Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos

Dados Biográficos

ID969377
NOMEKonstantinos V Katsikopoulos
PRENOMESKonstantinos V
SOBRENOMEKatsikopoulos
ASSINATURAKATSIKOPOULOS K V
AFILIAÇÕESUniversity of Southampton
ORCID0000-0002-9572-1980
VERIFICADOSim
TOTAL DE OBRAS13
TOTAL DE CITAÇÕES5
TOTAL COMO AUTOR13
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMEIRO ANO DE PUBLICAÇÃO2005
ANO MAIS RECENTE DE PUBLICAÇÃO2025
ÍNDICE H2

  • Anticipating futures

    Open AccessIan Townend, Denise Baden et al.ARTICLEFutures2025Citada por: 2Referências: 13

    Businesses, planners and policy makers must make decisions that influence a future about which they have incomplete knowledge. Whilst knowing the future may be illusive, the capacity to adapt as required, is desirable for both organisations and society. We examine what different perspectives can offer, considering how empirical-analytical (e.g., modelling, data), narrative-experiential (e.g., fiction, history, gaming), and socio-technological (e.…

  • Bring digital twins back to Earth

    Open AccessAndrea Saltelli, Gerd Gigerenzer et al.ARTICLEWiley Interdisciplinary Reviews…2024Citada por: 2Referências: 7

    We reflect on the development of digital twins of the Earth, which we associate with a reductionist view of nature as a machine. The projects of digital twins deviate from contemporary scientific paradigms in the treatment of complexity and uncertainty, and does not engage with critical and interpretative social sciences. We contest the utility of digital twins for addressing climate change issues and discuss societal risks associated with the co…

  • Strategic Interaction

    Open AccessKonstantinos V KatsikopoulosCHAPTERCognitive Operations2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Open AccessKonstantinos V KatsikopoulosBOOKCognitive Operations2023

    Book examines how people make decisions under risk and uncertainty in operational settings and opens the black box by specifying the cognitive processes

  • How flood preparedness among Jordanian citizens is influenced by self-efficacy, sense of community, experience, communication, trust and training

    Open AccessLeen Gammoh, Ian Dawson et al.ARTICLEInternational Journal of Disaster…2023

  • Cognitive Operations

    Konstantinos V KatsikopoulosBOOKCognitive Operations2023

  • All policies are wrong, but some are useful—and which ones do no harm

    Open AccessMario Brito, Maxwell Chipulu et al.ARTICLEMind & Society2020

    The five of us research and teach risk analysis with an eye towards decision support. Our work has been dedicated to taming risks and helping to make challenging decisions. But nothing had prepared us for the Covid-19 pandemic. We first had to grapple with the news coming from abroad, including, for some of us, our home countries. Then, some information and research, but mostly opinions, started coming in from our academic community, and we felt …

  • A signal-detection approach to modeling forgiveness decisions

    Open AccessJolene H Tan, Shenghua Luan et al.ARTICLEEvolution and Human Behavior2017

  • Evaluative polarity words in risky choice framing

    Open AccessAnnika Wallin, Cheryl Paradis et al.ARTICLEJournal of Pragmatics2016Citada por: 1Referências: 8

  • Uncertainty, Decision Science, and Policy Making

    D Tuckett, Antoine Mandel et al.ARTICLECritical Review2015Referências: 42

    The financial crisis of 2008 was unforeseen partly because the academic theories that underpin policy making do not sufficiently account for uncertainty and complexity or learned and evolved human capabilities for managing them. Mainstream theories of decision making tend to be strongly normative and based on wishfully unrealistic “idealized” modeling. In order to develop theories of actual decision making under uncertainty, we need new methodolo…

  • The Conceptual Connection between Lens Models and Fast and Frugal Heuristics

    Open AccessKonstantinos V KatsikopoulosARTICLETheory & Psychology2009

    I explore the conceptual connection between two judgment- and decision-making research programs: social judgment theory and fast and frugal heuristics. I point out that a main difference is in the modeling of the cues-to-criterion function that describes the organism (lens in Brunswikian jargon). Social judgment theorists typically use linear models while the fast and frugal program employs heuristics. I ask two questions: Can fast and frugal heu…

  • From Meehl to Fast and Frugal Heuristics (and Back)

    Open AccessKonstantinos V Katsikopoulos, Thorsten Pachur et al.ARTICLETheory & Psychology2008

    It is difficult to overestimate Paul Meehl's influence on judgment and decision-making research. His `disturbing little book' (Meehl, 1986, p. 370) Clinical versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence (1954) is known as an attack on human judgment and a call for replacing clinicians with actuarial methods. More than 40 years later, fast and frugal heuristics—proposed as models of human judgment—were formaliz…

  • “A 30% Chance of Rain Tomorrow”

    Open AccessGerd Gigerenzer, Ralph Hertwig et al.ARTICLERisk Analysis2005

    The weather forecast says that there is a "30% chance of rain," and we think we understand what it means. This quantitative statement is assumed to be unambiguous and to convey more information than does a qualitative statement like "It might rain tomorrow." Because the forecast is expressed as a single-event probability, however, it does not specify the class of events it refers to. Therefore, even numerical probabilities can be interpreted by m…