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Ryan E Carlin

Dados Biográficos

ID693083
NOMERyan E Carlin
PRENOMESRyan E
SOBRENOMECarlin
ASSINATURACARLIN R E
AFILIAÇÕESGeorgia State University
ORCID0000-0002-0945-205X
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS46
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES693
TOTAL COMO AUTOR44
TOTAL COMO EDITOR2
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2006
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2026
ÍNDICE H14
  • The Microfoundations of Negotiated Peace

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Public Opinion Quarterly•2026

    Why do citizens support negotiated solutions to internal conflicts? We develop a theoretical framework drawing insights from prosocial generalized trust orientations and classic models of public opinion. We expect generalized trust—a baseline belief in the trustworthiness of others as members of a shared moral community—to be positively associated with support for negotiated peace. Original survey and behavioral data collected during the peace ta…

  • Bad Mood Rising? Assessing Scalar Invariance Violations with Comparative Democratic Support Data

    Open Access•Philip Warncke, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Public Opinion Quarterly•2026

    The advent of nearly global estimates of democratic mood has caused genuine optimism for comparative investigations into the linkages between public opinion and democracy. Scholarly enthusiasm in this field has particularly been boosted by recent claims that measuring latent democratic support with hierarchical IRT models overcomes differential item functioning (DIF)—a well-known challenge that typically foils the comparability of latent construc…

  • Executive Approval in Extraordinary Times

    Open Access•Timothy Hellwig, Ryan E Carlin et al.•ARTICLE•Constitutional Political Economy•2026

    What drives popular support for political executives? Compared to normal times, we know little about how the public responds to executives in extraordinary circumstances, and we know even less about similarities and differences across crisis events. While a calculating public may sanction incumbents for adverse events, the unexpected nature of many crises has the potential to increase leaders’ approval ratings. Based on time series analyses of ex…

  • Speaking populism

    Open Access•Ethan C Busby, Ryan E Carlin et al.•ARTICLE•Frontiers in Political Science•2025•Referências: 33

    Debates on the nature and causes of populism persist in the public and among academics. We test two contemporary theories of populism – issue-based and ideational – by exploring their implications for the expression of populist rhetoric among citizens. In a large scale, cross-national experiment ( N ~ 18,000), we prompt the expression of populism through an elaboration task exploring the causes and solutions to current policy problems. The task f…

  • What moves (spending) mood? The nature and origins of parallel public preferences

    Open Access•Steven M Van Hauwaert, Christopher Wlezien et al.•ARTICLE•Political Science Research and…•2025•Citada por: 1•Referências: 58

    While research shows that public preferences across policy domains tend to move in parallel, the mechanisms behind this dynamic remain unclear. We examine four explanations: (1) alignment in preferred policy levels; (2) parallel policy movement combined with domain-specific thermostatic feedback; (3) feedback to global policy across domains; and (4) responsiveness to presidential partisanship. These mechanisms matter for how we interpret public o…

  • Conceptualizing and Measuring Support for Democracy

    Open Access•Christopher Claassen, Kathrin Ackermann et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2025•Citada por: 21•Referências: 53

    Much of what we know about public support for democracy is based on survey questions about “democracy,” a term that varies in meaning across countries and likely prompts uncritically supportive responses. This paper proposes a new approach to measuring support for democracy. We develop a battery of 17 survey questions that cover all eight components of liberal democracy as defined by the V-Dem project. We then ask respondents from 19 national sam…

  • The Pigmentocracy of Executive Approval

    Open Access•Swaran P Singh, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2025•Referências: 93

    We advance a theory of pigmentocratic executive approval that accounts for both skin color-based group attachments and deviations in skin tone between citizens and leaders. We argue that such deviations will decrease approval most strongly for those lighter in complexion than the incumbent. We further argue that individuals will most strongly punish incumbents for poor economic performance when their skin tone is lighter than the executive’s. To …

  • Executive Approval Dynamics in Presidential and Parliamentary Democratic Regimes

    Open Access•Cecilia Martínez‐gallardo, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2025•Citada por: 1•Referências: 79

    Does the type of democratic regime matter for public evaluations of leaders? We argue two characteristics intrinsic to presidential and parliamentary regimes lead to divergent patterns of executive approval. For presidents, direct elections foster more personal leader-voter linkages; for prime ministers, dependence on the legislature for survival contributes to more institutionalized party systems. These two mechanisms should generate higher appr…

  • Lassoing the Governor’s Mansion

    Open Access•Gregory J Love, Ryan E Carlin et al.•ARTICLE•PS Political Science & Politics•2024

    Despite governors’ crucial roles in shaping important policies, including abortion, education, and infrastructure, forecasters have paid little attention to gubernatorial elections. We posit that institutional idiosyncrasies and lack of public opinion data have exacerbated the classic problem facing all election forecasts: there are too many predictors and too few cases, leading to overfitting. To address these problems, we combine new governor a…

  • Liberal Democratic Support in Contemporary Brazil

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, M Fuks et al.•ARTICLE•Revista Latinoamericana de…•2023

    How do democratic attitudes map onto politic-economic context? We examine this question with a decade’s worth of high-quality data on public opinion and democratic quality in Brazil. From this empirical foundation, we analyze the observable implications of four theoretical perspectives – democratic culture, performance-based instrumentality, winners’ consent, and thermostatic dynamics. Our results suggest that during the periods of economic boom …

  • When growth is not enough

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig et al.•ARTICLE•Political Science Research and…•2022•Citada por: 3•Referências: 65

    A robust economy is assumed to bolster leaders' standing. This ignores how benefits of growth are distributed. Extending the partisan models of economic voting, we theorize executives are more likely rewarded when gains from growth go to their constituents. Analyses of presidential approval in 18 Latin American countries support our pro-constituency model of accountability. When economic inequality is high, growth concentrates among the rich, and…

  • When Clientelism Backfires

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Mason W Moseley•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2022•Citada por: 10•Referências: 62

    Attempting to buy votes is, in some cases, inefficient and damaging to a clientelistic party. To explain why, we propose the concept of electoral retaliation: sanctioning clientelistic parties by voting against them or intentionally invalidating the ballot. These forms of negative reciprocity are meant to uphold the democratic norms—equal participation, popular sovereignty, electoral fairness—that vote buying undermines. Electoral retaliation is,…

  • Ethnicity or Policy? The Conditioning of Intergroup Trust in the Context of Ethnic Conflict

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Roberto González et al.•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2022•Citada por: 8•Referências: 49

    How do stances on public policies aimed at ethnic conflict resolution affect intergroup trust? Building on theories of prosociality, social identity, and intergroup bias, we expect redistributive policy preferences meant to resolve ethnic conflict to replace ethnicity as the main barrier to intergroup trust because their zero‐sum nature raises intergroup threat. We test our expectations in Chile's ongoing indigenous/nonindigenous conflict using b…

  • Public Reactions to Noncompliance with Judicial Orders

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Mariana Castrellón et al.•ARTICLE•American Political Science Review•2022•Citada por: 4•Referências: 46

    Constitutions empower people to ask judges for binding orders directing state agents to remedy rights violations, but state agents do not always comply. Scholars propose that by making it easier to observe noncompliance, courts can leverage public pressure for compliance when it exists. Yet, exposure to information about noncompliance might lead individuals to accept high levels of noncompliance and reduce support for judicial remedies. We estima…

  • When Does the Public Get It Right? The Information Environment and the Accuracy of Economic Sentiment

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2021•Citada por: 11•Referências: 67

    Public evaluations of the economy are key for understanding how citizens develop policy opinions and monitor government performance. But what drives economic evaluations? In this article, we argue the context in which information about the economy is distributed shapes economic perceptions. In high-quality information environments—where policies are transparent, the media is free, and political opposition is robust—mass perceptions closely track …

  • The World Economy, Political Control, and Presidential Success

    Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2020•Citada por: 4•Referências: 15

    In a recent Journal of Politics article, Daniela Campello and Cesar Zucco argue that Latin American voters credit and blame presidents for economic outcomes unambiguously exogenous to their policy choices, a claim which undermines broadly held understandings of how voters hold politicians accountable. While we concur on the importance of the global economy to politics in the region, we challenge their study on two grounds. First, we question thei…

  • Presidents’ Sex and Popularity

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Miguel Carreras et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2020•Citada por: 29•Referências: 87

    Public approval is a crucial source of executive power in presidential systems. Does the public support female and male presidents similarly? Combining insights from gender and politics research with psychological evidence, this study theorizes sex-based differentials in popularity based on more general expectations linking gender stereotypes to diverging performance evaluations. Using quarterly analyses of eighteen Latin American democracies, So…

  • The Farc in the Public Eye

    Open Access•Miguel García-Sánchez, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Journal of Politics in Latin…•2020•Citada por: 2•Referências: 1

    After four years of negotiations between the Colombian government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia, FARC), a peace agreement was signed in 2016. This accord ended a five-decade-long conflict that has touched almost every Colombian in some way. Over these decades, the FARC has been an omnipresent actor who most citizens reject. Yet a minority of Colombians who have lived under the FARC's i…

  • Pitfall to Peace

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Politics in Latin…•2020•Citada por: 2•Referências: 8

    Transforming armed groups into legitimate political actors is often considered an ideal way to settle armed internal conflicts. In democracies, the efficacy of such approaches depends on the public legitimacy that the citizenry grants them. How does the prospect of Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia’s (FARC’s) political participation influence citizens’ support for the peace process? This study addresses this question by triangulating evidenc…

  • Political Competition, Partisanship, and Interpersonal Trust Under Party Dominance

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Experimental Political…•2019•Citada por: 4•Referências: 17

    How does single-party dominance influence interpersonal trust? We draw on evidence from trust games played by more than 2,000 subjects in South Africa, where, since Apartheid, race-based social enmity has persisted under democratic competition characterized by single-party dominance. We find that partisan-based trust discrimination is most pronounced for those who identify with the main opposition party and is driven by strong distrust of rival p…

  • Policy Regimes and Economic Accountability in Latin America

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2019•Citada por: 9•Referências: 62

    The shifts from state-led development to neoliberalism in Latin America have prompted debates on the quality of democracy. Although most discussions focus on responsiveness, we examine how economic policy regimes influence accountability. How do policy regimes affect citizens’ ability to hold executives to accounts? This ability, we argue, strengthens where policy regimes are more statist and weakens where policy regimes are more market oriented.…

  • Party Competition in Latin America in Flux

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Latin American Research Review•2019•Citada por: 1

    This essay reviews the following works:The Fates of Political Parties: Institutional Crisis, Continuity, and Change in Latin America. By Jennifer Cyr. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2017. Pp. v + 269. $35.99 paper. ISBN: 9780521673266

  • The Ideational Approach to Populism

    Kirk Hawkins, Ryan Carlin et al.•BOOK•The Ideational Approach to Populism•2018

    Populism is on the rise in Europe and the Americas. Scholars increasingly understand populist forces in terms of their ideas or discourse, one that envisions a cosmic struggle between the will of the common people and a conspiring elite. In this volume, we advance populism scholarship by proposing a causal theory and methodological guidelines – a research program – based on this ideational approach. This program argues that populism exists as a s…

  • Public support for Latin American presidents

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Jonathan Hartlyn et al.•ARTICLE•Research & Politics•2018•Citada por: 27•Referências: 25

    What characterizes the dynamics of presidential popularity? Research based on the United States of America finds popularity exhibits an almost law-like cyclicality over a president’s term: high post-election “honeymoon” approval rates deteriorate before experiencing an end-of-term boost as new elections approach. We contend that cyclical approval dynamics are not specific to the USA, but rather characteristic of presidential systems more generall…

  • Skin Tone and Assimilation

    Open Access•Sean Richey, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2018•Citada por: 2•Referências: 32

    Objective We test one untested influence on whether Hispanics will assimilate into American society in a “straight line” or remain “segmented.” The type of assimilation hinges on both how non‐Hispanics treat Hispanics and whether Hispanics desire assimilation. We argue that these behaviors depend on the social construction of Hispanics’ identity, which in turn may depend in part on their skin tone. Methods We compare these two theoretical competi…

Próximo
  • Political Competition, Partisanship and Interpersonal Trust in Electoral Democracies

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2018•Citada por: 73•Referências: 98

    How does democratic politics inform the interdisciplinary debate on the evolution of human co-operation and the social preferences (for example, trust, altruism and reciprocity) that support it? This article advances a theory of partisan trust discrimination in electoral democracies based on social identity, cognitive heuristics and interparty competition. Evidence from behavioral experiments in eight democracies show ‘trust gaps’ between co- and…

  • Context Counts

    Matthew M Singer, Matthew Singer et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2013•Citada por: 70•Referências: 50

    Economic perceptions affect incumbent support, but debate persists over whether voters focus on past or future performance and whether they view the economy in primarily sociotropic or egotropic terms. We theorize the nature of economic voting depends on the context. Evidence from 18 Latin American countries (1995–2009) suggest prospective voting predominates early in the election cycle, but retrospective voting gains traction as the incumbent’s …

  • Cushioning the Fall

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•2015•Citada por: 58•Referências: 51

  • Natural Disaster and Democratic Legitimacy

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2013•Citada por: 51•Referências: 62

    Can natural disasters undermine democratic legitimacy? This article maps a causal pathway from natural disaster damage to shifts in opinion and behavioral tendencies in less established democracies. It theorizes citizens who suffer damage in such contexts will tend toward lower evaluations of democratic institutions, lower support for democratic values and practices, and stronger dispositions toward action. These expectations are tested with nati…

  • The Politics of Interpersonal Trust and Reciprocity

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•2013•Citada por: 50•Referências: 88

  • The decline of citizen participation in electoral politics in post-authoritarian Chile

    Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Democratization•2006•Citada por: 41

    Turnout among registered voters remains high in post-authoritarian Chile, but valid votes as a percentage of the voting-age population have fallen significantly in the post-authoritarian period and blank/null voting, non-registration, and abstention are on the rise. Why? This article tests three rival explanations: (1) lack of political support; (2) depoliticization; and (3) a generational shift in political culture. These theories are not mutual…

  • Good Democrats, Bad Targets

    Ryan E Carlin, Mason Moseley et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2015•Citada por: 37•Referências: 31

    Who do parties target for clientelistic vote buying? Existing research looks almost exclusively at individuals' socioeconomic and, especially, electoral profiles—which parties and candidates they support, professed ideological leanings, past voting turnout, and choice. We argue party brokers also consider democratic attitudinal profiles. Specifically, they are more likely to avoid full-fledged democrats and target citizens who are ambivalent to o…

  • Security, Clarity of Responsibility, and Presidential Approval

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2015•Citada por: 36•Referências: 79

    The importance of institutions in shaping citizens’ ability to punish or reward politicians for economic outcomes is well established. Where institutions divide authority, politicians can blame each other and citizens find it harder to assign responsibility for policy failures; where institutions clarify lines of authority, citizens can better hold politicians accountable. However, this argument assumes that citizens perceive policy responsibilit…

  • Presidents’ Sex and Popularity

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Miguel Carreras et al.•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2020•Citada por: 29•Referências: 87

    Public approval is a crucial source of executive power in presidential systems. Does the public support female and male presidents similarly? Combining insights from gender and politics research with psychological evidence, this study theorizes sex-based differentials in popularity based on more general expectations linking gender stereotypes to diverging performance evaluations. Using quarterly analyses of eighteen Latin American democracies, So…

  • Public support for Latin American presidents

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Jonathan Hartlyn et al.•ARTICLE•Research & Politics•2018•Citada por: 27•Referências: 25

    What characterizes the dynamics of presidential popularity? Research based on the United States of America finds popularity exhibits an almost law-like cyclicality over a president’s term: high post-election “honeymoon” approval rates deteriorate before experiencing an end-of-term boost as new elections approach. We contend that cyclical approval dynamics are not specific to the USA, but rather characteristic of presidential systems more generall…

  • Distrusting Democrats and Political Participation in New Democracies

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2011•Citada por: 23•Referências: 59

    Distrusting democrats seek accountability and advocate reform in established democracies. Do they behave similarly in new democracies? Using AmericasBarometer survey data, cluster analysis identifies five profiles of democratic support in Chile: democrat, delegative, fair-weather, illiberal, and autocrat. Chilean distrusting democrats are more active in protest politics but less active in electoral politics than other Chileans, especially fair-we…

  • Conceptualizing and Measuring Support for Democracy

    Open Access•Christopher Claassen, Kathrin Ackermann et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2025•Citada por: 21•Referências: 53

    Much of what we know about public support for democracy is based on survey questions about “democracy,” a term that varies in meaning across countries and likely prompts uncritically supportive responses. This paper proposes a new approach to measuring support for democracy. We develop a battery of 17 survey questions that cover all eight components of liberal democracy as defined by the V-Dem project. We then ask respondents from 19 national sam…

  • Sorting Out Support for Democracy

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2018•Citada por: 21•Referências: 51

    Support for democracy is crucial to democratic stability. Yet the nature and range of democratic belief systems, and whether these belief systems are idiosyncratic to specific individuals and polities or are more general, remain largely unknown. Such unknowns complicate an already daunting measurement task. Extant survey‐based measures are fraught with validity problems and say little about the democratic beliefs individuals most strongly hold or…

  • Trust Shaken

    Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Politics•2014•Citada por: 15

  • Executive Power and Economic Accountability

    Ryan E Carlin, Swaran P Singh et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 54

    Do performance-based rewards and punishments vary with presidents' legislative powers? Are presidents who frequently rule by decree held more accountable for outcomes? In this paper we theorize that accountability varies systematically with the powers presidents enjoy and how they use them. We test our expectations with survey data from 18 Latin American countries. Results indicate that individuals' evaluations of the economy have more bearing on…

  • Happy Medium, Happy Citizens

    Open Access•Swaran P Singh, Shane P Singh et al.•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 65

    Institutional and behavioral theories of democracy abound but rarely intersect. Do executive lawmaking power and prowess condition democratic regime support in presidential democracies? We develop theoretical expectations linking the lawmaking powers of the president and mass regime support and test them by analyzing survey data from eighteen Latin American countries over ten years. As hypothesized, results indicate that preference for, and satis…

  • Social or political cleavages? A spatial analysis of the party system in post-authoritarian Chile

    Open Access•Claudio A Bonilla, Ryan E Carlin et al.•ARTICLE•Public Choice•2011•Citada por: 14•Referências: 16

  • When Does the Public Get It Right? The Information Environment and the Accuracy of Economic Sentiment

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2021•Citada por: 11•Referências: 67

    Public evaluations of the economy are key for understanding how citizens develop policy opinions and monitor government performance. But what drives economic evaluations? In this article, we argue the context in which information about the economy is distributed shapes economic perceptions. In high-quality information environments—where policies are transparent, the media is free, and political opposition is robust—mass perceptions closely track …

  • What’s not to trust? Rubrics of political party trustworthiness in Chile and Argentina

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2014•Citada por: 11•Referências: 38

    No political institutions enjoy less public trust than political parties. Understanding the implications of this phenomenon for representative democracy requires theoretically informed conceptualizations of party trust and distrust and theories about their underlying cognitive processes. In this vein, the present study conceptualizes party trust and distrust as perceived party trustworthiness, it models citizens' subjective standards as rubrics o…

  • When Clientelism Backfires

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Mason W Moseley•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2022•Citada por: 10•Referências: 62

    Attempting to buy votes is, in some cases, inefficient and damaging to a clientelistic party. To explain why, we propose the concept of electoral retaliation: sanctioning clientelistic parties by voting against them or intentionally invalidating the ballot. These forms of negative reciprocity are meant to uphold the democratic norms—equal participation, popular sovereignty, electoral fairness—that vote buying undermines. Electoral retaliation is,…

  • What's at stake? A veto-player theory of voter turnout

    Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•Electoral Studies•2013•Citada por: 10•Referências: 59

  • The Socioeconomic Roots of Support for Democracy and the Quality in Latin America

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Revista de ciencia política•2006•Citada por: 10•Referências: 12

    This article examines how socioeconomic context and status affect intrinsic and overt support for democracy among Latin American publics. The relationship is important since many theorists have long proposed that citizens' attitudes matter for democratic stability and, more recently, the quality of democracy. The empirical results indicate that educated and wealthy individuals are most likely to support democratic governance and the values of sel…

  • Policy Regimes and Economic Accountability in Latin America

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Timothy Hellwig•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2019•Citada por: 9•Referências: 62

    The shifts from state-led development to neoliberalism in Latin America have prompted debates on the quality of democracy. Although most discussions focus on responsiveness, we examine how economic policy regimes influence accountability. How do policy regimes affect citizens’ ability to hold executives to accounts? This ability, we argue, strengthens where policy regimes are more statist and weakens where policy regimes are more market oriented.…

  • Ethnicity or Policy? The Conditioning of Intergroup Trust in the Context of Ethnic Conflict

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Roberto González et al.•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2022•Citada por: 8•Referências: 49

    How do stances on public policies aimed at ethnic conflict resolution affect intergroup trust? Building on theories of prosociality, social identity, and intergroup bias, we expect redistributive policy preferences meant to resolve ethnic conflict to replace ethnicity as the main barrier to intergroup trust because their zero‐sum nature raises intergroup threat. We test our expectations in Chile's ongoing indigenous/nonindigenous conflict using b…

  • Ideational Populism in Chile? A Case Study

    Open Access•Rosario Aguilar, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Swiss Political Science Review•2017•Citada por: 6•Referências: 43

    This paper conducts an experimental test of the theory of ideational populism in a most‐likely case: a well‐known Chilean populist presidential candidate, Roxana Miranda. At the time of our study, Chile had the necessary conditions for ideational populism: corruption scandals and a crisis of political representation that lowered citizens’ trust in establishment elites. The stimulus was a speech that included the core elements of ideational populi…

  • The Socioeconomic Roots of Support for Democracy and the Quality in Latin America

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Revista de ciencia política•2006•Citada por: 10•Referências: 12

    This article examines how socioeconomic context and status affect intrinsic and overt support for democracy among Latin American publics. The relationship is important since many theorists have long proposed that citizens' attitudes matter for democratic stability and, more recently, the quality of democracy. The empirical results indicate that educated and wealthy individuals are most likely to support democratic governance and the values of sel…

  • The decline of citizen participation in electoral politics in post-authoritarian Chile

    Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Democratization•2006•Citada por: 41

    Turnout among registered voters remains high in post-authoritarian Chile, but valid votes as a percentage of the voting-age population have fallen significantly in the post-authoritarian period and blank/null voting, non-registration, and abstention are on the rise. Why? This article tests three rival explanations: (1) lack of political support; (2) depoliticization; and (3) a generational shift in political culture. These theories are not mutual…

  • Radical Democracy in the Andes by Donna Lee Van Cott

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Ryan Carlin•ARTICLE•Political Science Quarterly•2009

    Journal Article Radical Democracy in the Andes by Donna Lee Van Cott Get access Radical Democracy in the Andes by Donna Lee Van Cott. New York, Cambridge University Press, 2008. 280 pp. Cloth, $85.00; paper, $24.99. Ryan Carlin Ryan Carlin Georgia State University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Political Science Quarterly, Volume 124, Issue 3, Fall 2009, Pages 576–577, https://doi.org/10.1002/j.1538-165X.…

  • Support for Polyarchy in the Americas

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Matthew M Singer et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2011

    This study measures support for the basic rights, liberties, and practices associated with polyarchy in 12 Latin American democracies. Specifically, it identifies five profiles of support for polyarchy’s core values and norms—public contestation, inclusive participation, limits on executive authority, and institutional checks and balances. Although citizens who fit the polyarch profile accept all of polyarchy’s principles, those who fit one of th…

  • Social or political cleavages? A spatial analysis of the party system in post-authoritarian Chile

    Open Access•Claudio A Bonilla, Ryan E Carlin et al.•ARTICLE•Public Choice•2011•Citada por: 14•Referências: 16

  • Distrusting Democrats and Political Participation in New Democracies

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2011•Citada por: 23•Referências: 59

    Distrusting democrats seek accountability and advocate reform in established democracies. Do they behave similarly in new democracies? Using AmericasBarometer survey data, cluster analysis identifies five profiles of democratic support in Chile: democrat, delegative, fair-weather, illiberal, and autocrat. Chilean distrusting democrats are more active in protest politics but less active in electoral politics than other Chileans, especially fair-we…

  • Natural Disaster and Democratic Legitimacy

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2013•Citada por: 51•Referências: 62

    Can natural disasters undermine democratic legitimacy? This article maps a causal pathway from natural disaster damage to shifts in opinion and behavioral tendencies in less established democracies. It theorizes citizens who suffer damage in such contexts will tend toward lower evaluations of democratic institutions, lower support for democratic values and practices, and stronger dispositions toward action. These expectations are tested with nati…

  • Context Counts

    Matthew M Singer, Matthew Singer et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2013•Citada por: 70•Referências: 50

    Economic perceptions affect incumbent support, but debate persists over whether voters focus on past or future performance and whether they view the economy in primarily sociotropic or egotropic terms. We theorize the nature of economic voting depends on the context. Evidence from 18 Latin American countries (1995–2009) suggest prospective voting predominates early in the election cycle, but retrospective voting gains traction as the incumbent’s …

  • The Politics of Interpersonal Trust and Reciprocity

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•2013•Citada por: 50•Referências: 88

  • What's at stake? A veto-player theory of voter turnout

    Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•Electoral Studies•2013•Citada por: 10•Referências: 59

  • What’s not to trust? Rubrics of political party trustworthiness in Chile and Argentina

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Party Politics•2014•Citada por: 11•Referências: 38

    No political institutions enjoy less public trust than political parties. Understanding the implications of this phenomenon for representative democracy requires theoretically informed conceptualizations of party trust and distrust and theories about their underlying cognitive processes. In this vein, the present study conceptualizes party trust and distrust as perceived party trustworthiness, it models citizens' subjective standards as rubrics o…

  • Trust Shaken

    Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Politics•2014•Citada por: 15

  • The Latin American Voter

    Ryan E Carlin, Matthew Singer et al.•BOOK•The Latin American voter•2015

    In this volume, experts on Latin American public opinion and political behavior employ region-wide public opinion studies, elite surveys, experiments, and advanced statistical methods to reach several key conclusions about voting behavior in the region's emerging democracies. In Latin America, to varying degrees the average voter grounds his or her decision in factors identified in classic models of voter choice. Individuals are motivated to go t…

  • Good Democrats, Bad Targets

    Ryan E Carlin, Mason Moseley et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2015•Citada por: 37•Referências: 31

    Who do parties target for clientelistic vote buying? Existing research looks almost exclusively at individuals' socioeconomic and, especially, electoral profiles—which parties and candidates they support, professed ideological leanings, past voting turnout, and choice. We argue party brokers also consider democratic attitudinal profiles. Specifically, they are more likely to avoid full-fledged democrats and target citizens who are ambivalent to o…

  • Executive Power and Economic Accountability

    Ryan E Carlin, Swaran P Singh et al.•ARTICLE•The Journal of Politics•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 54

    Do performance-based rewards and punishments vary with presidents' legislative powers? Are presidents who frequently rule by decree held more accountable for outcomes? In this paper we theorize that accountability varies systematically with the powers presidents enjoy and how they use them. We test our expectations with survey data from 18 Latin American countries. Results indicate that individuals' evaluations of the economy have more bearing on…

  • Happy Medium, Happy Citizens

    Open Access•Swaran P Singh, Shane P Singh et al.•ARTICLE•Political Research Quarterly•2015•Citada por: 14•Referências: 65

    Institutional and behavioral theories of democracy abound but rarely intersect. Do executive lawmaking power and prowess condition democratic regime support in presidential democracies? We develop theoretical expectations linking the lawmaking powers of the president and mass regime support and test them by analyzing survey data from eighteen Latin American countries over ten years. As hypothesized, results indicate that preference for, and satis…

  • Cushioning the Fall

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Political Behavior•2015•Citada por: 58•Referências: 51

  • Security, Clarity of Responsibility, and Presidential Approval

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Comparative Political Studies•2015•Citada por: 36•Referências: 79

    The importance of institutions in shaping citizens’ ability to punish or reward politicians for economic outcomes is well established. Where institutions divide authority, politicians can blame each other and citizens find it harder to assign responsibility for policy failures; where institutions clarify lines of authority, citizens can better hold politicians accountable. However, this argument assumes that citizens perceive policy responsibilit…

  • Ideational Populism in Chile? A Case Study

    Open Access•Rosario Aguilar, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Swiss Political Science Review•2017•Citada por: 6•Referências: 43

    This paper conducts an experimental test of the theory of ideational populism in a most‐likely case: a well‐known Chilean populist presidential candidate, Roxana Miranda. At the time of our study, Chile had the necessary conditions for ideational populism: corruption scandals and a crisis of political representation that lowered citizens’ trust in establishment elites. The stimulus was a speech that included the core elements of ideational populi…

  • The Ideational Approach to Populism

    Kirk Hawkins, Ryan Carlin et al.•BOOK•The Ideational Approach to Populism•2018

    Populism is on the rise in Europe and the Americas. Scholars increasingly understand populist forces in terms of their ideas or discourse, one that envisions a cosmic struggle between the will of the common people and a conspiring elite. In this volume, we advance populism scholarship by proposing a causal theory and methodological guidelines – a research program – based on this ideational approach. This program argues that populism exists as a s…

  • Public support for Latin American presidents

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Jonathan Hartlyn et al.•ARTICLE•Research & Politics•2018•Citada por: 27•Referências: 25

    What characterizes the dynamics of presidential popularity? Research based on the United States of America finds popularity exhibits an almost law-like cyclicality over a president’s term: high post-election “honeymoon” approval rates deteriorate before experiencing an end-of-term boost as new elections approach. We contend that cyclical approval dynamics are not specific to the USA, but rather characteristic of presidential systems more generall…

  • Skin Tone and Assimilation

    Open Access•Sean Richey, Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Social Science Quarterly•2018•Citada por: 2•Referências: 32

    Objective We test one untested influence on whether Hispanics will assimilate into American society in a “straight line” or remain “segmented.” The type of assimilation hinges on both how non‐Hispanics treat Hispanics and whether Hispanics desire assimilation. We argue that these behaviors depend on the social construction of Hispanics’ identity, which in turn may depend in part on their skin tone. Methods We compare these two theoretical competi…

  • Sorting Out Support for Democracy

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin•ARTICLE•Political Psychology•2018•Citada por: 21•Referências: 51

    Support for democracy is crucial to democratic stability. Yet the nature and range of democratic belief systems, and whether these belief systems are idiosyncratic to specific individuals and polities or are more general, remain largely unknown. Such unknowns complicate an already daunting measurement task. Extant survey‐based measures are fraught with validity problems and say little about the democratic beliefs individuals most strongly hold or…

  • Political Competition, Partisanship and Interpersonal Trust in Electoral Democracies

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love•ARTICLE•British Journal of Political…•2018•Citada por: 73•Referências: 98

    How does democratic politics inform the interdisciplinary debate on the evolution of human co-operation and the social preferences (for example, trust, altruism and reciprocity) that support it? This article advances a theory of partisan trust discrimination in electoral democracies based on social identity, cognitive heuristics and interparty competition. Evidence from behavioral experiments in eight democracies show ‘trust gaps’ between co- and…

  • Political Competition, Partisanship, and Interpersonal Trust Under Party Dominance

    Open Access•Ryan E Carlin, Gregory J Love et al.•ARTICLE•Journal of Experimental Political…•2019•Citada por: 4•Referências: 17

    How does single-party dominance influence interpersonal trust? We draw on evidence from trust games played by more than 2,000 subjects in South Africa, where, since Apartheid, race-based social enmity has persisted under democratic competition characterized by single-party dominance. We find that partisan-based trust discrimination is most pronounced for those who identify with the main opposition party and is driven by strong distrust of rival p…

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