Predicting the Severity of Great Power War from Its Extent
Statistical Illusions, 1816-1990
Dados Bibliográficos
| ID | 10071460 |
|---|---|
| Autores | William Brian Moul (University of Waterloo) |
| Ano | 1994 |
| Volume | 38 |
| Fascículo | 1 |
| Páginas | 160-169 |
| Data de publicação | 1994-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sim |
| Open Access | Sim |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Periódico | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores do periódico | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Editora | SAGE Publishing (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002794038001010 |
| OpenAlex | W2124853821 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citações recebidas | 1 |
| Referências citadas | 6 |
Shortly after Iraq invaded Kuwait in August 1990 and shortly before Operation Desert Storm in January 1991, Cioffi-Revilla forecast that the battle fatalities of an Iraq-United Nations war would be between 100,000 and a million or so, depending on the number of belligerents. The lower estimate presumes four states were to fight; and the higher one presumes ten states were to fight. Whatever the accuracy of the forecast, this article examines the historical reliability of the relationship on which the forecast rests. The apparent linear relationship between the extent and severity of great power war over 1816-1990 is illusory
Ancient history · Battle · Desert (philosophy · Development economics · Economic history · Economics · Economy · Geography · Great power · Meteorology · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Power (physics · Storm · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · History · Law · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · World Systems and Global Transformations
| Obras citantes distintas | 1 |
|---|---|
| Citações por ano | 0,03 |
| Intervalo de citações | 1995 - 1995 (1) |
| Velocidade de citação | historical |
| Altamente citado | Não |
| Tipos de citação | Neutras: 1 |