evidence from the scientific, technical, and socio-economic literature assessed in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The SYR distils and integrates the main findings of the three reports of the Working Groups of the IPCC during the AR6, and the three AR6 Special Reports into a concise document. It consists of …

  • Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights

    Open AccessCéline Guivarch, Thomas Le Gallic et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2022

  • Extreme heatwaves in Europe 1950-2020

    Théo Mandonnet, Aglaé Jézéquel et al.PREPRINT2022

    lt;p>There is high confidence that heatwaves will become more frequent and more intense under the influence of climate change. Different definitions of heatwaves exist based on the statistical distribution of temperature, in general using thresholds and duration and extension criteria. If one observes the overlap between these definitions and the actual human and material damage produced by heatwaves, it appears that there is low consistency betw…

  • The cost of mitigation revisited

    Open AccessAlexandre C Köberle, Toon Vandyck et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Global inequalities and climate change

    Céline Guivarch, Nicolas TaconetCHAPTERRoutledge Handbook of the…2021

    In this chapter, we synthesize recent works on the links between climate change and inequality to show how climate change impacts and mitigation affect inequalities, both between countries and between individuals. First, we analyze inequalities in exposure and vulnerability to climate change. Second, we study inequality in the contribution to greenhouse gas emissions between countries and individuals. Finally, we show how inequality can shed ligh…

  • Social Cost of Carbon Under Stochastic Tipping Points

    Open AccessNicolas Taconet, Céline Guivarch et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental and Resource…2021

    Carbon dioxide emissions impose a social cost on economies, owing to the damages they will cause in the future. In particular, emissions increase global temperature that may reach tipping points in the climate or economic system, triggering large economic shocks. Tipping points are uncertain by nature, they induce higher expected damages but also dispersion of possible damages, that is risk. Both dimensions increase the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC…

  • Exploring the possibility space

    Open AccessIlkka Keppo, Isabela Butnar et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) have emerged as key tools for building and assessing long term climate mitigation scenarios. Due to their central role in the recent IPCC assessments, and international climate policy analyses more generally, and the high uncertainties related to future projections, IAMs have been critically assessed by scholars from different fields receiving various critiques ranging from adequacy of their methods to how thei…

  • Integrated assessment model diagnostics

    Open AccessMathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a se…

  • Inégalités mondiales et changement climatique

    Céline Guivarch, Nicolas TaconetARTICLERevue de l'OFCE/ La Revue de l'OFCE2020

    Dans cet article, nous synthétisons les travaux récents sur les liens entre climat et inégalités pour montrer comment les enjeux liés aux impacts et à l’atténuation du changement climatique affectent les inégalités, à la fois entre pays et entre individus. Dans un premier temps, nous analysons les inégalités d’exposition et de vulnérabilité aux impacts du changement climatique. Puis, nous nous intéressons aux inégalités dans la contribution aux é…

  • Sortir de l’ornière

    Céline Guivarch, Mathilde Salin et al.ARTICLERegards croisés sur l'économie/Rega…2020

    Entretien avec Céline Guivarch, Propos recueillis par Mathilde Salin, Louis Daumas

  • Systematic map of the literature on carbon lock-in induced by long-lived capital

    Open AccessVivien Fisch-Romito, Céline Guivarch et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Long-lived capital-stocks (LLCS) such as infrastructure and buildings have significant and long-lasting implications for greenhouse gas emissions. They contribute to carbon lock-in and may hinder a rapid decarbonization of energy systems. Here we provide a systematic map of the literature on carbon lock-in induced by LLCS. Based on a structured search of the Web of Science and Scopus, we identified 226 publications from 38 095 search results usin…

  • Cop24

    Quentin Perrier, Olivier Boucher et al.PREPRINT2018

  • Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °C stabilization

    Open AccessZoi Vrontisi, Gunnar Luderer et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2018

    The Paris Agreement is a milestone in international climate policy as it establishes a global mitigation framework towards 2030 and sets the ground for a potential 1.5 C climate stabilization. To provide useful insights for the 2018 UNFCCC Talanoa facilitative dialogue, we use eight state-of-the-art climate-energy-economy models to assess the effectiveness of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) in meeting high probability 1.5…

  • Constraints on biomass energy deployment in mitigation pathways

    Open AccessRoland Séférian, Matthias Rocher et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2018

    To limit global warming to well below 2 most of the IPCC-WGIII future stringent mitigation pathways feature a massive global-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs) before the end of the century. The global-scale deployment of NETs like Biomass Energy with Carbon Capture and Storage (BECCS) can be hampered by climate constraints that are not taken into account by Integrated assessment models (IAMs) used to produce those pathway…

  • Lutter contre les changements climatiques

    Quentin Perrier, Olivier Boucher et al.PREPRINT2017

  • Challenges and Opportunities for Integrated Modeling of Climate Engineering

    Open AccessMassimo Tavoni, Valentina Bosetti et al.ARTICLESSRN Electronic Journal2017

  • Pathways toward Zero-Carbon Electricity Required for Climate Stabilization

    Richard Audoly, Adrien Vogt‐Schilb et al.REPORT2017

    This paper covers three policy-relevant aspects of the carbon content of electricity that are well established among integrated assessment models but under-discussed in the policy debate. First, climate stabilization at any level from 2◦C to 3◦C requires electricity to be almost carbon-free before the end of the century. As such, the question for policy makers is not whether to decarbonize electricity but when to do it. Second, decarbonization of…

  • Impacts of nationally determined contributions on 2030 global greenhouse gas emissions

    Open AccessHélène Benveniste, Olivier Boucher et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

  • Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °c stabilization

    Zoi Vrontisi, Gunnar Luderer et al.

    The Paris Agreement is a milestone in international climate policy as it establishes a global mitigation framework towards 2030 and sets the ground for a potential 1.5 °C climate stabilization. To provide useful insights for the 2018 UNFCCC Talanoa facilitative dialogue, we use eight state-of-the-art climate-energy-economy models to assess the effectiveness of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) in meeting high probability 1.…

  • Imaclim-R World - IMpact Assessment of CLIMate policies

    Ruben Bibas, Thibault Briera et al.

    IMACLIM-R is a multi-sectoral, macroeconomic process-based Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) that simulates the co-evolution of economic systems, energy systems, and technological change within a consistent framework. Unlike aggregated IAMs, IMACLIM-R explicitly represents the interplay between macroeconomic dynamics and sector-specific constraints through a hard coupling of a general equilibrium core—based on Leontief production functions and op…