Peter A Stott

Dados Biográficos

ID6817868
NOMEPeter A Stott
PRENOMESPeter A
SOBRENOMEStott
ASSINATURASTOTT P A
AFILIAÇÕESMet Office
ORCID0000-0003-4853-7686
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS12
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES13
TOTAL COMO AUTOR12
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2004
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2022
ÍNDICE H1

  • Human influence increases the likelihood of extremely early cherry tree flowering in Kyoto

    Open AccessNikolaos Christidis, Yasuyuki Aono et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    The full flowering of Kyoto’s cherry trees in 2021 was observed on the 26th of March, the earliest date recorded in over 1200 years. An early shift of the flowering season is consistent with Kyoto’s warming climate and could have serious repercussions for the local economy. It is therefore crucial to assess how human activity impacts flowering dates and alters the likelihood of extremely early flowering. To make this assessment, our study combine…

  • Quantifying the contribution of an individual to making extreme weather events more likely

    Open AccessFraser C Lott, Andrew Ciavarella et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Probabilistic event attribution aims to quantify the role of anthropogenic climate change in altering the intensity or probability of extreme climate and weather events. It was originally conceived to calculate the costs associated with any increased likelihood of the meteorological event in question. However, only recently have such studies attempted to divide liability between polluting nations and ascribe a cost. Recent protests indicate a per…

  • Observed rainfall changes in the past century (1901–2019) over the wettest place on Earth

    Open AccessJ Kuttippurath, Surajit Murasingh et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Changes in rainfall affect drinking water, river and surface runoff, soil moisture, groundwater reserve, electricity generation, agriculture production and ultimately the economy of a country. Trends in rainfall, therefore, are important for examining the impact of climate change on water resources for its planning and management. Here, as analysed from 119 years of rainfall measurements at 16 different rain gauge stations across northeast India,…

  • Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heatwaves in Western Europe

    Open AccessRobert Vautard, Marcel Van Aalst et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2020

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by more than a degree in many locations, and significant societal impacts, including excess mortality of several thousand people. The extent to which human influence has played a role in the occurrence of these events has been of large interest to scientists, media and decision makers. However, the outstanding nature of these events poses challenges for…

  • How climate change affects extreme weather events

    Open AccessPeter A Stott, Peter StottARTICLEScience2016

    Research can increasingly determine the contribution of climate change to extreme events such as droughts

  • Attribution of extreme weather and climate‐related events

    Open AccessPeter A Stott, Nikolaos Christidis et al.ARTICLEWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…2016

    Extreme weather and climate‐related events occur in a particular place, by definition, infrequently. It is therefore challenging to detect systematic changes in their occurrence given the relative shortness of observational records. However, there is a clear interest from outside the climate science community in the extent to which recent damaging extreme events can be linked to human‐induced climate change or natural climate variability. Event a…

  • Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    Open AccessRobert Vautard, Pascal Yiou et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2016

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme events into changes in atmospheric flows and changes in other processes. Assuming two data sets of model simulations or observations representing a natural, or 'counter-factual' climate, and the actual, or 'factual' climate, we show how flow analogs used across data sets can provide quantitative estimates of each contribution to the changes in probab…

  • The upper end of climate model temperature projections is inconsistent with past warming

    Open AccessPeter A Stott, Peter Stott et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2013

    Climate models predict a large range of possible future temperatures for a particular scenario of future emissions of greenhouse gases and other anthropogenic forcings of climate. Given that further warming in coming decades could threaten increasing risks of climatic disruption, it is important to determine whether model projections are consistent with temperature changes already observed. This can be achieved by quantifying the extent to which …

  • Anthropogenic greenhouse gas contribution to flood risk in England and Wales in autumn 2000

    Open AccessPardeep Pall, Tolu Aina et al.ARTICLENature2011

  • Detection and attribution of climate change

    Open AccessPeter A Stott, Nathan P Gillett et al.ARTICLEWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…2010Citada por: 13

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change fourth assessment report, published in 2007 came to a more confident assessment of the causes of global temperature change than previous reports and concluded that ‘it is likely that there has been significant anthropogenic warming over the past 50 years averaged over each continent except Antarctica.’ Since then, warming over Antarctica has also been attributed to human influence, and further evidenc…

  • The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions

    Open AccessH Damon Matthews, Nathan P Gillett et al.ARTICLENature2009

  • Human contribution to the European heatwave of 2003

    Open AccessPeter A Stott, Dáithí A Stone et al.ARTICLENature2004