Dennis A Ahlburg
Dados Biográficos
| ID | 742912 |
|---|---|
| NOME | Dennis A Ahlburg |
| PRENOMES | Dennis A |
| SOBRENOME | Ahlburg |
| ASSINATURA | AHLBURG D A |
| AFILIAÇÕES | University of Minnesota |
| VERIFICADO | Não |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 28 |
| TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES | 89 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 27 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 1 |
| PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 1983 |
| ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO | 2021 |
| ÍNDICE H | 6 |
One hundred years of the gender gap in examination results at the University of Oxford
This paper uses a newly discovered data set on examination results by gender from 1913 to 1986 to show that the gender gap in examinations at the University of Oxford has existed for over a century. We show that after declining for almost 70 years the gender gap in Firsts increased significantly after the introduction of coresidence – the admission of women to formerly men’s colleges in 1974. The gap in Thirds between men and women increased betw…
A very English revolution
This paper examines the impacts of co-residence (admitting women to men’s colleges and men to women’s colleges) at the University of Oxford beginning in the 1970s. Co-residence increased the representation of women undergraduates at Oxford to near parity with men; the representation of women in academic positions rose but not as substantially as that of women undergraduates and postgraduates and today women comprise still only a third of academic…
Covid‐19 and UK Universities
Universities UK (UUK) has suggested that there may be very significant losses to higher education as a consequence of Covid-19. However, losses are likely to be substantially lower than the potential losses estimated by UUK. But the magnitude of losses is very uncertain. The UUK's proposal to restrict undergraduate enrolment per university to stop institutions poaching students is not in the interests of the most highly regarded universities, or …
Is LEO ‘Orwellian'? Earnings, Willetts, OfS, Creative Arts, and the Cost of Higher Education
The cost of higher education to the taxpayer is determined in part by the choice of subject and institution made by students. The Augar report on higher education noted that there was an oversupply of ‘low value' courses and called on the government to ‘bear down on low value courses' and ‘target courses better aligned with the economy's needs'. 1 Until recently there was no reliable data to identify such courses or the institutions supplying the…
Higher Education a Market Like Any Other
The Department for Education is attempting to use lessons from economics to spur competition in higher education in the UK , in order to improve access and quality and reduce price. Laudable as these goals are, in this paper it is argued that there are aspects of higher education that are unlike other markets and which may make standard solutions to non‐competitive price behaviour ineffective. New insights into decision making from behavioural sc…
Is Going to University in Britain a Wise Investment
Changes in the economic fortunes of Pacific Islanders in the USA in the 1990s
This paper shows that an important requirement of the MIRAB model, economic success in the host country, is a characteristic of Pacific Islander migrants to the USA and their offspring. Pacific Islanders improved their economic lot in the 1980s and again in the 1990s. Part of this improvement was due to increases in their human capital: Pacific Islanders acquired more education, work experience and better English language skills. This upgrading a…
An Integrated Model of Application, Admission, Enrollment, and Financial Aid
We jointly model the application, admission, financial aid determination, and enrollment decision process. We find that expectations of admission affect application probabilities, financial aid expectations affect enrollment and application behavior, and deviations from aid expectations are strongly related to enrollment. We also conduct simulations on important policy variables
Why does migration decrease fertility? Evidence from the Philippines
We model the impact of past migration on fertility, assessing the separate effects of relative urbanization of the destination, as a proxy for norms, and post-migration employment, as a proxy for opportunity costs. In the Philippines, we find that large fertility declines accompany post-migration employment. If not followed by work for pay, the estimated fertility impact of migration is small. We find little evidence of migrant selectivity in fer…
Does Population Matter? A Review Essay
Books reviewed in this article: Andrew Mason (Ed.), Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia: Challenges Met, Opportunities Seized Emma Rothschild, Economic Sentiments: Adam Smith, Condorcet, and the Enlightenment Klaus M. Leisinger, Karin Schmitt, and Rajul Pandya‐Lorch, Six Billion and Counting: Population Growth and Food Security in the 21st Century Barry Bogin, The Growth of Humanity Nigel Harris, Thinking the Unthinkable: The …
A Temporal Investigation of Factors Related to Timely Degree Completion
Graduation, especially timely graduation, is an increasingly important policy issue, and for good reason. College graduates earn twice as much as high-school graduates and six times as much as high-school dropouts (Murphy & Welch, 1993); and their wealth is two and one-half times that of a high-school graduate and five times that of a high-school dropout (Diaz-Jiminez, Quadrini, & Rios-Rull, 1997). In addition to these financial rewards, the spou…
Family Size, Unwantedness, and Child Health and Health Care Utilisation in Indonesia
This paper presents and estimates a model of the determinants of child health and health care utilisation in Indonesia. In particular, it estimates the impact of unwantedness and number of siblings on health outcomes and treatment. It finds evidence that children who are unwanted at birth are more likely than other children to become ill and less likely to receive treatment for illnesses. No evidence is found that children from larger families su…
Migrants’ intentions to return home and capital transfers
This article examines the attributes of migrants from the Pacific island states of Tonga and Samoa living in Australia to assess the extent to which return migrants could contribute to the human and physical capital stock of the migrant‐sending countries. It also examines the impact of intention to return on remittances and asset accumulation. The study finds that very few migrants plan to return home and very little evidence that those who plan …
Introduction
Three major groups call on demographers to produce medium- and long-term population forecasts at the national, regional, or global levels - or produce them themselves. They are: other scientists, government and international agencies, and the general public, including private industry. What these consumers of forecasts demand of demographers, or what demographers think that they should demand, has been changing. The types of forecasts demanded ar…
Ways to Improve Population Forecasting
Dennis A. Ahlburg, Wolfgang Lutz, James W. Vaupel, Ways to Improve Population Forecasting: What Should Be Done Differently in the Future?, Population and Development Review, Vol. 24, Supplement: Frontiers of Population Forecasting (1998), pp. 191-198
Julian Simon and the Population Growth Debate
For the past 20 years Julian Simon was among the most prominent economists involved in analyzing the relationship between population and development and the most prolific commentator on issues of public policy regarding population growth. In the wake of Simons death on February 8 1998 at age 65 years the author reviews his contributions to the debate on population growth. Julian Simon worked to show that population growth is not necessarily detri…
The Impact of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries
Remittances and the income distribution in Tonga
The Impact of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries
Migration, Remittances, and the Distribution of Income
This article discusses why it is not surprising that empirical studies of the effect of remittances on the distribution of income sometimes find that remittances increase inequality and sometimes find that they decrease it. As has been shown by Stark, Taylor and Yitzhaki (1986), the impact depends on the share of remittances in total income, the distribution of remittances, and where the recipients of remittances are located in the overall distri…
The Future Population of the World
The Census Bureau's New Projections of the US Population
On the basis of best estimate US population projections between 1992 and 2050 updated from the 1989 report the demographic changes expected are identified and the consequences of those changes are indicated. There is also a discussion of the changes in assumptions about fertility mortality and net in-migration and some features of the middle and lower projections. The question is answered about the accuracy of the projections and the continued ag…
Alternative Projections of the U.S. population
The U. S. Bureau of the Census recently released a set of population projections that include middle and high projections that we argue are too conservative. The projections discount the possibility of future baby booms and assume slow rates of mortality decline and low levels of immigration. In this article we explore the impact on the size and age composition of the U. S. population of alternative scenarios of plausible fertility, mortality, an…
A relative cohort size forecasting model of Canadian total live births
A model of fertility determination is presented in which current fertility is a nonlinear function of the fertility of previous generations. This model seems to be an adequate representation of post‐war fertility in Canada and forecasts a renewal of fertility in the 1980's and 1990's. It would seem that policy decisions based on the unchallenged assumption of a continuance of low fertility may be ill‐advised
Intergenerational Transmission of Health
Alternative Projections of the U.S. population
The U. S. Bureau of the Census recently released a set of population projections that include middle and high projections that we argue are too conservative. The projections discount the possibility of future baby booms and assume slow rates of mortality decline and low levels of immigration. In this article we explore the impact on the size and age composition of the U. S. population of alternative scenarios of plausible fertility, mortality, an…
Why does migration decrease fertility? Evidence from the Philippines
We model the impact of past migration on fertility, assessing the separate effects of relative urbanization of the destination, as a proxy for norms, and post-migration employment, as a proxy for opportunity costs. In the Philippines, we find that large fertility declines accompany post-migration employment. If not followed by work for pay, the estimated fertility impact of migration is small. We find little evidence of migrant selectivity in fer…
Socioeconomic ramifications of changing cohort size
This paper presents a relative cohort size model of suicide. The model states that as relative cohort size (the ratio of younger to older workers) rises, income and income aspirations diverge for the young. One possible extreme reaction to this disequilibrium is suicide. The model explains the variation in age- and sex-specific suicide rates for the United States over the period 1948 to 1976. It identifies the direct effect of changes in cohort s…
An Integrated Model of Application, Admission, Enrollment, and Financial Aid
We jointly model the application, admission, financial aid determination, and enrollment decision process. We find that expectations of admission affect application probabilities, financial aid expectations affect enrollment and application behavior, and deviations from aid expectations are strongly related to enrollment. We also conduct simulations on important policy variables
Covid‐19 and UK Universities
Universities UK (UUK) has suggested that there may be very significant losses to higher education as a consequence of Covid-19. However, losses are likely to be substantially lower than the potential losses estimated by UUK. But the magnitude of losses is very uncertain. The UUK's proposal to restrict undergraduate enrolment per university to stop institutions poaching students is not in the interests of the most highly regarded universities, or …
A Temporal Investigation of Factors Related to Timely Degree Completion
Graduation, especially timely graduation, is an increasingly important policy issue, and for good reason. College graduates earn twice as much as high-school graduates and six times as much as high-school dropouts (Murphy & Welch, 1993); and their wealth is two and one-half times that of a high-school graduate and five times that of a high-school dropout (Diaz-Jiminez, Quadrini, & Rios-Rull, 1997). In addition to these financial rewards, the spou…
Introduction
Three major groups call on demographers to produce medium- and long-term population forecasts at the national, regional, or global levels - or produce them themselves. They are: other scientists, government and international agencies, and the general public, including private industry. What these consumers of forecasts demand of demographers, or what demographers think that they should demand, has been changing. The types of forecasts demanded ar…
Remittances and the income distribution in Tonga
Migration, Remittances, and the Distribution of Income
This article discusses why it is not surprising that empirical studies of the effect of remittances on the distribution of income sometimes find that remittances increase inequality and sometimes find that they decrease it. As has been shown by Stark, Taylor and Yitzhaki (1986), the impact depends on the share of remittances in total income, the distribution of remittances, and where the recipients of remittances are located in the overall distri…
Julian Simon and the Population Growth Debate
For the past 20 years Julian Simon was among the most prominent economists involved in analyzing the relationship between population and development and the most prolific commentator on issues of public policy regarding population growth. In the wake of Simons death on February 8 1998 at age 65 years the author reviews his contributions to the debate on population growth. Julian Simon worked to show that population growth is not necessarily detri…
The Census Bureau's New Projections of the US Population
On the basis of best estimate US population projections between 1992 and 2050 updated from the 1989 report the demographic changes expected are identified and the consequences of those changes are indicated. There is also a discussion of the changes in assumptions about fertility mortality and net in-migration and some features of the middle and lower projections. The question is answered about the accuracy of the projections and the continued ag…
Family Size, Unwantedness, and Child Health and Health Care Utilisation in Indonesia
This paper presents and estimates a model of the determinants of child health and health care utilisation in Indonesia. In particular, it estimates the impact of unwantedness and number of siblings on health outcomes and treatment. It finds evidence that children who are unwanted at birth are more likely than other children to become ill and less likely to receive treatment for illnesses. No evidence is found that children from larger families su…
Ways to Improve Population Forecasting
Dennis A. Ahlburg, Wolfgang Lutz, James W. Vaupel, Ways to Improve Population Forecasting: What Should Be Done Differently in the Future?, Population and Development Review, Vol. 24, Supplement: Frontiers of Population Forecasting (1998), pp. 191-198
Good times, bad times
A simple version of Easterlin's relative‐cohort‐size model of fertility is presented and used to forecast fertility. The model tracks postwar U.S. experience closely and predicts an upturn in fertility in the 1980's. To illustrate the model's long‐run properties, births are forecast to the year 2070. The forecast shows pronounced every‐other generation cycles in births suggesting that, unless conditions change, concern with the economic consequen…
Socioeconomic ramifications of changing cohort size
This paper presents a relative cohort size model of suicide. The model states that as relative cohort size (the ratio of younger to older workers) rises, income and income aspirations diverge for the young. One possible extreme reaction to this disequilibrium is suicide. The model explains the variation in age- and sex-specific suicide rates for the United States over the period 1948 to 1976. It identifies the direct effect of changes in cohort s…
Commodity aspirations in easterlin's relative income theory of fertility
This paper presents the preference ordering that underlies Easterlin's relative income theory of fertility. Commodity aspirations are a key component of the theory and the paper explores how the introduction of commodity aspirations into the utility function affects the consumption of commodities and bearing of children. The formation and empirical specification of commodity aspirations are also discussed
A relative cohort size forecasting model of Canadian total live births
A model of fertility determination is presented in which current fertility is a nonlinear function of the fertility of previous generations. This model seems to be an adequate representation of post‐war fertility in Canada and forecasts a renewal of fertility in the 1980's and 1990's. It would seem that policy decisions based on the unchallenged assumption of a continuance of low fertility may be ill‐advised
Alternative Projections of the U.S. population
The U. S. Bureau of the Census recently released a set of population projections that include middle and high projections that we argue are too conservative. The projections discount the possibility of future baby booms and assume slow rates of mortality decline and low levels of immigration. In this article we explore the impact on the size and age composition of the U. S. population of alternative scenarios of plausible fertility, mortality, an…
The Census Bureau's New Projections of the US Population
On the basis of best estimate US population projections between 1992 and 2050 updated from the 1989 report the demographic changes expected are identified and the consequences of those changes are indicated. There is also a discussion of the changes in assumptions about fertility mortality and net in-migration and some features of the middle and lower projections. The question is answered about the accuracy of the projections and the continued ag…
Migration, Remittances, and the Distribution of Income
This article discusses why it is not surprising that empirical studies of the effect of remittances on the distribution of income sometimes find that remittances increase inequality and sometimes find that they decrease it. As has been shown by Stark, Taylor and Yitzhaki (1986), the impact depends on the share of remittances in total income, the distribution of remittances, and where the recipients of remittances are located in the overall distri…
The Future Population of the World
The Impact of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries
Remittances and the income distribution in Tonga
The Impact of Population Growth on Well-being in Developing Countries
Migrants’ intentions to return home and capital transfers
This article examines the attributes of migrants from the Pacific island states of Tonga and Samoa living in Australia to assess the extent to which return migrants could contribute to the human and physical capital stock of the migrant‐sending countries. It also examines the impact of intention to return on remittances and asset accumulation. The study finds that very few migrants plan to return home and very little evidence that those who plan …
Introduction
Three major groups call on demographers to produce medium- and long-term population forecasts at the national, regional, or global levels - or produce them themselves. They are: other scientists, government and international agencies, and the general public, including private industry. What these consumers of forecasts demand of demographers, or what demographers think that they should demand, has been changing. The types of forecasts demanded ar…
Ways to Improve Population Forecasting
Dennis A. Ahlburg, Wolfgang Lutz, James W. Vaupel, Ways to Improve Population Forecasting: What Should Be Done Differently in the Future?, Population and Development Review, Vol. 24, Supplement: Frontiers of Population Forecasting (1998), pp. 191-198
Julian Simon and the Population Growth Debate
For the past 20 years Julian Simon was among the most prominent economists involved in analyzing the relationship between population and development and the most prolific commentator on issues of public policy regarding population growth. In the wake of Simons death on February 8 1998 at age 65 years the author reviews his contributions to the debate on population growth. Julian Simon worked to show that population growth is not necessarily detri…
Does Population Matter? A Review Essay
Books reviewed in this article: Andrew Mason (Ed.), Population Change and Economic Development in East Asia: Challenges Met, Opportunities Seized Emma Rothschild, Economic Sentiments: Adam Smith, Condorcet, and the Enlightenment Klaus M. Leisinger, Karin Schmitt, and Rajul Pandya‐Lorch, Six Billion and Counting: Population Growth and Food Security in the 21st Century Barry Bogin, The Growth of Humanity Nigel Harris, Thinking the Unthinkable: The …
A Temporal Investigation of Factors Related to Timely Degree Completion
Graduation, especially timely graduation, is an increasingly important policy issue, and for good reason. College graduates earn twice as much as high-school graduates and six times as much as high-school dropouts (Murphy & Welch, 1993); and their wealth is two and one-half times that of a high-school graduate and five times that of a high-school dropout (Diaz-Jiminez, Quadrini, & Rios-Rull, 1997). In addition to these financial rewards, the spou…
Family Size, Unwantedness, and Child Health and Health Care Utilisation in Indonesia
This paper presents and estimates a model of the determinants of child health and health care utilisation in Indonesia. In particular, it estimates the impact of unwantedness and number of siblings on health outcomes and treatment. It finds evidence that children who are unwanted at birth are more likely than other children to become ill and less likely to receive treatment for illnesses. No evidence is found that children from larger families su…
Why does migration decrease fertility? Evidence from the Philippines
We model the impact of past migration on fertility, assessing the separate effects of relative urbanization of the destination, as a proxy for norms, and post-migration employment, as a proxy for opportunity costs. In the Philippines, we find that large fertility declines accompany post-migration employment. If not followed by work for pay, the estimated fertility impact of migration is small. We find little evidence of migrant selectivity in fer…
Changes in the economic fortunes of Pacific Islanders in the USA in the 1990s
This paper shows that an important requirement of the MIRAB model, economic success in the host country, is a characteristic of Pacific Islander migrants to the USA and their offspring. Pacific Islanders improved their economic lot in the 1980s and again in the 1990s. Part of this improvement was due to increases in their human capital: Pacific Islanders acquired more education, work experience and better English language skills. This upgrading a…
An Integrated Model of Application, Admission, Enrollment, and Financial Aid
We jointly model the application, admission, financial aid determination, and enrollment decision process. We find that expectations of admission affect application probabilities, financial aid expectations affect enrollment and application behavior, and deviations from aid expectations are strongly related to enrollment. We also conduct simulations on important policy variables
Is Going to University in Britain a Wise Investment
Higher Education a Market Like Any Other
The Department for Education is attempting to use lessons from economics to spur competition in higher education in the UK , in order to improve access and quality and reduce price. Laudable as these goals are, in this paper it is argued that there are aspects of higher education that are unlike other markets and which may make standard solutions to non‐competitive price behaviour ineffective. New insights into decision making from behavioural sc…
Is LEO ‘Orwellian'? Earnings, Willetts, OfS, Creative Arts, and the Cost of Higher Education
The cost of higher education to the taxpayer is determined in part by the choice of subject and institution made by students. The Augar report on higher education noted that there was an oversupply of ‘low value' courses and called on the government to ‘bear down on low value courses' and ‘target courses better aligned with the economy's needs'. 1 Until recently there was no reliable data to identify such courses or the institutions supplying the…
A very English revolution
This paper examines the impacts of co-residence (admitting women to men’s colleges and men to women’s colleges) at the University of Oxford beginning in the 1970s. Co-residence increased the representation of women undergraduates at Oxford to near parity with men; the representation of women in academic positions rose but not as substantially as that of women undergraduates and postgraduates and today women comprise still only a third of academic…
Economics (20 obras) · Sociology (18 obras) · Demography (15 obras) · Population (13 obras) · Political science (12 obras) · Economic growth (10 obras) · Demographic economics (8 obras) · Business (7 obras) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (7 obras) · Medicine (7 obras)